Villanova
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#41
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#44
Pace60.1#362
Improvement-2.1#334

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#42
First Shot+2.7#98
After Offensive Rebound+4.6#10
Layup/Dunks+1.8#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#25
Freethrows-3.0#330
Improvement+0.1#173

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#53
First Shot+0.5#147
After Offensive Rebounds+4.2#7
Layups/Dunks-1.7#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#232
Freethrows+2.0#72
Improvement-2.2#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 5.7% 6.1% 1.1%
Top 6 Seed 16.7% 17.6% 6.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 58.4% 60.0% 40.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 55.0% 56.5% 37.9%
Average Seed 7.8 7.8 8.7
.500 or above 86.5% 87.9% 70.2%
.500 or above in Conference 73.3% 74.3% 61.4%
Conference Champion 6.9% 7.2% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 2.4% 4.0%
First Four8.0% 8.0% 8.1%
First Round54.4% 55.9% 36.6%
Second Round31.3% 32.2% 20.0%
Sweet Sixteen9.9% 10.4% 4.2%
Elite Eight3.6% 3.8% 1.3%
Final Four1.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Home) - 92.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 25 - 39 - 11
Quad 36 - 115 - 12
Quad 44 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 7 BYU L 66-71 23%     0 - 1 +14.5 +3.6 +10.8
  Sat, Nov 8 210 Queens W 94-74 94%     1 - 1 +14.0 +16.9 -2.4
  Tue, Nov 11 261 Sacred Heart W 94-60 96%     2 - 1 +25.6 +20.4 +7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 126 Duquesne W 87-77 87%     3 - 1 +9.5 +14.5 -4.9
  Wed, Nov 19 214 @La Salle W 70-55 87%     4 - 1 +14.6 +9.4 +7.9
  Tue, Nov 25 216 Old Dominion W 89-75 95%     5 - 1 +7.5 +16.4 -8.2
  Mon, Dec 1 148 Temple W 80-65 92%    
  Tue, Dec 9 1 @Michigan L 63-80 6%    
  Sat, Dec 13 99 Pittsburgh W 72-62 82%    
  Fri, Dec 19 27 Wisconsin L 71-73 43%    
  Tue, Dec 23 76 @Seton Hall W 65-64 55%    
  Wed, Dec 31 109 DePaul W 74-63 85%    
  Sat, Jan 3 47 @Butler L 71-73 44%    
  Wed, Jan 7 45 Creighton W 71-67 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 73 @Marquette W 72-71 54%    
  Tue, Jan 13 75 @Providence W 78-77 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 15 St. John's L 73-76 40%    
  Wed, Jan 21 79 Georgetown W 74-66 75%    
  Sat, Jan 24 8 @Connecticut L 63-73 18%    
  Fri, Jan 30 75 Providence W 81-74 74%    
  Wed, Feb 4 76 Seton Hall W 68-61 74%    
  Sat, Feb 7 79 @Georgetown W 71-69 56%    
  Tue, Feb 10 73 Marquette W 75-68 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 45 @Creighton L 68-70 43%    
  Tue, Feb 17 85 @Xavier W 71-69 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 8 Connecticut L 66-70 35%    
  Wed, Feb 25 47 Butler W 74-70 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 15 @St. John's L 70-79 22%    
  Wed, Mar 4 109 @DePaul W 71-66 68%    
  Sat, Mar 7 85 Xavier W 74-66 77%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.0 4.0 2.2 0.6 0.1 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.9 6.7 4.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 20.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 5.4 5.7 2.6 0.6 0.0 16.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.1 4.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.1 3.6 0.9 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.7 0.6 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.9 4.6 7.1 9.2 11.5 12.2 12.8 11.5 10.0 7.2 4.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 89.2% 0.8    0.7 0.1
17-3 70.4% 1.6    1.1 0.5 0.0
16-4 43.8% 2.0    1.0 0.8 0.2
15-5 20.8% 1.5    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0
14-6 5.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.7 2.4 0.7 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 40.8% 59.2% 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
18-2 0.9% 100.0% 37.7% 62.3% 3.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.2% 100.0% 25.3% 74.7% 3.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.5% 99.9% 20.7% 79.3% 5.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
15-5 7.2% 99.2% 16.3% 82.8% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.0%
14-6 10.0% 96.6% 13.2% 83.3% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.3 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.3 96.0%
13-7 11.5% 91.4% 8.6% 82.7% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 2.5 2.4 1.7 0.5 1.0 90.5%
12-8 12.8% 79.2% 6.9% 72.3% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.8 2.9 1.2 0.0 2.7 77.6%
11-9 12.2% 59.7% 5.0% 54.7% 9.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.4 2.2 0.1 4.9 57.6%
10-10 11.5% 35.8% 3.9% 31.9% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.9 0.1 7.4 33.2%
9-11 9.2% 13.8% 2.0% 11.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 7.9 12.1%
8-12 7.1% 2.9% 1.4% 1.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.9 1.5%
7-13 4.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.4%
6-14 2.9% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 2.9
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 58.4% 7.8% 50.7% 7.8 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.1 4.8 6.2 7.7 8.3 9.2 9.2 6.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.6 55.0%