Wofford
Southern
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#215
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#209
Pace64.0#292
Improvement-0.7#274

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#120
First Shot+1.2#132
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#128
Layup/Dunks+4.1#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#280
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#216
Freethrows-0.7#235
Improvement-0.4#252

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#300
First Shot-6.0#341
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#35
Layups/Dunks-1.7#252
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#327
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#329
Freethrows+1.9#51
Improvement-0.4#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 5.2% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 52.6% 81.0% 47.6%
.500 or above in Conference 52.6% 81.0% 47.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.5% 0.9% 1.6%
First Round2.8% 4.8% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Away) - 14.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 20 - 41 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 9
Quad 49 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 304   @ High Point L 80-91 61%     0 - 1 -16.0 +2.9 -18.7
  Nov 14, 2022 84   @ Drake L 72-80 15%     0 - 2 +0.8 +11.6 -11.5
  Nov 18, 2022 192   Gardner-Webb W 60-58 56%     1 - 2 -1.9 -6.6 +4.8
  Nov 20, 2022 277   N.C. A&T W 78-64 73%     2 - 2 +5.3 +10.1 -3.0
  Nov 27, 2022 106   @ LSU L 75-78 20%     2 - 3 +3.6 +9.9 -6.4
  Dec 01, 2022 330   Presbyterian W 76-63 84%     3 - 3 +0.3 +0.3 +0.5
  Dec 03, 2022 97   @ Vanderbilt L 62-65 18%     3 - 4 +4.6 -8.0 +12.6
  Dec 06, 2022 246   Coastal Carolina W 71-61 68%     4 - 4 +2.9 -6.2 +9.3
  Dec 10, 2022 227   @ Georgia Southern L 57-79 42%     4 - 5 -22.3 -10.7 -13.4
  Dec 20, 2022 42   @ Texas A&M W 67-62 8%     5 - 5 +18.4 +7.2 +11.8
  Dec 29, 2022 223   East Tennessee St. L 71-73 63%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -7.7 +5.0 -13.0
  Dec 31, 2022 138   UNC Greensboro L 64-73 45%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -10.0 -5.1 -4.9
  Jan 04, 2023 228   @ Mercer W 53-52 43%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +0.6 -8.5 +9.3
  Jan 07, 2023 301   The Citadel W 77-57 78%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +9.5 -3.6 +12.5
  Jan 11, 2023 145   @ Samford L 58-83 27%     7 - 8 2 - 3 -20.9 -11.9 -10.9
  Jan 14, 2023 335   VMI W 86-67 85%     8 - 8 3 - 3 +5.8 +13.3 -5.5
  Jan 18, 2023 260   @ Western Carolina L 71-76 51%     8 - 9 3 - 4 -7.6 +3.0 -11.2
  Jan 22, 2023 87   Furman L 82-96 30%     8 - 10 3 - 5 -11.0 +6.7 -17.5
  Jan 25, 2023 164   @ Chattanooga W 85-80 31%     9 - 10 4 - 5 +7.9 +11.3 -3.3
  Jan 28, 2023 145   Samford W 85-77 47%     10 - 10 5 - 5 +6.6 +7.2 -0.7
  Feb 01, 2023 223   @ East Tennessee St. L 52-77 42%     10 - 11 5 - 6 -25.2 -7.8 -23.1
  Feb 04, 2023 87   @ Furman L 69-80 15%    
  Feb 08, 2023 260   Western Carolina W 75-69 72%    
  Feb 12, 2023 138   @ UNC Greensboro L 61-68 26%    
  Feb 15, 2023 228   Mercer W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 18, 2023 301   @ The Citadel W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 22, 2023 335   @ VMI W 75-70 69%    
  Feb 25, 2023 164   Chattanooga W 73-72 52%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 1.4 0.3 2.7 3rd
4th 0.0 2.2 16.1 15.8 3.8 0.2 38.2 4th
5th 0.4 10.6 11.0 1.0 0.0 23.0 5th
6th 0.0 3.1 10.8 1.7 0.0 15.6 6th
7th 0.5 7.3 3.3 0.1 11.1 7th
8th 0.1 2.4 3.9 0.1 6.6 8th
9th 0.6 1.8 0.4 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.7 4.7 15.1 27.0 29.0 17.7 5.3 0.6 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.6% 10.2% 10.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 5.3% 7.8% 7.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 4.9
10-8 17.7% 5.3% 5.3% 15.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 16.8
9-9 29.0% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.1 0.9 27.9
8-10 27.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7 26.3
7-11 15.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 14.8
6-12 4.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.6
5-13 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 10.2% 14.0 2.0 5.8 2.4
Lose Out 0.7% 1.2% 16.0 1.2