Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#183
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#236
Pace70.8#151
Improvement+0.6#135

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#148
First Shot-0.2#179
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#124
Layup/Dunks+1.5#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#203
Freethrows-1.5#276
Improvement-2.2#333

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#244
First Shot-2.9#276
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#139
Layups/Dunks-0.5#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#146
Freethrows-4.6#358
Improvement+2.8#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.6% 21.4% 16.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.2 15.0
.500 or above 71.5% 87.5% 70.0%
.500 or above in Conference 88.3% 92.7% 87.8%
Conference Champion 21.4% 29.1% 20.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 0.5%
First Four1.7% 0.6% 1.8%
First Round15.9% 21.2% 15.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 8.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 617 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 12 @Illinois L 70-113 3%     0 - 1 -22.1 +0.2 -19.5
  Tue, Nov 11 219 Georgia Southern L 94-95 68%     0 - 2 -7.5 +12.4 -19.9
  Sat, Nov 15 246 Chattanooga W 91-73 73%     1 - 2 +10.0 +13.7 -3.5
  Wed, Nov 19 233 @Samford W 77-62 48%     2 - 2 +13.9 +3.8 +10.3
  Mon, Nov 24 300 Oral Roberts W 93-88 80%     3 - 2 -5.4 +9.0 -14.7
  Tue, Nov 25 205 Rice W 78-63 OT 66%     4 - 2 +9.0 -7.4 +14.6
  Wed, Nov 26 156 Kennesaw St. L 100-102 OT 54%     4 - 3 -4.7 +5.9 -10.2
  Wed, Dec 3 186 @Florida International L 83-89 39%     4 - 4 -4.8 +4.5 -8.8
  Sun, Dec 7 117 Florida Atlantic L 76-81 43%     4 - 5 -4.8 +1.8 -6.6
  Sun, Dec 14 74 @New Mexico L 59-75 13%     4 - 6 -5.2 -6.4 +0.8
  Sat, Dec 20 55 @Central Florida L 73-88 9%    
  Thu, Jan 1 283 @Central Arkansas W 76-74 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 214 @North Alabama L 73-74 45%    
  Thu, Jan 8 190 Austin Peay W 75-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 142 Lipscomb W 78-77 51%    
  Thu, Jan 15 211 Queens W 84-79 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 312 West Georgia W 81-71 83%    
  Thu, Jan 22 190 @Austin Peay L 72-75 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 142 @Lipscomb L 75-81 30%    
  Thu, Jan 29 214 North Alabama W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 311 @Jacksonville W 75-71 64%    
  Thu, Feb 5 241 @Eastern Kentucky W 78-77 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 274 @Bellarmine W 77-76 56%    
  Wed, Feb 11 350 North Florida W 91-77 89%    
  Sat, Feb 14 346 Stetson W 82-69 88%    
  Thu, Feb 19 311 Jacksonville W 78-68 82%    
  Sat, Feb 21 283 Central Arkansas W 79-71 76%    
  Thu, Feb 26 350 @North Florida W 88-80 76%    
  Sat, Feb 28 346 @Stetson W 79-72 74%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 3.2 6.2 6.0 3.6 1.4 0.3 21.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.7 7.2 4.2 1.2 0.1 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.7 6.8 3.4 0.5 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 6.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 5.3 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.0 0.3 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.3 5.8 8.9 11.9 14.6 15.1 14.2 11.0 7.2 3.7 1.4 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4 0.0
16-2 97.6% 3.6    3.2 0.4 0.0
15-3 83.2% 6.0    4.3 1.6 0.1
14-4 56.4% 6.2    3.0 2.5 0.6 0.0
13-5 22.5% 3.2    0.8 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 21.4% 21.4 13.1 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 48.2% 48.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.4% 45.1% 45.1% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8
16-2 3.7% 37.5% 37.5% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.3
15-3 7.2% 32.1% 32.1% 14.4 0.2 1.1 1.0 0.1 4.9
14-4 11.0% 25.3% 25.3% 14.7 0.2 0.8 1.5 0.3 8.2
13-5 14.2% 20.7% 20.7% 15.0 0.0 0.6 1.7 0.6 11.2
12-6 15.1% 15.9% 15.9% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.9 12.7
11-7 14.6% 12.5% 12.5% 15.6 0.0 0.8 1.0 12.8
10-8 11.9% 10.1% 10.1% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 10.7
9-9 8.9% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 8.3
8-10 5.8% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.6
7-11 3.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 3.2
6-12 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.6
5-13 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 16.6% 16.6% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.6 6.9 4.7 83.4 0.0%