Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.7 #64
Expected Predictive Rating +11.5 #48
Pace 69.5 #175
Improvement -0.6 #227

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #74 B- B- B B- D+
Defense #69 B C B A+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #269 1.37 #13 +1.8 #115
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #127 0.68 #275 +0.1 #172
Three Pointers 42% #165 1.04 #148 +1.0 #137
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #101 +2.9 #100
Freethrows 19.5 #82 73% #184 14.1 #90
Second Chance 32.6% #126 1.13 #88 0.37 #82
Turnovers 14.5% #63
Total Offense +4.7 #74

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #218 1.12 #133 +1.3 #128
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #61 0.82 #285 -2.5 #340
Three Pointers 38% #268 0.85 #23 +4.7 #27
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #71 +3.5 #71
Freethrows 12.2 #11 72% #137 8.8 #355
Second Chance 31.2% #203 0.99 #116 0.31 #158
Turnovers 18.4% #77
Total Defense +4.1 #69

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #263 -1.2% #81
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 6.8% #73 -5.6% #79
Possession Length 16.7 #124 18.0 #291
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #236 0.08 #5
Improvement -0.5 #220 -0.1 #190

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 1.2% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.2% 39.4% 17.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 21.9% 39.0% 17.7%
Average Seed 9.8 9.5 9.9
.500 or above 96.2% 99.6% 95.4%
.500 or above in Conference 28.8% 51.7% 23.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.1% 1.2%
First Four8.1% 10.6% 7.4%
First Round17.5% 33.5% 13.5%
Second Round6.4% 12.9% 4.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Away) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 12
Quad 35 - 113 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 217 Charleston Southern W 98 - 67 91% +13  1 - 0 +25 +13 B A+ B+ +9 A A- B+
 Sat, Nov 8 68 Providence W 107 - 101 OT 52% +0  2 - 0 +14 +12 A A A +1 A C B
 Wed, Nov 12 175 Saint Joseph's W 94 - 59 88% +20  3 - 0 +31 +16 A+ B+ A+ +13 A+ C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 170 Charlotte W 84 - 76 88% +8  4 - 0 +4 +12 F B+ A+ -7 B D- F
 Wed, Nov 19 329 Bryant W 78 - 61 97% +5  5 - 0 +4 +2 C A+ C- +1 D+ B C+
 Wed, Nov 26 97 Colorado St. W 66 - 64 63% +3  6 - 0 +7 +0 B+ F B +7 A+ D+ C
 Thu, Nov 27 42 St. Mary's L 66 - 77 37% -8  6 - 1 +1 +0 D D B- +0 C- C A+
 Fri, Nov 28 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 68 - 86 43% -10  6 - 2 -7 -1 C C+ C- -6 F A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 69 @South Carolina W 86 - 83 OT 41% +4  7 - 2 +14 +10 A- A+ A- +4 C+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 86 George Mason W 73 - 62 69% +10  8 - 2 +15 +7 A D- B- +9 A+ D A+
 Thu, Dec 11 291 Western Carolina W 96 - 74 95% +15  9 - 2 +12 +15 A+ A+ C -4 D+ C- C+
 Sun, Dec 14 324 Maryland Eastern Shore W 82 - 53 97% +10  10 - 2 +16 +12 A+ F A +7 A B- C-
 Sat, Dec 20 169 Elon W 82 - 81 OT 88% -6  11 - 2 -3 +4 D- A+ F -7 C F A+
 Wed, Dec 31 17 Virginia W 95 - 85 3OT 30% +8  12 - 2 1 - 0 +24 +3 F A+ B- +19 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 57 @Wake Forest L 78 - 81 36% -4  12 - 3 1 - 1 +9 +7 A C F +2 A+ F D+
 Wed, Jan 7 77 Stanford L 68 - 69 66% +5  12 - 4 1 - 2 +3 +9 B- C- A+ -6 C- C- D
 Sat, Jan 10 81 California W 78 - 75 68% -2  13 - 4 2 - 2 +7 +10 B B B -3 B- F A+
 Wed, Jan 14 30 @SMU L 74 - 83 20%
 Sat, Jan 17 71 Notre Dame W 72 - 68 64%
 Wed, Jan 21 61 @Syracuse L 74 - 77 38%
 Sat, Jan 24 19 @Louisville L 74 - 85 16%
 Tue, Jan 27 111 Georgia Tech W 80 - 72 76%
 Sat, Jan 31 7 Duke L 71 - 80 20%
 Sat, Feb 7 24 @North Carolina St. L 72 - 82 17%
 Wed, Feb 11 33 @Clemson L 66 - 74 22%
 Sat, Feb 14 117 Florida St. W 86 - 77 80%
 Tue, Feb 17 35 @Miami (FL) L 73 - 81 22%
 Sat, Feb 21 57 Wake Forest W 77 - 75 58%
 Sat, Feb 28 29 @North Carolina L 71 - 80 20%
 Tue, Mar 3 151 Boston College W 75 - 64 85%
 Sat, Mar 7 17 @Virginia L 68 - 79 15%
Totals 19 - 12 8 - 10 +9 +5 B- B- B +4 B C B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 1.6 0.1 3.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.1 0.9 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.3 2.9 0.2 7.9 8th
9th 0.3 3.6 5.8 1.0 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 7.5 3.0 0.1 12.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 6.2 6.3 0.6 13.8 11th
12th 0.1 3.3 7.9 2.0 0.0 13.2 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 6.3 4.0 0.3 11.6 13th
14th 0.2 3.5 5.1 0.8 9.5 14th
15th 0.0 1.0 3.4 1.2 0.1 5.7 15th
16th 0.2 1.4 1.1 0.1 2.7 16th
17th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 17th
18th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 18th
Total 0.1 0.6 3.1 9.3 16.6 21.2 20.3 15.0 8.5 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 18.2% 0.0    0.0
13-5 4.4% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.3% 100.0% 4.4% 95.6% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 1.2% 96.2% 2.5% 93.7% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.1%
11-7 3.8% 87.0% 2.3% 84.7% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.5 86.6%
10-8 8.5% 69.8% 0.9% 68.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.4 1.1 2.6 69.5%
9-9 15.0% 45.6% 0.4% 45.3% 10.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 2.9 0.0 8.1 45.4%
8-10 20.3% 18.3% 0.3% 18.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 0.1 16.6 18.1%
7-11 21.2% 3.9% 0.2% 3.6% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 20.4 3.6%
6-12 16.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 16.5 0.5%
5-13 9.3% 9.3
4-14 3.1% 3.1
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 22.2% 0.4% 21.8% 9.8 77.8 21.9%