Hampton
Big South
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.6#338
Expected Predictive Rating-16.8#347
Pace71.2#128
Improvement-0.8#240

Offense
Total Offense-7.3#346
First Shot-8.5#351
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#103
Layup/Dunks-3.8#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#223
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#341
Freethrows+2.7#32
Improvement-1.5#311

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#323
First Shot-3.9#293
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#272
Layups/Dunks-3.4#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#127
Freethrows-2.2#299
Improvement+0.7#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.3% 2.7% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 8.7% 12.0% 7.1%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 33.0% 27.8% 35.5%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 32.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 70 - 8
Quad 46 - 147 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2021 164   @ Towson L 54-78 8%     0 - 1 -20.8 -19.2 -1.0
  Nov 19, 2021 119   @ Wofford L 60-77 5%     0 - 2 -11.0 -10.6 -0.5
  Nov 20, 2021 176   Georgia Southern L 66-86 14%     0 - 3 -20.8 -5.1 -15.8
  Nov 24, 2021 225   @ South Florida L 52-58 12%     0 - 4 -5.8 -8.4 +1.8
  Nov 28, 2021 250   Norfolk St. L 61-70 23%     0 - 5 -13.8 -11.5 -2.4
  Nov 29, 2021 314   Morgan St. L 47-60 36%     0 - 6 -21.8 -26.5 +3.9
  Dec 04, 2021 250   Norfolk St. L 69-74 33%    
  Dec 09, 2021 332   @ William & Mary L 68-72 36%    
  Dec 12, 2021 287   @ Loyola Maryland L 64-73 21%    
  Dec 18, 2021 337   NC Central L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 22, 2021 261   VMI L 68-72 37%    
  Dec 30, 2021 310   Howard L 77-78 45%    
  Jan 05, 2022 210   Longwood L 63-71 25%    
  Jan 08, 2022 190   @ Gardner-Webb L 62-76 10%    
  Jan 12, 2022 281   @ N.C. A&T L 66-75 20%    
  Jan 15, 2022 293   Presbyterian L 64-66 42%    
  Jan 19, 2022 248   @ Radford L 60-71 16%    
  Jan 22, 2022 282   High Point L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 26, 2022 179   @ Campbell L 56-71 10%    
  Jan 29, 2022 349   @ Charleston Southern L 76-77 47%    
  Feb 02, 2022 334   South Carolina Upstate W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 146   Winthrop L 72-83 17%    
  Feb 09, 2022 270   @ UNC Asheville L 66-76 20%    
  Feb 12, 2022 248   Radford L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 16, 2022 281   N.C. A&T L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 19, 2022 210   @ Longwood L 60-74 11%    
  Feb 23, 2022 179   Campbell L 59-68 23%    
  Feb 26, 2022 282   @ High Point L 61-70 21%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 3rd
4th 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.3 2.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 1.8 0.3 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 3.3 0.9 0.1 5.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.5 2.5 0.2 9.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.3 5.2 4.3 0.5 12.5 9th
10th 0.2 3.0 7.6 6.4 1.1 0.0 18.4 10th
11th 1.0 5.6 9.7 7.2 1.4 0.1 25.0 11th
12th 2.2 5.9 7.5 3.9 0.8 0.1 20.3 12th
Total 2.2 6.9 13.3 16.8 18.1 14.8 11.5 7.9 4.5 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 67.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 33.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-5 12.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.1% 0.1
12-4 0.3% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 0.6% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 0.1 0.5
10-6 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 1.1
9-7 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 2.1
8-8 4.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.4
7-9 7.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.8
6-10 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-11 14.8% 14.8
4-12 18.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.1
3-13 16.8% 16.8
2-14 13.3% 13.3
1-15 6.9% 6.9
0-16 2.2% 2.2
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%