Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#60
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#71
Pace70.0#166
Improvement-5.0#362

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#42
First Shot+5.3#51
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#64
Layup/Dunks+5.5#29
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
Freethrows-0.2#195
Improvement-3.0#354

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#117
First Shot+2.4#102
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#243
Layups/Dunks+7.7#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#319
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#343
Freethrows+2.0#61
Improvement-1.9#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 2.1% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.3% 29.0% 12.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.0% 28.6% 12.6%
Average Seed 9.2 9.0 9.4
.500 or above 62.7% 79.9% 56.0%
.500 or above in Conference 20.0% 33.9% 14.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 7.8% 20.0%
First Four4.4% 6.2% 3.7%
First Round15.0% 25.6% 10.9%
Second Round6.3% 11.1% 4.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 2.4% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 28.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 12
Quad 23 - 36 - 15
Quad 32 - 08 - 15
Quad 49 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 265 @Howard W 88-67 86%     1 - 0 +18.3 +14.0 +3.8
  Fri, Nov 7 215 Southeast Missouri St. W 89-84 92%     2 - 0 -1.5 +4.7 -6.7
  Sun, Nov 9 332 VMI W 106-68 97%     3 - 0 +24.7 +16.6 +5.3
  Wed, Nov 12 96 Minnesota W 83-60 72%     4 - 0 +25.8 +22.9 +5.9
  Mon, Nov 17 320 Prairie View W 91-73 97%     5 - 0 +5.5 +5.0 -0.9
  Thu, Nov 20 291 South Dakota W 102-68 95%     6 - 0 +24.2 +16.4 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 25 358 South Carolina St. W 98-66 98%     7 - 0 +14.1 +16.8 -2.8
  Fri, Nov 28 334 Cleveland St. W 86-59 97%     8 - 0 +13.5 +3.0 +10.2
  Tue, Dec 2 64 @Notre Dame L 71-76 40%     8 - 1 +6.4 +5.4 +0.9
  Sun, Dec 7 17 @Kansas L 60-80 14%     8 - 2 +0.4 +3.5 -4.4
  Thu, Dec 11 281 Alabama St. W 85-77 95%     9 - 2 -1.5 +16.5 -17.0
  Sun, Dec 14 269 Bethune-Cookman W 82-60 94%     10 - 2 +13.1 +8.2 +5.8
  Mon, Dec 22 10 Illinois L 48-91 15%     10 - 3 -23.0 -11.6 -16.8
  Sat, Jan 3 12 Florida L 75-81 28%    
  Wed, Jan 7 20 @Kentucky L 73-83 16%    
  Sat, Jan 10 63 @Mississippi L 73-76 40%    
  Wed, Jan 14 34 Auburn L 79-81 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 39 @LSU L 75-82 27%    
  Tue, Jan 20 22 Georgia L 85-89 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 45 Oklahoma W 80-79 52%    
  Tue, Jan 27 15 @Alabama L 82-94 14%    
  Sat, Jan 31 80 Mississippi St. W 80-75 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 90 @South Carolina L 74-75 48%    
  Wed, Feb 11 43 @Texas A&M L 80-86 29%    
  Sat, Feb 14 41 Texas L 79-80 49%    
  Wed, Feb 18 9 Vanderbilt L 77-85 22%    
  Sat, Feb 21 23 @Arkansas L 78-87 20%    
  Tue, Feb 24 14 Tennessee L 72-78 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 80 @Mississippi St. L 77-78 46%    
  Tue, Mar 3 45 @Oklahoma L 77-83 31%    
  Sat, Mar 7 23 Arkansas L 81-84 38%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.7 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 0.3 2.3 1.6 0.1 4.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.8 1.9 0.1 6.5 9th
10th 0.3 3.1 4.2 0.5 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.5 1.8 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.0 1.2 5.5 3.7 0.3 10.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 4.6 5.5 1.1 0.0 12.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 3.7 5.9 2.0 0.1 12.5 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 3.3 4.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.6 15th
16th 0.3 1.2 3.0 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.5 16th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.8 7.3 10.9 14.4 15.7 14.3 12.0 8.7 5.6 3.3 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 75.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 44.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 5.2% 94.8% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.6% 98.9% 2.7% 96.2% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9%
12-6 1.4% 95.4% 3.6% 91.7% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 95.2%
11-7 3.3% 90.3% 1.8% 88.4% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.3 90.1%
10-8 5.6% 76.6% 0.8% 75.8% 9.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.0 1.3 76.4%
9-9 8.7% 54.8% 0.7% 54.1% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.9 1.4 0.0 4.0 54.5%
8-10 12.0% 19.3% 0.4% 18.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 0.1 9.7 18.9%
7-11 14.3% 4.3% 0.2% 4.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 13.7 4.1%
6-12 15.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.6 0.1%
5-13 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 14.4
4-14 10.9% 10.9
3-15 7.3% 7.3
2-16 3.8% 3.8
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 17.3% 0.4% 17.0% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.9 3.7 4.3 3.9 0.2 82.7 17.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%