Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#89
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#91
Pace70.1#168
Improvement+0.7#126

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#82
First Shot+2.6#103
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#103
Layup/Dunks+2.2#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#189
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement+2.9#22

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#104
First Shot+0.8#137
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#92
Layups/Dunks-0.2#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#7
Freethrows-6.5#364
Improvement-2.2#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 8.0% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.7% 0.6%
Average Seed 11.0 10.9 11.3
.500 or above 91.7% 95.7% 85.2%
.500 or above in Conference 68.6% 77.6% 53.9%
Conference Champion 5.4% 7.5% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 0.7%
First Four0.8% 1.1% 0.4%
First Round6.1% 7.4% 3.8%
Second Round1.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grand Canyon (Home) - 61.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 44 - 9
Quad 35 - 29 - 12
Quad 411 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 267 Cal St. Fullerton W 92-82 91%     1 - 0 +1.3 -0.3 -0.1
  Tue, Nov 11 194 Austin Peay W 79-65 85%     2 - 0 +9.0 -0.4 +8.2
  Sat, Nov 15 243 Portland W 93-56 89%     3 - 0 +29.4 +16.6 +12.7
  Wed, Nov 19 125 @Sam Houston St. L 70-78 52%     3 - 1 -2.6 -2.3 -0.2
  Sun, Nov 23 233 Norfolk St. W 75-67 88%     4 - 1 +1.0 +5.8 -4.4
  Wed, Nov 26 313 Denver W 101-59 94%     5 - 1 +30.1 +15.8 +14.1
  Sun, Nov 30 27 @Texas Tech L 72-76 14%     5 - 2 +13.8 +8.0 +5.6
  Sat, Dec 6 208 Dartmouth W 93-80 87%     6 - 2 +6.9 +14.2 -7.7
  Tue, Dec 9 275 South Dakota W 106-79 91%     7 - 2 +17.9 +20.4 -4.1
  Mon, Dec 15 164 South Dakota St. W 87-72 73%     8 - 2 +14.6 +18.5 -3.2
  Sat, Dec 20 92 Grand Canyon W 75-72 62%    
  Tue, Dec 30 322 @Air Force W 75-62 88%    
  Sat, Jan 3 72 @New Mexico L 76-81 32%    
  Tue, Jan 6 139 UNLV W 83-76 76%    
  Sat, Jan 10 98 @Nevada L 72-74 42%    
  Wed, Jan 14 52 San Diego St. L 76-77 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 184 @Fresno St. W 78-74 66%    
  Tue, Jan 20 47 Boise St. L 71-73 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 189 San Jose St. W 79-68 84%    
  Wed, Jan 28 44 @Utah St. L 72-80 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 70 Colorado St. W 75-74 53%    
  Tue, Feb 3 52 @San Diego St. L 73-80 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 44 Utah St. L 75-77 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 70 @Colorado St. L 72-77 32%    
  Tue, Feb 17 184 Fresno St. W 81-71 82%    
  Sat, Feb 21 92 @Grand Canyon L 72-75 40%    
  Tue, Feb 24 47 @Boise St. L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 322 Air Force W 78-59 95%    
  Tue, Mar 3 98 Nevada W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Mar 7 189 @San Jose St. W 76-71 66%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 5.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 4.5 3.1 0.7 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 5.3 3.8 0.7 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.4 4.9 0.9 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.4 5.5 1.2 0.0 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.7 5.2 1.5 0.0 12.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.9 4.5 1.7 0.1 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.8 2.7 0.9 0.1 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.2 5.7 8.5 11.8 14.0 14.3 13.2 10.5 7.9 4.8 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 99.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 88.6% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
16-4 66.0% 1.5    0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 35.1% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.1% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 2.6 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 70.6% 29.4% 41.2% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 58.3%
18-2 0.4% 69.5% 29.5% 40.0% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 56.8%
17-3 1.0% 47.6% 20.2% 27.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 34.3%
16-4 2.3% 32.4% 20.3% 12.1% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.6 15.2%
15-5 4.8% 21.1% 15.8% 5.2% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 3.8 6.2%
14-6 7.9% 14.0% 12.2% 1.8% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.2 6.8 2.0%
13-7 10.5% 9.5% 9.1% 0.3% 11.2 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.5 0.4%
12-8 13.2% 5.4% 5.3% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 12.5 0.1%
11-9 14.3% 3.6% 3.6% 11.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 13.8
10-10 14.0% 2.3% 2.3% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 13.7
9-11 11.8% 1.3% 1.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.6
8-12 8.5% 0.7% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 8.4
7-13 5.7% 0.9% 0.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6
6-14 3.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 3.2
5-15 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 1.5
4-16 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.5% 5.3% 1.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 3.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.5 1.2%