Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -7.0 284
Results Rating -7.8 288
Consistency 0.14 128
Pace 71.2 105
Improvement +2.7 79

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 202 C- D+ D+ C- C
Defense D- 328 D- D+ D- B D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 354 D+ 55% 254 -6.1 352
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 291 D 33% 331 -2.4 292
Three Pointers 54% 5 C+ 35% 121 +7.6 13
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 209 C- -0.7 199
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 197
Second Chance D 26.1% 302 C 1.02 198 D+ 0.27 280
Opponents' Steals D 10.8% 299
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 239
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 291
Freethrows D+ 0.27 279 B+ 77% 23 C- 0.21 211
Total Offense C- -1.2 202

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 211 C 10.6% 152
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 111 C- 5.8% 240
Three Pointers C- 82% 236 C 0.8% 181
Total B- 61% 76 B 4.6% 66

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 177 D- 65% 336 +2.7 276
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 341 C 38% 197 -2.2 29
Three Pointers 46% 38 D 37% 311 +5.0 347
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 315 D- +4.6 337
1st FG Attempt D- 1.13 339
Second Chance D+ 32.3% 262 C- 1.06 231 D+ 0.34 265
Turnovers from Steals D 7.7% 305
Other Turnovers D- 6.1% 332
Turnovers D- 13.8% 338
Freethrows B 0.26 46 C+ 71% 127 B 0.18 40
Total Defense D- -5.8 328

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 307 D+ 7.9% 305
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 34% 319 D+ 3.3% 274
Three Pointers D- 90% 342 D+ 0.4% 288
Total D- 65% 345 D 3.7% 324

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 132 17.1 143
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 202 0.21 313
Consistency 0.15 339 0.11 74
Improvement +1.1 125 +1.6 105

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 294 285 273
Results Rating Rank 300 293 273
Conference Record 9 - 11 9 - 11 9 - 11
Conference Finish 9 9 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 4% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four2% 4% 0%
First Round1% 2% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 411 - 1113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 119 @Duquesne L 80 - 92 12% -7  3% 0 - 1 D+ -6 C+ +4 D C- B+ F+ -9 A- F F
 Tue, Nov 11 32 @Villanova L 60 - 94 2% -21  4% 0 - 2 F+ -17 D+ -3 C+ B- F F -15 F D A+
 Sat, Nov 15 199 @Queens L 64 - 81 23% -13  1% 0 - 3 F+ -16 F -16 F F D C -1 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 21 327 Holy Cross W 79 - 66 73% +9  91% 1 - 3 C -1 C +0 B F D+ C -0 F C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 302 @Central Connecticut St. L 106 - 108 OT 43% -2  24% 1 - 4 D+ -7 A +11 A- C D F -19 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 29 117 @Penn St. L 59 - 90 12% -21  4% 1 - 5 F -25 F -22 F+ F F C -0 D- F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 286 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 80 39% +2  69% 2 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +3 A+ +16 D A+ D F -12 F F F
 Sun, Dec 7 242 Iona L 69 - 81 52% -4  19% 2 - 6 1 - 1 F -20 F+ -10 B- D- F F+ -10 D+ D- D-
 Sat, Dec 13 315 @NJIT W 65 - 49 48% +4  71% 3 - 6 B +9 D -5 D- C+ D+ A+ +16 A B+ C
 Tue, Dec 16 306 @Umass Lowell L 82 - 87 45% +0  46% 3 - 7 D -11 C -0 A- F+ F F -10 F C+ F
 Fri, Dec 19 256 Dartmouth W 85 - 63 54% +8  92% 4 - 7 B+ +14 C +2 F A+ C A+ +11 A+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 22 174 @Towson L 47 - 72 20% -9  6% 4 - 8 F -23 F -21 F C- F D+ -4 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 172 Merrimack L 72 - 80 38% -8  0% 4 - 9 1 - 2 D- -12 C +0 B+ D C- F -13 F C- D
 Fri, Jan 2 335 @Niagara L 61 - 64 56% -9  0% 4 - 10 1 - 3 D- -12 D -6 F C+ F D- -7 F B+ F+
 Sun, Jan 4 343 @Canisius L 78 - 82 59% +4  79% 4 - 11 1 - 4 D- -13 C+ +3 C D+ D F -16 D- F F+
 Fri, Jan 9 183 Marist L 72 - 76 41% +2  57% 4 - 12 1 - 5 D -9 B +7 B+ B+ F+ F -16 F F D-
 Sun, Jan 11 211 Quinnipiac L 60 - 70 46% -0  40% 4 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -16 F -11 D D F D -6 D A F
 Wed, Jan 14 201 @Siena W 86 - 80 23% +4  97% 5 - 13 2 - 6 B- +7 A +14 F+ A+ A+ D- -7 C D F
 Mon, Jan 19 356 @Rider W 105 - 85 69% +12  96% 6 - 13 3 - 6 B- +8 A+ +14 A+ F B+ F+ -8 F B+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 343 Canisius W 69 - 66 78% -2  29% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D- -12 F -10 C F D C- -2 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 335 Niagara W 71 - 70 77% -5  1% 8 - 13 5 - 6 D- -14 D- -7 B- F B- D- -7 F F B
 Fri, Jan 30 211 @Quinnipiac W 98 - 91 25% +1  56% 9 - 13 6 - 6 B- +7 A+ +18 A F+ A+ F -11 D- F+ F
 Sun, Feb 1 172 @Merrimack L 58 - 75 20% -8  3% 9 - 14 6 - 7 F+ -15 F+ -10 D+ F F D- -7 B+ F F
 Thu, Feb 5 245 Fairfield L 87 - 92 53% -8  0% 9 - 15 6 - 8 D- -13 B- +5 D+ A+ A- F -18 F F C
 Sat, Feb 7 324 @Manhattan L 68 - 80 51% +2  64% 9 - 16 6 - 9 F -19 F -15 F F C- D+ -4 D A F
 Fri, Feb 13 238 St. Peter's W 78 - 71 51% +5  92% 10 - 16 7 - 9 C -0 B+ +8 A C- B D- -7 B F F
 Sun, Feb 15 356 Rider W 86 - 75 85% +11  90% 11 - 16 8 - 9 D+ -7 C+ +3 C- B- D+ F -10 F C F
 Fri, Feb 20 245 @Fairfield L 68 - 78 31% -1  53% 11 - 17 8 - 10 D- -12 F+ -9 F+ C+ F+ D+ -3 F A+ F+
 Sun, Feb 22 183 @Marist L 63 - 65 21% +3  76% 11 - 18 8 - 11 C -1 D -4 C F B B +4 C+ A+ F
 Fri, Feb 27 286 Mount St. Mary's W 77 - 69 62% -0  48% 12 - 18 9 - 11 C- -2 B- +4 B- C+ C+ D -6 B+ D F
Totals 12 - 18 9 - 11 -7 C- -1 B C- C D- -6 C+ B+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ D C+ C- 30% 28% 54% C C- D C D+ D+ D+ B+ C- D- D- C D D- 39% 15% 46% D D- D+ C- D+ D- B C+ B
1.07 55% 33% 35% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.0 .27 19% .27 77% .21 1.17 65% 38% 37% +5 +1 1.13 32% 1.1 .34 14% .26 71% .19
Nov
7		 Duquesne C+ A+ F F+ D- 28% 14% 58% C+ D B+ F C- B+ A+ D- A+ F+ F+ F A+ A 42% 5% 53% D+ A- F F+ F F F B+ F
1.08 75% 0% 28% -6 0 0.91 35% 0.7 .26 15% .73 67% .49 1.24 70% 67% 17% -7 +2 0.93 38% 1.2 .44 9% .58 67% .39
Nov
11		 Villanova D+ D+ F A C+ 31% 17% 52% B- C+ C- A- B- F F D F F F F F F 20% 6% 74% C- F F C+ D A+ A+ B+ A+
0.91 53% 13% 40% -1 0 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 26% .06 67% .04 1.43 82% 67% 50% +24 +1 1.52 43% 1.0 .43 20% .11 67% .08
Nov
15		 Queens F F C- C- F 33% 15% 53% C F D+ F F D F C F C C A+ F F 30% 8% 62% D+ F D B C A+ A+ F A+
0.92 44% 38% 34% -4 0 0.95 30% 0.3 .09 17% .19 73% .14 1.17 60% 25% 48% +13 +1 1.30 32% 1.0 .32 23% .15 88% .13
Nov
21		 Holy Cross C C- A A B 23% 8% 70% C B C- F F D+ D- C+ D C D F D- F+ 33% 13% 53% F F F+ A C A+ D+ B- C-
1.18 58% 50% 41% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.7 .19 15% .21 75% .16 0.99 60% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .20 24% .29 73% .22
Nov
24		 Central Connecticut St. A C+ A A+ A 39% 16% 44% D+ A- D A C D A+ A+ A+ F F D F F 46% 28% 26% F F C- F F D- F C+ F
1.30 58% 50% 44% +9 +1 1.21 27% 1.2 .33 15% .37 96% .36 1.32 77% 44% 40% +13 0 1.26 28% 1.9 .52 13% .47 76% .35
Nov
29		 Penn St. F F F B- F+ 34% 18% 48% C F+ F F F F C- A+ B- C D- A+ F D- 55% 18% 27% D- D- F F F A+ F A+ F
0.76 47% 22% 38% -4 0 0.94 18% 0.7 .12 31% .21 91% .19 1.16 68% 11% 50% +7 +2 1.20 41% 1.4 .59 22% .48 66% .31
Dec
3		 Mount St. Mary's A+ D B D- D+ 18% 20% 61% D D A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ F F D- C+ F 45% 9% 45% D- F C- F F F B+ B- B+
1.29 50% 44% 30% -4 -1 0.91 44% 1.7 .74 16% .50 86% .42 1.19 68% 40% 32% +3 +2 1.13 30% 1.5 .45 15% .24 64% .16
Dec
7		 Iona F+ C+ F A B 27% 12% 61% C B- C- F D- F C+ C C+ F+ D F B- C- 35% 7% 57% F+ D+ D- D+ D- D- D F F
0.98 62% 17% 40% +4 0 1.10 32% 0.7 .24 28% .28 71% .20 1.15 63% 50% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 14% .30 83% .25
Dec
13		 NJIT D D+ F D F+ 51% 21% 28% C+ D- C C+ C+ D+ F A D- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 18% 55% D+ A D- A+ B+ C B A- B+
1.03 54% 20% 31% -7 +1 0.89 34% 1.1 .38 16% .26 79% .21 0.78 54% 22% 22% -14 -1 0.73 31% 0.5 .17 17% .27 64% .17
Dec
16		 Umass Lowell C C A+ A+ A+ 22% 24% 55% F A- F C F+ F F C F F A- F F F+ 46% 11% 44% F F D A- C+ F A- A A-
1.12 58% 54% 43% +11 -2 1.22 22% 1.1 .25 19% .19 73% .13 1.19 46% 67% 44% +4 +2 1.14 36% 0.9 .31 12% .25 56% .14
Dec
19		 Dartmouth C D A+ F F 40% 10% 50% B- F A+ A+ A+ C F+ C+ D- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 36% 9% 55% F+ A+ F A+ D A+ F A+ D+
1.15 54% 50% 20% -11 +1 0.83 43% 1.3 .55 12% .22 71% .15 0.85 41% 0% 31% -12 +1 0.81 39% 0.8 .32 28% .41 64% .26
Dec
22		 Towson F F A+ F F 35% 10% 55% B+ F C D+ C- F F A+ F D+ F F D+ F 31% 19% 50% D- F D+ A+ A+ C B+ A+ A
0.72 44% 60% 18% -16 +1 0.73 26% 0.9 .24 25% .02 100% .02 1.11 81% 50% 35% +10 0 1.21 37% 0.2 .09 17% .22 58% .13
Dec
29		 Merrimack C C+ A B- A- 30% 21% 49% D+ B+ D+ D D C- D+ D+ D+ F D+ B F F 35% 6% 59% D+ F C+ F+ C- D D- A+ C
1.09 57% 50% 35% +3 -1 1.06 37% 0.9 .34 20% .32 71% .23 1.21 59% 33% 41% +7 +2 1.18 22% 1.1 .25 14% .40 70% .28
Jan
2		 Niagara D C- F F F 44% 14% 42% B+ F A+ F C+ F A+ A- A+ D- D- D+ F F 37% 12% 51% C- F B- A+ B+ F+ C- B+ C
1.05 58% 17% 22% -10 +1 0.84 46% 0.8 .37 24% .41 83% .34 1.10 63% 40% 45% +11 +1 1.26 19% 0.6 .12 15% .24 67% .16
Jan
4		 Canisius C+ A+ C D- C 27% 11% 61% C C F A+ D+ D A+ A+ A+ F F B- A+ F+ 35% 23% 43% C- D- B F F F+ F F F
1.14 83% 40% 30% +3 0 1.09 21% 1.3 .29 18% .50 86% .43 1.20 79% 33% 24% -1 0 1.00 23% 1.8 .42 16% .64 84% .54
Jan
9		 Marist B C F A- B 37% 11% 52% A- B+ B B B+ F+ A A+ A+ F F F B+ F 40% 21% 38% D- F F F F D- C- A C+
1.13 59% 20% 38% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.1 .38 22% .44 86% .38 1.20 74% 50% 28% +5 0 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 14% .26 71% .18
Jan
11		 Quinnipiac F A- F C+ D 26% 20% 54% D D D+ D D F C F D- D F+ B- F F+ 37% 35% 28% A D B A+ A F B B B+
0.93 67% 0% 36% -4 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 23% .28 57% .16 1.08 65% 32% 40% +3 -2 1.04 28% 0.8 .22 11% .24 64% .16
Jan
14		 Siena A F B C F+ 27% 24% 49% D F+ C A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ C+ D- F B- A C+ 33% 22% 45% D+ C C- F D F A+ F A
1.27 31% 43% 34% -6 -1 0.88 32% 1.6 .51 7% .21 100% .21 1.19 70% 38% 26% -1 0 0.98 30% 1.2 .35 4% .16 90% .14
Jan
19		 Rider A+ A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% C- A+ F F F B+ A C A F+ D+ C F F 47% 22% 31% F F A+ C B+ F B- B B-
1.36 78% 29% 58% +24 +1 1.52 14% 0.8 .10 12% .38 69% .26 1.10 57% 36% 40% +2 0 1.06 22% 0.9 .20 10% .25 65% .16
Jan
22		 Canisius F F F A+ C- 39% 6% 56% A- C F F F D F F F C- A+ F F F 45% 9% 45% F F A- A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+
1.00 48% 0% 43% +2 +2 1.09 19% 0.6 .11 17% .21 50% .11 0.96 36% 60% 48% +2 +2 1.09 21% 0.3 .05 16% .12 57% .07
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Niagara D- A- B+ B- B 25% 22% 53% D B- F F F B- D+ F D- D- F B F F 51% 13% 36% D- F C F F B A A+ A+
1.08 69% 45% 37% +7 -1 1.14 13% 0.5 .06 14% .28 69% .19 1.06 71% 33% 41% +10 +2 1.26 21% 2.0 .42 21% .13 14% .02
Jan
30		 Quinnipiac A+ C- A+ A+ A 29% 11% 60% C+ A F B+ F+ A+ A+ A A+ F D F B D 32% 12% 56% D- D- D F F+ F F+ D+ F+
1.30 56% 50% 42% +8 +1 1.20 20% 1.2 .23 9% .45 81% .36 1.20 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .43 12% .36 71% .26
Feb
1		 Merrimack F+ F+ B+ D- C- 33% 33% 35% F+ D+ F A- F F B- A+ A+ D- C A+ A+ A- 46% 12% 42% D+ B+ F F F F B- D- C
0.91 46% 46% 29% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.2 .23 25% .38 89% .33 1.18 57% 17% 24% -10 +2 0.86 36% 1.3 .46 8% .32 84% .27
Feb
5		 Fairfield B- D- C B- C- 30% 15% 56% D D+ C- A+ A+ A- A+ F+ A- F F F F F 43% 11% 45% F F B- F F C C- D- D+
1.22 50% 38% 37% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.6 .49 11% .40 68% .27 1.29 70% 50% 42% +12 +2 1.28 31% 1.4 .45 15% .27 75% .20
Feb
7		 Manhattan F C+ F F F 30% 20% 50% D+ F F A+ F C- C- A+ B- D+ C C- D+ D 39% 21% 40% D+ D A B A F D+ F F+
0.96 63% 27% 26% -7 -1 0.87 21% 1.4 .28 15% .23 86% .20 1.13 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 11% .32 90% .29
Feb
13		 St. Peter's B+ F F+ A+ A 31% 17% 52% D+ A F A+ C- B A+ B+ A+ D- B A+ A- A- 48% 17% 35% F B F+ F F F B A- B+
1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43 1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19
Feb
15		 Rider C+ B D- B- C- 29% 12% 59% D C- C+ B- B- D+ A+ A+ A+ F C- C+ F F 34% 44% 22% A- F D+ C+ C F A D A-
1.25 64% 33% 38% +5 0 1.12 35% 1.1 .38 16% .40 87% .34 1.09 55% 35% 54% +4 -3 1.03 33% 0.8 .28 10% .18 73% .13
Feb
20		 Fairfield F+ B+ F F+ F+ 35% 13% 52% D+ F+ F+ A+ C+ F+ F A+ D D+ C+ F+ F F 31% 28% 41% B+ F A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ A+ B
0.99 67% 0% 30% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.5 .35 19% .21 83% .18 1.13 53% 47% 50% +11 -1 1.20 24% 0.4 .11 12% .28 53% .15
Feb
22		 Marist D F A+ C+ C- 33% 20% 47% C+ C C- F F B D+ F D- B A+ A- D+ B- 23% 21% 56% C C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+
0.93 35% 60% 33% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.5 .15 16% .32 61% .19 0.96 43% 31% 34% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.7 .11 6% .09 67% .06
Feb
27		 Mount St. Mary's B- F F A C+ 26% 9% 65% B B- B- D+ C+ C+ D+ B- D+ D C+ F A+ A- 37% 6% 57% D B+ F A+ D F A A A
1.17 43% 20% 40% 0 +1 1.04 33% 1.0 .33 14% .30 76% .23 1.05 55% 67% 23% -9 +2 0.87 45% 0.8 .36 17% .22 58% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 40.3 40.3 8th
9th 59.7 59.7 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 1.6 98.4
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 16.0 98.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.9%
Lose Out 57.2%