Chattanooga
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#169
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#198
Pace67.1#229
Improvement+2.5#75

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#78
First Shot+4.3#66
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#229
Layup/Dunks+2.1#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#20
Freethrows-1.5#275
Improvement+4.3#13

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#294
First Shot-4.4#310
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#152
Layups/Dunks+1.2#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#339
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#327
Freethrows+1.1#103
Improvement-1.9#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 10.0% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 76.5% 85.7% 62.7%
.500 or above in Conference 73.1% 83.3% 57.9%
Conference Champion 3.2% 4.8% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round8.4% 9.9% 6.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 64 - 11
Quad 413 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 60   @ USC L 51-77 13%     0 - 1 -14.1 -12.5 -3.1
  Nov 07, 2024 39   @ St. Mary's L 74-86 8%     0 - 2 +3.0 +15.6 -13.6
  Nov 11, 2024 302   @ Austin Peay L 61-67 67%     0 - 3 -11.0 -6.0 -5.5
  Nov 14, 2024 266   Morehead St. W 76-62 79%     1 - 3 +5.3 -0.9 +6.0
  Nov 17, 2024 279   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 87-82 62%     2 - 3 +1.4 +3.8 -3.0
  Nov 25, 2024 303   Tennessee St. W 85-78 84%     3 - 3 -4.0 +1.0 -5.5
  Nov 27, 2024 184   Bryant W 84-76 64%     4 - 3 +4.0 +11.8 -7.6
  Dec 03, 2024 96   Lipscomb L 62-80 41%     4 - 4 -16.1 -7.2 -9.7
  Dec 12, 2024 256   @ Evansville W 75-67 58%     5 - 4 +5.7 +9.4 -3.2
  Dec 15, 2024 357   Alabama A&M W 85-63 94%     6 - 4 +4.4 +16.8 -9.5
  Dec 21, 2024 52   @ Indiana L 65-74 10%     6 - 5 +4.4 +1.8 +2.3
  Jan 01, 2025 232   @ Mercer L 94-99 OT 52%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -5.8 +5.4 -10.3
  Jan 04, 2025 349   @ The Citadel W 81-68 81%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +3.4 +11.2 -6.8
  Jan 09, 2025 135   UNC Greensboro L 75-78 55%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -4.5 +10.6 -15.5
  Jan 12, 2025 344   VMI W 91-66 90%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +10.4 +20.7 -7.6
  Jan 15, 2025 160   Wofford W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 116   @ Furman L 70-76 28%    
  Jan 22, 2025 105   Samford L 82-83 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 154   @ East Tennessee St. L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 323   @ Western Carolina W 80-74 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 232   Mercer W 81-75 73%    
  Feb 05, 2025 160   @ Wofford L 73-76 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 116   Furman W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 12, 2025 105   @ Samford L 79-86 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 154   East Tennessee St. W 76-74 59%    
  Feb 19, 2025 323   Western Carolina W 83-71 86%    
  Feb 22, 2025 349   The Citadel W 78-63 92%    
  Feb 27, 2025 135   @ UNC Greensboro L 69-74 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 344   @ VMI W 79-71 77%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.2 1st
2nd 0.3 2.8 3.3 0.6 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.9 6.0 1.4 0.1 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.7 8.0 2.5 0.1 16.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 6.3 9.6 3.6 0.1 20.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 7.4 9.6 3.8 0.2 23.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.6 4.8 1.6 0.1 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.8 7.8 13.4 18.3 18.6 16.1 11.6 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 94.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 63.4% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.1
13-5 19.7% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 20.7% 20.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.6% 25.9% 25.9% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-4 2.1% 24.4% 24.4% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6
13-5 5.9% 20.1% 20.1% 13.6 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7
12-6 11.6% 13.2% 13.2% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 10.0
11-7 16.1% 10.0% 10.0% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 14.5
10-8 18.6% 7.0% 7.0% 14.5 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 17.3
9-9 18.3% 6.2% 6.2% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 17.1
8-10 13.4% 5.3% 5.3% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 12.7
7-11 7.8% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.6
6-12 3.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.7
5-13 1.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 2.9 0.9 91.5 0.0%