IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.6	#226
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.5	#169
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.2	#238

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.3	#210

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.2%	5.0%	2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.0	13.6	14.5

.500 or above	42.5%	50.2%	23.9%
.500 or above in Conference	48.6%	53.9%	35.8%
Conference Champion	4.0%	4.9%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	7.1%	5.5%	10.9%

First Four	0.3%	0.2%	0.4%
First Round	4.1%	4.9%	2.1%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 70.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 6	14 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	277	Boston University	W	68-62	71%
Nov 07, 2025	216	@ Colgate	L	69-72	38%
Nov 11, 2025	172	@ Harvard	L	65-71	31%
Nov 15, 2025	205	Vermont	W	65-63	57%
Nov 20, 2025	171	@ Princeton	L	67-73	31%
Nov 22, 2025	115	Duquesne	L	64-71	27%
Nov 28, 2025	67	@ Wake Forest	L	63-78	10%
Dec 03, 2025	352	@ Holy Cross	W	73-67	70%
Dec 07, 2025	305	Central Connecticut St.	W	69-62	75%
Dec 20, 2025	64	@ Syracuse	L	65-81	9%
Dec 29, 2025	228	@ Elon	L	67-70	40%
Dec 31, 2025	351	@ N.C. A&T	W	75-69	69%
Jan 03, 2026	203	@ Campbell	L	66-70	37%
Jan 08, 2026	118	UNC Wilmington	L	68-71	39%
Jan 10, 2026	131	Towson	L	65-67	41%
Jan 15, 2026	228	Elon	W	70-67	60%
Jan 17, 2026	211	@ Monmouth	L	69-73	38%
Jan 17, 2026	227	@ Drexel	L	63-66	40%
Jan 22, 2026	288	Stony Brook	W	71-65	71%
Jan 31, 2026	123	College of Charleston	L	73-76	41%
Feb 05, 2026	178	@ Hofstra	L	62-67	34%
Feb 07, 2026	288	@ Stony Brook	W	69-68	52%
Feb 12, 2026	229	William & Mary	W	78-75	61%
Feb 19, 2026	227	Drexel	W	66-63	60%
Feb 21, 2026	178	Hofstra	W	65-64	53%
Feb 26, 2026	229	@ William & Mary	L	75-78	41%
Feb 28, 2026	236	@ Hampton	L	67-69	43%
Mar 03, 2026	211	Monmouth	W	72-70	58%
Projected Record						13 - 15	8 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	1.2	0.6	0.2			4.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.4	2.5	1.5	0.5	0.0				6.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.8	3.2	1.8	0.3	0.0					7.4	3rd
4th										0.2	2.1	3.8	2.1	0.3	0.0						8.6	4th
5th									0.1	1.5	4.5	2.4	0.4	0.0							8.9	5th
6th								0.1	1.2	4.2	2.9	0.5	0.0								8.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	3.8	3.9	0.8	0.0									9.3	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	3.1	4.5	1.1	0.1										9.3	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	2.4	4.4	1.7	0.2											9.1	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	2.2	3.9	2.1	0.3	0.0											9.0	10th
11th			0.1	0.5	2.0	3.5	2.1	0.3	0.0												8.5	11th
12th		0.1	0.6	1.9	2.6	1.5	0.2	0.0													6.9	12th
13th	0.2	0.7	1.2	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0														4.1	13th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.9	3.6	5.6	7.7	9.3	10.7	11.6	11.1	10.6	8.8	7.2	5.3	3.1	1.7	0.6	0.2				Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.1	0.0
16-2	93.4%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
15-3	71.2%	1.2		0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-4	40.2%	1.3		0.5	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	12.5%	0.7		0.2	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.0%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		2.1	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.2%		44.2%	44.2%		11.3							0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
16-2	0.6%		27.5%	27.5%		11.9											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.5
15-3	1.7%		25.3%	25.3%		12.5											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.2
14-4	3.1%		21.1%	21.1%		13.1												0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	2.5
13-5	5.3%		14.3%	14.3%		13.3												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	4.5
12-6	7.2%		9.7%	9.7%		14.1													0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	6.5
11-7	8.8%		6.1%	6.1%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	8.3
10-8	10.6%		3.8%	3.8%		15.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	10.2
9-9	11.1%		1.7%	1.7%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	11.0
8-10	11.6%		1.1%	1.1%		16.3															0.0	0.1	0.1	11.5
7-11	10.7%		0.7%	0.7%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.7
6-12	9.3%		0.5%	0.5%		20.1																0.0	0.1	9.2
5-13	7.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
4-14	5.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.6
3-15	3.6%																							3.6
2-16	1.9%																							1.9
1-17	0.8%																							0.8
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		4.2%	4.2%	0.0%	14.0							0.0				0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	1.1	0.9	0.4	95.8		0.0%