Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#106
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#130
Pace72.0#120
Improvement+0.5#133

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#129
First Shot-0.7#197
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#73
Layup/Dunks-0.2#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#223
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement+1.1#94

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#90
First Shot+1.7#115
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#118
Layups/Dunks-3.4#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+14.5#1
Freethrows-8.9#365
Improvement-0.5#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 4.9% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.5 11.4 12.0
.500 or above 79.8% 82.8% 60.2%
.500 or above in Conference 59.1% 61.0% 46.9%
Conference Champion 4.1% 4.4% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.1% 2.2%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round4.5% 4.8% 2.5%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 86.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 22 - 53 - 9
Quad 35 - 48 - 12
Quad 410 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 298 Cal St. Fullerton W 92-82 91%     1 - 0 -0.6 -1.6 -0.7
  Tue, Nov 11 173 Austin Peay W 79-65 79%     2 - 0 +9.8 +0.0 +8.6
  Sat, Nov 15 273 Portland W 93-56 89%     3 - 0 +27.8 +14.9 +12.6
  Wed, Nov 19 138 @Sam Houston St. L 70-78 49%     3 - 1 -3.4 -3.9 +0.6
  Sun, Nov 23 231 Norfolk St. W 75-67 86%     4 - 1 +0.7 +5.4 -4.3
  Wed, Nov 26 296 Denver W 101-59 91%     5 - 1 +31.5 +18.8 +12.4
  Sun, Nov 30 29 @Texas Tech L 72-76 12%     5 - 2 +12.8 +8.8 +3.9
  Sat, Dec 6 247 Dartmouth W 83-71 87%    
  Tue, Dec 9 265 South Dakota W 88-75 89%    
  Mon, Dec 15 155 South Dakota St. W 75-71 65%    
  Sat, Dec 20 95 Grand Canyon W 74-72 58%    
  Tue, Dec 30 327 @Air Force W 74-63 84%    
  Sat, Jan 3 104 @New Mexico L 77-80 39%    
  Tue, Jan 6 130 UNLV W 83-78 68%    
  Sat, Jan 10 105 @Nevada L 72-75 39%    
  Wed, Jan 14 55 San Diego St. L 73-75 42%    
  Sat, Jan 17 180 @Fresno St. W 77-74 59%    
  Tue, Jan 20 59 Boise St. L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 201 San Jose St. W 76-66 81%    
  Wed, Jan 28 43 @Utah St. L 72-82 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 75 Colorado St. L 73-74 49%    
  Tue, Feb 3 55 @San Diego St. L 70-78 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 43 Utah St. L 75-79 35%    
  Sat, Feb 14 75 @Colorado St. L 70-76 29%    
  Tue, Feb 17 180 Fresno St. W 80-71 78%    
  Sat, Feb 21 95 @Grand Canyon L 71-75 36%    
  Tue, Feb 24 59 @Boise St. L 66-74 24%    
  Sat, Feb 28 327 Air Force W 77-60 93%    
  Tue, Mar 3 105 Nevada W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Mar 7 201 @San Jose St. W 73-69 63%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.4 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 2.6 0.5 0.1 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.6 3.8 0.6 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 5.3 4.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.2 4.7 1.0 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.7 4.5 1.0 0.1 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.7 3.3 1.0 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.0 6.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.9 5.3 7.4 10.3 12.9 13.3 12.9 11.1 9.0 6.1 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 86.9% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
16-4 62.5% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 33.5% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 8.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 55.6% 35.6% 20.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 31.0%
17-3 0.8% 33.8% 21.1% 12.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 16.0%
16-4 1.9% 23.0% 18.2% 4.8% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.5 5.8%
15-5 3.7% 16.3% 14.7% 1.6% 11.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 3.1 1.9%
14-6 6.1% 10.6% 10.4% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.4 0.3%
13-7 9.0% 8.0% 7.8% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 8.3 0.2%
12-8 11.1% 5.9% 5.9% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 10.5
11-9 12.9% 3.7% 3.7% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.4
10-10 13.3% 2.4% 2.4% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.0
9-11 12.9% 1.1% 1.1% 12.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.8
8-12 10.3% 0.7% 0.7% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3
7-13 7.4% 0.4% 0.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4
6-14 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 5.3
5-15 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.9
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.2% 0.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.4 0.4%