College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#151
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#214
Pace67.3#249
Improvement+2.3#37

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#147
First Shot+0.6#159
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#179
Layup/Dunks+0.5#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#211
Freethrows+1.3#115
Improvement-2.5#347

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#182
First Shot-1.9#245
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#102
Layups/Dunks+1.9#113
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#321
Freethrows+2.2#59
Improvement+4.8#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 10.7% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.0
.500 or above 63.2% 76.7% 54.2%
.500 or above in Conference 72.5% 79.2% 68.1%
Conference Champion 10.3% 13.0% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 1.4% 2.8%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round8.6% 10.7% 7.3%
Second Round0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Home) - 40.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 76 - 12
Quad 411 - 317 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 96 @Liberty L 75-90 21%     0 - 1 -6.7 +13.2 -21.7
  Sat, Nov 8 113 Florida Atlantic L 77-94 37%     0 - 2 -13.6 +6.5 -20.7
  Fri, Nov 14 348 South Carolina St. W 88-61 91%     1 - 2 +12.4 +13.6 -0.1
  Mon, Nov 17 143 Drake L 62-71 58%     1 - 3 -11.2 -8.8 -2.6
  Fri, Nov 21 177 Massachusetts W 69-65 55%     2 - 3 +2.6 -1.1 +3.8
  Sun, Nov 23 71 Yale L 63-74 22%     2 - 4 -3.1 -5.7 +1.8
  Mon, Nov 24 291 Evansville W 78-59 75%     3 - 4 +11.8 +2.5 +9.2
  Sun, Nov 30 94 Belmont L 73-76 40%    
  Wed, Dec 10 87 @South Florida L 74-83 19%    
  Sun, Dec 14 199 Charlotte W 73-68 69%    
  Wed, Dec 17 359 The Citadel W 81-64 94%    
  Sun, Dec 21 198 @Northern Kentucky L 73-74 47%    
  Mon, Dec 29 260 Drexel W 72-64 78%    
  Wed, Dec 31 187 @Elon L 75-76 46%    
  Mon, Jan 5 131 William & Mary W 80-79 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 232 Hampton W 74-67 74%    
  Thu, Jan 15 129 @Towson L 65-70 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 222 @Stony Brook W 71-70 52%    
  Thu, Jan 22 224 Campbell W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Jan 24 187 Elon W 78-73 66%    
  Thu, Jan 29 157 @Hofstra L 69-72 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 194 @Northeastern L 72-73 47%    
  Thu, Feb 5 318 N.C. A&T W 79-68 84%    
  Mon, Feb 9 102 UNC Wilmington L 70-72 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 157 Hofstra W 72-69 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 224 @Campbell W 75-74 52%    
  Thu, Feb 19 318 @N.C. A&T W 76-71 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 200 Monmouth W 74-69 68%    
  Thu, Feb 26 232 @Hampton W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 102 @UNC Wilmington L 67-75 25%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.1 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 10.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.6 2.7 0.7 0.1 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.4 3.8 5.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 5.7 2.6 0.3 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 3.8 0.6 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.1 3.7 0.9 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.0 1.4 0.1 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 1.7 0.2 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.8 4.7 7.8 10.0 12.7 14.1 13.2 11.5 9.1 6.3 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 94.6% 1.5    1.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 78.7% 2.8    2.0 0.8 0.1
14-4 49.7% 3.1    1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0
13-5 19.8% 1.8    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.3% 10.3 5.9 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 32.9% 32.9% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.5% 32.3% 32.3% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.6% 24.5% 24.5% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.7
14-4 6.3% 21.2% 21.2% 13.3 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 5.0
13-5 9.1% 17.2% 17.2% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 7.5
12-6 11.5% 13.0% 13.0% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 10.0
11-7 13.2% 9.8% 9.8% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 11.9
10-8 14.1% 4.9% 4.9% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 13.4
9-9 12.7% 2.8% 2.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.3
8-10 10.0% 2.1% 2.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.8
7-11 7.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.6
6-12 4.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.7
5-13 2.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-14 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 13.8 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.0 1.7 0.5 91.3 0.0%