College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#174
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#219
Pace66.6#260
Improvement+2.2#41

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#143
First Shot-0.6#189
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#97
Layup/Dunks-1.3#227
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#183
Freethrows+1.8#83
Improvement+0.1#184

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#229
First Shot-3.5#289
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#72
Layups/Dunks+1.5#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#323
Freethrows+2.3#57
Improvement+2.2#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 7.1% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.6
.500 or above 47.4% 55.7% 31.1%
.500 or above in Conference 63.7% 67.7% 55.8%
Conference Champion 6.8% 7.9% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.3% 4.6%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round6.1% 7.0% 4.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Home) - 66.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 51 - 5
Quad 35 - 85 - 13
Quad 410 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 110 @Liberty L 75-90 23%     0 - 1 -8.2 +13.3 -23.3
  Sat, Nov 8 120 Florida Atlantic L 77-94 36%     0 - 2 -14.1 +6.6 -21.4
  Fri, Nov 14 359 South Carolina St. W 88-61 93%     1 - 2 +9.3 +11.3 -0.9
  Mon, Nov 17 130 Drake L 62-71 49%     1 - 3 -9.7 -9.9 +0.0
  Fri, Nov 21 168 Massachusetts W 69-65 48%     2 - 3 +3.5 -0.1 +3.6
  Sun, Nov 23 78 Yale L 63-74 21%     2 - 4 -3.6 -6.4 +2.0
  Mon, Nov 24 269 Evansville W 78-59 68%     3 - 4 +13.3 +4.0 +9.3
  Sun, Nov 30 80 Belmont L 73-96 31%     3 - 5 -18.7 +2.4 -20.8
  Wed, Dec 10 84 @South Florida L 75-81 16%     3 - 6 +3.6 +7.7 -4.2
  Sun, Dec 14 197 Charlotte W 72-68 66%    
  Wed, Dec 17 361 The Citadel W 80-63 94%    
  Sun, Dec 21 195 @Northern Kentucky L 73-75 43%    
  Mon, Dec 29 270 Drexel W 73-65 76%    
  Wed, Dec 31 181 @Elon L 76-78 40%    
  Mon, Jan 5 121 William & Mary L 79-80 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 210 Hampton W 73-68 68%    
  Thu, Jan 15 137 @Towson L 66-71 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 207 @Stony Brook L 71-72 47%    
  Thu, Jan 22 226 Campbell W 79-73 70%    
  Sat, Jan 24 181 Elon W 79-75 62%    
  Thu, Jan 29 123 @Hofstra L 68-75 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 212 @Northeastern L 72-73 48%    
  Thu, Feb 5 318 N.C. A&T W 80-69 84%    
  Mon, Feb 9 107 UNC Wilmington L 70-72 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 123 Hofstra L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 226 @Campbell L 75-76 49%    
  Thu, Feb 19 318 @N.C. A&T W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 203 Monmouth W 75-70 67%    
  Thu, Feb 26 210 @Hampton L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 107 @UNC Wilmington L 67-75 25%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.4 6.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.4 3.5 0.4 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.4 4.4 0.7 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.5 1.2 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.9 1.9 0.1 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.0 0.2 5.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.8 0.4 4.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.7 9.8 12.4 13.8 14.2 12.3 9.9 6.5 4.0 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 98.7% 0.7    0.7 0.1
15-3 83.3% 1.6    1.1 0.5 0.0
14-4 55.3% 2.2    1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.8% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.4 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 20.4% 20.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 26.2% 26.2% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.0% 21.0% 21.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5
14-4 4.0% 18.5% 18.5% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 3.3
13-5 6.5% 14.6% 14.6% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 5.6
12-6 9.9% 12.1% 12.1% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 8.7
11-7 12.3% 9.0% 9.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 11.2
10-8 14.2% 5.1% 5.1% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 13.5
9-9 13.8% 3.1% 3.1% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 13.4
8-10 12.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.8 0.1 0.2 12.2
7-11 9.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.6
6-12 6.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.6
5-13 4.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.2 1.8 0.7 93.7 0.0%