Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#276
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#206
Pace74.5#66
Improvement+0.9#107

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#290
First Shot-3.7#281
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#208
Layup/Dunks-1.7#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#258
Freethrows-2.1#301
Improvement+0.0#171

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#235
First Shot-4.1#311
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#72
Layups/Dunks+1.2#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#317
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#302
Freethrows+0.9#135
Improvement+0.9#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 5.0% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 18.5% 28.3% 11.6%
.500 or above in Conference 43.9% 51.5% 38.7%
Conference Champion 3.4% 4.7% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 4.4% 8.0%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 1.5%
First Round3.2% 4.4% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Away) - 41.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 410 - 611 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 64 @Cincinnati L 63-94 6%     0 - 1 -19.2 -6.3 -9.1
  Sat, Nov 8 3 @Duke L 54-95 1%     0 - 2 -16.0 -11.1 -1.4
  Sun, Nov 16 348 Stetson W 76-65 79%     1 - 2 -3.7 -7.3 +3.1
  Wed, Nov 19 205 UNC Asheville W 80-73 48%     2 - 2 +1.2 +10.0 -8.2
  Sat, Nov 22 152 @Lipscomb L 62-83 19%     2 - 3 -17.9 -11.2 -5.5
  Sat, Nov 29 84 @High Point L 73-93 8%     2 - 4 -10.6 -2.3 -7.1
  Sat, Dec 6 288 @South Carolina Upstate L 75-77 41%    
  Thu, Dec 11 70 @Virginia Tech L 69-86 5%    
  Thu, Dec 18 21 @Georgia L 72-97 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 213 Wofford L 77-78 49%    
  Sat, Jan 3 165 @Furman L 68-77 22%    
  Wed, Jan 7 224 @Samford L 73-79 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 362 @The Citadel W 77-71 70%    
  Wed, Jan 14 137 East Tennessee St. L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 206 Chattanooga L 73-74 48%    
  Wed, Jan 21 190 @Mercer L 76-83 25%    
  Sat, Jan 24 338 VMI W 80-72 76%    
  Thu, Jan 29 137 @East Tennessee St. L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Jan 31 224 Samford W 77-76 51%    
  Wed, Feb 4 294 @UNC Greensboro L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 213 @Wofford L 74-80 29%    
  Wed, Feb 11 362 The Citadel W 80-68 85%    
  Sat, Feb 14 206 @Chattanooga L 70-77 28%    
  Wed, Feb 18 294 UNC Greensboro W 77-73 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 338 @VMI W 77-75 56%    
  Wed, Feb 25 190 Mercer L 79-80 45%    
  Sat, Feb 28 165 Furman L 71-74 41%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 4.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.3 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.2 4.6 1.0 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.4 6.7 4.7 0.9 0.0 16.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.1 5.8 3.3 0.6 0.0 15.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.3 3.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 5.3 8.3 11.0 13.2 13.8 12.8 11.3 8.3 5.4 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 88.4% 0.6    0.4 0.1
14-4 66.5% 1.2    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 27.9% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 22.7% 22.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.7% 22.7% 22.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.8% 15.8% 15.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.5
13-5 3.4% 13.7% 13.7% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.9
12-6 5.4% 10.2% 10.2% 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 4.9
11-7 8.3% 7.0% 7.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 7.8
10-8 11.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.6
9-9 12.8% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.3
8-10 13.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.4
7-11 13.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 13.0
6-12 11.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.9
5-13 8.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 8.3
4-14 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-15 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.2 96.1 0.0%