Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.3 196
Expected Predictive Rating +0.0 161
Pace 68.5 191
Improvement +2.9 67

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #142 C- D+ B- C+ B
Defense D+ #275 C- D+ D+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 116 53% 306 -0.8 207
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 295 36% 225 -2.4 295
Three Pointers 44% 123 34% 194 +1.4 129
1st FG Attempt 0.98 224 -1.8 225
Second Chance 28.5% 235 0.95 292 0.27 270
Turnovers 15.2% 80
Freethrows 0.32 128 73% 170 0.23 132
Total Offense +0.8 142

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 15 55% 113 -3.4 298
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 265 39% 228 +0.9 119
Three Pointers 36% 319 36% 265 +1.5 120
1st FG Attempt 1.04 216 -1.0 214
Second Chance 31.1% 204 1.13 318 0.35 279
Turnovers 15.4% 268
Freethrows 0.29 157 77% 356 0.23 218
Total Defense -3.1 275

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.9 65 +0.9 336
Shot Type Accuracy -2.6 267 +0.1 185
Possession Length 17.8 234 16.7 77
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 306 0.17 159
Improvement +4.0 #16 -1.1 #253

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.7% 16.2% 13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 25.6% 38.1% 16.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% 0.3% 0.8%
First Round14.5% 16.1% 13.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Away) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 417 - 320 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 91 @George Mason L 46 - 70 15% -9  0% 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -21 F D F B +4 B D B
 Sat, Nov 8 268 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86 - 76 74% +12  98% 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 D- B+ D+ C+ +1 C+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 28 @Auburn L 62 - 93 4% -19  2% 1 - 2 D- -13 F+ -9 D- D- C+ C- -3 C F+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 278 @Bellarmine W 94 - 86 56% +8  84% 2 - 2 C+ +4 A- +10 A+ F D+ D -6 C- F F
 Wed, Nov 19 347 North Florida W 86 - 78 88% +1  41% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D- -6 D- A- D+ C -2 D A D-
 Wed, Nov 26 200 @Northern Kentucky L 83 - 93 39% -2  21% 3 - 3 D -10 C+ +3 F+ D- A F -12 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 260 @Eastern Kentucky W 83 - 77 51% +8  91% 4 - 3 C+ +3 C +1 F+ D A+ B- +3 A F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 272 Presbyterian W 63 - 56 75% +4  76% 5 - 3 C- -2 F+ -10 F D- A+ A- +8 A D- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 216 Elon L 52 - 73 64% -21  0% 5 - 4 F -27 F -22 F F C+ D- -8 F+ A B-
 Mon, Dec 15 363 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 57 89% +11  89% 6 - 4 B +11 C +1 F+ A+ D+ A- +10 B A- B
 Wed, Dec 17 90 @Wichita St. L 73 - 84 15% -7  0% 6 - 5 C- -2 B +7 C B+ B+ F+ -10 F+ C+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 282 @Western Carolina W 79 - 74 56% +3  74% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C +1 D+ -2 C- D+ D+ B- +3 B+ C B
 Sat, Jan 3 335 @The Citadel W 95 - 86 72% +8  94% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C +1 A+ +20 A+ F C- F -19 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 7 305 UNC Greensboro W 97 - 85 80% +11  92% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 A+ +15 D A+ A+ F -14 F F D
 Sat, Jan 10 170 @Mercer L 97 - 109 33% -7  3% 9 - 6 3 - 1 D -10 A +13 B- B+ B F -22 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 14 280 Chattanooga L 67 - 76 76% +2  61% 9 - 7 3 - 2 F -19 F -12 D- F A- D -7 F A- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 174 @Furman W 74 - 70 33% -3  18% 10 - 7 4 - 2 B- +6 B+ +8 B C+ B C -1 A F C-
 Wed, Jan 21 212 Samford W 88 - 78 63% +1  55% 11 - 7 5 - 2 C+ +4 A+ +14 A+ C- B F+ -9 F+ F+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 170 Mercer W 80 - 77 55% +1  60% 12 - 7 6 - 2 C -1 C +2 C- A- B C- -2 C- A+ D
 Thu, Jan 29 280 @Chattanooga W 81 - 55 56% +13  88% 13 - 7 7 - 2 A +22 B+ +8 C D+ A A+ +15 A B- C-
 Sun, Feb 1 129 East Tennessee St. L 72 - 86 45% -5  4% 13 - 8 7 - 3 F+ -15 C +1 D+ B A F -17 B+ F F
 Wed, Feb 4 358 @VMI W 81 - 67 82% +12  93% 14 - 8 8 - 3 C+ +2 C +1 C+ F A C+ +2 D- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 282 Western Carolina W 77 - 66 76% +5  75% 15 - 8 9 - 3 C +1 D -4 C+ F F+ B +6 A D- D+
 Wed, Feb 11 212 @Samford L 76 - 78 41%
 Sat, Feb 14 305 @UNC Greensboro W 79 - 76 61%
 Wed, Feb 18 358 VMI W 85 - 69 93%
 Sat, Feb 21 174 Furman W 75 - 73 55%
 Wed, Feb 25 129 @East Tennessee St. L 71 - 78 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 335 The Citadel W 79 - 67 87%
Totals 19 - 10 13 - 5 -2 C +1 C- D+ B- D+ -3 C- D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D C- C D+ 41% 15% 44% B C- C- D+ D+ B- C+ C C+ D+ C+ C- D+ C 46% 18% 36% D C- C D D+ D+ C+ F C-
1.10 53% 36% 34% -3 +1 0.98 29% 0.9 .27 15% .32 73% .23 1.13 55% 39% 36% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.1 .35 15% .29 77% .25
Nov
3		 George Mason F B- F F F 19% 19% 62% C- F C- F D F A- F B- B C+ B B- B 42% 25% 33% C+ B B+ F D B A D B+
0.71 63% 13% 23% -14 -1 0.71 26% 0.7 .18 25% .33 63% .20 1.08 60% 33% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.4 .37 18% .30 75% .23
Nov
8		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- D B F F 57% 13% 30% B+ D- A C- B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A- A F B- 45% 24% 31% D C+ A+ F A F C- F D-
1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40 1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22
Nov
11		 Auburn F+ C C- F F+ 40% 20% 40% B- D- D- D- D- C+ F A- F C- B- F D C- 35% 22% 44% A C F B- F+ B- A A A+
0.87 55% 36% 23% -8 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14 1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20
Nov
15		 Bellarmine A- B- F A+ A+ 38% 4% 57% A A+ F F F D+ A+ B A+ D D+ F A- C 57% 11% 31% F+ C- F C- F F F D+ F
1.33 67% 0% 59% +24 +2 1.53 24% 0.2 .04 17% .50 76% .38 1.22 65% 67% 29% +5 +3 1.17 28% 1.1 .31 11% .42 81% .34
Nov
19		 North Florida D- D+ A+ F F 50% 4% 46% A D- C- A+ A- D+ A+ F+ A- C C A F D 36% 12% 53% C- D A+ D- A D- A+ B+ A+
1.18 58% 100% 25% -4 +3 1.00 36% 1.5 .56 14% .40 64% .25 1.07 57% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 12% 1.3 .15 15% .13 75% .10
Nov
26		 Northern Kentucky C+ F F A D- 37% 26% 37% D F+ D+ F D- A A+ B+ A+ F F+ A C- F+ 55% 22% 24% C- D- C F F F F D F
1.12 47% 25% 41% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 15% .68 74% .51 1.25 68% 27% 33% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.4 .42 12% .52 76% .40
Nov
29		 Eastern Kentucky C C D+ D- F+ 29% 20% 51% C- F+ D+ D D A+ A+ C+ A+ B- B- A+ B+ A+ 28% 20% 52% D+ A D+ F F D- C F D+
1.15 60% 40% 31% -1 -1 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 8% .49 75% .36 1.07 53% 17% 29% -9 -1 0.82 36% 1.4 .51 14% .26 81% .21
Dec
3		 Presbyterian F+ F C D F 39% 10% 51% B- F B F D- A+ C+ B C+ A- A+ A+ C- A+ 69% 11% 20% F A D- D D- C- B- B+ B
1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22 0.89 39% 20% 33% -15 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20
Dec
6		 Elon F F+ F F F 32% 4% 64% A- F D- F F C+ C F D D- B- F F F+ 52% 9% 39% D F+ F+ A+ A B- B- F C
0.85 47% 0% 23% -15 +2 0.74 28% 0.7 .20 15% .29 60% .17 1.20 54% 75% 44% +7 +3 1.22 39% 0.5 .21 18% .28 79% .22
Dec
15		 Gardner-Webb C F+ B- C F 39% 20% 41% C- F+ A+ B A+ D+ B+ F+ C+ A- B- F A+ B 48% 22% 30% C B A+ D+ A- B D- F F
1.20 53% 40% 35% -1 0 1.00 49% 1.2 .57 16% .34 65% .22 0.82 50% 50% 14% -10 +1 0.83 13% 1.0 .13 23% .32 88% .28
Dec
17		 Wichita St. B D- A+ F+ C- 37% 18% 45% B+ C A C- B+ B+ A+ C+ A+ F+ F F+ C F 42% 24% 33% B- F+ A- D- C+ D F D+ F
1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32 1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43
Dec
31		 Western Carolina D+ F A+ B D+ 32% 12% 56% B- C- D B- D+ D+ B+ D- B- B- B- A+ A+ A+ 61% 4% 35% F B+ F A C B F C F
1.11 44% 67% 39% +3 +1 1.10 24% 1.1 .26 17% .39 70% .27 1.04 52% 0% 22% -12 +4 0.86 43% 0.7 .30 20% .51 69% .35
Jan
3		 The Citadel A+ D+ D- A+ A+ 38% 6% 56% B A+ B+ F F C- B+ B+ A- F C- A- F F 43% 14% 43% D- F F F F C+ D+ F F
1.43 58% 33% 61% +22 +2 1.50 38% 0.5 .21 15% .35 75% .27 1.29 57% 29% 48% +7 +1 1.18 41% 1.7 .70 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 UNC Greensboro A+ F A B D- 39% 14% 46% B D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F B+ B+ F F 44% 19% 37% F+ F D F F D C+ B- B-
1.40 45% 50% 38% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.8 .60 6% .40 73% .29 1.23 48% 30% 53% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.3 .42 13% .35 67% .23
Jan
10		 Mercer A F C A+ C+ 41% 8% 51% B+ B- C A+ B+ B A B- A F F A+ F F 54% 10% 35% F F B F F C+ F F F
1.27 38% 40% 50% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.2 .40 16% .34 77% .26 1.42 73% 20% 59% +20 +2 1.46 30% 1.7 .52 17% .49 87% .42
Jan
14		 Chattanooga F F F C F+ 35% 17% 48% C D- F F F A- B+ F C D C F F F 38% 14% 48% D- F A- A+ A- D+ D C+ D+
0.97 47% 22% 35% -6 0 0.91 23% 0.3 .08 10% .40 64% .26 1.10 58% 57% 42% +8 +1 1.20 14% 0.8 .10 15% .32 74% .24
Jan
17		 Furman B+ B+ A D B- 44% 16% 40% B+ B D A C+ B C- B+ C C A+ F A A- 23% 26% 51% A+ A F F F C- C- F D-
1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 13% .23 77% .18 1.10 45% 58% 25% -5 -2 0.89 37% 1.4 .51 19% .29 80% .23
Jan
21		 Samford A+ A A+ A+ A+ 55% 19% 26% A+ A+ F A+ C- B A+ C- A+ F+ D- F B F+ 41% 12% 47% F F+ D+ F F+ C- A+ F B+
1.34 69% 56% 50% +16 +1 1.36 14% 2.0 .29 11% .41 75% .31 1.19 67% 67% 29% +4 +1 1.12 27% 1.3 .33 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
24		 Mercer C F+ D+ A+ D+ 52% 21% 27% B- C- B A A- B C A- C+ C- C+ D- C C 43% 13% 44% F C- A+ A+ A+ D D F F
1.15 48% 36% 50% +1 +1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .26 80% .20 1.10 57% 43% 33% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.2 .06 14% .37 86% .32
Jan
29		 Chattanooga B+ D F+ B+ C- 48% 13% 39% B+ C A- F D+ A C- F D A+ B C+ A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% D+ A D- A+ B- C- D- A+ C+
1.22 54% 29% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 9% .33 65% .22 0.83 53% 38% 21% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.7 .17 15% .34 58% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 East Tennessee St. C D- A+ F+ D- 58% 8% 34% A D+ F A+ B A C A B- F B+ A B- A 59% 14% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
1.11 52% 75% 29% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 15% .29 81% .24 1.32 52% 29% 31% -6 +2 0.94 38% 1.7 .66 9% .47 93% .44
Feb
4		 VMI C A+ F A B- 27% 22% 51% D C+ F F F A A B- A C+ C- B- C- D- 42% 17% 40% D+ D- A- A+ A+ F D+ D D
1.20 79% 27% 42% +10 -1 1.20 22% 0.5 .11 12% .40 75% .30 0.99 55% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 21% 0.4 .08 12% .32 74% .23
Feb
7		 Western Carolina D A- B- D+ C+ 49% 17% 34% B+ C+ F C- F F+ F A+ F+ B A A+ A A+ 51% 7% 42% F A B- F D- D+ A+ A A+
1.12 69% 44% 33% +6 +1 1.17 15% 1.0 .15 19% .22 92% .20 0.96 43% 25% 26% -14 +3 0.80 32% 1.2 .39 16% .17 60% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1.3 8.9 11.9 3.4 25.6 1st
2nd 0.1 4.5 24.8 24.5 5.6 59.5 2nd
3rd 0.6 7.0 4.2 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 1.5 2.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.1 2.1 13.1 30.3 33.4 17.5 3.4 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 3.4    3.0 0.5
14-4 68.2% 11.9    6.5 5.5
13-5 26.6% 8.9    2.0 5.6 1.3
12-6 4.2% 1.3    0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 25.6% 25.6 11.5 11.9 2.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 3.4% 21.6% 21.6% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 2.7
14-4 17.5% 17.5% 17.5% 14.7 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.1 14.4
13-5 33.4% 16.1% 16.1% 15.0 0.1 0.9 3.5 0.9 28.1
12-6 30.3% 12.8% 12.8% 15.4 0.2 2.1 1.6 26.4
11-7 13.1% 11.2% 11.2% 15.5 0.1 0.6 0.8 11.6
10-8 2.1% 9.3% 9.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.9
9-9 0.1% 0.0 0.1
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.7% 14.7% 0.0% 15.0 85.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 13.9 1.4 24.3 62.2 12.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%