Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#261
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#310
Pace74.4#71
Improvement+1.5#70

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#155
First Shot+1.1#145
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#229
Layup/Dunks-9.3#364
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+12.3#1
Freethrows-0.2#186
Improvement+1.9#35

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#343
First Shot-5.6#336
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#188
Layups/Dunks-1.0#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.4#361
Freethrows+0.8#133
Improvement-0.4#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 8.8% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 39.3% 64.0% 36.3%
.500 or above in Conference 64.4% 77.9% 62.8%
Conference Champion 6.2% 11.1% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.3% 3.6%
First Four2.1% 1.9% 2.1%
First Round4.8% 8.2% 4.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn St. (Away) - 10.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 62 - 9
Quad 413 - 815 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 126 @Duquesne L 80-92 15%     0 - 1 -6.5 +5.4 -11.2
  Tue, Nov 11 41 @Villanova L 60-94 4%     0 - 2 -19.0 -2.6 -18.7
  Sat, Nov 15 210 @Queens L 64-81 30%     0 - 3 -17.0 -12.1 -5.1
  Fri, Nov 21 330 Holy Cross W 79-66 76%     1 - 3 +0.3 +3.0 -2.1
  Mon, Nov 24 244 @Central Connecticut St. L 106-108 OT 36%     1 - 4 -3.7 +19.6 -23.0
  Sat, Nov 29 100 @Penn St. L 73-86 11%    
  Wed, Dec 3 297 @Mount St. Mary's L 77-78 46%    
  Sun, Dec 7 167 Iona L 85-86 45%    
  Sat, Dec 13 349 @NJIT W 80-77 63%    
  Tue, Dec 16 309 @Umass Lowell L 81-82 49%    
  Fri, Dec 19 299 Dartmouth W 84-79 69%    
  Mon, Dec 22 128 @Towson L 68-78 17%    
  Mon, Dec 29 255 Merrimack W 76-73 60%    
  Fri, Jan 2 333 @Niagara W 75-73 57%    
  Sun, Jan 4 348 @Canisius W 76-73 62%    
  Fri, Jan 9 154 Marist L 69-71 42%    
  Sun, Jan 11 193 Quinnipiac L 82-83 48%    
  Wed, Jan 14 177 @Siena L 73-80 27%    
  Mon, Jan 19 343 @Rider W 79-76 61%    
  Thu, Jan 22 348 Canisius W 79-70 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 333 Niagara W 78-70 76%    
  Fri, Jan 30 193 @Quinnipiac L 80-86 28%    
  Sun, Feb 1 255 @Merrimack L 73-76 39%    
  Thu, Feb 5 288 Fairfield W 83-78 66%    
  Sat, Feb 7 318 @Manhattan W 84-83 50%    
  Fri, Feb 13 295 St. Peter's W 77-72 66%    
  Sun, Feb 15 343 Rider W 82-73 78%    
  Fri, Feb 20 288 @Fairfield L 80-81 45%    
  Sun, Feb 22 154 @Marist L 66-74 24%    
  Fri, Feb 27 297 Mount St. Mary's W 80-75 66%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.7 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 4.0 3.2 1.1 0.1 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.8 4.1 1.1 0.1 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.1 4.2 1.1 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.0 1.2 0.1 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.5 1.6 0.1 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.6 4.5 6.4 8.9 10.7 11.1 12.6 11.6 10.2 7.7 5.6 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 97.1% 0.7    0.6 0.0
17-3 81.3% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
16-4 54.7% 1.7    0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
15-5 29.5% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
14-6 8.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.2% 6.2 3.3 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 52.7% 52.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.7% 29.6% 29.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-3 1.5% 25.0% 25.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2
16-4 3.1% 20.7% 20.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.5
15-5 5.6% 16.9% 16.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 4.6
14-6 7.7% 11.6% 11.6% 15.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 6.8
13-7 10.2% 8.1% 8.1% 15.8 0.2 0.7 9.4
12-8 11.6% 6.0% 6.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 10.9
11-9 12.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.1
10-10 11.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.9
9-11 10.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.5
8-12 8.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.8
7-13 6.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.4
6-14 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.4
5-15 2.6% 2.6
4-16 1.6% 1.6
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.5 94.2 0.0%