Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +9.9 56
Results Rating +11.5 51
Consistency 0.15 203
Pace 67.6 209
Improvement -0.9 228

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 66 B B B C+ C
Defense B 55 B C+ B- A- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 181 B+ 65% 45 +2.7 87
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 238 D+ 35% 269 -0.5 207
Three Pointers 41% 186 B 37% 50 +1.8 121
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 192 B +3.9 64
1st FG Attempt B 1.10 72
Second Chance B- 33.1% 96 B- 1.12 65 B 0.37 67
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.5% 24
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 165
Turnovers B 14.6% 57
Freethrows C+ 0.31 160 C+ 74% 152 C+ 0.23 134
Total Offense B +5.2 66

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 55% 80 C+ 9.9% 116
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 315 B 3.2% 55
Three Pointers C 85% 182 B- 0.6% 108
Total C+ 58% 123 B- 4.7% 78

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 187 C+ 57% 141 -0.6 153
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 67 C- 39% 217 +1.6 307
Three Pointers 37% 282 A 28% 7 -4.9 16
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.4 95 B -3.4 54
1st FG Attempt B 0.94 54
Second Chance C 29.7% 158 C+ 0.99 127 C+ 0.30 132
Turnovers from Steals C 9.5% 184
Other Turnovers B 8.6% 47
Turnovers B- 18.0% 97
Freethrows A- 0.23 14 C+ 71% 124 A- 0.17 14
Total Defense B +4.8 55

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 48 C 10.8% 180
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 32 C- 4.2% 210
Three Pointers B- 80% 70 D+ 0.5% 243
Total A- 46% 20 C 5.4% 188

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 139 18.2 308
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 201 0.08 5
Consistency 0.09 6 0.11 79
Improvement -0.3 202 -0.6 220

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Longshot
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 68 57 48
Results Rating Rank 60 52 44
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 12 10 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 10
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25% 46% 19%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24% 46% 19%
Average Seed 10.7 10.4 10.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 29% 89% 12%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four17% 23% 15%
First Round15% 34% 10%
Second Round4% 10% 3%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 21.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 23 - 10
Quad 26 - 29 - 11
Quad 34 - 113 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 264 Charleston Southern W 98 - 67 95% +13  80% 1 - 0 A +22 B+ +9 C+ A+ B+ A +10 A- A C+
 Sat, Nov 8 60 Providence W 107 - 101 OT 53% +0  37% 2 - 0 A- +15 B+ +8 A- A- B B+ +5 A B- C+
 Wed, Nov 12 126 Saint Joseph's W 94 - 59 83% +20  97% 3 - 0 A+ +35 A+ +17 A+ A- A+ A+ +16 A+ C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 169 Charlotte W 84 - 76 90% +8  98% 4 - 0 C+ +4 B+ +8 F+ B A+ D+ -4 B+ F+ F
 Wed, Nov 19 354 Bryant W 78 - 61 99% +5  62% 5 - 0 C -1 D -5 D+ A+ C- B +4 D+ B+ D+
 Wed, Nov 26 92 Colorado St. W 66 - 64 65% +3  67% 6 - 0 B- +8 C- -1 B F B+ A +10 A+ D C
 Thu, Nov 27 37 St. Mary's L 66 - 77 35% -8  0% 6 - 1 C+ +3 C +0 C- C- B B- +2 D+ C- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 49 Virginia Commonwealth L 68 - 86 45% -10  1% 6 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -4 C C D+ C- -3 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 2 91 @South Carolina W 86 - 83 OT 54% +4  78% 7 - 2 B+ +12 B +7 B+ A A B +5 C- A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 6 109 George Mason W 73 - 62 81% +10  91% 8 - 2 B+ +12 B- +4 A- D- B- A +9 A D- A+
 Thu, Dec 11 244 Western Carolina W 96 - 74 94% +15  98% 9 - 2 B+ +14 A- +11 A A C B- +2 C- B- B
 Sun, Dec 14 351 Maryland Eastern Shore W 82 - 53 98% +10  84% 10 - 2 B+ +12 B+ +8 A+ D- A- A- +7 B B- D+
 Sat, Dec 20 225 Elon W 82 - 81 OT 93% -6  10% 11 - 2 D+ -6 C +1 D A+ D- D -6 D F A
 Wed, Dec 31 20 Virginia W 95 - 85 3OT 30% +2  58% 12 - 2 1 - 0 A+ +25 C+ +2 D- A B A+ +21 A+ A+ B
 Sat, Jan 3 71 @Wake Forest L 78 - 81 45% -4  8% 12 - 3 1 - 1 B +8 C+ +3 B+ C F B+ +6 A+ F C+
 Wed, Jan 7 75 Stanford L 68 - 69 69% +5  90% 12 - 4 1 - 2 C+ +4 B +7 B- C- A C- -3 C C- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 67 California W 78 - 75 66% -2  25% 13 - 4 2 - 2 B +9 B+ +9 B B- B- C -0 B- F A
 Wed, Jan 14 31 @SMU L 76 - 77 23% +0  51% 13 - 5 2 - 3 A- +17 B +7 B+ C+ A- A +10 A A B-
 Sat, Jan 17 90 Notre Dame W 89 - 76 75% +11  95% 14 - 5 3 - 3 A- +16 A +13 B+ A+ D+ B- +3 A- F+ B
 Wed, Jan 21 74 @Syracuse W 76 - 74 46% -2  25% 15 - 5 4 - 3 B+ +13 B- +5 B- D A A- +8 A B- A
 Sat, Jan 24 14 @Louisville L 71 - 85 13% -9  3% 15 - 6 4 - 4 B- +8 B- +4 A D+ C- B +4 A- F A
 Tue, Jan 27 143 Georgia Tech W 71 - 65 86% +5  74% 16 - 6 5 - 4 C+ +4 D+ -4 F B A A- +8 B- A B
 Sat, Jan 31 2 Duke L 58 - 72 12% -9  0% 16 - 7 5 - 5 B +9 B +7 A+ C+ B C -1 C+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 7 27 @North Carolina St. L 73 - 82 22% -8  4% 16 - 8 5 - 6 B +9 C+ +3 D+ A+ C B+ +7 C A+ B
 Wed, Feb 11 41 @Clemson W 76 - 66 28% +4  71% 17 - 8 6 - 6 A+ +26 A+ +17 A+ A D+ A +10 A D+ C-
 Sat, Feb 14 80 Florida St. L 69 - 92 71% -3  53% 17 - 9 6 - 7 F -19 C +1 B F A F -22 F A+ F
 Tue, Feb 17 39 @Miami (FL) L 66 - 67 26% +1  57% 17 - 10 6 - 8 A- +16 B +6 A C+ B- A +10 A+ F+ C
 Sat, Feb 21 71 Wake Forest W 82 - 63 67% +9  85% 18 - 10 7 - 8 A+ +24 A+ +21 A+ A+ A+ B+ +6 A A D-
 Sat, Feb 28 26 @North Carolina L 72 - 80 21%
 Tue, Mar 3 136 Boston College W 74 - 63 86%
 Sat, Mar 7 20 @Virginia L 66 - 77 15%
Totals 19 - 12 8 - 10 +10 B +5 D+ B C B +5 B C+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B+ D+ B B 38% 32% 41% C B B- B- B B C+ C+ C+ B C+ C- A B 38% 24% 37% B- B C C+ C+ B- A- C+ A-
1.16 65% 35% 37% +4 0 1.10 33% 1.1 .37 15% .31 74% .23 1.02 57% 39% 28% -3 0 0.94 30% 1.0 .30 18% .23 71% .22
Nov
3		 Charleston Southern B+ A+ F C- B- 32% 29% 39% D C+ A A+ A+ B+ B- C- B- A A+ A+ F+ A 38% 14% 48% C+ A- C- A+ A C+ C+ C- C+
1.26 70% 28% 33% 0 -2 1.00 41% 1.4 .57 9% .38 70% .27 0.86 41% 13% 39% -6 +1 0.91 29% 0.5 .16 19% .24 67% .16
Nov
8		 Providence B+ A- C+ A- A 38% 26% 36% C- A- C A+ A- B C D+ C B+ B+ D B A- 32% 26% 41% A+ A A- F+ B- C+ C+ F D+
1.20 65% 39% 40% +6 -1 1.13 28% 1.4 .40 12% .28 68% .19 1.13 55% 44% 32% -1 -1 0.99 29% 1.3 .38 16% .33 88% .29
Nov
12		 Saint Joseph's A+ A+ F B A+ 44% 20% 36% B+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ D F D- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 20% 46% B+ A+ C- C+ C A+ A+ D- A+
1.27 78% 25% 36% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.3 .41 9% .18 58% .10 0.80 42% 45% 19% -14 0 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 26% .09 80% .07
Nov
16		 Charlotte B+ B F B- F+ 23% 23% 53% D- F+ A D+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B+ F B B 31% 29% 40% A+ B+ F C- F+ F F A+ D+
1.27 64% 0% 36% -6 -1 0.87 39% 1.1 .41 9% .60 83% .50 1.15 53% 50% 32% +1 -2 1.00 43% 0.9 .40 12% .41 63% .26
Nov
19		 Bryant D B A+ F D+ 50% 20% 30% C- D+ C A+ A+ C- A+ F C+ B F F A+ D 30% 21% 49% A D+ A+ F B+ D+ D+ C+ C-
1.13 64% 50% 20% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.5 .55 14% .41 58% .24 0.88 79% 50% 17% -4 -1 0.94 13% 1.5 .19 20% .29 75% .22
Nov
26		 Colorado St. C- B+ B C B 39% 15% 46% B+ B F F F B+ C+ A+ B+ A C- B A+ A+ 49% 24% 27% C+ A+ C F+ D C A+ B- A+
1.06 67% 43% 33% +4 +1 1.11 17% 0.8 .14 13% .30 81% .24 1.03 63% 33% 15% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.3 .41 18% .16 75% .12
Nov
27		 St. Mary's C B+ D F C 25% 31% 44% F+ C- A+ F C- B A+ A+ A+ B- D F B+ C- 49% 16% 36% F+ D+ D+ C+ C- A+ D B- D+
0.97 62% 31% 26% -6 -2 0.85 39% 0.5 .20 13% .34 85% .29 1.14 64% 57% 31% +4 +1 1.13 41% 1.1 .44 22% .36 79% .28
Nov
28		 Virginia Commonwealth D+ C F+ B- C+ 45% 27% 29% C- C D- A+ C D+ A+ F C+ C- D- B F F 41% 22% 37% B+ F C+ A+ A+ A C A- B-
0.96 55% 31% 36% -3 0 0.96 24% 1.3 .29 18% .40 57% .23 1.22 67% 36% 58% +17 0 1.35 33% 0.5 .17 20% .39 68% .26
Dec
2		 South Carolina B A+ A- F A- 37% 32% 32% D B+ F+ A+ A A B D C+ B F F+ B D 23% 29% 48% A+ C- A+ B A+ F+ F+ B+ D
1.11 76% 44% 22% +3 -2 1.05 21% 2.0 .41 12% .31 67% .20 1.07 77% 50% 30% +5 -2 1.07 14% 1.0 .14 10% .40 75% .30
Dec
6		 George Mason B- A C B+ A- 33% 21% 46% C+ A- C F D- B- C- B+ C A A+ C C- A 40% 17% 43% D+ A F B- D- A+ A F+ B+
1.13 71% 36% 38% +6 0 1.13 26% 0.6 .16 14% .23 77% .18 0.96 42% 38% 35% -6 +1 0.91 41% 0.9 .38 25% .29 79% .23
Dec
11		 Western Carolina A- B- C- A+ A 35% 18% 47% C A A- A- A C B+ F C B- A D- F+ C- 41% 22% 37% C C- D A B- B F A+ F
1.32 63% 40% 50% +13 0 1.29 37% 1.2 .43 15% .37 65% .24 1.02 45% 45% 39% -1 0 1.00 38% 0.8 .30 19% .51 60% .31
Dec
14		 Maryland Eastern Shore B+ A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% D+ A+ F A+ D- A- F D F A- A- F A+ B+ 28% 20% 52% C B D A B- D+ C A+ B
1.26 79% 18% 48% +12 0 1.26 18% 1.6 .29 12% .23 69% .16 0.82 46% 78% 17% -9 -1 0.83 33% 0.7 .23 22% .24 58% .14
Dec
20		 Elon C D- A- D+ D 43% 32% 26% D D A+ C+ A+ D- A+ D A+ D F A+ C D+ 49% 8% 43% D D F C F A A+ F A-
1.18 50% 47% 33% -1 -1 0.98 49% 1.2 .57 19% .51 69% .35 1.17 69% 0% 35% +3 +2 1.13 47% 1.0 .47 22% .20 82% .17
Dec
31		 Virginia C+ F+ F D+ D 25% 38% 37% F+ D- A- A A B A+ D- A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 32% 11% 57% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ C- A+
0.99 44% 25% 30% -11 -3 0.75 35% 1.1 .39 15% .50 68% .34 0.89 63% 13% 24% -10 +1 0.84 30% 0.8 .23 18% .19 73% .14
Jan
3		 Wake Forest C+ A- A+ C- A 19% 21% 60% F+ B+ C- B C F A+ C- A+ B+ F B+ A+ A 35% 33% 32% A+ A+ D+ F F C+ A- F B-
1.05 67% 60% 32% +5 -1 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 26% .45 72% .33 1.09 70% 37% 17% -4 -2 0.89 34% 1.5 .50 15% .25 88% .22
Jan
7		 Stanford B B+ D B- B 28% 30% 43% D- B- A+ F C- A A+ C A+ C- C F C C- 41% 9% 50% C C B F C- D+ A+ D- A+
1.13 64% 33% 35% +1 -2 1.00 40% 0.6 .26 15% .49 76% .37 1.15 58% 50% 35% +2 +2 1.09 31% 1.2 .38 13% .17 78% .13
Jan
10		 California B+ A+ F F B- 44% 11% 44% B+ B A- D+ B- B- A+ A+ A+ C D+ C- B+ B 40% 21% 40% D B- F C- F A D- F F
1.17 70% 20% 25% -3 +2 1.00 37% 0.9 .33 15% .55 87% .47 1.12 63% 40% 32% +1 0 1.04 41% 1.1 .45 19% .39 90% .35
Jan
14		 SMU B A- B- C- B+ 36% 20% 44% B- B+ C+ B- C+ A- B F C A C+ F A+ A 41% 35% 24% B+ A A- A- A B- F B+ F+
1.10 67% 40% 32% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 14% .30 61% .19 1.11 60% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 31% 0.9 .29 16% .39 70% .27
Jan
17		 Notre Dame A D- A+ B- B 36% 18% 45% B- B+ A A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ B- D- A- A A- 33% 25% 41% B- A- D+ F F+ B D F F+
1.25 50% 63% 35% +2 0 1.07 35% 1.9 .65 17% .54 88% .47 1.07 71% 31% 29% -1 -1 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 18% .36 76% .28
Jan
21		 Syracuse B- B- B F B- 48% 17% 35% B B- D- C D A A+ C A+ A- A A+ F A+ 43% 17% 40% C- A B- C+ B- A A F C+
1.08 59% 38% 25% -4 +1 0.96 24% 1.1 .27 14% .60 72% .43 1.05 48% 11% 43% -4 +1 0.96 30% 1.0 .30 20% .25 86% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Louisville B- F F A+ A+ 20% 29% 51% D A C F D+ C- F F F B C+ D- B A 48% 4% 48% D- A- F+ F F A A C+ A
1.00 27% 25% 54% +5 -2 1.07 24% 0.8 .18 18% .14 63% .09 1.20 60% 50% 32% 0 +3 1.08 41% 1.3 .54 21% .23 77% .18
Jan
27		 Georgia Tech D+ D F F F 31% 25% 44% C- F B B- B A A+ C+ A+ A- D C- A+ B 43% 28% 28% C+ B- C+ A+ A B C C C
1.01 50% 15% 26% -13 -1 0.73 33% 1.1 .38 11% .42 73% .31 0.93 65% 38% 23% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.8 .25 20% .30 71% .21
Jan
31		 Duke B A+ F C+ A+ 25% 27% 48% D+ A+ A+ F C+ B F A+ D C F F A+ C 46% 17% 37% B+ C+ D- D F D+ A+ C+ A+
1.01 91% 25% 33% +4 -2 1.07 34% 0.5 .19 17% .13 83% .11 1.25 76% 63% 24% +7 +1 1.17 44% 1.3 .59 14% .14 71% .10
Feb
7		 North Carolina St. C+ D+ B- F D- 50% 10% 40% A- D+ B+ A+ A+ C D A+ C B+ D A+ F C- 41% 18% 41% C+ C A+ C+ A+ B F+ B+ D
1.01 52% 40% 25% -8 +2 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 21% .26 80% .21 1.13 67% 22% 43% +6 +1 1.16 18% 1.2 .21 15% .39 71% .28
Feb
11		 Clemson A+ C+ F A+ A+ 50% 11% 39% A+ A+ D A+ A D+ D+ A+ B A A B C+ A+ 51% 17% 32% C- A B+ F D+ C- B- A+ A-
1.17 57% 20% 50% +7 +2 1.20 17% 2.0 .35 20% .25 100% .25 1.02 50% 38% 33% -5 +1 0.96 24% 1.4 .33 14% .32 61% .20
Feb
14		 Florida St. C F D A+ B 43% 24% 33% C+ B D- F F A C A B- F C- F F F 46% 12% 42% D+ F A+ D A+ F C+ B- B-
1.07 43% 33% 56% +3 0 1.08 23% 0.6 .13 15% .27 80% .22 1.42 63% 83% 55% +20 +2 1.46 17% 1.3 .22 8% .29 71% .20
Feb
17		 Miami (FL) B A- C A+ A 40% 22% 38% B- A B- C- C+ B- F D+ F A D+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% A+ A+ B F F+ C A C A
1.05 65% 36% 42% +7 0 1.16 26% 1.0 .26 18% .06 67% .04 1.07 65% 27% 20% -7 -1 0.86 35% 1.5 .51 16% .25 69% .17
Feb
21		 Wake Forest A+ B A+ A+ A+ 39% 12% 49% B- A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C- F F+ B+ D- A+ A+ A+ 38% 13% 50% D A F+ A+ A D- C+ A B
1.35 63% 50% 42% +9 +1 1.22 43% 1.2 .50 8% .29 56% .16 1.04 67% 17% 25% -6 +1 0.92 38% 0.7 .26 12% .30 69% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 0.8 7th
8th 0.0 2.2 1.3 3.6 8th
9th 2.6 10.6 0.6 13.7 9th
10th 0.8 32.4 12.3 0.1 45.6 10th
11th 4.7 25.1 0.7 30.5 11th
12th 3.5 1.4 4.9 12th
13th 0.8 0.0 0.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 9.8 61.5 25.8 2.9 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 2.9% 68.3% 0.7% 67.6% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.9 68.0%
9-9 25.8% 45.2% 0.3% 44.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.6 6.7 0.2 14.2 45.1%
8-10 61.5% 17.1% 0.2% 16.9% 11.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 8.0 1.3 51.0 17.0%
7-11 9.8% 3.3% 0.1% 3.3% 11.1 0.3 0.0 9.4 3.3%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 24.5% 0.2% 24.3% 10.7 75.5 24.4%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.3% 0.3% 11.0 0.3