Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#50
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#70
Pace70.3#167
Improvement-2.5#330

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#26
First Shot+6.6#27
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#73
Layup/Dunks+6.2#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#197
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement-0.8#251

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#99
First Shot+1.3#122
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#116
Layups/Dunks+6.8#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#307
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#351
Freethrows+2.7#45
Improvement-1.6#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 6.0% 6.2% 2.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.8% 37.5% 22.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.9% 36.7% 22.0%
Average Seed 8.4 8.4 8.9
.500 or above 80.4% 81.6% 57.3%
.500 or above in Conference 37.9% 38.5% 26.0%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 8.1% 15.1%
First Four5.8% 5.8% 5.3%
First Round33.8% 34.6% 19.3%
Second Round17.1% 17.6% 8.5%
Sweet Sixteen4.1% 4.3% 1.3%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Home) - 95.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 54 - 11
Quad 24 - 28 - 14
Quad 32 - 010 - 14
Quad 49 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 310 @Howard W 88-67 92%     1 - 0 +15.7 +11.2 +4.0
  Fri, Nov 7 217 Southeast Missouri St. W 89-84 94%     2 - 0 -1.4 +5.5 -7.4
  Sun, Nov 9 331 VMI W 106-68 98%     3 - 0 +24.7 +17.5 +4.3
  Wed, Nov 12 102 Minnesota W 83-60 81%     4 - 0 +24.5 +22.0 +5.5
  Mon, Nov 17 322 Prairie View W 91-73 97%     5 - 0 +5.8 +6.0 -1.7
  Thu, Nov 20 283 South Dakota W 102-68 96%     6 - 0 +24.5 +16.8 +5.8
  Tue, Nov 25 358 South Carolina St. W 98-66 99%     7 - 0 +14.6 +18.4 -3.8
  Fri, Nov 28 325 Cleveland St. W 86-59 97%     8 - 0 +14.6 +4.1 +10.3
  Tue, Dec 2 59 @Notre Dame L 71-76 43%     8 - 1 +7.4 +5.5 +1.8
  Sun, Dec 7 17 @Kansas L 60-80 20%     8 - 2 -0.2 +2.6 -4.2
  Thu, Dec 11 262 Alabama St. W 85-77 95%     9 - 2 -0.5 +16.8 -16.3
  Sun, Dec 14 224 Bethune-Cookman W 85-68 95%    
  Mon, Dec 22 11 Illinois L 77-85 23%    
  Sat, Jan 3 15 Florida L 78-82 35%    
  Wed, Jan 7 24 @Kentucky L 77-84 25%    
  Sat, Jan 10 57 @Mississippi L 74-76 42%    
  Wed, Jan 14 27 Auburn L 80-81 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 38 @LSU L 77-81 35%    
  Tue, Jan 20 19 Georgia L 86-88 44%    
  Sat, Jan 24 52 Oklahoma W 82-79 62%    
  Tue, Jan 27 9 @Alabama L 83-94 15%    
  Sat, Jan 31 82 Mississippi St. W 81-74 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 86 @South Carolina W 76-74 56%    
  Wed, Feb 11 44 @Texas A&M L 80-83 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 42 Texas W 81-79 58%    
  Wed, Feb 18 12 Vanderbilt L 80-85 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 25 @Arkansas L 76-83 26%    
  Tue, Feb 24 18 Tennessee L 74-77 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 82 @Mississippi St. W 78-77 53%    
  Tue, Mar 3 52 @Oklahoma L 79-82 40%    
  Sat, Mar 7 25 Arkansas L 79-80 45%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 2.6 0.5 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.0 6th
7th 0.4 3.3 2.8 0.2 6.7 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 4.6 0.9 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.7 2.6 0.1 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.6 0.7 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.6 5.5 2.0 0.1 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 4.6 3.5 0.4 0.0 9.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.4 1.1 0.0 8.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.8 1.7 0.1 7.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.4 15th
16th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.5 16th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.5 6.1 9.3 12.6 14.3 14.1 12.5 10.1 7.1 4.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 91.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 78.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 46.4% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 28.6% 71.4% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 13.5% 86.5% 4.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.1% 100.0% 8.2% 91.8% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.3% 99.4% 7.6% 91.8% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
12-6 4.4% 98.0% 4.4% 93.7% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.0%
11-7 7.1% 94.3% 3.4% 90.9% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 94.1%
10-8 10.1% 84.2% 1.9% 82.4% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.2 2.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 1.6 83.9%
9-9 12.5% 63.4% 1.2% 62.2% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.7 1.6 0.0 4.6 62.9%
8-10 14.1% 29.8% 0.7% 29.1% 10.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.0 0.1 9.9 29.3%
7-11 14.3% 8.2% 0.3% 7.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 13.1 7.9%
6-12 12.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.5 0.9%
5-13 9.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.1%
4-14 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 3.5% 3.5
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 36.8% 1.3% 35.5% 8.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.0 5.2 6.8 7.0 6.6 5.0 0.3 63.2 35.9%