Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.0 #285
Expected Predictive Rating -10.7 #325
Pace 69.5 #172
Improvement -0.2 #195

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #213 D+ C- F C C
Defense #334 F D+ D+ C+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #350 1.12 #223 -5.6 #342
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #274 0.60 #339 -2.9 #316
Three Pointers 54% #8 0.99 #212 +5.9 #28
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #245 -2.6 #245
Freethrows 15.7 #271 78% #34 12.2 #202
Second Chance 30.5% #188 0.97 #268 0.29 #238
Turnovers 20.7% #354
Total Offense -1.6 #213

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #175 1.33 #342 -3.6 #305
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #341 0.74 #148 +2.4 #33
Three Pointers 47% #42 1.11 #301 -5.1 #345
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #345 -6.4 #345
Freethrows 16.4 #131 75% #273 12.2 #245
Second Chance 34.2% #307 1.02 #155 0.35 #256
Turnovers 15.1% #267
Total Defense -5.4 #334

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.2% #207 1.7% #320
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.7% #246 10.6% #341
Possession Length 17.6 #195 17.2 #178
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #201 0.23 #334
Improvement -0.5 #216 +0.3 #164

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.9% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 1.3% 3.8% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 12.9% 28.8% 8.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 2.2% 7.9%
First Four1.0% 1.4% 0.9%
First Round0.9% 1.5% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 20.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 81 - 11
Quad 410 - 1011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 132 @Duquesne L 80 - 92 14% -7  0 - 1 -7 +3 F D+ B- -10 A+ F F
 Tue, Nov 11 34 @Villanova L 60 - 94 2% -21  0 - 2 -17 -2 C+ C+ F -18 F D A+
 Sat, Nov 15 202 @Queens L 64 - 81 23% -13  0 - 3 -16 -13 F F F -4 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 310 Holy Cross W 79 - 66 68% +9  1 - 3 +1 +4 B- F C -3 F C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 260 @Central Connecticut St. L 106 - 108 OT 33% -2  1 - 4 -5 +17 A C+ D+ -21 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 29 99 @Penn St. L 59 - 90 9% -21  1 - 5 -23 -17 F F F -3 F F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 297 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 80 42% +3  2 - 5 1 - 0 +2 +18 F A+ D- -15 F F F
 Sun, Dec 7 198 Iona L 69 - 81 43% -4  2 - 6 1 - 1 -17 -6 A- F F -12 C- D- F
 Sat, Dec 13 352 @NJIT W 65 - 49 62% +4  3 - 6 +6 -4 F C D- +11 A- A+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 284 @Umass Lowell L 82 - 87 38% +0  3 - 7 -9 +3 A- F F -12 F C F
 Fri, Dec 19 204 Dartmouth W 85 - 63 44% +8  4 - 7 +16 +5 F A+ C +10 A+ D+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 166 @Towson L 47 - 72 19% -9  4 - 8 -23 -20 F D F -5 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 241 Merrimack L 72 - 80 52% -8  4 - 9 1 - 2 -16 +1 C+ D- D -17 F D+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 355 @Niagara L 61 - 64 63% -9  4 - 10 1 - 3 -14 -5 F D+ F -9 F B+ D
 Sun, Jan 4 337 @Canisius L 78 - 82 54% +4  4 - 11 1 - 4 -12 +5 C+ D+ F -17 F F D-
 Fri, Jan 9 129 Marist L 72 - 76 29% +2  4 - 12 1 - 5 -5 +11 A+ A D- -17 F F F
 Sun, Jan 11 156 Quinnipiac L 60 - 70 34% -0  4 - 13 1 - 6 -13 -7 D D- F -6 D A+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 177 @Siena L 68 - 77 21%
 Mon, Jan 19 348 @Rider W 72 - 69 60%
 Thu, Jan 22 337 Canisius W 74 - 67 74%
 Sat, Jan 24 355 Niagara W 76 - 67 81%
 Fri, Jan 30 156 @Quinnipiac L 73 - 83 17%
 Sun, Feb 1 241 @Merrimack L 69 - 74 31%
 Thu, Feb 5 281 Fairfield W 79 - 76 61%
 Sat, Feb 7 312 @Manhattan L 79 - 80 46%
 Fri, Feb 13 246 St. Peter's W 72 - 71 53%
 Sun, Feb 15 348 Rider W 75 - 66 78%
 Fri, Feb 20 281 @Fairfield L 76 - 79 38%
 Sun, Feb 22 129 @Marist L 63 - 75 13%
 Fri, Feb 27 297 Mount St. Mary's W 76 - 72 64%
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 13 -7 -2 D+ C- F -5 F D+ D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.9 1.5 0.1 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 4.8 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 6.4 6.3 1.1 0.0 15.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 6.4 8.4 2.3 0.1 18.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 5.6 9.0 3.3 0.2 18.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 4.9 7.9 3.7 0.4 0.0 17.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.7 1.6 0.1 8.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.9 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.5 9.9 16.0 20.5 20.0 14.5 8.2 3.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.2% 5.7% 5.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2
12-8 0.9% 9.6% 9.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-9 3.6% 5.4% 5.4% 15.7 0.1 0.1 3.4
10-10 8.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.2 8.0
9-11 14.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 14.3
8-12 20.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 19.8
7-13 20.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 20.3
6-14 16.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 15.9
5-15 9.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-16 4.5% 4.5
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.9 98.7 0.0%