Yale
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +6.4 88
Results Rating +7.4 81
Consistency 0.18 318
Pace 63.8 309
Improvement -3.9 322

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 48 B B+ B B- C+
Defense C- 197 C- C D B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 83 C 57% 192 +1.7 112
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 178 B+ 44% 34 +1.1 118
Three Pointers 38% 244 A 41% 6 +2.2 103
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 142 B+ +4.6 46
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 52
Second Chance B- 32.7% 104 A- 1.20 20 B+ 0.39 43
Opponents' Steals B 8.2% 63
Other Turnovers C+ 6.7% 108
Turnovers B 14.9% 73
Freethrows C+ 0.32 147 B+ 77% 28 B- 0.25 92
Total Offense B+ +7.3 48

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 51% 131 C+ 10.4% 139
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 176 D+ 6.4% 268
Three Pointers B- 89% 82 B- 0.6% 112
Total C+ 58% 124 C- 5.9% 216

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 263 C- 59% 210 -1.1 132
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 185 C- 40% 263 +0.3 213
Three Pointers 44% 94 C 34% 203 +1.7 266
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 143 C- +1.0 221
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 204
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 117 C- 1.06 224 C 0.31 165
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.6% 347
Other Turnovers B 8.2% 73
Turnovers D 14.8% 296
Freethrows B 0.26 55 C+ 72% 132 B 0.19 54
Total Defense C- -0.9 197

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 40% 31 C- 9.4% 235
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 82 D 2.3% 323
Three Pointers C+ 81% 109 D 0.2% 334
Total B 50% 70 D 3.9% 314

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 253 18.0 283
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 317 0.15 110
Consistency 0.13 206 0.14 305
Improvement -5.3 356 +1.5 110

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 101 89 75
Results Rating Rank 97 83 60
Conference Record 10 - 4 11 - 3 11 - 3
Conference Finish 2 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 13 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 56% 57% 53%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 88% 98% 66%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round56% 57% 53%
Second Round7% 8% 6%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Columbia (Away) - 68.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 02 - 1
Quad 311 - 312 - 4
Quad 49 - 122 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 146 @Navy W 97 - 68 60% +14  78% 1 - 0 A+ +33 A+ +19 A A+ A A+ +12 C A- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 211 @Quinnipiac W 97 - 60 73% +18  78% 2 - 0 A+ +37 A+ +22 A+ A+ D+ A+ +14 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 219 Stony Brook W 86 - 79 88% +7  91% 3 - 0 C +1 A+ +16 A+ B C F -15 F F+ C+
 Tue, Nov 18 131 Rhode Island L 77 - 86 76% -0  45% 3 - 1 D -10 B +7 C- A+ B- F -18 F D D
 Fri, Nov 21 227 Green Bay W 73 - 67 83% +6  94% 4 - 1 C+ +2 C+ +2 C+ B- C- C+ +1 A+ F D-
 Sun, Nov 23 147 College of Charleston W 74 - 63 71% +9  99% 5 - 1 B+ +12 B +6 A D+ B- B+ +7 B A+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 72 Akron W 97 - 94 43% +6  91% 6 - 1 B +11 A+ +29 A+ A A+ F -17 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 30 236 @Vermont W 77 - 74 76% +3  66% 7 - 1 C+ +2 A- +11 C C+ A+ F+ -9 F C B-
 Sun, Dec 7 106 Illinois-Chicago W 80 - 66 70% +4  58% 8 - 1 A- +15 A +13 D- A+ A+ B- +3 A A F
 Wed, Dec 10 322 Albany W 93 - 82 93% +6  67% 9 - 1 C +1 B+ +8 B- D+ C+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 17 @Alabama L 78 - 102 8% -19  1% 9 - 2 C- -2 A- +10 C+ A+ B+ F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 5 277 @Brown W 70 - 53 83% +3  49% 10 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +13 D+ -3 C+ B- F+ A+ +16 A+ B+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 252 @Princeton L 60 - 76 79% -2  23% 10 - 3 1 - 1 F -18 F -12 F B+ B- D- -7 F D C+
 Sat, Jan 17 165 Cornell W 102 - 68 82% +21  91% 11 - 3 2 - 1 A+ +31 A+ +18 A+ A A+ A+ +12 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 188 Columbia W 91 - 74 85% +9  87% 12 - 3 3 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +20 A+ A+ B- D- -7 B F D
 Sat, Jan 24 166 @Penn W 77 - 60 64% +5  75% 13 - 3 4 - 1 A +20 B+ +8 C+ B+ F+ A+ +13 B A- C
 Fri, Jan 30 256 Dartmouth W 83 - 68 91% +3  58% 14 - 3 5 - 1 B- +7 A +12 A+ C+ D+ D+ -3 C- B+ F+
 Sat, Jan 31 149 Harvard L 65 - 67 80% -3  29% 14 - 4 5 - 2 C- -4 C+ +3 C+ D A+ F+ -8 D- A- F
 Fri, Feb 6 277 Brown W 81 - 69 92% +1  51% 15 - 4 6 - 2 C+ +2 A- +11 A+ F C+ D- -8 C- C F
 Mon, Feb 9 200 @Howard W 87 - 81 OT 71% +2  66% 16 - 4 B- +7 A +13 C A+ D+ D -6 D- D F
 Fri, Feb 13 256 @Dartmouth W 83 - 70 79% +9  93% 17 - 4 7 - 2 B +11 B+ +9 A C- A B- +2 B- F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 149 @Harvard W 76 - 75 OT 61% -4  6% 18 - 4 8 - 2 C+ +5 B+ +9 D A+ B- D+ -4 C C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 166 Penn W 74 - 70 82% -2  43% 19 - 4 9 - 2 C +1 C +2 F+ B+ B- C -1 C- A D-
 Fri, Feb 27 165 @Cornell L 69 - 72 64% -7  0% 19 - 5 9 - 3 C -0 D -5 C+ F B B +4 D+ D C+
 Sat, Feb 28 188 @Columbia W 78 - 73 68%
 Sat, Mar 7 252 Princeton W 79 - 65 91%
Totals 21 - 5 11 - 3 +6 B+ +7 C B+ C+ C- -1 A B+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ C B+ A B+ 42% 38% 38% C+ B B- A- B+ B C+ B+ B- C- C- C- C C- 36% 20% 44% C C- C+ C- C D B C+ B
1.19 57% 44% 41% +5 0 1.12 33% 1.2 .39 15% .32 77% .25 1.10 59% 40% 34% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.1 .31 15% .26 72% .23
Nov
7		 Navy A+ C- D A+ A 39% 16% 45% A- A B- A+ A+ A A A A+ A+ F A- A+ C 41% 30% 30% B- C A+ D- A- A+ F C- F
1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29 0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37
Nov
11		 Quinnipiac A+ B A+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% B- A+ A+ A A+ D+ D A- D+ A+ F A A+ B+ 35% 23% 42% C+ B D B+ C A+ A B+ A
1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19 0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 Stony Brook A+ C- D+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% C A+ A- C B C A+ A+ A+ F F D+ F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ F F+ C+ F+ C+ D-
1.35 56% 33% 60% +13 0 1.28 40% 0.9 .36 16% .61 85% .52 1.24 73% 43% 43% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.5 .35 19% .33 71% .23
Nov
18		 Rhode Island B D+ A- D D+ 52% 15% 33% B+ C- A A+ A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F A F F F 46% 14% 40% D F F C+ D D C D+ C-
1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36 1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27
Nov
21		 Green Bay C+ D- A+ A- C+ 41% 26% 33% C- C+ C- A B- C- C+ C- C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 16% 56% B- A+ F F F D- F A+ C-
1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27 1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28
Nov
23		 College of Charleston B D- B+ A+ A 39% 29% 33% C- A C- D+ D+ B- A F B B+ C+ A A A- 42% 17% 42% D- B C+ A+ A+ D- F A D+
1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19 0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29
Nov
24		 Akron A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ B+ A- A A+ A A+ A+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F C- F F C+ A+ A+ A+
1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36 1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11
Nov
30		 Vermont A- B- B D+ C 44% 25% 31% C+ C D+ A+ C+ A+ B+ B B+ F+ F F D+ F 28% 14% 58% C F F A+ C B- F D F
1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29 1.19 83% 50% 36% +10 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33
Dec
7		 Illinois-Chicago A F+ F A- D 35% 27% 38% D- D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ B- A+ A- F+ A+ 37% 27% 37% B A C A+ A F B- F D
1.23 47% 15% 39% -7 -1 0.85 38% 1.5 .56 14% .50 82% .41 1.01 28% 31% 39% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.8 .27 12% .30 88% .26
Dec
10		 Albany B+ B- F B C 60% 10% 31% A B- B F D+ C+ A+ C+ A+ D- C- D+ F F 37% 24% 39% B F A+ F A+ F D- A+ A-
1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41 1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11
Dec
29		 Alabama A- F A A- C 40% 21% 40% B C+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ F B- D+ D- C+ 23% 3% 73% C+ C+ F B- F F A C+ A
1.13 33% 45% 38% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.4 .51 12% .43 73% .31 1.48 57% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .51 7% .25 75% .19
Jan
5		 Brown D+ D+ A+ D+ C 47% 19% 34% B- C+ D+ A B- F+ B- F D+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 15% 44% C- A+ C+ A B+ D A A+ A
1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22 0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11
Jan
10		 Princeton F F A+ F F 29% 25% 46% F+ F B- B+ B+ B- D F F+ D- D- D+ F F 26% 16% 58% B- F D- C D C+ F F F
0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16 1.17 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40
Jan
17		 Cornell A+ A A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% D+ A+ D A+ A A+ D- D F+ A+ A- A+ A A+ 25% 7% 68% B A+ B A+ A+ F B C B
1.44 74% 58% 43% +16 0 1.34 26% 1.9 .48 7% .27 67% .18 0.96 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.86 27% 0.8 .21 13% .24 73% .18
Jan
19		 Columbia A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A- A+ B- B- A+ A D- F D+ A+ B- 37% 24% 39% A B B F F D F F F
1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30 1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40
Jan
24		 Penn B+ C F A+ C 56% 19% 25% B+ C+ A+ D+ B+ F+ B A+ A+ A+ A F A- B+ 29% 24% 47% C+ B A B A- C C+ A B
1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26 0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20
Jan
30		 Dartmouth A A+ D A+ A+ 47% 18% 35% C+ A+ C- B+ C+ D+ F A+ D D+ C+ F C- C- 33% 16% 51% C C- D A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ A+
1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16 1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07
Jan
31		 Harvard C+ F A A+ C 48% 13% 40% B C+ D+ D D A+ D- A D+ F+ D- C+ F F 36% 26% 38% B+ D- B A+ A- F F D+ F
1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17 1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30
Feb
6		 Brown A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C+ A+ F F F C+ A+ F A D- C+ A+ C- C- 44% 11% 44% D- C- A+ F C F A+ F B+
1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31 1.06 54% 17% 33% -5 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14
Feb
9		 Howard A C+ C- D- C 49% 13% 38% B- C A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ B- A+ D A+ F F D- 47% 16% 37% D+ D- A F D F B- A- B
1.21 59% 33% 29% -3 +2 1.00 49% 1.2 .60 21% .60 74% .44 1.12 29% 75% 47% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.5 .42 15% .31 68% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Dartmouth B+ C+ B+ A+ A 58% 17% 25% B+ A F A+ C- A A- F+ B- B- D+ A+ C+ B 47% 16% 37% D- B- C F F A- A F B
1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22 1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21
Feb
14		 Harvard B+ F F+ A D+ 32% 25% 43% F+ D B A+ A+ B- A A+ A+ D+ F D A+ C- 37% 28% 35% A- C B+ D C+ F A+ F+ A
1.16 41% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 34% 1.5 .51 15% .36 85% .31 1.14 76% 44% 25% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 88% .12
Feb
21		 Penn C D+ A+ F D- 27% 29% 44% F F+ C+ A B+ B- B+ A+ A C A- A- F C- 39% 25% 35% D+ C- B+ A A D- A C- A-
1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25 1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17
Feb
27		 Cornell D B- D- B- C 53% 11% 36% B+ C+ F+ F F B F F F B C- F F+ D+ 29% 4% 67% C D+ B F D C+ A A+ A+
1.07 64% 33% 37% +4 +2 1.15 23% 0.4 .10 12% .18 60% .11 1.12 62% 50% 40% +8 +1 1.20 28% 1.5 .41 19% .19 60% .11



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.6 24.4 62.7 87.7 1st
2nd 2.4 10.0 12.4 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 3.0 34.3 62.7 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 62.7    43.9 18.8
10-4 71.0% 24.4    6.7 17.7
9-5 20.1% 0.6    0.2 0.4
8-6
7-7
Total 87.7% 87.7 50.6 36.6 0.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 62.7% 57.8% 57.8% 12.0 0.0 3.2 28.8 4.2 0.0 26.5
10-4 34.3% 53.2% 53.2% 12.3 0.3 12.1 5.7 0.2 16.1
9-5 3.0% 46.3% 46.3% 12.5 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.6
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 55.9% 55.9% 0.0% 12.1 44.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 36.2% 100.0% 12.0 0.0 8.9 79.4 11.5 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 12.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 14.1%