IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

East Tennessee St.
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.1	#148
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#121

Pace	63.7	#305
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.2	#171

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.3	#155

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.6%	21.1%	13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.3	14.1

.500 or above	80.0%	86.6%	66.3%
.500 or above in Conference	80.6%	84.7%	72.2%
Conference Champion	24.5%	28.3%	16.9%
Last Place in Conference	2.2%	1.5%	3.6%

First Four	0.9%	0.6%	1.4%
First Round	18.6%	21.2%	13.4%
Second Round	1.7%	2.1%	0.8%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Away) - 67.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	4 - 5	4 - 8
Quad 4	15 - 4	19 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	308	@ Presbyterian	W	68-63	67%
Nov 12, 2025	266	Northern Kentucky	W	71-62	79%
Nov 15, 2025	197	@ North Alabama	L	67-68	48%
Nov 21, 2025	287	Morehead St.	W	69-59	82%
Nov 23, 2025	357	Louisiana Monroe	W	77-60	93%
Nov 29, 2025	360	Central Arkansas	W	76-59	94%
Dec 02, 2025	59	@ Dayton	L	61-73	14%
Dec 05, 2025	155	South Alabama	W	65-62	62%
Dec 12, 2025	267	@ Austin Peay	W	68-65	59%
Dec 16, 2025	23	@ North Carolina	L	63-81	7%
Dec 20, 2025	158	Jacksonville St.	W	67-63	62%
Dec 31, 2025	345	@ The Citadel	W	70-62	76%
Jan 03, 2026	242	Mercer	W	74-67	74%
Jan 07, 2026	284	VMI	W	74-64	80%
Jan 10, 2026	229	UNC Greensboro	W	68-61	72%
Jan 14, 2026	270	@ Western Carolina	W	72-69	60%
Jan 17, 2026	182	@ Samford	L	73-74	46%
Jan 21, 2026	137	@ Chattanooga	L	67-71	37%
Jan 24, 2026	345	The Citadel	W	73-59	88%
Jan 29, 2026	270	Western Carolina	W	75-66	77%
Jan 31, 2026	231	@ Wofford	W	66-65	53%
Feb 04, 2026	165	Furman	W	71-67	63%
Feb 07, 2026	284	@ VMI	W	71-67	62%
Feb 11, 2026	137	Chattanooga	W	70-68	56%
Feb 14, 2026	182	Samford	W	76-71	65%
Feb 18, 2026	165	@ Furman	L	68-70	42%
Feb 21, 2026	229	@ UNC Greensboro	W	65-64	53%
Feb 25, 2026	231	Wofford	W	69-62	72%
Feb 28, 2026	242	@ Mercer	W	71-70	55%
Projected Record						18 - 11	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.9	3.0	5.8	6.4	5.1	2.5	0.8		24.5	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	1.6	5.1	6.2	4.2	1.5	0.2				18.9	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.9	4.8	4.8	2.0	0.3	0.0					14.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.8	4.7	3.9	1.3	0.1	0.0						11.9	4th
5th								0.1	1.4	4.0	3.2	0.8	0.0								9.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.1	1.3	3.2	2.5	0.5	0.0									7.6	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	0.9	2.3	1.9	0.4	0.0										5.8	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	0.8	1.7	1.2	0.3	0.0											4.2	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	0.7	0.9	0.5	0.1													2.5	9th
10th	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0													1.1	10th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	1.2	2.1	3.2	5.1	7.0	8.8	10.4	11.3	12.1	11.3	10.4	7.9	5.3	2.5	0.8			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
17-1	100.0%	2.5		2.4	0.0
16-2	95.5%	5.1		4.6	0.4
15-3	80.6%	6.4		4.8	1.5	0.1
14-4	56.4%	5.8		3.2	2.3	0.4	0.0
13-5	26.7%	3.0		1.0	1.2	0.7	0.1	0.0
12-6	7.0%	0.9		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	24.5%	24.5		16.9	5.9	1.5	0.2	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.8%		66.2%	63.7%	2.5%	10.8				0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0				0.3		7.0%
17-1	2.5%		58.7%	58.7%		12.0											0.0	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.0
16-2	5.3%		45.8%	45.8%		12.5											0.0	0.3	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.0		2.9
15-3	7.9%		37.2%	37.2%		13.0												0.1	0.9	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0	4.9
14-4	10.4%		30.0%	30.0%		13.4												0.0	0.6	1.2	1.1	0.3	0.0	7.2
13-5	11.3%		23.1%	23.1%		14.1												0.0	0.2	0.8	1.0	0.5	0.1	8.7
12-6	12.1%		17.7%	17.7%		14.5												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.6	0.2	9.9
11-7	11.3%		12.2%	12.2%		15.6													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	9.9
10-8	10.4%		10.0%	10.0%		16.6														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	9.3
9-9	8.8%		6.4%	6.4%		18.1															0.1	0.2	0.4	8.2
8-10	7.0%		3.4%	3.4%		17.3															0.0	0.1	0.2	6.7
7-11	5.1%		2.6%	2.6%		16.5															0.0	0.0	0.1	5.0
6-12	3.2%		1.1%	1.1%		18.3																	0.0	3.2
5-13	2.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
4-14	1.2%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	1.2
3-15	0.5%																							0.5
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		18.6%	18.6%	0.0%	13.8				0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.1	3.5	4.9	4.6	3.0	1.8	81.4		0.0%