Wright St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#146
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#235
Pace66.1#273
Improvement+0.9#102

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#174
First Shot-1.5#214
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#114
Layup/Dunks-3.6#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#129
Freethrows-1.1#247
Improvement+0.7#111

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#146
First Shot+0.4#155
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#162
Layups/Dunks-6.1#347
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.0#5
Freethrows-1.5#271
Improvement+0.2#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.6% 28.7% 18.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.5 14.3
.500 or above 79.4% 93.4% 77.8%
.500 or above in Conference 88.1% 94.2% 87.4%
Conference Champion 26.8% 37.8% 25.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 0.6%
First Four1.0% 0.2% 1.1%
First Round19.2% 28.6% 18.1%
Second Round1.2% 2.9% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 10.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 34 - 64 - 9
Quad 414 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 67 @California L 67-77 15%     0 - 1 +1.3 -0.8 +2.0
  Tue, Nov 11 173 Toledo L 71-81 67%     0 - 2 -14.2 -3.6 -11.1
  Sat, Nov 15 273 Radford W 92-59 73%     1 - 2 +26.9 +12.5 +13.4
  Sun, Nov 16 124 Kent St. L 72-76 OT 40%     1 - 3 -1.3 -5.3 +4.3
  Tue, Nov 25 344 @Stetson W 79-62 80%     2 - 3 +8.5 +8.4 +1.6
  Fri, Nov 28 47 @Butler L 67-80 10%    
  Wed, Dec 3 189 @Youngstown St. L 71-72 47%    
  Sun, Dec 7 267 Green Bay W 73-64 80%    
  Sat, Dec 13 183 @Marshall L 74-75 46%    
  Tue, Dec 16 121 Miami (OH) W 75-74 52%    
  Mon, Dec 22 209 Eastern Michigan W 72-66 72%    
  Mon, Dec 29 138 Oakland W 78-76 56%    
  Thu, Jan 1 208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-70 72%    
  Sun, Jan 4 355 @IU Indianapolis W 91-81 82%    
  Fri, Jan 9 328 @Detroit Mercy W 77-70 72%    
  Sun, Jan 11 138 @Oakland L 75-79 36%    
  Thu, Jan 15 189 Youngstown St. W 74-69 67%    
  Wed, Jan 21 303 Cleveland St. W 83-72 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 198 Northern Kentucky W 75-69 69%    
  Fri, Jan 30 208 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-73 51%    
  Sun, Feb 1 267 @Green Bay W 70-67 60%    
  Wed, Feb 4 185 @Robert Morris L 71-72 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 78-70 75%    
  Thu, Feb 12 328 Detroit Mercy W 80-67 86%    
  Sun, Feb 15 303 @Cleveland St. W 80-75 67%    
  Thu, Feb 19 355 IU Indianapolis W 94-78 92%    
  Sun, Feb 22 185 Robert Morris W 74-69 67%    
  Wed, Feb 25 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-73 56%    
  Sat, Feb 28 198 @Northern Kentucky L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.1 5.3 7.2 6.0 3.8 1.7 0.3 26.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.9 5.5 2.6 0.6 0.1 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.2 3.5 0.9 0.1 15.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.0 1.4 0.2 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.2 1.1 0.1 5.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 3.4 5.0 6.9 9.1 12.0 13.2 12.9 11.7 9.8 6.6 3.9 1.7 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.7    1.6 0.0
18-2 97.3% 3.8    3.7 0.1
17-3 91.2% 6.0    5.2 0.9 0.0
16-4 72.9% 7.2    5.0 2.0 0.2
15-5 45.1% 5.3    2.5 2.3 0.5 0.0
14-6 16.1% 2.1    0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.5% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 26.8% 26.8 18.9 6.2 1.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 61.6% 61.6% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
19-1 1.7% 49.9% 49.9% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8
18-2 3.9% 42.8% 42.8% 13.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.2
17-3 6.6% 38.8% 38.8% 13.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.2 4.1
16-4 9.8% 32.5% 32.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.6 0.0 6.6
15-5 11.7% 25.4% 25.4% 14.2 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.0 0.1 8.7
14-6 12.9% 20.8% 20.8% 14.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.0 0.2 10.2
13-7 13.2% 15.9% 15.9% 14.9 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.4 11.1
12-8 12.0% 14.1% 14.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 10.3
11-9 9.1% 9.3% 9.3% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 8.3
10-10 6.9% 6.8% 6.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 6.4
9-11 5.0% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.8
8-12 3.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 3.3
7-13 1.9% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.1 1.8
6-14 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
5-15 0.5% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 19.6% 19.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.1 6.3 5.3 2.5 80.4 0.0%