UNLV
Mountain West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#104
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#137
Pace64.4#306
Improvement-0.8#235

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#98
First Shot+2.9#98
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#185
Layup/Dunks+1.2#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#293
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#182
Freethrows+3.8#27
Improvement-1.5#294

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#122
First Shot+3.1#87
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#290
Layups/Dunks+3.8#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#265
Freethrows+1.8#73
Improvement+0.7#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 6.8% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 2.0% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.3 10.6 11.5
.500 or above 58.9% 78.8% 54.9%
.500 or above in Conference 56.9% 67.8% 54.7%
Conference Champion 2.6% 4.7% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.6% 1.5%
First Four0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round3.7% 6.4% 3.2%
Second Round1.0% 2.1% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 16.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 8
Quad 22 - 54 - 13
Quad 34 - 27 - 15
Quad 410 - 117 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 285   Alabama St. W 93-79 90%     1 - 0 +4.5 +15.9 -11.4
  Nov 09, 2024 32   Memphis L 74-80 30%     1 - 1 +3.9 +3.1 +0.9
  Nov 14, 2024 306   Nebraska Omaha W 80-69 91%     2 - 1 +0.6 -2.3 +2.4
  Nov 20, 2024 258   Pepperdine W 80-59 88%     3 - 1 +12.6 +10.8 +3.7
  Nov 23, 2024 218   New Mexico St. W 72-65 84%     4 - 1 +0.9 +1.6 -0.3
  Nov 28, 2024 15   Mississippi St. L 58-80 16%     4 - 2 -6.8 -4.9 -3.2
  Nov 29, 2024 66   Northwestern L 61-66 33%     4 - 3 +4.0 +2.1 +1.2
  Dec 07, 2024 40   @ Creighton L 66-76 17%    
  Dec 14, 2024 277   Pacific W 77-63 90%    
  Dec 17, 2024 46   @ Dayton L 66-75 20%    
  Dec 21, 2024 175   UC Riverside W 73-65 78%    
  Dec 28, 2024 255   Fresno St. W 80-67 88%    
  Dec 31, 2024 286   @ Air Force W 69-61 76%    
  Jan 04, 2025 194   San Jose St. W 73-64 79%    
  Jan 07, 2025 53   @ Boise St. L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 11, 2025 99   @ Colorado St. L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 15, 2025 52   Utah St. L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 37   @ San Diego St. L 61-72 17%    
  Jan 21, 2025 177   Wyoming W 73-65 77%    
  Jan 25, 2025 65   New Mexico L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 29, 2025 52   @ Utah St. L 68-76 23%    
  Feb 01, 2025 48   @ Nevada L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 04, 2025 53   Boise St. L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 177   @ Wyoming W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 11, 2025 286   Air Force W 72-58 89%    
  Feb 15, 2025 255   @ Fresno St. W 77-70 72%    
  Feb 22, 2025 99   Colorado St. W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 25, 2025 194   @ San Jose St. W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 28, 2025 48   Nevada L 66-69 39%    
  Mar 04, 2025 37   San Diego St. L 64-69 34%    
  Mar 07, 2025 65   @ New Mexico L 73-81 25%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.5 0.6 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.2 3.8 1.0 0.1 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.5 4.8 1.1 0.0 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.6 7.1 4.9 1.2 0.0 19.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 3.0 6.3 6.9 4.0 0.8 0.0 21.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.1 3.1 1.1 0.2 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.2 5.3 8.3 11.1 13.1 14.0 12.8 11.1 8.2 5.4 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 90.1% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 83.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 60.7% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 21.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 96.4% 35.7% 60.7% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.4%
18-2 0.2% 65.9% 14.3% 51.6% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 60.3%
17-3 0.6% 41.0% 22.3% 18.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 24.1%
16-4 1.6% 30.7% 19.4% 11.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.1 13.9%
15-5 3.1% 15.0% 12.6% 2.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6 2.7%
14-6 5.4% 9.6% 8.4% 1.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.9 1.2%
13-7 8.2% 6.6% 6.4% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 7.7 0.2%
12-8 11.1% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.6 0.0%
11-9 12.8% 2.9% 2.9% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 12.4
10-10 14.0% 2.2% 2.2% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.7
9-11 13.1% 0.9% 0.9% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
8-12 11.1% 0.7% 0.7% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.0
7-13 8.3% 0.4% 0.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2
6-14 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 5.3
5-15 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-16 1.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 3.8% 3.3% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.6 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 96.2 0.6%