Mercer
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#232
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#245
Pace71.6#110
Improvement+2.0#58

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#196
First Shot+0.8#154
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#274
Layup/Dunks+3.7#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#255
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#194
Freethrows-1.0#241
Improvement+2.3#31

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#277
First Shot-1.6#223
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#282
Layups/Dunks-0.6#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#75
Freethrows-3.2#336
Improvement-0.3#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.3% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 31.7% 40.2% 18.8%
.500 or above in Conference 43.4% 48.3% 35.9%
Conference Champion 3.3% 4.2% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 4.5% 8.1%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.8%
First Round3.3% 4.0% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Away) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 84 - 12
Quad 410 - 513 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2024 97   @ DePaul L 64-95 13%     0 - 1 -22.4 -11.2 -8.7
  Nov 16, 2024 206   @ South Alabama L 66-75 32%     0 - 2 -8.1 -4.7 -3.5
  Nov 21, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 72-84 8%     0 - 3 -0.6 +7.3 -8.1
  Nov 25, 2024 212   Jacksonville W 90-89 OT 45%     1 - 3 -1.4 +6.8 -8.3
  Nov 26, 2024 198   Miami (OH) L 72-75 42%     1 - 4 -4.7 -4.7 +0.2
  Dec 04, 2024 349   West Georgia W 86-72 86%     2 - 4 -1.6 +11.8 -12.5
  Dec 08, 2024 329   @ Stetson W 78-75 60%    
  Dec 15, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 82-69 89%    
  Dec 18, 2024 290   @ Queens L 78-79 49%    
  Dec 21, 2024 179   @ Winthrop L 75-81 30%    
  Dec 28, 2024 230   @ Georgia St. L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 01, 2025 200   Chattanooga W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 04, 2025 346   @ VMI W 78-73 69%    
  Jan 08, 2025 135   East Tennessee St. L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 11, 2025 263   @ Western Carolina L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 15, 2025 121   Samford L 84-87 38%    
  Jan 18, 2025 142   @ Wofford L 70-78 24%    
  Jan 22, 2025 160   @ UNC Greensboro L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 119   Furman L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 29, 2025 325   The Citadel W 74-66 77%    
  Feb 01, 2025 200   @ Chattanooga L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 05, 2025 121   @ Samford L 81-90 20%    
  Feb 08, 2025 142   Wofford L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 12, 2025 119   @ Furman L 69-78 20%    
  Feb 15, 2025 346   VMI W 81-70 84%    
  Feb 19, 2025 325   @ The Citadel W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 160   UNC Greensboro L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 26, 2025 135   @ East Tennessee St. L 70-78 23%    
  Mar 01, 2025 263   Western Carolina W 79-74 66%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 3.1 2.5 0.6 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.2 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.2 4.4 0.9 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.5 6.3 5.0 1.1 0.1 15.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.0 7.1 5.0 1.2 0.0 18.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 4.5 5.7 3.4 0.7 0.0 16.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.1 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.3 8.6 11.3 13.4 13.9 12.7 10.9 8.2 5.7 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 90.3% 0.7    0.5 0.1
14-4 66.4% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1
13-5 25.3% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.0% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 37.9% 37.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 23.0% 23.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.7% 20.5% 20.5% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.8% 17.0% 17.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
13-5 3.1% 11.8% 11.8% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
12-6 5.7% 10.4% 10.4% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 5.1
11-7 8.2% 6.7% 6.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 7.6
10-8 10.9% 4.5% 4.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 10.4
9-9 12.7% 3.8% 3.8% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 12.3
8-10 13.9% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 13.6
7-11 13.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.2
6-12 11.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.2
5-13 8.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.5
4-14 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.2
3-15 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
2-16 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.2 96.4 0.0%