Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#257
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#298
Pace67.4#221
Improvement-0.3#252

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#324
First Shot-5.0#322
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#208
Layup/Dunks-1.5#232
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
Freethrows-3.4#346
Improvement-0.4#339

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#159
First Shot+1.0#146
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#220
Layups/Dunks-2.2#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#107
Freethrows+0.5#158
Improvement+0.1#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.8% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.3 15.8
.500 or above 13.7% 31.3% 10.9%
.500 or above in Conference 44.5% 57.9% 42.4%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.7% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 1.3% 2.6%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
First Round0.8% 1.5% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Away) - 13.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 13
Quad 49 - 511 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 256   @ Boston University L 63-72 38%     0 - 1 -10.7 -9.8 -0.9
  Nov 12, 2022 93   @ Providence L 65-89 11%     0 - 2 -15.5 -2.7 -13.6
  Nov 16, 2022 153   Harvard L 69-70 40%     0 - 3 -3.1 +0.2 -3.3
  Nov 19, 2022 97   @ Syracuse L 48-76 12%     0 - 4 -19.9 -21.2 +0.9
  Nov 24, 2022 265   Manhattan W 69-67 OT 53%     1 - 4 -3.4 -10.2 +6.7
  Nov 26, 2022 145   Princeton L 54-56 27%     1 - 5 -0.4 -17.0 +16.6
  Dec 02, 2022 113   @ Georgia Tech L 58-70 14%    
  Dec 04, 2022 205   Georgia St. W 63-62 51%    
  Dec 10, 2022 353   Holy Cross W 74-61 88%    
  Dec 18, 2022 253   @ Illinois-Chicago L 65-68 38%    
  Dec 21, 2022 116   @ Davidson L 60-72 14%    
  Dec 29, 2022 274   N.C. A&T W 69-65 64%    
  Dec 31, 2022 343   Stony Brook W 71-60 84%    
  Jan 05, 2023 287   @ William & Mary L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 07, 2023 334   @ Hampton W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 14, 2023 173   Drexel L 62-64 44%    
  Jan 16, 2023 176   Delaware L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 19, 2023 343   @ Stony Brook W 68-63 67%    
  Jan 21, 2023 81   College of Charleston L 72-80 23%    
  Jan 26, 2023 118   @ Towson L 58-69 15%    
  Jan 28, 2023 176   @ Delaware L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 04, 2023 346   Elon W 72-61 84%    
  Feb 08, 2023 131   Hofstra L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 11, 2023 138   @ UNC Wilmington L 58-68 19%    
  Feb 13, 2023 81   @ College of Charleston L 69-83 10%    
  Feb 16, 2023 329   Monmouth W 71-62 80%    
  Feb 18, 2023 287   William & Mary W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 23, 2023 173   @ Drexel L 59-67 25%    
  Feb 25, 2023 131   @ Hofstra L 65-75 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 5.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.8 1.0 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.4 5.4 1.8 0.1 12.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.2 6.4 2.8 0.2 16.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.9 6.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 17.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 5.5 5.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 15.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.8 3.4 1.1 0.1 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.3 7.7 11.0 14.3 15.2 14.5 12.2 8.2 5.3 2.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 91.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 69.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 25.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 8.8% 8.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 10.4% 10.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.0% 6.1% 6.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.7% 4.5% 4.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.6
12-6 5.3% 3.1% 3.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.1
11-7 8.2% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.0
10-8 12.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.0
9-9 14.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.3
8-10 15.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 15.1
7-11 14.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.3
6-12 11.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.9
5-13 7.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.7
4-14 4.3% 4.3
3-15 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 98.8 0.0%