Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#192
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#228
Pace62.5#345
Improvement+1.2#96

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#265
First Shot-2.7#257
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#240
Layup/Dunks+5.7#30
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#343
Freethrows-3.8#345
Improvement+2.2#30

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#115
First Shot+3.6#65
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#302
Layups/Dunks+0.8#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#83
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#124
Freethrows-0.1#193
Improvement-1.0#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.3% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 49.0% 53.2% 28.6%
.500 or above in Conference 50.2% 52.5% 39.0%
Conference Champion 5.0% 5.6% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 7.9% 13.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round4.7% 5.2% 2.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Home) - 82.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 34 - 85 - 11
Quad 410 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 96 @Nevada L 50-77 17%     0 - 1 -18.7 -13.2 -8.7
  Sat, Nov 15 313 Jackson St. W 68-51 82%     1 - 1 +5.6 -6.3 +12.2
  Wed, Nov 19 187 @Indiana St. L 51-60 38%     1 - 2 -7.8 -20.2 +12.6
  Wed, Nov 26 187 Indiana St. W 75-73 61%     2 - 2 -2.8 +4.7 -7.4
  Sat, Nov 29 333 Alcorn St. W 83-58 86%     3 - 2 +11.5 +13.2 +1.0
  Wed, Dec 3 234 @Georgia Southern L 69-77 47%     3 - 3 -9.2 -1.8 -7.7
  Sat, Dec 13 320 Louisiana W 67-57 83%    
  Wed, Dec 17 184 @Tulane L 67-70 38%    
  Mon, Dec 29 230 UTEP W 66-61 68%    
  Fri, Jan 2 153 @Middle Tennessee L 65-70 32%    
  Sun, Jan 4 145 @Western Kentucky L 68-74 29%    
  Thu, Jan 8 110 Liberty L 65-68 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 245 Delaware W 68-62 70%    
  Wed, Jan 14 153 Middle Tennessee W 68-67 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 238 @Jacksonville St. L 61-62 48%    
  Sat, Jan 24 155 Kennesaw St. W 74-73 54%    
  Wed, Jan 28 230 @UTEP L 63-64 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 127 @Sam Houston St. L 67-74 26%    
  Wed, Feb 4 129 New Mexico St. L 64-65 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 127 Sam Houston St. L 70-71 45%    
  Thu, Feb 12 251 @Missouri St. W 64-63 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 188 @Florida International L 68-71 39%    
  Wed, Feb 18 238 Jacksonville St. W 64-59 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 155 @Kennesaw St. L 71-76 33%    
  Thu, Feb 26 251 Missouri St. W 66-60 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 188 Florida International W 71-68 60%    
  Thu, Mar 5 110 @Liberty L 62-71 22%    
  Sat, Mar 7 245 @Delaware L 65-66 50%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.0 5.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.2 1.3 3.8 3.5 0.8 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.2 1.1 3.0 2.9 0.9 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.5 2.4 0.8 0.1 7.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 5.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 3.2 4.9 7.2 9.2 10.9 12.1 11.9 11.0 9.4 7.1 4.9 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 97.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 90.2% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
16-4 74.7% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
15-5 45.6% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 18.9% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 29.2% 29.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.3% 25.6% 25.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 25.8% 25.8% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 1.7% 22.9% 22.9% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
15-5 3.1% 15.3% 15.3% 13.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.7
14-6 4.9% 14.9% 14.9% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.2
13-7 7.1% 11.1% 11.1% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 6.3
12-8 9.4% 8.2% 8.2% 14.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 8.6
11-9 11.0% 4.8% 4.8% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.5
10-10 11.9% 3.0% 3.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.5
9-11 12.1% 1.8% 1.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.9
8-12 10.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 10.8
7-13 9.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.1
6-14 7.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.2
5-15 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.9
4-16 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.4 95.2 0.0%