Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#193
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#206
Pace62.5#346
Improvement+1.6#69

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#300
First Shot-4.4#304
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#197
Layup/Dunks+5.5#27
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-11.3#364
Freethrows+0.0#169
Improvement+1.6#53

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#98
First Shot+4.8#52
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#314
Layups/Dunks+2.9#78
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
Freethrows+0.4#160
Improvement+0.1#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 4.4% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 48.6% 52.8% 26.8%
.500 or above in Conference 47.4% 49.9% 34.0%
Conference Champion 3.8% 4.2% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 8.7% 15.4%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round4.0% 4.4% 2.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 83.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 75 - 11
Quad 410 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 110 @Nevada L 50-77 19%     0 - 1 -20.0 -13.6 -9.5
  Sat, Nov 15 317 Jackson St. W 68-51 81%     1 - 1 +5.7 -6.5 +12.6
  Wed, Nov 19 195 @Indiana St. L 51-60 39%     1 - 2 -8.3 -20.6 +12.6
  Wed, Nov 26 195 Indiana St. W 75-73 62%     2 - 2 -3.3 +4.3 -7.4
  Sat, Nov 29 331 Alcorn St. W 71-61 84%    
  Wed, Dec 3 249 @Georgia Southern L 69-70 49%    
  Sat, Dec 13 325 Louisiana W 65-56 81%    
  Wed, Dec 17 153 @Tulane L 66-71 32%    
  Mon, Dec 29 234 UTEP W 64-59 68%    
  Fri, Jan 2 149 @Middle Tennessee L 65-70 32%    
  Sun, Jan 4 123 @Western Kentucky L 65-73 23%    
  Thu, Jan 8 96 Liberty L 64-68 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 242 Delaware W 68-63 69%    
  Wed, Jan 14 149 Middle Tennessee W 68-67 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 225 @Jacksonville St. L 60-61 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 164 Kennesaw St. W 73-71 56%    
  Wed, Jan 28 234 @UTEP L 61-62 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 140 @Sam Houston St. L 65-71 28%    
  Wed, Feb 4 111 New Mexico St. L 60-63 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 140 Sam Houston St. L 68-69 48%    
  Thu, Feb 12 241 @Missouri St. L 61-62 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 217 @Florida International L 65-67 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 225 Jacksonville St. W 63-58 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 164 @Kennesaw St. L 70-74 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 241 Missouri St. W 64-59 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 217 Florida International W 68-64 64%    
  Thu, Mar 5 96 @Liberty L 61-71 18%    
  Sat, Mar 7 242 @Delaware L 65-66 48%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.7 0.7 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.7 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.5 5.8 8.0 9.5 11.2 11.6 11.5 10.5 8.4 6.6 4.5 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 86.1% 0.7    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 64.9% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.5% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 10.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 39.1% 39.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 37.5% 37.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 26.8% 26.8% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 1.7% 21.0% 21.0% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
15-5 3.0% 17.0% 17.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5
14-6 4.5% 13.8% 13.8% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.9
13-7 6.6% 9.5% 9.5% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.0
12-8 8.4% 6.4% 6.4% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.9
11-9 10.5% 4.6% 4.6% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.0
10-10 11.5% 2.2% 2.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.3
9-11 11.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.5
8-12 11.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 11.1
7-13 9.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.4
6-14 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.0
5-15 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-16 3.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-17 1.8% 1.8
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 95.9 0.0%