Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#207
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#177
Pace69.9#160
Improvement-2.6#322

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#143
First Shot-2.6#250
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#27
Layup/Dunks-8.3#359
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#8
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#122
Freethrows-2.2#297
Improvement-2.0#316

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#286
First Shot-0.9#201
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#327
Layups/Dunks-2.3#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#80
Freethrows-1.2#265
Improvement-0.6#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 14.1% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.7 14.5
.500 or above 56.8% 82.8% 55.4%
.500 or above in Conference 74.2% 85.9% 73.6%
Conference Champion 8.1% 14.4% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.4% 1.3%
First Four0.6% 0.1% 0.7%
First Round8.7% 14.1% 8.4%
Second Round0.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 4.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 34 - 54 - 10
Quad 411 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 135   @ East Tennessee St. W 82-78 26%     1 - 0 +8.4 +15.5 -6.9
  Nov 12, 2024 28   @ Clemson L 62-75 5%     1 - 1 +3.1 +2.7 -0.7
  Nov 19, 2024 359   @ Chicago St. W 86-66 80%     2 - 1 +8.7 +3.1 +4.2
  Nov 25, 2024 270   Ball St. L 61-63 64%     2 - 2 -8.0 -10.0 +1.9
  Nov 26, 2024 169   Southern Illinois W 77-72 44%     3 - 2 +4.3 +4.1 +0.1
  Nov 27, 2024 103   Louisiana Tech L 69-78 26%     3 - 3 -4.5 +5.0 -10.4
  Dec 01, 2024 125   @ Troy L 74-84 24%     3 - 4 -4.9 +5.0 -10.1
  Dec 11, 2024 36   @ Pittsburgh L 67-85 5%    
  Dec 14, 2024 316   Eastern Illinois W 77-67 81%    
  Dec 21, 2024 174   Jacksonville St. W 73-71 55%    
  Dec 28, 2024 43   @ Louisville L 69-85 7%    
  Jan 02, 2025 337   @ Central Arkansas W 76-71 68%    
  Jan 04, 2025 214   @ North Alabama L 74-77 41%    
  Jan 09, 2025 182   North Florida W 83-81 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 212   Jacksonville W 75-72 62%    
  Jan 16, 2025 238   @ Austin Peay L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 333   Bellarmine W 80-69 83%    
  Jan 23, 2025 329   Stetson W 82-72 82%    
  Jan 25, 2025 188   Florida Gulf Coast W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 30, 2025 105   @ Lipscomb L 71-80 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 238   Austin Peay W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 06, 2025 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 329   @ Stetson W 79-75 65%    
  Feb 13, 2025 349   West Georgia W 80-67 88%    
  Feb 15, 2025 290   Queens W 82-75 74%    
  Feb 18, 2025 105   Lipscomb L 74-77 38%    
  Feb 20, 2025 333   @ Bellarmine W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 24, 2025 212   @ Jacksonville L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 26, 2025 182   @ North Florida L 80-84 36%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.9 3.4 0.9 0.1 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.0 3.1 0.5 0.0 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.1 3.3 0.5 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.6 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 2.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 4.5 7.1 10.1 12.7 14.0 13.8 12.3 9.6 6.2 3.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 93.7% 1.5    1.3 0.2 0.0
15-3 73.1% 2.6    1.6 0.9 0.1
14-4 35.7% 2.2    0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0
13-5 11.9% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 4.3 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 31.6% 31.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.4% 47.4% 47.4% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.6% 31.7% 31.7% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.1
15-3 3.5% 25.7% 25.7% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.6
14-4 6.2% 21.4% 21.4% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.9
13-5 9.6% 15.9% 15.9% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 8.1
12-6 12.3% 12.7% 12.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 10.8
11-7 13.8% 8.4% 8.4% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 12.7
10-8 14.0% 6.4% 6.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 13.1
9-9 12.7% 3.7% 3.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.2
8-10 10.1% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.9
7-11 7.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 6.9
6-12 4.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.4
5-13 2.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.4
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.5 3.2 1.5 91.0 0.0%