Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#185
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#151
Pace69.4#195
Improvement+0.6#122

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#177
First Shot-7.0#351
After Offensive Rebound+6.5#4
Layup/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
Freethrows-3.7#349
Improvement-0.4#225

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#204
First Shot-0.7#193
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#220
Layups/Dunks-2.3#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#7
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#73
Freethrows-4.8#358
Improvement+1.0#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 13.3% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 78.4% 81.5% 60.1%
.500 or above in Conference 77.6% 79.3% 67.4%
Conference Champion 15.3% 16.3% 9.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.1% 2.4%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 1.0%
First Round12.3% 13.1% 7.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Utah (Home) - 85.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 54 - 8
Quad 414 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 21 @Iowa L 69-101 4%     0 - 1 -13.8 +5.7 -20.1
  Thu, Nov 6 143 @Drake W 81-79 OT 30%     1 - 1 +5.6 +6.8 -1.3
  Thu, Nov 20 119 @St. Bonaventure L 61-75 23%     1 - 2 -8.0 -6.9 -1.4
  Sun, Nov 23 201 @Monmouth L 70-71 OT 42%     1 - 3 -0.7 -0.2 -0.5
  Wed, Nov 26 174 Illinois-Chicago W 88-74 60%     2 - 3 +9.8 +15.6 -5.4
  Fri, Nov 28 331 Southern Utah W 82-71 85%    
  Sun, Nov 30 344 Stetson W 80-67 88%    
  Thu, Dec 4 267 @Green Bay W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Dec 6 208 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-77 44%    
  Sat, Dec 13 173 Toledo W 79-76 59%    
  Wed, Dec 17 189 Youngstown St. W 76-73 61%    
  Sat, Dec 20 359 @St. Francis (PA) W 78-69 80%    
  Mon, Dec 29 198 Northern Kentucky W 76-72 63%    
  Fri, Jan 2 328 @Detroit Mercy W 79-74 66%    
  Sun, Jan 4 138 @Oakland L 77-83 29%    
  Sun, Jan 11 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-74 70%    
  Thu, Jan 15 355 @IU Indianapolis W 93-85 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 198 @Northern Kentucky L 73-75 42%    
  Thu, Jan 22 208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-74 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 267 Green Bay W 75-68 73%    
  Wed, Jan 28 355 IU Indianapolis W 96-82 90%    
  Sat, Jan 31 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-78 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 146 Wright St. W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 189 @Youngstown St. L 73-76 40%    
  Thu, Feb 12 303 @Cleveland St. W 82-79 61%    
  Sun, Feb 15 138 Oakland L 79-80 50%    
  Sun, Feb 22 146 @Wright St. L 69-74 33%    
  Wed, Feb 25 328 Detroit Mercy W 82-71 83%    
  Sat, Feb 28 303 Cleveland St. W 85-76 78%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.5 4.3 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 15.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 3.0 5.5 4.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.9 6.1 3.0 0.7 0.1 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.5 5.5 2.5 0.4 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.3 2.4 0.2 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 2.7 4.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.5 1.5 0.2 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.9 5.9 8.1 10.0 12.1 12.5 12.1 10.7 8.3 6.0 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
18-2 97.7% 1.7    1.6 0.1
17-3 91.0% 3.1    2.6 0.5 0.0
16-4 71.2% 4.3    2.8 1.3 0.2
15-5 42.0% 3.5    1.5 1.6 0.4 0.0
14-6 16.7% 1.8    0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.3% 15.3 9.6 4.3 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 47.8% 47.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.6% 47.2% 47.2% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.7% 42.5% 42.5% 13.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0
17-3 3.4% 30.8% 30.8% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.4
16-4 6.0% 28.0% 28.0% 13.7 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.2 4.3
15-5 8.3% 24.4% 24.4% 14.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 6.2
14-6 10.7% 18.0% 18.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 8.8
13-7 12.1% 14.1% 14.1% 14.7 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 10.4
12-8 12.5% 10.4% 10.4% 15.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 11.2
11-9 12.1% 6.5% 6.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 11.3
10-10 10.0% 5.2% 5.2% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 9.5
9-11 8.1% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.8
8-12 5.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.8
7-13 3.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 3.8
6-14 2.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.3
5-15 1.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-16 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.2 3.9 1.8 87.5 0.0%