St. John's
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +17.1 21
Results Rating +17.5 22
Consistency 0.15 196
Pace 73.4 52
Improvement -1.6 252

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 50 C A- B+ A B
Defense A 14 A- B A- B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 18 C 58% 184 +4.0 47
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 253 C- 36% 229 -2.1 283
Three Pointers 38% 237 C 34% 183 -1.4 232
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 42 C -0.6 192
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 151
Second Chance A- 37.8% 18 B 1.15 43 A- 0.43 14
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.5% 25
Other Turnovers B 6.1% 49
Turnovers B+ 13.6% 21
Freethrows A 0.39 5 C+ 74% 151 A 0.29 6
Total Offense B+ +7.0 50

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 55% 72 C 11.1% 188
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A+ 52% 4 B+ 2.4% 21
Three Pointers C+ 85% 161 B+ 0.1% 15
Total B+ 63% 40 C 5.5% 180

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 69 A 47% 9 -2.1 106
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 63 B- 36% 99 +0.9 264
Three Pointers 33% 359 B 31% 52 -5.8 4
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 136 A -6.7 11
1st FG Attempt A- 0.88 14
Second Chance B- 27.9% 86 B 0.94 49 B 0.26 55
Turnovers from Steals B 11.5% 49
Other Turnovers A 9.5% 8
Turnovers A- 21.0% 14
Freethrows B- 0.28 97 C+ 72% 142 B- 0.20 98
Total Defense A +10.1 14

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 40% 32 B- 14.1% 67
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 15% 15 B- 7.1% 59
Three Pointers B+ 77% 32 A+ 2.8% 8
Total A- 44% 9 A- 8.7% 20

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.2 19 18.6 339
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.27 10 0.13 60
Consistency 0.15 345 0.12 134
Improvement -4.6 348 +3.0 44

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 25 21 16
Results Rating Rank 28 22 9
Conference Record 16 - 4 17 - 3 18 - 2
Conference Finish 2 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 8 6 4
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Elite 8

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 1% 1% 0%
Top 4 Seed 15% 19% 4%
Top 6 Seed 75% 82% 59%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 99%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99% 100% 99%
Average Seed 5.7 5.4 6.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 52% 68% 13%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 99%
Second Round77% 80% 71%
Sweet Sixteen32% 35% 26%
Elite Eight12% 13% 9%
Final Four4% 5% 3%
Championship Game1% 1% 1%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Villanova (Home) - 70.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 6
Quad 29 - 114 - 7
Quad 38 - 123 - 7
Quad 43 - 026 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 211 Quinnipiac W 108 - 74 97% +22  99% 1 - 0 A+ +28 A +14 A+ B+ C A- +8 B- A- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 17 Alabama L 96 - 103 56% -4  13% 1 - 1 B +9 B+ +8 B+ A C B- +2 B+ C F
 Sat, Nov 15 139 William & Mary W 93 - 60 95% +15  96% 2 - 1 A+ +31 B- +5 C B- A A+ +23 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 334 Bucknell W 97 - 49 99% +17  76% 3 - 1 A+ +33 B+ +9 B+ C+ C A+ +21 A+ A- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 8 Iowa St. L 82 - 83 35% -2  29% 3 - 2 A +20 A+ +20 C A+ A+ C+ +0 A+ F B-
 Tue, Nov 25 46 Baylor W 96 - 81 71% +12  99% 4 - 2 A+ +26 A+ +21 A+ A+ B+ B +5 A+ B- C+
 Wed, Nov 26 38 Auburn L 74 - 85 62% -0  45% 4 - 3 C+ +3 B- +5 D- A+ D C- -3 D F+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 79 Mississippi W 63 - 58 88% +7  89% 5 - 3 B +9 F -12 F A+ F A+ +21 A+ B A+
 Sat, Dec 13 242 Iona W 91 - 64 98% +8  78% 6 - 3 A +19 B- +5 A B+ F A+ +12 A+ C C-
 Tue, Dec 16 89 DePaul W 79 - 66 90% +10  95% 7 - 3 1 - 0 A- +16 B+ +8 B+ C A+ A +9 A+ C- C
 Sat, Dec 20 23 Kentucky L 66 - 78 55% -1  53% 7 - 4 C+ +4 C- -1 F A+ C B +4 A- D A+
 Tue, Dec 23 149 Harvard W 85 - 59 96% +10  65% 8 - 4 A+ +24 A +13 A- A+ C- A+ +12 B- A+ A-
 Wed, Dec 31 82 @Georgetown W 95 - 83 75% +6  67% 9 - 4 2 - 0 A +22 A+ +25 A+ A+ C+ C- -3 D- B- B+
 Sat, Jan 3 60 Providence L 71 - 77 85% +5  90% 9 - 5 2 - 1 C +0 F -11 F A D+ A+ +11 A+ F B-
 Tue, Jan 6 76 @Butler W 84 - 70 73% +4  53% 10 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +25 A- +10 B C+ A+ A+ +14 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 70 @Creighton W 90 - 73 71% +13  83% 11 - 5 4 - 1 A+ +28 A+ +22 A+ C A+ B+ +7 C- A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 13 83 Marquette W 92 - 68 88% +11  99% 12 - 5 5 - 1 A+ +28 A +13 B- A+ A A+ +13 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 32 @Villanova W 86 - 79 49% +5  81% 13 - 5 6 - 1 A+ +24 A+ +17 B+ A- A+ A- +7 C C- A
 Tue, Jan 20 54 Seton Hall W 65 - 60 83% -4  14% 14 - 5 7 - 1 B+ +12 B- +5 F A+ A A- +8 B C+ A
 Sat, Jan 24 86 @Xavier W 88 - 83 76% -3  34% 15 - 5 8 - 1 A- +15 B+ +9 C A+ A- B+ +6 D+ A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 28 76 Butler W 92 - 70 87% +13  97% 16 - 5 9 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +28 A+ A+ A+ C+ +1 A- A F
 Tue, Feb 3 89 @DePaul W 68 - 56 77% +4  66% 17 - 5 10 - 1 A +21 B- +4 F A+ A+ A+ +18 A+ B A+
 Fri, Feb 6 9 Connecticut W 81 - 72 47% +3  72% 18 - 5 11 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +16 A A+ A A +11 D+ A A+
 Mon, Feb 9 86 Xavier W 87 - 82 OT 89% +0  52% 19 - 5 12 - 1 B +9 C- -1 C F+ A A +9 A C- D+
 Sat, Feb 14 60 @Providence W 79 - 69 69% +7  90% 20 - 5 13 - 1 A +22 C- -1 F B+ A+ A+ +23 A+ A+ A-
 Wed, Feb 18 83 @Marquette W 76 - 70 75% +3  75% 21 - 5 14 - 1 A- +16 B+ +8 C A- B+ A +9 A- C C
 Sat, Feb 21 70 Creighton W 81 - 52 86% +16  99% 22 - 5 15 - 1 A+ +34 C +1 C+ C- C+ A+ +31 A+ A+ A+
 Wed, Feb 25 9 @Connecticut L 40 - 72 26% -18  1% 22 - 6 15 - 2 D+ -8 F -15 F D- A+ C+ +1 A C+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 32 Villanova W 76 - 70 70%
 Tue, Mar 3 82 Georgetown W 81 - 68 89%
 Fri, Mar 6 54 @Seton Hall W 69 - 65 65%
Totals 24 - 7 17 - 3 +17 B+ +7 A+ C B A +10 C C+ A



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ C C- C C 46% 31% 38% B C A- B A- B+ A C+ A A A B- B A 43% 24% 33% C+ A- B- B B A- B- C+ B-
1.19 58% 36% 34% -1 +1 1.03 38% 1.1 .43 14% .39 74% .29 0.94 47% 36% 31% -7 0 0.88 28% 0.9 .26 21% .28 72% .28
Nov
3		 Quinnipiac A B+ F A+ A+ 64% 7% 29% A+ A+ A C- B+ C A+ F A+ A- A- D- B B- 42% 30% 28% B- B- C- A+ A- A+ C- C C-
1.29 65% 25% 47% +9 +4 1.28 43% 1.0 .43 17% .49 65% .32 0.89 46% 41% 31% -5 -1 0.89 33% 0.7 .23 26% .31 68% .21
Nov
8		 Alabama B+ B- A F B 48% 26% 26% B B+ C- A+ A C A+ B- A+ B- C- D+ A- B+ 39% 17% 43% B+ B+ B+ F C F B+ A+ A+
1.14 57% 47% 27% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.5 .38 14% .55 70% .39 1.22 63% 50% 30% +1 0 1.06 30% 1.4 .41 8% .28 64% .18
Nov
15		 William & Mary B- C+ A+ F D+ 50% 10% 40% A- C A D B- A B D+ B- A+ A+ A- A A+ 34% 14% 52% B+ A+ D F F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.16 61% 67% 24% -2 +2 1.03 39% 0.9 .37 14% .32 68% .22 0.75 41% 29% 27% -13 +1 0.78 29% 1.5 .42 30% .21 42% .09
Nov
20		 Bucknell B+ A+ B- D+ B 47% 13% 40% A B+ A+ F C+ C A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 17% 41% C- A+ B+ A A- A+ F A F
1.28 76% 43% 33% +9 +2 1.23 49% 0.8 .37 17% .45 75% .33 0.65 32% 25% 21% -21 +1 0.61 21% 0.9 .18 32% .42 68% .29
Nov
24		 Iowa St. A+ D- F B C- 46% 19% 35% A C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ A+ F A+ 43% 24% 33% B A+ F F F B- F F F
1.20 50% 22% 35% -6 +1 0.92 42% 1.2 .50 15% .51 77% .39 1.21 43% 25% 44% -5 0 0.92 45% 1.3 .58 16% .43 80% .35
Nov
25		 Baylor A+ C+ C- A+ A 48% 15% 37% A+ A+ C A+ A+ B+ A+ F+ A- B A+ C B+ A+ 42% 22% 36% F A+ F A+ B- C+ B F C-
1.34 62% 38% 45% +8 +1 1.20 29% 1.9 .55 14% .36 68% .24 1.13 43% 42% 30% -7 0 0.87 51% 0.8 .39 15% .28 88% .25
Nov
26		 Auburn B- D+ F F F 44% 10% 46% A D- A+ A+ A+ D A+ C+ A+ C- F B F F+ 49% 24% 27% B D F C- F+ A- D- F F
1.11 52% 20% 27% -9 +2 0.88 45% 1.3 .57 21% .53 75% .40 1.28 73% 36% 42% +10 0 1.22 48% 1.1 .52 18% .46 84% .38
Dec
6		 Mississippi F F F F F 40% 13% 48% A F A B A+ F A+ C+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 43% 28% 28% F A+ F+ A+ B A+ F D- F
0.88 31% 20% 21% -22 +1 0.60 39% 1.2 .47 28% .68 71% .48 0.81 55% 23% 15% -13 -1 0.74 36% 0.8 .28 28% .39 80% .31
Dec
13		 Iona B- C+ A+ A A- 42% 8% 50% A- A C A B+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A A- A+ A+ 52% 21% 26% D A+ D+ B+ C C- A+ C- A+
1.20 62% 50% 40% +7 +2 1.20 34% 1.2 .41 22% .42 84% .36 0.84 44% 31% 25% -13 +1 0.79 27% 0.9 .25 17% .11 71% .08
Dec
16		 DePaul B+ D+ D A+ B- 47% 12% 41% A+ B+ C+ D+ C A+ B A+ A A A+ D- A+ A+ 36% 22% 41% C+ A+ B F C- C A+ F A+
1.13 50% 33% 43% +1 +2 1.08 29% 0.9 .26 14% .35 81% .28 0.94 38% 46% 25% -11 0 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 17% .09 100% .09
Dec
20		 Kentucky C- F+ F F F 31% 29% 40% C- F B+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ B A+ F C+ A- 45% 30% 26% B+ A- F A- D A+ F+ F F
0.95 46% 17% 24% -16 -2 0.67 32% 1.2 .38 17% .56 84% .47 1.13 43% 57% 33% -1 -1 0.98 48% 1.0 .48 23% .41 82% .34
Dec
23		 Harvard A D+ A+ A+ B 57% 2% 42% A+ A- A+ C A+ C- B+ B A- A+ F A- A+ B- 35% 27% 38% A- B- A A+ A+ A- B C- B
1.25 53% 100% 41% +3 +4 1.15 47% 1.0 .47 18% .32 78% .25 0.87 82% 31% 22% 0 -1 1.00 19% 0.3 .06 22% .21 82% .17
Dec
31		 Georgetown A+ D F+ A+ A+ 29% 21% 50% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ C- B+ F+ F F+ 40% 26% 34% C+ D- D- A+ B- B+ D- D F+
1.36 50% 30% 50% +8 -1 1.17 42% 1.6 .70 16% .44 77% .34 1.19 50% 46% 47% +6 -1 1.12 39% 0.9 .33 17% .40 78% .31
Jan
3		 Providence F F C+ F F 40% 18% 42% B F A+ D A D+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 52% 19% 29% C- A+ C- F F B- F C+ F
0.95 32% 40% 17% -21 0 0.62 46% 0.9 .41 16% .59 65% .38 1.03 48% 10% 27% -14 +1 0.77 37% 1.5 .56 16% .44 75% .33
Jan
6		 Butler A- B B- A- B+ 37% 33% 30% F+ B F+ A+ C+ A+ C B- C+ A+ F B+ F F 38% 27% 36% A+ D- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D
1.18 64% 40% 39% +5 -2 1.08 20% 1.4 .29 7% .23 73% .17 0.98 71% 33% 44% +9 -1 1.18 22% 0.7 .15 29% .36 83% .30
Jan
10		 Creighton A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 28% 33% 39% D- A+ B+ F C A+ A D B+ B+ D C- D- D+ 27% 20% 53% B+ C- A+ A+ A+ C- F F F
1.34 60% 39% 57% +14 -2 1.26 33% 0.8 .28 9% .29 67% .20 1.09 69% 40% 38% +7 -1 1.14 7% 0.0 .00 13% .34 85% .29
Jan
13		 Marquette A B- A+ F C+ 54% 16% 30% A- B- A- A A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D+ C- 64% 5% 32% F D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A- F
1.23 61% 56% 24% 0 +2 1.05 41% 1.2 .47 16% .38 88% .34 0.91 57% 50% 36% +1 +4 1.11 21% 0.4 .09 25% .49 63% .31
Jan
17		 Villanova A+ B+ C B- B+ 45% 27% 29% B- B+ B+ B+ A- A+ A+ D+ A+ A- A- D- F C- 28% 20% 52% B+ C A F C- A F D F
1.21 64% 38% 36% +3 0 1.08 36% 1.1 .39 13% .50 68% .34 1.11 54% 44% 42% +6 -1 1.13 27% 1.4 .38 20% .42 75% .32
Jan
20		 Seton Hall B- D+ F F F 58% 21% 21% B F A+ B- A+ A A+ C- A+ A- A+ D+ F A- 60% 12% 28% F B F A+ C+ A D- A+ B-
1.02 48% 22% 11% -16 +1 0.72 47% 1.0 .44 19% .58 70% .40 0.94 38% 40% 42% -8 +3 0.91 46% 0.7 .33 20% .39 55% .22
Jan
24		 Xavier B+ D B+ B C+ 40% 32% 28% D+ C B+ A+ A+ A- A- D B B+ B+ D F D+ 38% 29% 34% C D+ A+ A A+ A- D F F
1.15 52% 44% 38% +1 -1 1.02 33% 1.2 .40 13% .35 65% .23 1.09 52% 44% 47% +6 -1 1.13 16% 0.8 .13 16% .29 84% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Butler A+ A A- A+ A+ 40% 21% 38% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A B C+ A+ F F+ A 54% 13% 33% D- A- B A A F F A+ C
1.47 71% 45% 45% +13 0 1.29 42% 1.2 .52 8% .24 79% .19 1.12 40% 50% 40% -5 +2 0.96 32% 0.9 .29 10% .53 50% .27
Feb
3		 DePaul B- F F D F 53% 13% 34% A+ F A- A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 35% 26% 40% B A+ D A+ B A+ F+ D- F
1.04 32% 17% 31% -18 +2 0.70 37% 1.3 .46 11% .49 69% .34 0.85 60% 18% 24% -11 -1 0.79 34% 0.9 .31 23% .39 75% .30
Feb
6		 Connecticut A+ B- A+ D- A 48% 13% 39% A A B+ A+ A+ A A+ C A+ A A F F C- 53% 11% 36% F+ D+ A+ F A A+ A A+ A+
1.18 55% 67% 28% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.8 .55 15% .53 71% .37 1.05 52% 80% 47% +8 +2 1.23 21% 1.5 .31 22% .22 42% .09
Feb
9		 Xavier C- B F F C- 57% 22% 20% B+ C B F F+ A A+ C- A+ A A+ F B+ A+ 45% 35% 20% C+ A B+ F C- D+ B- A+ A
1.05 65% 25% 27% -1 +1 1.02 30% 0.4 .12 12% .56 68% .38 0.99 40% 52% 31% -4 -1 0.91 22% 1.3 .29 11% .23 53% .12
Feb
14		 Providence C- D- F F F 42% 28% 30% C- F D+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 33% 33% 35% A+ A+ C A+ A+ A- D F+ F+
1.04 48% 24% 22% -14 -1 0.73 25% 1.5 .36 7% .42 70% .30 0.91 50% 22% 26% -12 -2 0.75 35% 0.8 .26 18% .39 83% .32
Feb
18		 Marquette B+ F A+ D+ C 38% 17% 46% C+ C B A A- B+ A+ F A+ A B+ F+ A- B+ 45% 21% 34% A A- B+ F C C B- F+ C
1.11 44% 63% 32% -3 0 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 18% .42 67% .28 1.02 50% 45% 28% -5 0 0.92 26% 1.2 .32 15% .27 75% .21
Feb
21		 Creighton C B A- F B- 44% 33% 24% C- C+ C+ D- C- C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ 42% 16% 42% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A C-
1.08 63% 44% 23% 0 -1 1.00 29% 0.9 .26 15% .36 87% .31 0.70 43% 13% 29% -14 +1 0.76 13% 0.8 .10 24% .32 67% .21
Feb
25		 Connecticut F F F F F 34% 30% 36% D F A- F D- A+ C+ B+ B- C+ D+ F A+ A+ 48% 18% 34% C A A F C+ F A+ F B+
0.69 40% 0% 25% -22 -1 0.55 33% 0.4 .13 14% .34 76% .26 1.24 67% 56% 18% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.3 .40 9% .21 82% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.3 9.7 41.7 51.7 1st
2nd 0.5 13.9 33.0 47.4 2nd
3rd 0.9 0.9 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.4 14.2 42.8 41.7 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 41.7    9.4 32.3
17-3 22.8% 9.7    0.6 9.2
16-4 1.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 51.7% 51.7 10.0 41.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 41.7% 99.9% 31.5% 68.4% 5.1 0.2 0.8 3.4 7.4 14.0 12.3 3.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.9%
17-3 42.8% 99.6% 24.4% 75.2% 5.9 0.0 0.4 2.3 10.8 17.2 10.1 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.2 99.5%
16-4 14.2% 98.9% 19.6% 79.4% 6.7 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.3 4.8 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.2 98.7%
15-5 1.4% 93.2% 17.9% 75.4% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 91.7%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.6% 26.6% 73.0% 5.7 0.4 99.4%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 13.1% 100.0% 4.0 1.1 6.0 22.8 37.1 26.5 6.3 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.3% 100.0% 5.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 11.0 39.4 38.9 8.5 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.6% 99.9% 5.6 0.8 7.3 35.8 41.9 13.5 0.4 0.2
Lose Out 0.3% 78.1% 8.6 1.6 6.3 28.1 29.7 10.9 1.6