Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#208
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#210
Pace71.4#135
Improvement+0.3#151

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#178
First Shot-2.0#226
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#97
Layup/Dunks-3.4#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#176
Freethrows-0.4#196
Improvement-0.5#241

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#250
First Shot-2.2#252
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#203
Layups/Dunks-1.3#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement+0.8#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 11.8% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 40.3% 64.7% 38.3%
.500 or above in Conference 66.8% 77.2% 66.0%
Conference Champion 8.9% 14.1% 8.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.5% 2.3%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.1%
First Round8.0% 11.8% 7.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 7.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 33 - 63 - 12
Quad 412 - 515 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 235 Hampton W 90-86 66%     1 - 0 -3.2 +2.7 -6.4
  Sat, Nov 8 225 @Wofford L 76-86 42%     1 - 1 -10.8 -3.9 -6.3
  Mon, Nov 10 248 Arkansas Little Rock W 92-72 68%     2 - 1 +12.1 +16.7 -4.4
  Wed, Nov 12 22 @Indiana L 70-101 4%     2 - 2 -12.9 +5.4 -18.0
  Fri, Nov 14 24 @Texas Tech L 63-80 4%     2 - 3 +0.6 +2.9 -3.6
  Sat, Nov 22 92 @Wichita St. L 58-75 14%     2 - 4 -8.3 -7.7 -1.5
  Sat, Nov 29 58 @Akron L 76-91 7%    
  Sat, Dec 6 185 Robert Morris W 77-75 56%    
  Sun, Dec 14 166 Indiana St. W 79-78 53%    
  Fri, Dec 19 150 South Dakota St. L 73-76 39%    
  Sun, Dec 21 303 @Cleveland St. W 83-81 56%    
  Mon, Dec 29 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-77 65%    
  Tue, Dec 30 27 @Wisconsin L 69-89 3%    
  Thu, Jan 1 146 @Wright St. L 70-76 28%    
  Mon, Jan 5 267 @Green Bay L 72-73 49%    
  Fri, Jan 9 198 Northern Kentucky W 77-75 58%    
  Sun, Jan 11 355 IU Indianapolis W 98-85 88%    
  Thu, Jan 15 138 Oakland L 81-82 45%    
  Sun, Jan 18 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-80 44%    
  Thu, Jan 22 185 @Robert Morris L 74-78 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 189 @Youngstown St. L 74-78 35%    
  Fri, Jan 30 146 Wright St. L 73-74 49%    
  Sun, Feb 1 303 Cleveland St. W 86-78 75%    
  Wed, Feb 4 328 Detroit Mercy W 83-74 80%    
  Sat, Feb 7 198 @Northern Kentucky L 74-78 37%    
  Sun, Feb 15 267 Green Bay W 76-70 69%    
  Fri, Feb 20 328 @Detroit Mercy W 80-77 61%    
  Sun, Feb 22 138 @Oakland L 78-85 25%    
  Wed, Feb 25 189 Youngstown St. W 77-75 56%    
  Sat, Feb 28 355 @IU Indianapolis W 95-88 73%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.3 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.2 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.3 2.5 0.6 0.1 12.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.3 2.3 0.3 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.6 5.8 2.1 0.3 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.3 4.9 2.2 0.2 11.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.1 4.4 1.8 0.2 10.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.6 1.0 0.2 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.2 4.1 6.5 8.5 10.1 11.3 12.8 11.7 10.8 8.4 5.6 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 96.6% 0.8    0.7 0.0
17-3 91.7% 1.6    1.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 70.0% 2.3    1.6 0.6 0.1
15-5 40.2% 2.3    1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
14-6 16.4% 1.4    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.9% 8.9 5.2 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 42.2% 42.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.8% 34.0% 34.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-3 1.8% 32.1% 32.1% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.2
16-4 3.3% 24.8% 24.8% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.5
15-5 5.6% 19.9% 19.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 4.5
14-6 8.4% 16.3% 16.3% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 7.1
13-7 10.8% 13.2% 13.2% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 9.4
12-8 11.7% 9.0% 9.0% 15.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 10.6
11-9 12.8% 6.2% 6.2% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 12.0
10-10 11.3% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 10.9
9-11 10.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.9
8-12 8.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.4
7-13 6.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.4
6-14 4.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.1
5-15 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 3.1 2.2 91.6 0.0%