College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#127
Expected Predictive Rating+6.0#92
Pace74.4#56
Improvement-2.6#324

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#141
First Shot+1.9#125
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#215
Layup/Dunks-0.5#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
Freethrows+1.2#111
Improvement-2.0#314

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#157
First Shot-0.7#192
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#111
Layups/Dunks-1.5#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#229
Freethrows+2.1#65
Improvement-0.7#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.2% 20.9% 15.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.8 13.3
.500 or above 90.5% 97.0% 87.9%
.500 or above in Conference 87.7% 92.4% 85.9%
Conference Champion 24.0% 29.1% 21.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round17.1% 20.8% 15.7%
Second Round2.1% 3.2% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 28.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 37 - 58 - 9
Quad 412 - 219 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 169   Southern Illinois W 90-80 59%     1 - 0 +9.3 +9.7 -1.4
  Nov 08, 2024 148   South Florida W 86-71 65%     2 - 0 +12.6 +0.2 +10.4
  Nov 15, 2024 92   Florida Atlantic W 119-116 2OT 46%     3 - 0 +5.8 +15.3 -10.2
  Nov 17, 2024 70   Liberty L 47-68 37%     3 - 1 -16.0 -18.3 +0.8
  Nov 20, 2024 325   @ The Citadel W 76-61 77%     4 - 1 +8.9 +5.2 +4.4
  Nov 24, 2024 91   @ Rhode Island L 53-91 25%     4 - 2 -29.1 -19.7 -7.0
  Nov 27, 2024 216   Northern Kentucky W 79-64 76%     5 - 2 +9.3 +7.1 +2.6
  Dec 10, 2024 101   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-79 28%    
  Dec 16, 2024 142   Wofford W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 22, 2024 76   Oregon St. L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 02, 2025 264   Hampton W 77-66 83%    
  Jan 04, 2025 147   Towson W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 09, 2025 156   @ Hofstra L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 287   @ Monmouth W 78-73 69%    
  Jan 16, 2025 278   @ Campbell W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 18, 2025 152   Northeastern W 75-71 65%    
  Jan 23, 2025 140   UNC Wilmington W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 173   @ Elon L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 30, 2025 327   Stony Brook W 82-68 90%    
  Feb 01, 2025 219   @ William & Mary W 84-82 57%    
  Feb 06, 2025 311   N.C. A&T W 89-76 87%    
  Feb 08, 2025 173   Elon W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 13, 2025 140   @ UNC Wilmington L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 311   @ N.C. A&T W 86-79 73%    
  Feb 20, 2025 152   @ Northeastern L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 167   @ Drexel L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 27, 2025 213   Delaware W 84-77 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 278   Campbell W 77-66 84%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.3 6.4 6.9 4.5 1.9 0.4 24.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.5 4.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 16.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 5.8 3.4 0.7 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 5.0 3.6 0.7 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.9 3.8 0.7 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 4.0 1.1 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.4 1.6 0.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.0 0.2 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.9 3.3 5.8 8.5 11.4 13.2 14.2 13.8 11.4 8.3 4.6 1.9 0.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 99.6% 1.9    1.9 0.0
16-2 96.8% 4.5    4.1 0.4 0.0
15-3 83.2% 6.9    5.0 1.8 0.2
14-4 55.6% 6.4    3.0 2.6 0.7 0.1
13-5 23.8% 3.3    0.7 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.5% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 24.0% 24.0 15.0 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 47.6% 47.1% 0.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.0%
17-1 1.9% 42.4% 42.2% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 0.4%
16-2 4.6% 37.2% 37.2% 12.3 0.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.9
15-3 8.3% 31.4% 31.4% 12.6 0.0 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.7
14-4 11.4% 27.2% 27.2% 13.0 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.6 0.0 8.3
13-5 13.8% 23.2% 23.2% 13.3 0.4 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 10.6
12-6 14.2% 16.5% 16.5% 13.6 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 11.9
11-7 13.2% 12.5% 12.5% 13.9 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 11.6
10-8 11.4% 7.8% 7.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 10.5
9-9 8.5% 4.3% 4.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.1
8-10 5.8% 3.3% 3.3% 14.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.6
7-11 3.3% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
6-12 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 17.2% 17.2% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.1 6.6 4.5 1.4 0.2 82.8 0.0%