Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#342
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#341
Pace71.0#105
Improvement+0.4#142

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#305
First Shot-4.2#306
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#193
Layup/Dunks-8.6#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#229
Freethrows+1.3#82
Improvement+0.4#100

Defense
Total Defense-7.3#353
First Shot-7.9#359
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#126
Layups/Dunks-0.6#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#330
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#297
Freethrows-2.1#319
Improvement-0.1#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 34.4% 22.2% 45.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 60 - 7
Quad 30 - 60 - 13
Quad 46 - 116 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 96   @ James Madison L 58-106 5%     0 - 1 -40.3 -13.8 -23.1
  Nov 16, 2022 205   @ East Carolina L 73-82 12%     0 - 2 -8.0 -4.9 -2.4
  Nov 21, 2022 101   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-79 5%     0 - 3 -5.7 -0.5 -5.6
  Nov 22, 2022 291   North Alabama L 74-75 32%     0 - 4 -7.9 -11.1 +3.2
  Nov 26, 2022 67   @ Wake Forest L 70-97 3%     0 - 5 -16.0 -2.9 -12.1
  Nov 30, 2022 103   @ Georgia L 54-73 5%     0 - 6 -12.0 -10.6 -3.0
  Dec 03, 2022 269   Howard W 74-65 37%     1 - 6 +0.7 -2.0 +2.9
  Dec 07, 2022 333   Loyola Maryland W 66-61 55%     2 - 6 -8.0 -8.7 +1.0
  Dec 11, 2022 243   Bowling Green L 72-86 32%     2 - 7 -21.0 -9.5 -10.8
  Dec 17, 2022 203   Norfolk St. L 66-78 17%     2 - 8 -13.7 -12.7 -0.5
  Dec 18, 2022 314   Texas Southern L 77-82 37%     2 - 9 -13.2 +4.0 -17.3
  Dec 29, 2022 83   @ College of Charleston L 61-89 4%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -18.7 -12.3 -4.4
  Dec 31, 2022 152   @ UNC Wilmington L 65-82 9%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -13.6 -1.7 -12.6
  Jan 05, 2023 107   Hofstra L 51-67 12%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -15.0 -19.2 +3.1
  Jan 07, 2023 252   Northeastern L 63-79 34%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -23.5 -10.8 -13.0
  Jan 11, 2023 305   @ William & Mary L 65-81 26%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -21.1 -4.6 -18.2
  Jan 16, 2023 277   N.C. A&T L 67-79 38%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -20.7 -10.0 -10.8
  Jan 19, 2023 202   @ Drexel L 73-79 12%     2 - 16 0 - 7 -4.9 +8.6 -14.1
  Jan 21, 2023 351   @ Monmouth W 83-66 43%     3 - 16 1 - 7 +7.0 +8.1 -1.1
  Jan 26, 2023 206   Delaware W 67-66 25%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -3.5 -0.9 -2.5
  Jan 28, 2023 313   Stony Brook L 66-71 47%     4 - 17 2 - 8 -15.9 -10.2 -5.9
  Feb 02, 2023 305   William & Mary L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 04, 2023 203   Norfolk St. L 69-79 17%    
  Feb 08, 2023 141   @ Towson L 61-77 6%    
  Feb 11, 2023 83   College of Charleston L 70-86 7%    
  Feb 13, 2023 334   @ Elon L 70-74 34%    
  Feb 16, 2023 107   @ Hofstra L 66-84 4%    
  Feb 18, 2023 202   Drexel L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 23, 2023 351   Monmouth W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 25, 2023 277   @ N.C. A&T L 71-80 20%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 0.9 0.0 2.4 9th
10th 0.2 3.3 4.1 0.4 8.0 10th
11th 2.8 15.9 17.0 3.2 0.1 38.9 11th
12th 1.1 14.0 15.4 2.8 0.1 33.3 12th
13th 6.3 8.2 1.8 0.1 16.4 13th
Total 7.4 25.0 33.3 23.2 8.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.3% 0.3
7-11 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
6-12 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-13 23.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.2
4-14 33.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 33.3
3-15 25.0% 25.0
2-16 7.4% 7.4
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.4%