Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#63
Expected Predictive Rating+13.6#38
Pace70.8#154
Improvement-2.4#341

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#68
First Shot+2.4#108
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#51
Layup/Dunks+3.1#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#184
Freethrows+0.0#172
Improvement-3.1#358

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#80
First Shot+3.4#75
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#177
Layups/Dunks-3.3#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#25
Freethrows+3.1#26
Improvement+0.7#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 2.9% 4.8% 1.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.0% 34.6% 19.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 25.5% 34.1% 19.0%
Average Seed 9.0 8.8 9.2
.500 or above 78.4% 88.6% 70.6%
.500 or above in Conference 34.6% 41.4% 29.4%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 4.5% 6.7%
First Four6.4% 7.5% 5.5%
First Round22.5% 30.8% 16.2%
Second Round9.8% 13.9% 6.6%
Sweet Sixteen2.3% 3.4% 1.4%
Elite Eight0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Neutral) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 25 - 38 - 13
Quad 34 - 112 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 282 Charleston Southern W 98-67 94%     1 - 0 +21.5 +10.6 +7.7
  Sat, Nov 8 75 Providence W 107-101 OT 54%     2 - 0 +13.6 +13.2 -0.9
  Wed, Nov 12 175 Saint Joseph's W 94-59 88%     3 - 0 +30.7 +14.9 +13.9
  Sun, Nov 16 196 Charlotte W 84-76 90%     4 - 0 +2.7 +10.9 -7.8
  Wed, Nov 19 302 Bryant W 78-61 95%     5 - 0 +6.2 +3.2 +3.3
  Wed, Nov 26 87 Colorado St. W 66-64 58%     6 - 0 +8.4 +0.0 +8.7
  Thu, Nov 27 30 St. Mary's L 66-77 32%     6 - 1 +2.4 +3.2 -1.1
  Fri, Nov 28 53 Virginia Commonwealth L 75-77 43%    
  Tue, Dec 2 88 @South Carolina L 73-74 46%    
  Sat, Dec 6 74 George Mason W 73-69 64%    
  Thu, Dec 11 278 Western Carolina W 85-67 95%    
  Sun, Dec 14 339 Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-55 98%    
  Sat, Dec 20 190 Elon W 84-71 89%    
  Wed, Dec 31 39 Virginia L 74-75 48%    
  Sat, Jan 3 37 @Wake Forest L 73-80 27%    
  Wed, Jan 7 95 Stanford W 81-75 71%    
  Sat, Jan 10 67 California W 78-75 61%    
  Wed, Jan 14 42 @SMU L 77-83 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 66 Notre Dame W 73-70 61%    
  Wed, Jan 21 64 @Syracuse L 74-77 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 9 @Louisville L 72-86 12%    
  Tue, Jan 27 104 Georgia Tech W 76-69 73%    
  Sat, Jan 31 2 Duke L 70-81 16%    
  Sat, Feb 7 29 @North Carolina St. L 78-86 23%    
  Wed, Feb 11 38 @Clemson L 68-75 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 55 Florida St. W 82-80 56%    
  Tue, Feb 17 44 @Miami (FL) L 74-80 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 37 Wake Forest L 76-77 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 26 @North Carolina L 74-83 23%    
  Tue, Mar 3 127 Boston College W 75-66 80%    
  Sat, Mar 7 39 @Virginia L 71-77 29%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.2 0.9 0.1 3.9 5th
6th 0.4 2.4 1.7 0.2 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 3.6 0.7 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.0 1.9 0.1 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.6 4.0 0.5 7.2 9th
10th 0.9 4.7 1.9 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.2 3.3 4.5 0.4 8.5 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 5.2 1.9 0.0 8.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 4.1 3.8 0.3 8.9 13th
14th 0.2 2.3 4.7 1.3 0.0 8.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.0 2.6 0.2 8.2 15th
16th 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.6 0.5 0.0 6.7 16th
17th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.9 17th
18th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.6 18th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.6 6.4 10.3 13.7 14.8 14.6 12.4 9.3 6.1 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 41.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 19.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 19.6% 80.4% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.7% 99.1% 4.3% 94.8% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
13-5 2.0% 98.0% 6.6% 91.5% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.9%
12-6 3.7% 94.8% 3.8% 91.0% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.2 94.6%
11-7 6.1% 82.3% 1.8% 80.5% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.4 1.1 81.9%
10-8 9.3% 66.6% 0.9% 65.8% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 2.3 1.0 0.0 3.1 66.3%
9-9 12.4% 41.2% 0.5% 40.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 1.9 0.1 7.3 40.9%
8-10 14.6% 16.1% 0.1% 16.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.2 12.2 16.1%
7-11 14.8% 3.9% 3.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 14.2 3.9%
6-12 13.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 11.2 0.1 0.0 13.6 0.7%
5-13 10.3% 10.3
4-14 6.4% 6.4
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 26.0% 0.6% 25.3% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.7 2.4 3.6 5.0 6.4 5.3 0.4 74.0 25.5%