Colorado
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#63
Expected Predictive Rating+17.0#21
Pace69.5#181
Improvement+2.9#25

Offense
Total Offense+7.2#42
First Shot+7.9#21
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#216
Layup/Dunks+6.1#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#281
Freethrows+5.6#3
Improvement-0.4#221

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#121
First Shot+2.5#89
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#246
Layups/Dunks-2.2#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#122
Freethrows+2.6#52
Improvement+3.4#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 4.7% 7.4% 2.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.6% 44.8% 28.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.2% 44.4% 28.0%
Average Seed 8.8 8.6 9.1
.500 or above 89.2% 95.4% 84.2%
.500 or above in Conference 33.9% 39.6% 29.4%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 5.8% 9.2%
First Four8.6% 9.7% 7.7%
First Round30.6% 39.4% 23.6%
Second Round13.6% 18.3% 9.9%
Sweet Sixteen2.9% 4.3% 1.9%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Away) - 44.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 26 - 39 - 12
Quad 35 - 114 - 13
Quad 45 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 160 Montana St. W 84-78 87%     1 - 0 +2.7 +11.9 -9.0
  Sat, Nov 8 254 Eastern Washington W 102-97 OT 93%     2 - 0 -3.0 +12.9 -16.4
  Fri, Nov 14 73 Providence W 97-88 66%     3 - 0 +13.5 +12.8 -0.3
  Mon, Nov 17 268 Alabama St. W 94-66 94%     4 - 0 +19.1 +14.5 +4.2
  Fri, Nov 21 179 UC Davis W 95-79 89%     5 - 0 +11.7 +22.5 -10.7
  Thu, Nov 27 88 San Francisco W 79-69 61%     6 - 0 +16.0 +10.4 +5.8
  Fri, Nov 28 56 Washington W 81-68 47%     7 - 0 +22.5 +14.2 +8.5
  Mon, Dec 1 129 California Baptist W 78-70 82%     8 - 0 +7.3 +8.8 -1.2
  Sat, Dec 6 75 @Colorado St. L 74-76 44%    
  Sat, Dec 13 270 Texas San Antonio W 86-68 95%    
  Wed, Dec 17 157 Portland St. W 83-71 87%    
  Sat, Dec 20 83 Stanford W 80-78 59%    
  Sun, Dec 28 153 Northern Colorado W 83-71 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 81 @Arizona St. L 79-80 46%    
  Wed, Jan 7 121 Utah W 83-74 79%    
  Sat, Jan 10 29 Texas Tech L 75-77 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 64 @Cincinnati L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Jan 17 68 @West Virginia L 69-72 41%    
  Tue, Jan 20 19 Kansas L 73-77 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 65 Central Florida W 84-81 61%    
  Thu, Jan 29 5 @Iowa St. L 70-84 10%    
  Sun, Feb 1 45 TCU W 75-74 51%    
  Wed, Feb 4 28 @Baylor L 77-85 24%    
  Sat, Feb 7 81 Arizona St. W 82-77 67%    
  Wed, Feb 11 29 @Texas Tech L 72-80 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 12 @BYU L 73-86 12%    
  Sat, Feb 21 50 Oklahoma St. W 85-84 53%    
  Wed, Feb 25 71 Kansas St. W 85-81 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 7 @Houston L 63-77 11%    
  Tue, Mar 3 121 @Utah W 80-77 60%    
  Sat, Mar 7 8 Arizona L 77-84 26%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.4 0.9 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.5 1.6 0.1 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.8 3.1 0.4 8.0 7th
8th 0.2 2.9 4.6 1.0 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.7 5.3 2.1 0.1 9.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.8 4.0 0.4 0.0 9.9 10th
11th 0.2 3.2 5.4 1.1 0.0 9.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.7 5.3 2.3 0.2 9.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 4.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 8.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 7.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.7 1.1 0.1 6.1 15th
16th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.9 16th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.7 6.9 10.7 13.5 14.7 14.3 12.2 9.5 5.9 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 69.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 18.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 13.8% 86.2% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 100.0% 9.4% 90.6% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.7% 99.4% 3.7% 95.7% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.4%
12-6 3.5% 98.6% 2.5% 96.0% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.6%
11-7 5.9% 94.0% 1.6% 92.4% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.4 93.9%
10-8 9.5% 84.6% 0.9% 83.7% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.4 2.1 0.8 0.0 1.5 84.4%
9-9 12.2% 67.1% 0.3% 66.7% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 67.0%
8-10 14.3% 36.1% 0.1% 35.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.7 0.1 9.2 36.0%
7-11 14.7% 12.9% 0.1% 12.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.1 12.8 12.8%
6-12 13.5% 3.3% 3.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 13.0 3.3%
5-13 10.7% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 10.7 0.2%
4-14 6.9% 6.9
3-15 3.7% 3.7
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 35.6% 0.5% 35.0% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.5 5.0 6.7 8.0 7.4 0.3 0.0 64.4 35.2%