Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#237
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#254
Pace66.2#271
Improvement+1.0#93

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#169
First Shot-1.3#204
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#116
Layup/Dunks+2.1#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#312
Freethrows-0.6#212
Improvement+1.0#83

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#319
First Shot-6.9#354
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#34
Layups/Dunks-0.2#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.1#362
Freethrows+1.0#122
Improvement+0.0#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.7% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 14.9
.500 or above 31.1% 43.7% 21.2%
.500 or above in Conference 55.2% 61.6% 50.2%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.8% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.2% 4.4%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round4.0% 5.7% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Away) - 44.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 63 - 11
Quad 410 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 228 @Buffalo L 79-85 37%     0 - 1 -7.0 +8.1 -15.5
  Sun, Nov 9 88 @South Carolina L 79-83 OT 10%     0 - 2 +5.4 +4.9 +0.7
  Thu, Nov 13 290 @Grambling St. L 70-75 49%     0 - 3 -9.2 -3.5 -5.7
  Sat, Nov 22 341 North Florida W 92-83 74%     1 - 3 -2.1 +9.3 -11.7
  Sun, Nov 23 263 Tennessee Martin W 70-60 54%     2 - 3 +4.5 +13.4 -6.3
  Wed, Dec 3 273 @Radford L 77-78 44%    
  Sat, Dec 6 44 @Miami (FL) L 66-85 4%    
  Mon, Dec 8 290 Grambling St. W 74-68 71%    
  Sat, Dec 13 49 Mississippi L 65-80 8%    
  Thu, Dec 18 304 Louisiana W 73-67 72%    
  Sat, Dec 20 172 Arkansas St. L 78-79 50%    
  Mon, Dec 29 40 @LSU L 67-86 4%    
  Thu, Jan 1 361 @Louisiana Monroe W 80-73 72%    
  Sat, Jan 3 304 @Louisiana W 70-69 51%    
  Thu, Jan 8 203 Texas St. W 70-69 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 361 Louisiana Monroe W 83-70 87%    
  Wed, Jan 14 131 @Troy L 69-78 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 203 @Texas St. L 67-72 34%    
  Thu, Jan 22 337 @Georgia St. W 74-71 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 253 @Coastal Carolina L 73-75 42%    
  Thu, Jan 29 279 Appalachian St. W 71-66 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 147 James Madison L 74-75 45%    
  Wed, Feb 4 183 @Marshall L 74-80 31%    
  Thu, Feb 12 180 South Alabama W 69-68 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 131 Troy L 72-75 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 216 Old Dominion W 75-73 58%    
  Tue, Feb 24 172 @Arkansas St. L 76-82 30%    
  Fri, Feb 27 180 @South Alabama L 66-72 30%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 3.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.5 4.2 3.3 0.6 8.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 4.6 1.2 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.2 2.0 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.5 3.5 0.3 9.4 8th
9th 0.5 3.2 4.5 0.9 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.7 1.8 0.1 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.9 2.3 0.2 8.1 11th
12th 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.0 0.2 3.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.7 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.4 5.7 8.8 11.5 12.9 13.1 12.2 10.6 8.4 5.4 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.9% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 82.7% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
14-4 50.8% 1.6    0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 18.3% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 32.6% 32.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.6% 30.7% 30.7% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-4 3.2% 24.0% 24.0% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.5
13-5 5.4% 18.2% 18.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 4.4
12-6 8.4% 8.9% 8.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 7.6
11-7 10.6% 4.4% 4.4% 15.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 10.2
10-8 12.2% 1.9% 1.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.0
9-9 13.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.9
8-10 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.8
7-11 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 8.8% 8.8
5-13 5.7% 5.7
4-14 3.4% 3.4
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.8 0.8 95.9 0.0%