Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.9 #214
Expected Predictive Rating -1.0 #184
Pace 64.9 #294
Improvement -2.3 #298

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #167 C- B C- D- D+
Defense #262 D+ C C- F C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #250 1.08 #275 -2.9 #284
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #109 0.78 #135 +1.8 #88
Three Pointers 40% #203 1.04 #146 +0.1 #180
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #204 -1.1 #204
Freethrows 14.3 #325 71% #234 10.2 #316
Second Chance 36.4% #36 1.05 #176 0.38 #71
Turnovers 17.5% #240
Total Offense +0.0 #167

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #71 1.17 #190 -2.6 #270
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #198 0.83 #287 -0.5 #216
Three Pointers 37% #277 1.06 #244 +1.0 #145
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #254 -2.1 #255
Freethrows 24.2 #361 73% #222 17.8 #6
Second Chance 31.2% #204 1.03 #171 0.32 #189
Turnovers 16.0% #211
Total Defense -2.9 #262

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.3% #269 0.8% #238
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.0% #189 3.4% #251
Possession Length 18.5 #297 17.3 #190
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #342 0.17 #165
Improvement +0.7 #134 -3.1 #331

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 8.4% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.8 15.1
.500 or above 86.5% 91.2% 71.6%
.500 or above in Conference 69.9% 76.9% 48.2%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.5%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round7.5% 8.2% 5.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: IU Indianapolis (Away) - 75.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 64 - 9
Quad 413 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 22 @Iowa L 69 - 101 3% -21  0 - 1 -13 +7 A+ A+ F -21 F F B-
 Thu, Nov 6 165 @Drake W 81 - 79 OT 31% +2  1 - 1 +4 +4 B B- F +0 A+ B- F
 Thu, Nov 20 127 @St. Bonaventure L 61 - 75 23% -4  1 - 2 -9 -10 F D+ F +1 C A+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 185 @Monmouth L 70 - 71 OT 34% +1  1 - 3 +0 +1 D- A B- -1 A- F C
 Wed, Nov 26 160 Illinois-Chicago W 88 - 74 51% +13  2 - 3 +11 +18 A- A+ C -7 C C- C
 Fri, Nov 28 323 Southern Utah W 61 - 54 83% +11  3 - 3 -6 -11 F C+ D+ +6 A+ C A
 Sun, Nov 30 345 Stetson W 80 - 62 86% +12  4 - 3 +3 +11 A- A+ A+ -5 B C- F
 Thu, Dec 4 243 @Green Bay W 80 - 78 45% -1  5 - 3 1 - 0 +0 +7 B- B- F -6 F A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 74 41% +1  5 - 4 1 - 1 -3 -4 F D- C +2 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 164 Toledo W 75 - 70 53% -6  6 - 4 +1 -1 D- D- A+ +3 A+ A- F
 Wed, Dec 17 209 Youngstown St. W 80 - 77 OT 61% -3  7 - 4 2 - 1 -3 +9 C+ A- A -12 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 360 @St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 70 81% +2  8 - 4 -3 +9 A- F C -12 D- F F
 Mon, Dec 29 179 Northern Kentucky L 77 - 79 56% +1  8 - 5 2 - 2 -6 +1 D+ A+ C- -7 F A+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 273 @Detroit Mercy W 85 - 77 52% +0  9 - 5 3 - 2 +5 +11 D A+ F -7 F D A+
 Sun, Jan 4 135 @Oakland L 73 - 96 24% -14  9 - 6 3 - 3 -19 -1 D+ C- C -18 C F F
 Sun, Jan 11 237 Purdue Fort Wayne L 74 - 79 66% -5  9 - 7 3 - 4 -12 +4 C+ F A- -16 F F A
 Thu, Jan 15 353 @IU Indianapolis W 86 - 78 76%
 Sat, Jan 17 179 @Northern Kentucky L 73 - 77 34%
 Thu, Jan 22 229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77 - 73 63%
 Sat, Jan 24 243 Green Bay W 74 - 69 67%
 Wed, Jan 28 353 IU Indianapolis W 89 - 75 90%
 Sat, Jan 31 237 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 73 - 75 43%
 Wed, Feb 4 142 Wright St. L 72 - 73 46%
 Sat, Feb 7 209 @Youngstown St. L 70 - 73 39%
 Thu, Feb 12 328 @Cleveland St. W 79 - 75 66%
 Sun, Feb 15 135 Oakland L 81 - 82 45%
 Sun, Feb 22 142 @Wright St. L 69 - 76 26%
 Wed, Feb 25 273 Detroit Mercy W 79 - 72 73%
 Sat, Feb 28 328 Cleveland St. W 82 - 72 83%
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 9 -3 +0 C- B C- -3 D+ C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.9 5.1 1.2 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 5.4 7.5 1.6 0.0 15.2 4th
5th 0.3 4.4 8.7 2.8 0.1 16.3 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 8.5 4.1 0.3 16.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 7.1 4.9 0.5 14.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 4.5 4.1 0.7 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.5 4.2 8.9 15.1 19.3 19.6 15.9 9.5 4.4 1.2 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 96.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 63.2% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1
14-6 23.0% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
13-7 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 1.2% 19.7% 19.7% 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
14-6 4.4% 20.3% 20.3% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.5
13-7 9.5% 15.2% 15.2% 14.4 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 8.1
12-8 15.9% 11.9% 11.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.1 14.0
11-9 19.6% 7.1% 7.1% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 18.2
10-10 19.3% 5.4% 5.4% 15.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 18.2
9-11 15.1% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 14.5
8-12 8.9% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 8.7
7-13 4.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.1
6-14 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 14.8 92.3 0.0%