Wyoming
Mountain West
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#84
Expected Predictive Rating+15.6#21
Pace68.8#199
Improvement-1.2#273

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#73
First Shot+7.4#16
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#341
Layup/Dunks+9.1#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#298
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#174
Freethrows+0.9#119
Improvement+0.8#90

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#94
First Shot+2.8#93
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#198
Layups/Dunks-2.2#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#110
Freethrows+1.5#97
Improvement-2.1#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.9% 1.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.2% 22.7% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.8% 14.2% 3.3%
Average Seed 10.0 10.0 10.3
.500 or above 95.8% 96.3% 82.5%
.500 or above in Conference 80.5% 81.1% 61.5%
Conference Champion 13.8% 14.1% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.7% 1.3%
First Four5.4% 5.5% 0.3%
First Round19.3% 19.7% 6.5%
Second Round7.6% 7.8% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen2.7% 2.7% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.8% 0.6%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Home) - 96.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 24 - 35 - 7
Quad 37 - 212 - 9
Quad 48 - 120 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 231   Detroit Mercy W 85-47 88%     1 - 0 +31.6 +11.1 +23.5
  Nov 14, 2021 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 85-45 99%     2 - 0 +17.3 +3.0 +14.5
  Nov 18, 2021 145   @ Washington W 77-72 OT 58%     3 - 0 +9.6 -3.9 +12.7
  Nov 22, 2021 110   @ Grand Canyon W 68-61 50%     4 - 0 +13.7 +6.4 +8.1
  Nov 29, 2021 208   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 79-66 71%     5 - 0 +14.0 +11.7 +3.5
  Dec 02, 2021 326   Denver W 80-61 97%    
  Dec 04, 2021 328   McNeese St. W 85-65 97%    
  Dec 08, 2021 4   @ Arizona L 68-82 9%    
  Dec 11, 2021 152   Utah Valley W 74-65 80%    
  Dec 22, 2021 95   Stanford W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 01, 2022 79   Boise St. W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 04, 2022 92   @ Nevada L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 08, 2022 129   @ Fresno St. W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 11, 2022 48   San Diego St. L 64-65 50%    
  Jan 15, 2022 46   @ Utah St. L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 18, 2022 280   San Jose St. W 78-62 91%    
  Jan 22, 2022 201   New Mexico W 85-74 83%    
  Jan 25, 2022 79   @ Boise St. L 66-69 38%    
  Jan 28, 2022 256   @ Air Force W 69-60 79%    
  Jan 31, 2022 42   Colorado St. L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 08, 2022 46   Utah St. L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 12, 2022 280   @ San Jose St. W 75-65 81%    
  Feb 15, 2022 201   @ New Mexico W 82-77 69%    
  Feb 19, 2022 256   Air Force W 72-57 91%    
  Feb 23, 2022 42   @ Colorado St. L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 26, 2022 92   Nevada W 77-73 63%    
  Mar 02, 2022 147   @ UNLV W 69-67 57%    
  Mar 05, 2022 129   Fresno St. W 71-64 73%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.6 4.0 4.4 2.5 0.8 0.1 13.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.8 3.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.9 6.5 3.8 0.6 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.9 6.9 2.9 0.2 14.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.5 3.0 0.2 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.4 2.1 0.2 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.9 1.9 0.2 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 1.1 0.2 5.4 8th
9th 0.3 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 2.5 9th
10th 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 3.1 5.4 8.6 11.5 13.1 14.6 12.5 11.4 8.4 5.5 2.7 0.8 0.1 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.8% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 96.0% 2.5    2.3 0.3
15-3 81.0% 4.4    3.1 1.2 0.2
14-4 47.8% 4.0    1.7 1.7 0.6 0.0
13-5 14.0% 1.6    0.3 0.6 0.6 0.1
12-6 1.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.8% 13.8 8.4 3.8 1.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 49.2% 50.8% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.8% 100.0% 54.7% 45.3% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.7% 92.4% 36.9% 55.5% 7.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 87.9%
15-3 5.5% 75.8% 20.7% 55.1% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.3 69.5%
14-4 8.4% 54.6% 18.7% 35.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.5 0.6 3.8 44.2%
13-5 11.4% 37.4% 15.4% 22.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.1 0.0 7.1 26.1%
12-6 12.5% 24.0% 12.8% 11.2% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.6 0.1 9.5 12.9%
11-7 14.6% 10.5% 7.0% 3.5% 11.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 13.0 3.7%
10-8 13.1% 6.6% 6.0% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 12.3 0.7%
9-9 11.5% 2.8% 2.7% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.2 0.0%
8-10 8.6% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 8.6
7-11 5.4% 0.8% 0.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 5.3
6-12 3.1% 0.7% 0.7% 13.2 0.0 0.0 3.1
5-13 1.2% 1.2
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 22.2% 9.8% 12.4% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.5 3.5 6.1 5.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 77.8 13.8%