South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#316
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#292
Pace74.7#64
Improvement-3.0#351

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#301
First Shot-4.3#301
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#200
Layup/Dunks-0.1#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#318
Freethrows-0.6#213
Improvement-1.7#323

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#296
First Shot+0.7#138
After Offensive Rebounds-4.2#350
Layups/Dunks-3.5#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#65
Freethrows+0.2#169
Improvement-1.3#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 2.7% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.7 15.6
.500 or above 7.6% 26.3% 7.3%
.500 or above in Conference 24.8% 40.9% 24.6%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 6.5% 15.7%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.6%
First Round0.7% 2.2% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 52 - 11
Quad 48 - 910 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 136 @California Baptist L 75-87 12%     0 - 1 -7.4 +5.4 -12.7
  Wed, Nov 5 153 @Fresno St. W 67-66 15%     1 - 1 +3.9 -4.3 +8.1
  Sat, Nov 15 113 @UNC Wilmington L 60-73 9%     1 - 2 -6.8 -2.4 -6.2
  Wed, Nov 19 322 Tennessee Tech L 84-88 62%     1 - 3 -15.6 -0.7 -14.5
  Fri, Nov 21 311 @West Georgia L 64-72 37%     1 - 4 -13.0 -11.8 -1.1
  Tue, Nov 25 350 NC Central W 82-67 74%     2 - 4 -0.2 +3.4 -3.3
  Sat, Nov 29 43 @Nebraska L 67-90 1%    
  Wed, Dec 3 253 Coastal Carolina L 76-77 50%    
  Sat, Dec 6 278 Western Carolina W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Dec 13 26 @North Carolina L 67-92 1%    
  Tue, Dec 16 347 @South Carolina St. W 76-75 51%    
  Sat, Dec 20 189 @Youngstown St. L 71-81 19%    
  Wed, Dec 31 273 Radford W 81-80 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 275 @Presbyterian L 67-72 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 105 Winthrop L 75-85 19%    
  Wed, Jan 14 282 @Charleston Southern L 74-79 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 86 @High Point L 71-89 6%    
  Wed, Jan 21 218 UNC Asheville L 76-78 44%    
  Sat, Jan 24 356 @Gardner-Webb W 80-78 56%    
  Thu, Jan 29 260 Longwood L 78-79 50%    
  Wed, Feb 4 218 @UNC Asheville L 73-81 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 282 Charleston Southern W 77-76 54%    
  Thu, Feb 12 86 High Point L 74-86 15%    
  Sat, Feb 14 260 @Longwood L 75-81 30%    
  Thu, Feb 19 105 @Winthrop L 72-88 8%    
  Sat, Feb 21 275 Presbyterian W 70-69 53%    
  Thu, Feb 26 273 @Radford L 78-83 33%    
  Sat, Feb 28 356 Gardner-Webb W 83-75 75%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 3.1 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.7 3rd
4th 0.4 3.2 5.5 3.2 0.7 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.5 4.1 7.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 5.0 8.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 17.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 5.8 7.8 2.9 0.3 18.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.6 6.3 2.2 0.1 16.1 8th
9th 0.4 2.0 3.4 2.5 0.7 0.0 9.0 9th
Total 0.4 2.1 5.2 9.2 13.6 15.5 15.5 13.8 10.6 7.1 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 76.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-3 46.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 21.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 19.0% 19.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.3% 16.3% 16.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.9% 5.5% 5.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-5 2.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
10-6 4.0% 2.6% 2.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.9
9-7 7.1% 2.8% 2.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 6.9
8-8 10.6% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.4
7-9 13.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.6
6-10 15.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 15.4
5-11 15.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.4
4-12 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.6
3-13 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
2-14 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
1-15 2.1% 2.1
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 99.0 0.0%