UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#293
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#317
Pace67.8#223
Improvement-0.8#236

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#237
First Shot-2.7#250
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#179
Layup/Dunks-5.8#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#212
Freethrows+2.5#57
Improvement+0.8#116

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#325
First Shot-3.8#305
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#256
Layups/Dunks+0.3#158
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#332
Freethrows+1.6#84
Improvement-1.5#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.9% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 3.8% 6.5% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 33.4% 46.3% 21.3%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 3.9% 12.2%
First Four1.6% 2.0% 1.3%
First Round1.5% 2.1% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chattanooga (Home) - 48.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 48 - 1010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 68 @Kansas St. L 64-93 5%     0 - 1 -17.8 -12.6 -1.6
  Sat, Nov 8 191 Elon L 90-92 OT 41%     0 - 2 -6.9 +5.3 -12.1
  Wed, Nov 12 29 @North Carolina St. L 64-110 2%     0 - 3 -28.9 -5.8 -20.5
  Sat, Nov 15 194 Austin Peay L 63-69 41%     0 - 4 -11.0 -12.1 +1.4
  Thu, Nov 20 209 @Queens L 94-101 25%     0 - 5 -7.2 +18.6 -26.0
  Sun, Nov 23 166 Youngstown St. W 68-62 26%     1 - 5 +5.4 -5.3 +10.5
  Tue, Nov 25 284 Delaware L 60-73 48%     1 - 6 -19.6 -10.0 -10.9
  Wed, Nov 26 103 Miami (OH) L 71-82 14%     1 - 7 -6.5 -2.9 -3.3
  Tue, Dec 2 223 UNC Asheville L 77-82 36%     1 - 8 -8.6 +7.4 -16.4
  Sat, Dec 6 280 @East Carolina W 82-78 36%     2 - 8 +0.4 +10.1 -9.6
  Tue, Dec 16 302 N.C. A&T L 65-71 63%     2 - 9 -16.7 -7.4 -9.7
  Thu, Jan 1 226 Chattanooga L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 3 238 Samford L 75-76 49%    
  Wed, Jan 7 225 @Wofford L 70-77 27%    
  Sat, Jan 10 123 @East Tennessee St. L 66-79 11%    
  Thu, Jan 15 359 The Citadel W 77-66 83%    
  Sat, Jan 17 167 Mercer L 76-80 37%    
  Wed, Jan 21 330 @VMI W 75-74 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 151 Furman L 71-76 33%    
  Thu, Jan 29 167 @Mercer L 73-83 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 359 @The Citadel W 74-69 66%    
  Wed, Feb 4 297 Western Carolina W 77-74 61%    
  Sun, Feb 8 151 @Furman L 68-79 17%    
  Wed, Feb 11 330 VMI W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 225 Wofford L 73-74 48%    
  Wed, Feb 18 297 @Western Carolina L 74-77 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 123 East Tennessee St. L 69-76 26%    
  Thu, Feb 26 226 @Chattanooga L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 238 @Samford L 72-78 29%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 2.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 7.0 4.1 0.7 0.0 15.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.7 7.6 4.3 0.8 0.0 18.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.5 7.2 3.4 0.6 0.0 18.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.2 4.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.6 6.8 10.9 14.0 15.0 14.6 12.1 9.3 5.8 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 84.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-4 58.3% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 22.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 15.2% 15.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 10.7% 10.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.8% 12.3% 12.3% 15.5 0.1 0.1 1.6
12-6 3.3% 8.4% 8.4% 15.7 0.1 0.2 3.0
11-7 5.8% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.6
10-8 9.3% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.4 8.9
9-9 12.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 11.8
8-10 14.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 14.3
7-11 15.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.8
6-12 14.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.9
5-13 10.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.8
4-14 6.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.8
3-15 3.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.5
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.9 97.8 0.0%