Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#259
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#299
Pace69.1#195
Improvement-0.8#232

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#213
First Shot-4.4#304
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#38
Layup/Dunks-10.1#365
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#13
Freethrows-3.5#339
Improvement-2.1#328

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#300
First Shot-3.1#284
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#240
Layups/Dunks-2.5#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#233
Freethrows+0.9#117
Improvement+1.3#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 7.4% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 12.4% 22.2% 7.9%
.500 or above in Conference 56.4% 73.8% 48.4%
Conference Champion 4.3% 8.4% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 1.2% 4.9%
First Four3.1% 3.4% 2.9%
First Round4.1% 5.9% 3.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Away) - 31.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 410 - 812 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 145 Western Kentucky L 79-87 37%     0 - 1 -9.9 -0.3 -9.1
  Wed, Nov 12 9 @Vanderbilt L 62-92 1%     0 - 2 -6.9 -3.1 -2.6
  Tue, Nov 18 124 @Kent St. L 78-93 16%     0 - 3 -9.6 -4.3 -3.2
  Sat, Nov 22 174 Mercer L 83-95 45%     0 - 4 -16.1 +6.1 -21.9
  Mon, Nov 24 208 @Northern Kentucky L 71-82 30%     0 - 5 -11.1 -2.5 -8.5
  Sat, Nov 29 220 Wofford L 77-83 55%     0 - 6 -12.8 -1.4 -11.2
  Wed, Dec 3 82 @Illinois St. L 78-89 8%     0 - 7 -1.1 +7.8 -8.8
  Wed, Dec 10 325 @Eastern Illinois W 68-59 55%     1 - 7 +2.2 +1.6 +1.6
  Sat, Dec 13 106 Miami (OH) L 69-79 26%     1 - 8 -8.7 -2.6 -6.5
  Wed, Dec 17 236 @Jacksonville St. W 62-59 35%     2 - 8 +1.5 -3.4 +5.2
  Sun, Dec 21 98 @Wichita St. L 57-88 10%     2 - 9 -22.5 -8.9 -15.0
  Thu, Jan 1 211 @Queens L 78-83 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 316 @West Georgia W 76-75 52%    
  Thu, Jan 8 244 North Alabama W 74-72 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 282 Central Arkansas W 76-72 64%    
  Thu, Jan 15 195 @Austin Peay L 69-75 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 267 Bellarmine W 78-75 62%    
  Thu, Jan 22 350 @North Florida W 85-81 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 317 @Jacksonville W 72-71 53%    
  Wed, Jan 28 195 Austin Peay L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 282 @Central Arkansas L 73-75 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 186 Florida Gulf Coast L 77-78 47%    
  Sat, Feb 7 349 Stetson W 79-69 82%    
  Wed, Feb 11 144 @Lipscomb L 71-81 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 244 @North Alabama L 71-75 37%    
  Wed, Feb 18 316 West Georgia W 79-72 72%    
  Sat, Feb 21 267 @Bellarmine L 75-78 40%    
  Wed, Feb 25 211 Queens W 81-80 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 144 Lipscomb L 74-78 38%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.6 1.1 0.1 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.6 1.4 0.2 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.5 6.0 2.0 0.2 12.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 6.1 2.9 0.2 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 6.2 3.5 0.3 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.8 3.9 0.5 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.9 0.8 0.0 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 4.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.8 5.1 8.4 11.5 13.9 14.2 13.7 11.0 8.2 4.8 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 97.2% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 82.9% 1.0    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 51.5% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.4% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 21.7% 21.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 36.8% 36.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.2% 26.1% 26.1% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.9% 18.6% 18.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.4
13-5 4.8% 12.6% 12.6% 15.5 0.3 0.3 4.2
12-6 8.2% 10.1% 10.1% 15.7 0.2 0.6 7.4
11-7 11.0% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9 10.0
10-8 13.7% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.8 12.9
9-9 14.2% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.6 13.6
8-10 13.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.6
7-11 11.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 11.3
6-12 8.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.3
5-13 5.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.1
4-14 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.1 94.6 0.0%