UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#294
Expected Predictive Rating-12.6#334
Pace68.1#226
Improvement-0.2#193

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#250
First Shot-1.6#221
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#269
Layup/Dunks-5.8#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#187
Freethrows+3.4#31
Improvement+1.0#99

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#320
First Shot-4.5#318
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#172
Layups/Dunks+1.1#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#328
Freethrows+0.4#165
Improvement-1.2#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.8% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 5.4% 11.0% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 35.3% 42.9% 32.0%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.3% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.0% 5.9% 8.9%
First Four2.1% 2.5% 1.9%
First Round1.9% 2.7% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 29.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 48 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 71 @Kansas St. L 64-93 6%     0 - 1 -18.2 -13.4 -1.2
  Sat, Nov 8 207 Elon L 90-92 OT 44%     0 - 2 -7.9 +5.3 -13.0
  Wed, Nov 12 31 @North Carolina St. L 64-110 2%     0 - 3 -29.5 -8.0 -19.0
  Sat, Nov 15 173 Austin Peay L 63-69 38%     0 - 4 -10.2 -11.7 +1.8
  Thu, Nov 20 219 @Queens L 94-101 26%     0 - 5 -7.6 +19.7 -27.4
  Sun, Nov 23 176 Youngstown St. W 68-62 28%     1 - 5 +4.7 -6.7 +11.2
  Tue, Nov 25 282 Delaware L 60-73 48%     1 - 6 -19.7 -11.1 -9.8
  Wed, Nov 26 126 Miami (OH) L 71-82 17%     1 - 7 -8.4 -3.3 -4.7
  Tue, Dec 2 205 UNC Asheville L 77-82 33%     1 - 8 -7.8 +7.4 -15.6
  Sat, Dec 6 249 @East Carolina L 70-76 30%    
  Tue, Dec 16 321 N.C. A&T W 76-71 67%    
  Thu, Jan 1 206 Chattanooga L 72-73 44%    
  Sat, Jan 3 224 Samford L 74-75 48%    
  Wed, Jan 7 213 @Wofford L 72-79 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 137 @East Tennessee St. L 66-78 14%    
  Thu, Jan 15 362 The Citadel W 78-67 84%    
  Sat, Jan 17 190 Mercer L 77-79 42%    
  Wed, Jan 21 338 @VMI W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Jan 24 165 Furman L 70-73 38%    
  Thu, Jan 29 190 @Mercer L 74-82 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 362 @The Citadel W 75-70 67%    
  Wed, Feb 4 276 Western Carolina W 76-74 58%    
  Sun, Feb 8 165 @Furman L 67-76 20%    
  Wed, Feb 11 338 VMI W 77-70 72%    
  Sat, Feb 14 213 Wofford L 75-76 46%    
  Wed, Feb 18 276 @Western Carolina L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 137 East Tennessee St. L 69-75 30%    
  Thu, Feb 26 206 @Chattanooga L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 224 @Samford L 71-77 28%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.2 1.6 4.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.3 4.7 0.7 0.0 14.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 4.0 7.4 5.0 0.9 0.0 18.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.1 6.9 4.1 0.7 0.0 18.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.9 4.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 12.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.8 6.7 10.2 13.1 14.7 14.3 12.6 9.5 6.4 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 88.8% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 63.2% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 29.6% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 17.5% 17.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.9% 20.2% 20.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
13-5 1.9% 13.0% 13.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.7
12-6 3.7% 9.1% 9.1% 15.8 0.1 0.3 3.4
11-7 6.4% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 6.0
10-8 9.5% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.1
9-9 12.6% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.4 12.1
8-10 14.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 14.0
7-11 14.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.6
6-12 13.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.9
5-13 10.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.2
4-14 6.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.7
3-15 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
2-16 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.5 97.2 0.0%