N.C. A&T
Big South
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#281
Expected Predictive Rating-11.5#319
Pace74.3#67
Improvement-0.3#202

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#319
First Shot-6.4#331
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#125
Layup/Dunks-4.0#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#180
Freethrows-2.2#302
Improvement+1.2#64

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#197
First Shot-1.9#243
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#108
Layups/Dunks+0.8#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#277
Freethrows-2.3#305
Improvement-1.5#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 5.4% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 10.9% 23.5% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 52.2% 65.3% 48.8%
Conference Champion 2.9% 4.3% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 2.3% 4.2%
First Four2.7% 3.4% 2.5%
First Round2.2% 3.5% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 20.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 49 - 710 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 167   @ UNC Greensboro L 53-57 19%     0 - 1 -1.1 -13.7 +12.4
  Nov 13, 2021 257   @ Jacksonville L 54-63 35%     0 - 2 -11.4 -16.7 +5.1
  Nov 15, 2021 225   @ South Florida L 54-56 26%     0 - 3 -1.8 -10.9 +9.1
  Nov 20, 2021 81   @ Wake Forest L 63-87 7%     0 - 4 -14.2 -5.7 -8.3
  Nov 23, 2021 95   @ Stanford L 65-79 9%     0 - 5 -5.5 -7.3 +2.6
  Nov 26, 2021 239   Samford L 75-77 41%     0 - 6 -5.9 -3.4 -2.5
  Nov 27, 2021 331   St. Francis Brooklyn W 73-67 68%     1 - 6 -5.1 -6.5 +1.4
  Dec 07, 2021 178   @ East Carolina L 67-75 20%    
  Dec 11, 2021 65   @ Central Florida L 61-78 6%    
  Dec 14, 2021 123   @ East Tennessee St. L 62-74 12%    
  Dec 18, 2021 310   Howard W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 05, 2022 293   Presbyterian W 66-62 63%    
  Jan 08, 2022 248   @ Radford L 63-68 34%    
  Jan 12, 2022 338   Hampton W 75-66 80%    
  Jan 15, 2022 282   @ High Point L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 19, 2022 270   @ UNC Asheville L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 22, 2022 179   Campbell L 62-64 42%    
  Jan 26, 2022 210   @ Longwood L 64-71 26%    
  Jan 29, 2022 334   South Carolina Upstate W 76-68 76%    
  Feb 02, 2022 146   @ Winthrop L 72-83 17%    
  Feb 05, 2022 190   @ Gardner-Webb L 65-73 24%    
  Feb 09, 2022 349   Charleston Southern W 82-71 84%    
  Feb 12, 2022 210   Longwood L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 16, 2022 338   @ Hampton W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 19, 2022 179   @ Campbell L 59-67 22%    
  Feb 23, 2022 282   High Point W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 26, 2022 248   Radford W 66-65 54%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.8 2.4 0.7 0.1 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.0 0.7 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.3 3.9 4.6 1.1 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 5.9 1.9 0.1 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 6.5 3.1 0.3 12.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 6.3 4.4 0.4 13.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 5.7 4.6 0.6 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.2 4.1 1.2 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 2.8 2.8 0.9 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.6 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 3.3 6.2 8.7 13.4 14.9 15.4 13.8 10.1 6.2 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
14-2 88.7% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0
13-3 58.5% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1
12-4 19.8% 0.8    0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0
11-5 4.5% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.3% 25.3% 25.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.6% 7.3% 7.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-3 1.7% 11.4% 11.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.5
12-4 4.0% 10.4% 10.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.6
11-5 6.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.1 0.5 5.7
10-6 10.1% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.3
9-7 13.8% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.6 13.2
8-8 15.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 15.0
7-9 14.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 14.7
6-10 13.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.3
5-11 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.7
4-12 6.2% 6.2
3-13 3.3% 3.3
2-14 1.0% 1.0
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.2 96.5 0.0%