Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.6 #229
Expected Predictive Rating -3.6 #225
Pace 69.3 #181
Improvement +1.0 #125

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #152 D+ B- B+ F D-
Defense #294 C- C D C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #321 1.09 #261 -4.3 #319
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #78 0.78 #141 +2.3 #70
Three Pointers 41% #175 0.96 #241 -0.8 #218
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #253 -2.8 #252
Freethrows 14.5 #319 65% #347 9.5 #340
Second Chance 34.4% #76 1.06 #164 0.37 #83
Turnovers 14.5% #62
Total Offense +0.3 #152

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #44 1.17 #192 -3.4 #293
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #206 0.83 #296 -0.4 #212
Three Pointers 37% #298 1.03 #214 +1.9 #111
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #242 -1.9 #245
Freethrows 17.6 #197 77% #334 13.5 #124
Second Chance 29.1% #118 1.14 #292 0.33 #210
Turnovers 14.5% #308
Total Defense -3.9 #294

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.1% #309 1.1% #273
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.5% #231 2.5% #231
Possession Length 16.6 #112 18.2 #318
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #66 0.22 #318
Improvement +1.0 #119 +0.0 #181

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 8.5% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 27.5% 40.3% 18.0%
.500 or above in Conference 69.1% 82.9% 58.9%
Conference Champion 2.5% 4.9% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 1.5%
First Round6.0% 7.9% 4.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 42.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 13
Quad 412 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 242 Hampton W 90 - 86 65% +6  1 - 0 -4 +4 D B A+ -8 F C A+
 Sat, Nov 8 228 @Wofford L 76 - 86 38% -12  1 - 1 -11 -5 F F A+ -5 C+ F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 283 Arkansas Little Rock W 92 - 72 73% +7  2 - 1 +10 +15 B- A+ A- -5 D+ F C
 Wed, Nov 12 31 @Indiana L 70 - 101 4% -13  2 - 2 -14 +3 A+ C F -17 F F F
 Fri, Nov 14 21 @Texas Tech L 63 - 80 3% -4  2 - 3 +2 +4 C- A+ F -3 A F C
 Sat, Nov 22 105 @Wichita St. L 58 - 75 14% -1  2 - 4 -9 -9 F C C- -1 C A+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 67 @Akron L 81 - 105 9% -13  2 - 5 -13 +2 F B+ B -12 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 214 Robert Morris W 74 - 72 59% -1  3 - 5 1 - 0 -4 -4 C- F A+ +0 B A+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 207 Indiana St. L 68 - 70 58% -1  3 - 6 -8 -2 F A+ A+ -6 F F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 176 South Dakota St. W 88 - 87 40% +1  4 - 6 -0 +16 A A B- -16 F F F
 Sun, Dec 21 328 @Cleveland St. W 81 - 71 64% -0  5 - 6 2 - 0 +3 +9 D C+ A+ -5 A- D F
 Mon, Dec 29 237 Purdue Fort Wayne W 77 - 55 64% +19  6 - 6 3 - 0 +15 +3 F A+ F +12 A+ A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 39 @Wisconsin L 60 - 80 4% -14  6 - 7 -4 -10 F C- F +7 B+ A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 1 142 @Wright St. L 70 - 76 23% -7  6 - 8 3 - 1 -2 +4 D+ C A+ -7 A+ F F
 Mon, Jan 5 243 @Green Bay L 76 - 79 43% -8  6 - 9 3 - 2 -5 +8 A+ F F -13 F B F
 Fri, Jan 9 179 Northern Kentucky L 67 - 85 53% -13  6 - 10 3 - 3 -22 -2 F C+ A+ -22 C F F
 Sun, Jan 11 353 IU Indianapolis W 95 - 83 88% -0  7 - 10 4 - 3 -4 +13 A A+ B -18 F C F
 Thu, Jan 15 135 Oakland L 84 - 86 42%
 Sun, Jan 18 237 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 76 - 78 40%
 Thu, Jan 22 214 @Robert Morris L 73 - 77 37%
 Sat, Jan 24 209 @Youngstown St. L 73 - 77 36%
 Fri, Jan 30 142 Wright St. L 74 - 76 44%
 Sun, Feb 1 328 Cleveland St. W 85 - 75 82%
 Wed, Feb 4 273 Detroit Mercy W 82 - 76 71%
 Sat, Feb 7 179 @Northern Kentucky L 75 - 80 31%
 Sun, Feb 15 243 Green Bay W 76 - 72 65%
 Fri, Feb 20 273 @Detroit Mercy L 78 - 79 49%
 Sun, Feb 22 135 @Oakland L 81 - 89 23%
 Wed, Feb 25 209 Youngstown St. W 76 - 74 57%
 Sat, Feb 28 353 @IU Indianapolis W 90 - 83 74%
Totals 14 - 16 11 - 9 -4 +0 D+ B- B+ -4 C- C D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.3 0.6 0.1 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.1 1.3 0.1 12.3 3rd
4th 0.7 5.5 7.3 1.5 0.1 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 4.1 8.3 2.5 0.2 0.0 15.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 8.1 3.6 0.3 14.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.5 6.8 4.9 0.5 13.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 5.0 4.6 0.8 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.0 2.7 0.7 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.7 4.5 9.3 15.0 18.6 18.8 15.5 9.4 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-4 80.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 54.8% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 20.7% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.4% 27.5% 27.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-5 1.5% 21.9% 21.9% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.2
14-6 4.8% 15.7% 15.7% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 4.0
13-7 9.4% 12.4% 12.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.1 8.2
12-8 15.5% 9.6% 9.6% 15.3 0.0 0.9 0.5 14.0
11-9 18.8% 7.0% 7.0% 15.7 0.4 0.9 17.5
10-10 18.6% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.0 0.8 17.8
9-11 15.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 14.7
8-12 9.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 9.2
7-13 4.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 4.4
6-14 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 15.3 93.4 0.0%