Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#109
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#132
Pace72.0#102
Improvement+1.9#42

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#71
First Shot+5.7#34
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#269
Layup/Dunks+3.7#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#103
Freethrows+2.5#43
Improvement+2.5#17

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#169
First Shot+1.4#124
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#274
Layups/Dunks+1.2#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#172
Freethrows-0.4#215
Improvement-0.6#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.5% 15.8% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 13.1
.500 or above 84.5% 88.4% 69.4%
.500 or above in Conference 85.9% 87.8% 78.7%
Conference Champion 17.3% 18.6% 12.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.5%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round14.2% 15.5% 9.0%
Second Round2.6% 3.0% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Home) - 79.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 35 - 47 - 10
Quad 411 - 218 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 13   @ Alabama L 64-93 10%     0 - 1 -10.5 -2.3 -7.5
  Nov 12, 2021 258   Jackson St. W 70-68 88%     1 - 1 -6.4 -6.4 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2021 344   @ Northwestern St. W 83-64 90%     2 - 1 +8.6 +2.7 +5.7
  Nov 24, 2021 263   Louisiana Monroe W 96-74 88%     3 - 1 +13.4 +13.3 -1.3
  Nov 27, 2021 64   @ North Carolina St. L 81-90 27%     3 - 2 +1.5 +12.6 -11.2
  Dec 01, 2021 199   Texas Southern W 79-70 79%    
  Dec 04, 2021 82   @ Santa Clara L 75-81 30%    
  Dec 11, 2021 186   Louisiana W 82-74 77%    
  Dec 18, 2021 10   LSU L 71-83 13%    
  Dec 30, 2021 114   Marshall W 85-81 64%    
  Jan 01, 2022 126   Western Kentucky W 78-74 66%    
  Jan 06, 2022 162   @ UTEP W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 08, 2022 300   @ Texas San Antonio W 82-73 78%    
  Jan 13, 2022 247   Southern Miss W 77-65 86%    
  Jan 16, 2022 247   @ Southern Miss W 74-68 71%    
  Jan 22, 2022 51   UAB L 73-75 45%    
  Jan 27, 2022 184   Rice W 83-75 77%    
  Jan 29, 2022 108   North Texas W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 03, 2022 221   @ Florida Atlantic W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 05, 2022 226   @ Florida International W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 10, 2022 223   @ Charlotte W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 17, 2022 162   UTEP W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 19, 2022 300   Texas San Antonio W 85-70 89%    
  Feb 24, 2022 184   @ Rice W 80-78 58%    
  Feb 26, 2022 108   @ North Texas L 64-67 39%    
  Mar 02, 2022 228   Old Dominion W 73-63 80%    
  Mar 05, 2022 51   @ UAB L 70-78 25%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.0 5.8 3.5 1.8 0.3 17.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.6 5.5 2.1 0.4 17.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 4.9 4.8 1.6 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 5.5 4.1 1.3 0.1 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.5 4.4 1.1 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 4.1 1.0 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 3.0 1.3 0.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 1.7 0.1 4.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.3 3.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.5 6.3 8.6 11.6 13.5 12.7 14.3 11.2 8.0 4.0 1.8 0.3 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.8    1.7 0.1
16-2 88.8% 3.5    2.9 0.6
15-3 72.2% 5.8    3.3 2.2 0.4
14-4 36.0% 4.0    1.3 1.9 0.7 0.1
13-5 11.2% 1.6    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.3% 17.3 9.7 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 57.8% 56.5% 1.4% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.1%
17-1 1.8% 52.2% 37.6% 14.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 23.4%
16-2 4.0% 43.1% 37.6% 5.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 2.3 8.9%
15-3 8.0% 30.2% 28.4% 1.8% 12.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 5.6 2.6%
14-4 11.2% 23.6% 22.9% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 8.6 0.9%
13-5 14.3% 22.0% 22.0% 13.1 0.7 1.5 0.8 0.1 11.2
12-6 12.7% 10.8% 10.8% 13.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 11.3
11-7 13.5% 6.9% 6.9% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 12.5
10-8 11.6% 5.9% 5.9% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 11.0
9-9 8.6% 3.4% 3.4% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.3
8-10 6.3% 1.6% 1.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2
7-11 3.5% 1.9% 1.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
6-12 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.5% 13.8% 0.7% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.6 4.1 4.3 2.6 0.8 0.1 85.5 0.8%