North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#214
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#201
Pace66.6#263
Improvement+1.1#102

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#228
First Shot-6.0#338
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#16
Layup/Dunks-1.5#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#225
Freethrows-2.3#307
Improvement-0.7#241

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#207
First Shot+1.0#134
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#317
Layups/Dunks-0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#182
Freethrows+0.8#123
Improvement+1.8#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 12.8% 9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 56.8% 75.0% 51.0%
.500 or above in Conference 76.8% 84.0% 74.5%
Conference Champion 11.3% 14.9% 10.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.6% 1.9%
First Four1.2% 0.9% 1.4%
First Round9.7% 12.3% 8.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Away) - 24.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 412 - 615 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 85 @Mississippi St. L 62-86 12%     0 - 1 -14.4 -8.1 -5.8
  Tue, Nov 11 273 Northwestern St. W 87-83 OT 71%     1 - 1 -5.0 +2.3 -7.6
  Sat, Nov 15 123 East Tennessee St. L 74-78 38%     1 - 2 -4.2 +2.6 -6.9
  Mon, Nov 17 37 @Clemson L 61-81 5%     1 - 3 -4.5 +3.0 -9.8
  Sat, Nov 22 246 @Chattanooga L 57-71 45%     1 - 4 -16.0 -9.3 -9.0
  Mon, Dec 1 271 @Jacksonville St. W 73-66 48%     2 - 4 +4.1 +6.0 -1.5
  Wed, Dec 3 94 @San Francisco W 65-63 13%     3 - 4 +10.6 +0.8 +9.9
  Mon, Dec 15 281 @Alabama A&M L 60-68 50%     3 - 5 -11.4 -8.6 -3.3
  Fri, Dec 19 145 @Loyola Marymount L 64-71 24%    
  Thu, Jan 1 346 Stetson W 77-66 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 183 Florida Gulf Coast W 74-73 55%    
  Thu, Jan 8 241 @Eastern Kentucky L 72-74 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 274 @Bellarmine L 72-73 49%    
  Thu, Jan 15 350 North Florida W 85-73 87%    
  Sat, Jan 17 311 Jacksonville W 73-65 78%    
  Wed, Jan 21 211 @Queens L 76-79 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 283 Central Arkansas W 74-68 71%    
  Thu, Jan 29 183 @Florida Gulf Coast L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 346 @Stetson W 74-69 68%    
  Wed, Feb 4 283 @Central Arkansas W 71-70 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 190 @Austin Peay L 67-71 35%    
  Wed, Feb 11 312 West Georgia W 76-68 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 241 Eastern Kentucky W 75-71 65%    
  Wed, Feb 18 211 Queens W 79-76 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 142 @Lipscomb L 69-77 25%    
  Wed, Feb 25 274 Bellarmine W 76-70 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 312 @West Georgia W 73-71 58%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.5 3.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 11.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.9 5.5 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 14.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.4 5.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.8 5.7 2.5 0.3 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.0 6.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.4 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.1 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.3 0.6 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.8 6.5 9.4 12.1 14.0 14.0 12.9 10.5 7.0 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.4% 0.6    0.5 0.0
16-2 93.8% 1.8    1.5 0.3 0.0
15-3 76.7% 3.0    2.0 0.8 0.1
14-4 49.8% 3.5    1.6 1.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 18.7% 2.0    0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 6.2 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 52.2% 52.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 37.7% 37.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.9% 31.1% 31.1% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.3
15-3 3.9% 28.4% 28.4% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 2.8
14-4 7.0% 21.3% 21.3% 14.5 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 5.5
13-5 10.5% 17.6% 17.6% 14.9 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 8.7
12-6 12.9% 12.9% 12.9% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 11.2
11-7 14.0% 10.1% 10.1% 15.4 0.1 0.7 0.6 12.6
10-8 14.0% 7.3% 7.3% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 12.9
9-9 12.1% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.5 11.6
8-10 9.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 9.2
7-11 6.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.4
6-12 3.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.8
5-13 1.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-14 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 14.9 0.1 0.7 2.2 4.3 3.0 89.7 0.0%