Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#209
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#220
Pace71.7#122
Improvement-0.2#202

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#269
First Shot-0.8#194
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#341
Layup/Dunks+4.0#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#292
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+0.2#162

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#148
First Shot+0.9#134
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#216
Layups/Dunks-5.0#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#40
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#29
Freethrows-1.6#282
Improvement-0.4#221
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 4.3% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.8 14.6
.500 or above 27.2% 49.6% 25.0%
.500 or above in Conference 36.2% 47.7% 35.0%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.7% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 6.3% 10.7%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round2.4% 4.2% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 9.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 36 - 76 - 10
Quad 47 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 288 Boston University L 75-76 OT 74%     0 - 1 -11.0 -10.9 +0.0
  Fri, Nov 7 180 @Colgate W 68-65 32%     1 - 1 +4.6 -2.0 +6.8
  Tue, Nov 11 200 @Harvard W 77-60 36%     2 - 1 +17.4 +8.7 +9.6
  Sat, Nov 15 186 Vermont L 74-85 56%     2 - 2 -15.7 -3.7 -12.1
  Thu, Nov 20 261 @Princeton L 57-70 47%     2 - 3 -15.4 -12.7 -3.3
  Sat, Nov 22 138 Duquesne W 93-86 32%     3 - 3 +8.5 +4.3 +3.0
  Fri, Nov 28 42 @Wake Forest L 73-86 6%     3 - 4 +1.7 +3.8 -1.4
  Wed, Dec 3 289 @Holy Cross L 59-76 53%     3 - 5 -21.0 -13.1 -8.8
  Sun, Dec 7 242 Central Connecticut St. W 73-56 67%     4 - 5 +9.4 -0.2 +10.0
  Sat, Dec 20 68 @Syracuse L 65-79 9%    
  Mon, Dec 29 190 @Elon L 75-79 34%    
  Wed, Dec 31 310 @N.C. A&T W 75-73 59%    
  Sat, Jan 3 228 @Campbell L 74-76 41%    
  Thu, Jan 8 108 UNC Wilmington L 69-73 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 139 Towson L 67-69 44%    
  Thu, Jan 15 190 Elon W 78-76 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 272 @Drexel L 68-69 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 220 @Monmouth L 71-74 40%    
  Thu, Jan 22 197 Stony Brook W 71-69 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 170 College of Charleston W 72-71 52%    
  Thu, Feb 5 114 @Hofstra L 65-75 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 197 @Stony Brook L 68-72 37%    
  Thu, Feb 12 121 William & Mary L 78-81 39%    
  Thu, Feb 19 272 Drexel W 72-66 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 114 Hofstra L 68-72 37%    
  Thu, Feb 26 121 @William & Mary L 75-84 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 229 @Hampton L 68-70 42%    
  Tue, Mar 3 220 Monmouth W 74-71 62%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.5 0.8 0.1 5.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 4.2 1.5 0.1 8.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.9 2.4 0.2 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.9 4.0 0.5 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.9 5.3 1.2 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.6 2.1 0.1 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.1 2.9 0.2 0.0 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 3.3 0.5 0.0 10.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.4 2.7 0.6 0.0 8.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.5 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.8 6.7 10.2 12.5 14.1 14.3 12.7 9.8 6.4 4.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 80.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 55.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 26.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 37.5% 37.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 18.1% 18.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.9% 17.6% 17.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 2.0% 13.5% 13.5% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 4.1% 10.5% 10.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.6
11-7 6.4% 6.5% 6.5% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.0
10-8 9.8% 4.5% 4.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.3
9-9 12.7% 2.7% 2.7% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.3
8-10 14.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.1 0.1 14.1
7-11 14.1% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.0
6-12 12.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.4
5-13 10.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.1
4-14 6.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.7
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 97.4 0.0%