Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +3.6 #112
Expected Predictive Rating +2.8 #118
Pace 66.5 #240
Improvement -5.8 #356

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #111 C+ B- C B B
Defense #130 C B+ C D- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #42 1.12 #227 +2.4 #104
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #303 0.93 #20 -1.0 #237
Three Pointers 41% #179 1.04 #157 +0.6 #156
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #119 +2.0 #116
Freethrows 0.33 #86 76% #60 0.25 #56
Second Chance 36.1% #38 0.98 #236 0.35 #91
Turnovers 16.8% #185
Total Offense +2.3 #111

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #40 1.13 #132 -2.6 #270
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #303 0.80 #269 +1.2 #92
Three Pointers 39% #233 0.94 #78 +2.3 #95
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #151 +0.9 #149
Freethrows 0.37 #343 70% #83 0.26 #329
Second Chance 25.6% #27 0.89 #29 0.23 #17
Turnovers 16.5% #191
Total Defense +1.2 #130

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.3% #39 1.9% #335
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.5% #147 -3.6% #107
Possession Length 18.0 #256 17.2 #174
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #275 0.13 #51
Improvement -2.4 #312 -3.5 #337

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.9% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 11.8 12.5
.500 or above 73.2% 92.1% 70.0%
.500 or above in Conference 13.6% 33.8% 10.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego St. (Away) - 14.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 62 - 13
Quad 34 - 26 - 15
Quad 411 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 224 Cal St. Fullerton W 92 - 82 83% +3  1 - 0 +3 +2 C- C- A+ +0 B A- A-
 Tue, Nov 11 173 Austin Peay W 79 - 65 77% +5  2 - 0 +10 -1 C- C D+ +10 A- A- A
 Sat, Nov 15 232 Portland W 93 - 56 84% +16  3 - 0 +30 +17 B- A+ B+ +13 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Nov 19 109 @Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 38% -3  3 - 1 -1 -1 B F D +0 B B B+
 Sun, Nov 23 306 Norfolk St. W 75 - 67 92% +11  4 - 1 -4 +2 F A+ F+ -5 C B C-
 Wed, Nov 26 288 Denver W 101 - 59 90% +16  5 - 1 +32 +17 B- A+ C +15 A+ C+ B-
 Sun, Nov 30 18 @Texas Tech L 72 - 76 7% -2  5 - 2 +17 +9 B+ D+ D +7 A- A- C
 Sat, Dec 6 229 Dartmouth W 93 - 80 83% +1  6 - 2 +6 +13 A+ D B -8 F+ C A-
 Tue, Dec 9 285 South Dakota W 106 - 79 89% +15  7 - 2 +17 +20 A+ B+ B- -4 C+ D- C+
 Mon, Dec 15 175 South Dakota St. W 87 - 72 68% +13  8 - 2 +14 +17 A+ A+ C- -2 C+ A- F
 Sat, Dec 20 65 Grand Canyon L 70 - 82 42% -14  8 - 3 0 - 1 -6 -0 D- A- B- -6 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 350 @Air Force W 68 - 56 88% +5  9 - 3 1 - 1 +3 -5 F A- F +8 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 45 @New Mexico L 58 - 78 15% -6  9 - 4 1 - 2 -5 +2 C A- D+ -10 C F C+
 Tue, Jan 6 128 UNLV W 98 - 66 67% +20  10 - 4 2 - 2 +31 +21 A+ A+ C- +9 A B+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 70 @Nevada L 83 - 92 24% -4  10 - 5 2 - 3 +2 +26 A+ A A+ -25 F F C
 Wed, Jan 14 43 San Diego St. L 57 - 74 30% -11  10 - 6 2 - 4 -8 -5 D+ D- A- -4 C A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 145 @Fresno St. L 60 - 63 49% +2  10 - 7 2 - 5 +1 +1 C+ F D- -1 C A+ F
 Tue, Jan 20 62 Boise St. L 65 - 81 41% -10  10 - 8 2 - 6 -10 +0 C+ B- C- -12 F+ A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 242 San Jose St. W 66 - 62 85% +3  11 - 8 3 - 6 -4 -6 D F B- +2 B A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 28 38 @Utah St. L 62 - 94 12% -22  11 - 9 3 - 7 -16 +1 F+ B B -18 F+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 103 Colorado St. W 68 - 57 58% +8  12 - 9 4 - 7 +13 +6 A+ D- C- +8 A+ A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 3 43 @San Diego St. L 66 - 77 14%
 Sat, Feb 7 38 Utah St. L 71 - 78 25%
 Sat, Feb 14 103 @Colorado St. L 68 - 72 35%
 Tue, Feb 17 145 Fresno St. W 75 - 69 71%
 Sat, Feb 21 65 @Grand Canyon L 67 - 75 23%
 Tue, Feb 24 62 @Boise St. L 68 - 76 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 350 Air Force W 77 - 58 96%
 Tue, Mar 3 70 Nevada L 71 - 72 44%
 Sat, Mar 7 242 @San Jose St. W 74 - 69 68%
Totals 16 - 14 8 - 12 +4 +2 C+ B- C +1 C B+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 4.4 2.1 0.2 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 3.8 10.4 4.7 0.4 0.0 19.4 7th
8th 0.1 3.0 13.5 7.6 0.7 0.0 24.9 8th
9th 0.0 2.2 12.7 9.3 1.0 0.0 25.3 9th
10th 0.1 2.3 8.6 8.3 1.1 0.0 20.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 2.5 10.9 24.1 27.7 21.0 9.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.5% 2.0% 2.0% 11.0 0.0 0.5
11-9 3.1% 2.6% 2.4% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.1 3.0 0.2%
10-10 9.9% 1.3% 1.3% 11.7 0.0 0.1 9.8
9-11 21.0% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 20.8
8-12 27.7% 0.5% 0.5% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 27.6
7-13 24.1% 0.3% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.1
6-14 10.9% 0.2% 0.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 10.9
5-15 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.5
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 12.3 99.3 0.0%