Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.2 183
Results Rating -0.7 172
Consistency 0.20 358
Pace 62.5 331
Improvement +7.3 9

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 278 D+ C- D D- C
Defense B- 102 B C- B- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 78 D+ 54% 281 +0.5 160
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 103 C+ 39% 133 +1.7 90
Three Pointers 34% 324 D 31% 311 -5.3 336
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 209 D+ -3.1 288
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 282
Second Chance B 34.9% 55 F 0.83 362 C- 0.29 227
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 230
Other Turnovers D- 8.9% 338
Turnovers D 18.7% 310
Freethrows D+ 0.27 286 F 65% 362 D- 0.18 337
Total Offense D+ -4.0 278

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 54% 94 C- 11.8% 232
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 307 C 5.3% 213
Three Pointers D+ 80% 272 B 0.3% 50
Total D+ 52% 256 D+ 6.4% 271


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 286 A- 49% 17 -5.4 34
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 297 C+ 37% 128 -1.6 61
Three Pointers 48% 15 C 34% 173 +3.6 326
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 207 B -3.5 46
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 62
Second Chance D+ 32.9% 290 C+ 1.01 151 C- 0.33 243
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.7% 86
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 118
Turnovers B- 18.3% 79
Freethrows C- 0.32 246 C- 73% 230 C- 0.23 249
Total Defense B- +2.7 102

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 94 A+ 21.4% 6
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 282 C 4.5% 196
Three Pointers D 89% 327 B- 1.4% 76
Total D+ 60% 289 A- 8.9% 17

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 271 18.0 285
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 193 0.13 66
Consistency 0.13 259 0.16 354
Improvement +5.5 7 +1.8 104

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 194 182 169
Results Rating Rank 192 170 134
Conference Record 11 - 9 11 - 9 11 - 9
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20% 38% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round20% 38% 0%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 34 - 95 - 11
Quad 411 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 77 @Nevada L 50 - 77 13% -16  1% 0 - 1 F+ -16 F -15 F D+ F+ D+ -5 B- F B
 Sat, Nov 15 346 Jackson St. W 68 - 51 91% +3  59% 1 - 1 C +1 F -15 F D+ D- A+ +16 A+ C B-
 Wed, Nov 19 198 @Indiana St. L 51 - 60 41% -5  1% 1 - 2 D+ -8 F -24 F D D+ A+ +16 A+ A- D
 Wed, Nov 26 198 Indiana St. W 75 - 73 64% +1  57% 2 - 2 C- -3 C +1 C A+ F D+ -4 D+ B+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 352 Alcorn St. W 83 - 58 93% +10  98% 3 - 2 B- +7 A- +10 C+ A A C+ +1 C+ B- B-
 Wed, Dec 3 230 @Georgia Southern L 69 - 77 49% -4  17% 3 - 3 D -9 D- -6 B- F B C- -3 D- F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 299 Louisiana W 65 - 44 83% +11  92% 4 - 3 B +10 D+ -4 F+ B+ F A+ +17 A- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 205 @Tulane L 53 - 61 43% -6  4% 4 - 4 D+ -7 F -12 F F+ F B- +3 A+ F D
 Mon, Dec 29 261 UTEP W 75 - 63 76% +11  97% 5 - 4 1 - 0 C+ +3 B- +4 A- F A C +0 A F A+
 Fri, Jan 2 167 @Middle Tennessee L 51 - 88 35% -19  2% 5 - 5 1 - 1 F -34 F -13 F+ D- F F -28 F A- F
 Sun, Jan 4 163 @Western Kentucky L 61 - 66 34% -7  0% 5 - 6 1 - 2 C- -2 D- -8 F C+ A- B+ +5 A+ F+ C+
 Thu, Jan 8 126 Liberty L 56 - 72 48% -8  2% 5 - 7 1 - 3 F+ -17 F -16 F+ F A D+ -3 A F D+
 Sat, Jan 10 287 Delaware W 70 - 68 OT 81% -5  3% 6 - 7 2 - 3 D -8 D- -7 F C- D+ C -1 C+ F C
 Wed, Jan 14 167 Middle Tennessee W 59 - 58 58% -10  6% 7 - 7 3 - 3 C- -2 F -13 F F A A+ +11 A+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 17 202 @Jacksonville St. L 60 - 64 42% -10  0% 7 - 8 3 - 4 C- -3 C- -2 F+ B+ C- C- -2 C D B-
 Fri, Jan 23 165 Kennesaw St. W 82 - 76 57% -2  31% 8 - 8 4 - 4 C+ +3 B+ +9 A A C- D -6 B- D D-
 Wed, Jan 28 261 @UTEP W 69 - 59 55% +6  77% 9 - 8 5 - 4 B- +7 C +0 C C F A- +8 A B- C
 Sat, Jan 31 112 @Sam Houston St. L 67 - 83 23% -6  1% 9 - 9 5 - 5 D -10 C- -1 F A+ D F+ -10 C+ F F
 Wed, Feb 4 184 New Mexico St. L 63 - 72 62% -2  14% 9 - 10 5 - 6 D- -13 F+ -8 D+ D+ F D -6 F C+ A
 Sat, Feb 7 112 Sam Houston St. W 87 - 78 43% -0  35% 10 - 10 6 - 6 B +9 C+ +4 C C C+ B +5 C- A- A
 Thu, Feb 12 194 @Missouri St. W 79 - 78 2OT 40% -1  31% 11 - 10 7 - 6 C+ +2 F -11 C+ F F A+ +13 A+ F A
 Sat, Feb 14 189 @Florida International L 64 - 77 40% -4  13% 11 - 11 7 - 7 D- -12 D- -8 C F D- D+ -4 C- F A+
 Wed, Feb 18 202 Jacksonville St. W 77 - 71 65% +11  94% 12 - 11 8 - 7 C +1 C +0 A+ D F C+ +1 D B+ C
 Sat, Feb 21 165 @Kennesaw St. L 55 - 58 34% -1  34% 12 - 12 8 - 8 C -0 F -18 F D F A+ +18 A+ A B
 Thu, Feb 26 194 Missouri St. W 72 - 70 63% +1  45% 13 - 12 9 - 8 C- -3 D+ -2 B- C+ F C -0 A D- B+
 Sat, Feb 28 189 Florida International L 76 - 84 63% -1  43% 13 - 13 9 - 9 D- -13 C- -1 B- C- F F -12 F A A-
 Thu, Mar 5 126 @Liberty W 76 - 71 26% +5  93% 14 - 13 10 - 9 B +10 A +12 B A- A- C -1 B- D D+
 Sat, Mar 7 287 @Delaware W 81 - 38 62% +18  99% 15 - 13 11 - 9 A+ +39 A +12 A- A+ D A+ +32 A+ B- A+
 Thu, Mar 12 167 Middle Tennessee W 80 - 69 46% +8  98% 16 - 13 B +11 B+ +9 A- B- B- B- +3 F+ A+ A+
 Fri, Mar 13 194 Missouri St. W 67 - 66 52%
Totals 17 - 13 11 - 9 -1 D+ -4 A+ D+ C B- +3 D F D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ C+ D D+ 42% 44% 34% C D+ B F C- D D+ F D- B- A- C+ C B 35% 17% 48% C- B D+ C+ C- B- C- C- C-
1.03 54% 39% 31% -3 0 0.96 35% 0.8 .29 19% .27 65% .18 1.05 49% 37% 34% -3 0 0.95 33% 1.0 .33 18% .32 73% .20
Nov
4		 Nevada F C- F F F 43% 9% 48% A- F D+ C D+ F+ C+ D- C- D+ A- F B+ C+ 30% 33% 37% A B- F F F B F C+ F
0.80 53% 25% 14% -18 +2 0.70 22% 1.1 .25 21% .34 65% .22 1.23 46% 50% 31% -1 -2 0.95 49% 1.2 .60 16% .53 75% .40
Nov
15		 Jackson St. F F F F F 63% 12% 26% A F A F D+ D- A+ F A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 7% 61% F A+ B+ F C B- D+ C- D+
0.99 48% 0% 27% -13 +3 0.81 46% 0.7 .34 19% .56 58% .32 0.75 27% 0% 21% -24 +1 0.57 23% 1.2 .27 20% .31 76% .24
Nov
19		 Indiana St. F F F F F 46% 30% 24% C- F D+ D D D+ A F C A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 34% 2% 64% C- A+ A+ C+ A- D B+ F B-
0.71 28% 31% 15% -23 -1 0.56 29% 0.8 .23 17% .34 55% .18 0.84 39% 0% 29% -12 +2 0.83 17% 1.0 .17 17% .20 75% .15
Nov
26		 Indiana St. C C A+ F C+ 43% 33% 24% D- C B- A+ A+ F F A+ F D+ F A+ A+ C- 54% 8% 38% D- D+ A+ F B+ F+ A F C+
1.11 57% 56% 23% +1 -1 1.02 37% 1.5 .53 19% .13 86% .11 1.08 79% 0% 25% +3 +3 1.13 15% 1.3 .19 15% .17 90% .16
Nov
29		 Alcorn St. A- B- D A+ C+ 44% 23% 33% D C+ A C A A F F F C+ A C- D B- 51% 24% 24% D- C+ F A+ B- B- F A+ D+
1.31 65% 33% 41% +6 0 1.13 48% 1.2 .58 13% .16 56% .09 0.92 43% 36% 36% -7 0 0.89 38% 0.5 .19 21% .42 48% .20
Dec
3		 Georgia Southern D- B- A+ D- B- 45% 14% 41% C+ B- F F F B F+ F F C- F F A D- 35% 6% 59% D+ D- C F F C+ C D+ C-
1.03 64% 71% 30% +5 +1 1.14 23% 0.6 .13 16% .30 53% .16 1.15 76% 67% 28% +2 +2 1.10 27% 1.5 .40 16% .32 78% .25
Dec
13		 Louisiana D+ C F F F 52% 12% 36% B F+ A C- B+ F B A+ A A+ A+ C+ C+ A 26% 26% 49% D- A- F A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ C
1.08 59% 20% 27% -6 +2 0.95 43% 1.0 .43 25% .42 84% .35 0.73 27% 36% 33% -9 -2 0.81 34% 0.3 .11 27% .29 54% .16
Dec
17		 Tulane F F B F F 51% 16% 33% A- F A+ F F+ F A A- A B- B- F A+ A+ 28% 13% 59% C A+ F F F D F C F
0.90 43% 43% 13% -17 +2 0.71 46% 0.5 .22 22% .39 78% .31 1.04 55% 80% 13% -14 0 0.74 29% 1.3 .38 12% .60 77% .46
Dec
29		 UTEP B- F A+ A+ A- 36% 17% 48% B- A- C F F A A+ F A+ C A+ B A- A+ 17% 22% 61% C- A F F+ F A+ D- F F
1.17 27% 57% 55% +7 0 1.17 32% 0.4 .14 14% .61 59% .36 0.98 38% 30% 29% -10 -2 0.78 42% 1.1 .47 23% .32 81% .26
Jan
2		 Middle Tennessee F C A- F F+ 37% 24% 39% D+ F+ C F D- F A+ F A- F F A+ F F 13% 8% 79% D+ F D+ A+ A- F A+ A+ A+
0.87 57% 44% 20% -7 0 0.87 26% 0.8 .19 22% .42 68% .29 1.51 100% 25% 58% +33 0 1.67 32% 0.6 .19 12% .16 25% .04
Jan
4		 Western Kentucky D- D- F+ F F 31% 37% 31% F F B D C+ A- D- F F B+ A+ A+ A A+ 23% 9% 68% C A+ B F F+ C+ F F+ F
0.94 50% 32% 25% -9 -3 0.78 33% 0.9 .29 14% .34 47% .16 1.02 30% 25% 27% -15 0 0.73 28% 1.5 .40 15% .45 80% .36
Jan
8		 Liberty F F D A F+ 34% 22% 44% D+ F+ D- F F A D+ F F D+ B+ A+ C- A 46% 8% 46% C+ A F D- F D+ D F F
0.92 29% 36% 41% -6 0 0.90 26% 0.5 .14 13% .21 45% .09 1.18 55% 25% 36% -1 +2 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 11% .30 81% .24
Jan
10		 Delaware D- C F F F 36% 34% 30% D- F B- D- C- D+ A+ F A+ C A D D- B- 36% 15% 49% D C+ C F F C D+ B+ C-
1.06 59% 25% 29% -7 -2 0.85 33% 0.9 .31 15% .53 63% .34 1.03 47% 43% 39% +1 +1 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 18% .28 73% .20
Jan
14		 Middle Tennessee F F C F F 65% 15% 19% A F D+ F F A B+ C B+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ 47% 16% 38% F A+ D F F A- F A+ C+
0.91 44% 38% 10% -16 +3 0.75 23% 0.7 .15 11% .36 76% .28 0.90 43% 14% 35% -10 +1 0.84 34% 1.2 .40 20% .35 50% .17
Jan
17		 Jacksonville St. C- F+ A F D- 40% 31% 29% F+ F+ A+ F+ B+ C- F+ A+ C- C- B A+ F+ C 45% 9% 45% D+ C C- D- D B- D F F
1.03 47% 46% 25% -6 -1 0.88 44% 0.9 .38 17% .27 92% .25 1.10 50% 0% 40% -3 +2 1.00 30% 1.1 .33 19% .38 78% .30
Jan
23		 Kennesaw St. B+ D A+ A+ A 48% 22% 30% C A A B+ A C- B- F D+ D A+ F C- B- 43% 15% 43% C B- D+ D- D D- F C- F
1.25 50% 60% 50% +8 +1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 17% .44 67% .29 1.16 40% 57% 35% -4 +1 0.96 36% 1.1 .39 14% .58 70% .41
Jan
28		 UTEP C F A+ A C 38% 30% 32% D+ C A- F C F C+ B+ B- A- A+ A+ C A+ 29% 27% 44% C- A C+ B B- C F F F
1.07 39% 57% 40% +1 -1 1.02 41% 0.8 .34 25% .37 78% .29 0.91 43% 15% 33% -11 -1 0.77 24% 0.9 .22 17% .35 89% .32
Jan
31		 Sam Houston St. C- F C- F F 36% 30% 34% D F A A+ A+ D B F C F+ C- C- A+ B- 59% 17% 24% F+ C+ D F F F F B F
1.03 41% 36% 25% -11 -1 0.77 41% 1.3 .54 18% .36 63% .23 1.28 59% 38% 27% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .52 9% .61 67% .41
Feb
4		 New Mexico St. F+ B F B- D+ 31% 24% 44% D+ D+ A+ F D+ F A+ F C D C F F F 42% 22% 36% F F D B+ C+ A C B+ C+
0.99 64% 9% 35% -4 -1 0.91 48% 0.6 .30 20% .50 56% .28 1.13 58% 50% 44% +8 0 1.18 37% 0.8 .30 19% .29 67% .19
Feb
7		 Sam Houston St. C+ C A+ F D+ 60% 17% 23% A C A+ F C C+ A+ B A+ B A+ D F D 30% 22% 48% A- C- A+ F A- A F+ C- F+
1.14 59% 67% 8% -3 +2 1.00 43% 0.7 .31 16% .54 74% .40 1.02 38% 42% 46% +3 -1 1.07 18% 1.5 .26 21% .35 71% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Missouri St. F A+ C C- B 25% 49% 25% F C+ C+ F F F F F F A+ C A+ A+ A+ 22% 36% 42% A+ A+ F C- F A D D+ D
0.92 87% 38% 33% +7 -5 1.07 33% 0.3 .10 23% .27 67% .18 0.91 62% 24% 20% -13 -3 0.69 41% 1.2 .47 21% .38 69% .26
Feb
14		 Florida International D- B- F F+ D+ 53% 12% 35% B+ C F+ F F D- D- F F D+ C+ A- F D+ 43% 21% 36% C+ C- F C+ F A+ D A C
0.95 62% 33% 29% -1 +2 1.04 26% 0.8 .19 24% .27 57% .16 1.14 55% 30% 41% +1 0 1.04 52% 1.0 .52 24% .35 61% .21
Feb
18		 Jacksonville St. C A+ F B+ A+ 50% 15% 35% B A+ C- F+ D F C F F C+ A+ C F D- 36% 19% 45% A- D B+ B B+ C D B C-
1.10 83% 29% 38% +13 +2 1.30 26% 0.9 .22 21% .34 58% .20 1.01 41% 33% 48% +2 0 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 17% .38 64% .24
Feb
21		 Kennesaw St. F F+ C F F+ 36% 31% 33% F F A+ F D F D+ B- C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 45% 8% 47% D A+ A- A+ A B B- A B+
0.81 47% 38% 29% -7 -2 0.86 43% 0.5 .22 27% .38 79% .30 0.86 41% 75% 22% -13 +2 0.80 28% 0.7 .21 19% .33 61% .20
Feb
26		 Missouri St. D+ C A+ B- B- 19% 29% 52% C- B- D A+ C+ F A+ F B- C A+ D B- A+ 53% 11% 36% F A F C+ D- B+ F F F
1.08 63% 50% 36% +6 -2 1.10 27% 1.4 .37 21% .46 63% .29 1.05 42% 40% 31% -10 +2 0.87 38% 1.1 .41 20% .45 83% .37
Feb
28		 Florida International C- B+ D+ B B 40% 23% 37% D B- A+ F C- F A+ C+ A+ F A+ D F F 24% 27% 49% A+ F D+ A+ A A- F F F
1.09 65% 40% 38% +5 0 1.12 47% 0.7 .34 27% .51 73% .38 1.21 36% 42% 59% +14 -2 1.27 37% 0.6 .23 22% .49 78% .38
Mar
5		 Liberty A B+ A+ F+ A- 31% 29% 39% F+ B A- C+ A- A- F A+ F C D A+ F C 19% 11% 70% A+ B- F B D D+ C C C
1.27 63% 67% 30% +7 -2 1.14 39% 1.3 .50 13% .10 100% .10 1.19 67% 0% 42% +6 0 1.15 26% 0.9 .24 12% .25 69% .17
Mar
7		 Delaware A B- A- A+ A- 37% 22% 41% C+ A- B+ A+ A+ D F A- F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 25% 18% 57% B- A+ D+ A+ B- A+ C F D
1.29 63% 45% 43% +9 0 1.20 37% 1.3 .48 16% .15 88% .13 0.60 27% 25% 20% -22 -1 0.57 22% 0.6 .14 29% .24 91% .22
Mar
12		 Middle Tennessee B+ D+ D- A+ A 39% 31% 29% D- A- A- D- B- B- B- B- B- B- A- D+ F F 26% 18% 56% C- F+ D A+ A+ A+ F B+ F
1.21 55% 31% 60% +8 -1 1.16 34% 0.9 .31 14% .33 79% .26 1.04 50% 43% 45% +8 -1 1.18 34% 0.4 .13 24% .66 64% .42



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 20.1% 20.1% 14.7 0.1 6.0 12.7 1.2 79.9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.1% 20.1% 0.0% 14.7 79.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 20.1% 100.0% 14.7 0.6 30.1 63.1 6.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 32.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 47.9%