Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -8.1 298
Results Rating -9.1 311
Consistency 0.12 24
Pace 68.4 177
Improvement -1.7 248

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 166 C- C+ C- D D-
Defense F+ 353 F+ D+ D+ D+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 24% 365 D+ 54% 279 -9.5 365
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 210 C 38% 192 +0.6 144
Three Pointers 54% 7 C+ 34% 150 +6.9 19
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.2 328 C -0.6 191
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 235
Second Chance C+ 31.4% 146 C+ 1.08 102 C+ 0.34 112
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.2% 263
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 179
Turnovers C- 17.4% 225
Freethrows D 0.26 308 C 72% 213 D 0.19 303
Total Offense C -0.1 166

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 182 C- 11.5% 215
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 120 D+ 6.5% 284
Three Pointers D 77% 317 B- 0.5% 96
Total C+ 58% 136 B 4.5% 61


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 227 D 64% 327 +1.5 224
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 146 F 48% 364 +2.5 345
Three Pointers 41% 164 D- 38% 327 +2.4 294
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 126 F +6.4 358
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 353
Second Chance D 33.4% 305 C 1.02 155 D+ 0.34 266
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 235
Other Turnovers D 6.2% 316
Turnovers D+ 14.9% 288
Freethrows D+ 0.34 283 C- 74% 257 D+ 0.25 288
Total Defense F+ -8.0 353

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 274 C- 10.1% 207
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 140 C 5.1% 156
Three Pointers D+ 87% 293 D 0.2% 324
Total C- 57% 222 C- 4.9% 221

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 299 16.3 26
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 230 0.23 345
Consistency 0.10 45 0.11 73
Improvement +1.5 117 -3.2 324

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 299 298 297
Results Rating Rank 311 309 308
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 48 - 119 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 10 155 Western Kentucky L 79 - 87 30% +0  47% 0 - 1 D -11 D+ -3 A F C- D- -7 F A+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 18 @Vanderbilt L 62 - 92 1% -19  2% 0 - 2 D -9 D- -7 F+ C- C C -0 F+ A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 18 158 @Kent St. L 78 - 93 14% -16  0% 0 - 3 D- -12 F+ -8 F+ B- F C -1 D C- C+
 Sat, Nov 22 187 Mercer L 83 - 95 37% -11  1% 0 - 4 F+ -17 C +2 D B- B F -18 F F B+
 Mon, Nov 24 185 @Northern Kentucky L 71 - 82 18% -4  8% 0 - 5 D -9 D -5 D- C+ C- D+ -4 C- F D+
 Sat, Nov 29 244 Wofford L 77 - 83 49% -8  5% 0 - 6 D- -14 D- -7 F A+ B- D- -7 C C F
 Wed, Dec 3 104 @Illinois St. L 78 - 89 8% -9  0% 0 - 7 C- -3 B +6 C+ B+ D+ F+ -9 F F C
 Wed, Dec 10 321 @Eastern Illinois W 68 - 59 47% +5  80% 1 - 7 C+ +2 C -0 D C C+ B- +3 B- C- C+
 Sat, Dec 13 92 Miami (OH) L 69 - 79 15% -9  3% 1 - 8 D+ -7 D+ -4 D C+ F+ D+ -3 C- F+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 197 @Jacksonville St. W 62 - 59 20% +5  87% 2 - 8 C+ +4 D -5 F+ A F A +9 A- A D+
 Sun, Dec 21 87 @Wichita St. L 57 - 88 6% -22  2% 2 - 9 F -21 F+ -10 F+ D B+ F -13 F+ F F+
 Thu, Jan 1 192 @Queens L 89 - 91 19% -1  36% 2 - 10 0 - 1 C -1 A- +10 B C- A+ F -10 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 3 301 @West Georgia L 76 - 88 40% +1  54% 2 - 11 0 - 2 F+ -18 C- -1 D+ B+ B- F -17 F F F+
 Thu, Jan 8 343 North Alabama W 88 - 80 77% +3  81% 3 - 11 1 - 2 D+ -8 A- +10 D+ A+ A+ F -18 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 167 Central Arkansas W 79 - 75 OT 33% +1  52% 4 - 11 2 - 2 C +1 C +1 B- C C+ C -0 F+ A+ B
 Thu, Jan 15 183 @Austin Peay L 72 - 74 18% -1  35% 4 - 12 2 - 3 C -0 B +6 A+ D F D- -7 C- F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 282 Bellarmine W 89 - 69 58% +11  86% 5 - 12 3 - 3 B +10 A- +10 C+ A+ F+ B- +2 A C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 22 341 @North Florida L 85 - 87 56% -2  16% 5 - 13 3 - 4 D- -11 C- -1 C- B+ D- F -11 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 24 296 @Jacksonville L 76 - 81 OT 38% +3  79% 5 - 14 3 - 5 D -10 C -0 D+ A+ F F+ -10 F F B+
 Wed, Jan 28 183 Austin Peay L 82 - 90 36% -10  1% 5 - 15 3 - 6 D- -12 C +1 F C+ A+ F -13 F D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 167 @Central Arkansas L 81 - 90 16% -8  1% 5 - 16 3 - 7 D+ -6 C +0 C+ F C- D -6 F+ C+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 252 Florida Gulf Coast W 76 - 74 51% -6  22% 6 - 16 4 - 7 D+ -6 D+ -3 D A D C- -3 F+ A A
 Sat, Feb 7 309 Stetson W 100 - 88 65% +0  51% 7 - 16 5 - 7 C -0 A+ +16 B- A+ A F -17 F F D-
 Wed, Feb 11 216 @Lipscomb L 61 - 75 23% -8  18% 7 - 17 5 - 8 D- -14 F+ -10 D D D D -6 D C+ C
 Sun, Feb 15 343 @North Alabama L 78 - 84 OT 57% +1  49% 7 - 18 5 - 9 F+ -16 D- -7 F F A- F+ -9 F C- B-
 Wed, Feb 18 301 West Georgia W 81 - 80 OT 63% +3  69% 8 - 18 6 - 9 D -11 F+ -9 F C+ C- C -1 F B- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 282 @Bellarmine W 95 - 92 35% +6  76% 9 - 18 7 - 9 C -1 A+ +19 A+ D+ B+ F -20 F F B-
 Wed, Feb 25 192 Queens L 79 - 96 37% -0  61% 9 - 19 7 - 10 F -22 D -4 F+ A- C- F -17 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 216 Lipscomb L 77 - 80 43% +1  52% 9 - 20 7 - 11 D -9 B- +5 A F+ D F -14 C F F
 Wed, Mar 4 309 Stetson L 76 - 92 54% -15  2% 9 - 21 F -25 C- -0 B- D- D F -26 F F F
Totals 9 - 21 7 - 11 -8 C +0 A C D- F+ -8 C+ C D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C C+ C 24% 35% 54% D- C- C+ C+ C+ C- D C D F+ D F D- F 37% 22% 41% C+ F+ D C D+ D+ D+ C- D+
1.09 54% 38% 34% -1 -1 0.98 31% 1.1 .34 17% .26 72% .19 1.20 64% 48% 38% +6 0 1.15 33% 1.0 .34 15% .34 74% .19
Nov
10		 Western Kentucky D+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 10% 42% 48% F A D F F C- F+ D- F D- F F A F 42% 27% 32% B F B A+ A+ F F+ A+ C-
1.05 100% 64% 32% +13 -5 1.19 24% 0.5 .12 19% .33 65% .21 1.15 68% 50% 26% +4 -1 1.08 28% 0.5 .14 4% .39 64% .25
Nov
12		 Vanderbilt D- C+ C F D- 13% 30% 57% F F+ D+ B- C- C C- C- C- C F C- F F 39% 20% 41% C+ F+ D- A+ A+ C+ A A+ A+
0.85 57% 38% 23% -10 -3 0.76 23% 1.0 .23 19% .32 74% .24 1.26 78% 42% 42% +13 0 1.29 38% 0.6 .22 14% .25 63% .16
Nov
18		 Kent St. F+ D+ B+ F F+ 23% 13% 64% C- F+ C+ B- B- F B F C- C D- B C+ D+ 48% 12% 40% F D B- D- C- C+ F B F
0.96 54% 43% 28% -6 0 0.89 33% 1.1 .35 23% .38 63% .24 1.14 64% 33% 33% +2 +2 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 20% .56 70% .40
Nov
22		 Mercer C F C+ A+ C 19% 42% 39% F D A- C- B- B C- B C F F D+ F F 30% 30% 40% A- F F B- F B+ B- D- C+
1.16 27% 42% 45% +2 -4 0.98 41% 0.9 .39 15% .25 80% .20 1.33 73% 40% 65% +24 -2 1.46 47% 0.9 .43 20% .31 78% .24
Nov
24		 Northern Kentucky D B- A+ F D 16% 24% 59% F D- C B- C+ C- C F D D+ F A- B- D 27% 22% 51% A C- C+ F F D+ D- F F
1.00 63% 50% 28% -2 -2 0.94 32% 1.3 .41 20% .33 63% .21 1.15 79% 27% 31% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.7 .47 15% .35 86% .30
Nov
29		 Wofford D- D F F F 28% 20% 52% F+ F B A+ A+ B- D- B D D- D+ D+ B C- 29% 20% 51% A- C D+ B- C F F D- F
1.07 53% 17% 29% -10 -1 0.82 36% 1.4 .51 14% .26 81% .21 1.15 60% 40% 31% -2 -1 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 8% .49 75% .36
Dec
3		 Illinois St. B C- D+ A- B 18% 30% 52% F+ C+ C+ A+ B+ D+ A+ D A- F+ B- F F F 41% 16% 43% D- F C- F F C D- F F
1.10 56% 33% 38% +2 -3 1.00 28% 1.3 .36 18% .40 65% .26 1.25 57% 63% 45% +11 +1 1.25 29% 1.6 .46 17% .34 80% .27
Dec
10		 Eastern Illinois C B- A+ F D+ 23% 13% 64% D+ D C C C C+ F+ A+ D+ B- C- A+ B- B- 39% 33% 28% C B- B- F+ C- C+ C F D
1.08 64% 67% 27% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.1 .38 17% .25 92% .23 0.94 56% 20% 31% -8 -1 0.83 24% 1.1 .27 19% .27 86% .24
Dec
13		 Miami (OH) D+ F+ D B C- 13% 31% 56% F D A+ F C+ F+ A+ B- A+ D+ D+ D- D C- 38% 20% 43% C+ C- C+ F F+ D+ A+ A+ A+
1.02 50% 33% 37% 0 -3 0.96 43% 0.7 .30 21% .41 77% .32 1.17 67% 45% 38% +7 0 1.16 23% 1.6 .35 13% .15 33% .05
Dec
17		 Jacksonville St. D F D B- F 31% 13% 56% C F+ A+ C+ A F F A+ F A A- F A+ A 48% 14% 38% C A- C- A+ A D+ F F F
0.98 29% 33% 36% -8 0 0.87 39% 1.1 .42 27% .22 90% .19 0.93 45% 50% 25% -10 +1 0.86 31% 0.5 .17 16% .47 76% .36
Dec
21		 Wichita St. F+ A+ F F D- 20% 34% 46% D- F+ F A+ D B+ F F F F D+ B C- D 54% 5% 41% F F+ C+ F F F+ A A+ A+
0.85 82% 16% 27% -8 -3 0.80 15% 1.3 .20 13% .12 57% .07 1.31 60% 33% 35% +1 +3 1.11 38% 1.4 .54 10% .23 57% .13
Jan
1		 Queens A- D+ C+ A+ B- 38% 9% 53% B- B F A+ C- A+ C- C- D+ F F A+ A+ C 53% 8% 40% F C- D F F F F D+ F
1.27 55% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 23% 1.5 .34 7% .32 71% .23 1.30 75% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.11 32% 1.5 .48 9% .49 77% .38
Jan
3		 West Georgia C- C- A+ D D+ 33% 9% 58% C D+ C A+ B+ B- F F F F D+ F A+ F 50% 30% 20% F F F C- F F+ F F F
1.09 58% 60% 30% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.3 .39 13% .17 50% .08 1.26 59% 63% 18% +3 0 1.07 41% 1.1 .44 13% .36 77% .28
Jan
8		 North Alabama A- F+ A- B- C- 28% 16% 56% D- D+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ F F F F F 26% 32% 43% A+ F A F C- F F A+ D
1.34 50% 50% 36% +1 0 1.04 43% 1.4 .60 9% .38 83% .32 1.21 67% 53% 40% +11 -2 1.19 23% 1.4 .33 14% .44 56% .25
Jan
10		 Central Arkansas C C+ F A B 15% 11% 75% D B- C- B- C C+ F F F C B- F D F 34% 15% 51% C F+ D- A+ A+ B C+ D C
1.12 63% 17% 41% +7 0 1.15 28% 1.2 .33 18% .12 57% .07 1.06 56% 75% 37% +7 0 1.17 32% 0.3 .11 18% .26 73% .19
Jan
15		 Austin Peay B A+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 28% 47% F A+ B- F D F F F F D- C+ C C C- 46% 17% 38% D+ C- F C+ F C- C- D D+
1.15 91% 58% 50% +25 -2 1.49 35% 0.5 .17 27% .20 56% .11 1.18 55% 38% 33% -2 +1 1.00 42% 1.1 .47 16% .32 76% .25
Jan
17		 Bellarmine A- A+ F A+ C+ 22% 13% 64% C- C+ A A+ A+ F+ A B- A B- D+ A+ A A 40% 12% 49% C+ A F+ A+ C+ D+ F C F
1.40 80% 0% 45% +10 0 1.22 44% 1.8 .81 19% .41 76% .31 1.09 65% 20% 29% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.9 .24 14% .53 79% .42
Jan
22		 North Florida C- D- C- B+ D+ 43% 9% 48% B C- C- A+ B+ D- D+ F F F F+ F D F 45% 12% 43% D- F F C+ F D+ D C+ D
1.20 52% 40% 38% +1 +2 1.07 35% 1.5 .53 15% .25 47% .12 1.22 65% 67% 36% +8 +2 1.22 38% 1.1 .41 17% .29 76% .22
Jan
24		 Jacksonville C D A- B- C- 40% 24% 36% D D+ A A+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ F+ C+ F C- F 30% 43% 27% A+ F F F+ F B+ F D- F
1.11 56% 45% 38% +3 0 1.07 40% 1.2 .47 22% .52 71% .37 1.18 54% 63% 33% +9 -4 1.14 39% 1.2 .46 20% .55 77% .42
Jan
28		 Austin Peay C B- F F+ F 25% 31% 44% F F A+ F C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F+ D F F 37% 29% 34% A F A- F D+ A+ F F F
1.11 64% 24% 29% -6 -2 0.85 43% 0.6 .27 12% .42 89% .37 1.22 67% 42% 50% +12 -1 1.24 23% 1.6 .36 23% .67 92% .61
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Central Arkansas C F+ F A C+ 31% 4% 65% B C+ D F F C- A+ C A+ D C F D+ F+ 37% 15% 47% C- F+ A- F C+ F F A+ C
1.07 50% 0% 41% +3 +2 1.12 24% 0.8 .19 20% .43 73% .31 1.19 59% 67% 36% +6 +1 1.15 21% 1.2 .26 8% .37 50% .19
Feb
5		 Florida Gulf Coast D+ A+ F D- D+ 16% 22% 61% F D B- A+ A D A A- A+ C- F D- C+ F 21% 25% 54% B F+ C A+ A A C+ D- C
1.09 88% 27% 30% -1 -2 0.96 33% 1.3 .44 19% .44 80% .35 1.06 91% 46% 32% +7 -2 1.13 29% 0.7 .21 21% .24 77% .18
Feb
7		 Stetson A+ B A+ D+ B 35% 15% 51% C B- B A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ F A- F F F 39% 18% 43% D F F D- F D- F+ F F
1.42 68% 75% 32% +8 +1 1.18 37% 1.5 .53 10% .41 85% .35 1.25 47% 56% 48% +8 0 1.18 32% 1.2 .38 16% .34 85% .29
Feb
11		 Lipscomb F+ F A+ D+ D 33% 24% 43% C- D B- F D D F F F D C F D D 33% 8% 59% C D F A+ C+ C C- F F+
0.93 47% 50% 32% -2 -1 0.96 34% 0.7 .24 20% .19 50% .10 1.15 59% 50% 37% +4 +1 1.12 34% 0.7 .23 17% .24 92% .22
Feb
15		 North Alabama D- D A+ F F 43% 5% 52% B+ F D- F F A- A+ F C+ F+ D+ F D F 45% 14% 40% D F F A+ C- B- F C F
1.05 54% 100% 22% -8 +2 0.90 29% 0.7 .20 11% .39 58% .23 1.13 58% 50% 35% +2 +1 1.10 42% 0.8 .33 20% .77 67% .52
Feb
18		 West Georgia F+ B- F F F+ 30% 30% 40% F F C B C+ C- D+ D- D C D F B+ F 23% 40% 37% A F B- C+ B- C- F A+ C
1.02 63% 26% 28% -6 -2 0.87 30% 1.1 .33 15% .31 67% .21 1.00 62% 57% 29% +5 -4 1.05 27% 1.0 .27 16% .36 50% .18
Feb
21		 Bellarmine A+ F D- A+ A+ 13% 13% 74% D+ A+ F+ B+ D+ B+ A+ B+ A+ F F F F F 47% 4% 49% F+ F D F F B- D+ F D-
1.49 50% 33% 54% +21 -1 1.43 28% 1.3 .36 13% .43 79% .34 1.44 86% 50% 50% +25 +3 1.58 25% 1.5 .38 17% .32 88% .28
Feb
25		 Queens D C- B- D+ C- 15% 40% 45% F F+ C- A+ A- C- A+ C- A+ F F D+ F F 23% 40% 38% A+ F B A+ A+ F F D F
1.12 57% 42% 33% +1 -4 0.96 32% 1.4 .46 16% .47 71% .34 1.36 73% 42% 56% +17 -4 1.29 25% 0.5 .13 10% .60 79% .47
Feb
28		 Lipscomb B- D D A+ A 22% 12% 66% C+ A A- F F+ D C- A+ B F A- F C C 32% 12% 56% B- C F C F F B A+ A
1.18 55% 33% 45% +10 0 1.22 39% 0.5 .19 20% .27 86% .23 1.22 50% 57% 34% 0 +1 1.04 35% 1.0 .35 8% .18 55% .10
Mar
4		 Stetson C- D+ D- A+ B- 35% 13% 52% C+ B- F A D- D C+ C+ C+ F D+ D- F F 34% 17% 49% D+ F F F F F D+ F D-
1.16 59% 33% 44% +7 +1 1.19 21% 1.3 .29 17% .29 75% .22 1.40 61% 44% 42% +8 0 1.19 32% 1.8 .58 9% .30 78% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%