Wyoming
Mountain West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#177
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#164
Pace67.8#217
Improvement+1.5#82

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#197
First Shot+0.2#170
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#239
Layup/Dunks+1.3#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#298
Freethrows+1.8#78
Improvement+1.3#80

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#172
First Shot+0.0#173
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#198
Layups/Dunks+1.5#126
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#59
Freethrows-1.1#262
Improvement+0.2#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.6 13.5
.500 or above 22.3% 32.0% 13.3%
.500 or above in Conference 12.4% 15.8% 9.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 9.2% 14.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Away) - 48.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 62 - 12
Quad 33 - 44 - 16
Quad 49 - 213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 318   Tennessee St. W 81-66 85%     1 - 0 +3.1 +1.2 +1.8
  Nov 13, 2024 24   @ Texas Tech L 49-96 6%     1 - 1 -30.0 -16.4 -14.1
  Nov 16, 2024 291   Utah Tech W 86-69 80%     2 - 1 +7.2 +5.4 +1.1
  Nov 22, 2024 227   SE Louisiana W 64-61 71%     3 - 1 -3.6 -8.5 +5.0
  Nov 26, 2024 220   Tulane W 64-63 59%     4 - 1 -2.2 -7.5 +5.3
  Nov 27, 2024 181   Loyola Marymount L 70-73 51%     4 - 2 -4.1 +1.2 -5.4
  Dec 04, 2024 52   @ Utah St. L 67-70 11%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +9.7 +10.4 -1.2
  Dec 10, 2024 224   @ South Dakota L 79-80 48%    
  Dec 14, 2024 49   BYU L 69-80 14%    
  Dec 19, 2024 333   Bellarmine W 77-65 87%    
  Dec 22, 2024 307   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 69-65 63%    
  Dec 28, 2024 48   Nevada L 64-72 22%    
  Dec 31, 2024 53   Boise St. L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 04, 2025 286   @ Air Force W 67-64 59%    
  Jan 07, 2025 65   New Mexico L 75-82 26%    
  Jan 14, 2025 53   @ Boise St. L 64-78 11%    
  Jan 18, 2025 99   Colorado St. L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 21, 2025 104   @ UNLV L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 25, 2025 194   @ San Jose St. L 69-71 41%    
  Jan 28, 2025 255   Fresno St. W 78-71 75%    
  Feb 01, 2025 37   @ San Diego St. L 59-75 8%    
  Feb 04, 2025 52   Utah St. L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 08, 2025 104   UNLV L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 12, 2025 65   @ New Mexico L 72-85 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 99   @ Colorado St. L 64-73 21%    
  Feb 18, 2025 286   Air Force W 70-61 78%    
  Feb 22, 2025 194   San Jose St. W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 25, 2025 48   @ Nevada L 61-75 11%    
  Mar 01, 2025 37   San Diego St. L 62-72 19%    
  Mar 04, 2025 255   @ Fresno St. W 75-74 54%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.0 5.4 4.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 15.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.0 7.5 8.7 5.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 26.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.6 8.4 6.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 23.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 4.0 5.0 2.8 0.8 0.1 13.8 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.4 11th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.3 6.9 10.8 14.3 15.5 14.6 12.1 8.9 5.9 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 26.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 19.7% 19.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.3% 5.3% 5.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 0.8% 2.4% 2.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-8 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
11-9 3.5% 1.5% 1.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
10-10 5.9% 1.0% 1.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 5.8
9-11 8.9% 0.5% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8
8-12 12.1% 0.3% 0.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
7-13 14.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.6
6-14 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 15.5
5-15 14.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 14.3
4-16 10.8% 10.8
3-17 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
2-18 3.3% 3.3
1-19 1.1% 1.1
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.0%