Illinois-Chicago
Horizon
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#252
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#243
Pace67.0#238
Improvement+0.0#170

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#243
First Shot-1.9#234
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#207
Layup/Dunks-1.8#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#12
Freethrows-5.2#356
Improvement+0.7#106

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#264
First Shot-1.6#235
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#246
Layups/Dunks-4.9#316
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#11
Freethrows-2.9#322
Improvement-0.7#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 6.8% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 30.0% 48.3% 21.2%
.500 or above in Conference 50.9% 70.0% 41.7%
Conference Champion 4.3% 9.4% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 1.5% 7.9%
First Four2.0% 2.1% 1.9%
First Round3.8% 5.8% 2.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 32.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 63 - 9
Quad 411 - 814 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 113   @ Dayton L 54-64 14%     0 - 1 -3.4 -6.8 +1.8
  Nov 13, 2021 204   @ Valparaiso W 74-70 OT 28%     1 - 1 +5.1 -2.0 +6.9
  Nov 20, 2021 33   @ Loyola Chicago L 63-80 4%     1 - 2 -2.1 +5.3 -9.3
  Nov 25, 2021 188   Hawaii L 80-88 36%     1 - 3 -9.3 +8.5 -18.1
  Nov 26, 2021 153   San Diego L 52-64 29%     1 - 4 -11.2 -16.1 +4.4
  Dec 02, 2021 124   Oakland L 66-71 32%    
  Dec 05, 2021 231   Detroit Mercy W 73-72 55%    
  Dec 11, 2021 304   @ Central Michigan W 74-73 50%    
  Dec 14, 2021 86   DePaul L 69-77 22%    
  Dec 19, 2021 312   Northern Illinois W 68-62 72%    
  Dec 30, 2021 274   Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 01, 2022 166   Cleveland St. L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 06, 2022 205   @ Wright St. L 70-76 29%    
  Jan 08, 2022 197   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-70 28%    
  Jan 10, 2022 336   @ IUPUI W 65-61 64%    
  Jan 13, 2022 264   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 15, 2022 301   @ Green Bay L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 20, 2022 197   Northern Kentucky L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 22, 2022 205   Wright St. L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 27, 2022 231   @ Detroit Mercy L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 29, 2022 124   @ Oakland L 63-74 18%    
  Feb 03, 2022 290   Robert Morris W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 05, 2022 279   Youngstown St. W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 10, 2022 166   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 12, 2022 274   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 14, 2022 336   IUPUI W 68-58 81%    
  Feb 17, 2022 279   @ Youngstown St. L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 19, 2022 290   @ Robert Morris L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 24, 2022 301   Green Bay W 71-65 68%    
  Feb 26, 2022 264   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-66 63%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 11 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.4 1.6 2.8 2.3 1.0 0.2 8.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.5 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.5 2.5 0.6 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 4.8 2.7 0.5 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.3 4.8 2.8 0.5 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.3 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.9 2.4 0.5 0.1 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.7 3.7 5.3 6.9 9.1 9.7 11.2 11.3 10.9 8.3 6.8 5.4 3.6 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
19-3 80.4% 0.4    0.4
18-4 71.7% 0.9    0.7 0.3 0.0
17-5 53.2% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1
16-6 30.3% 1.1    0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0
15-7 5.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 52.2% 52.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.2% 26.3% 26.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.5% 32.9% 32.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
18-4 1.3% 23.3% 23.3% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
17-5 2.6% 18.4% 18.4% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.1
16-6 3.6% 18.2% 18.2% 15.6 0.3 0.4 2.9
15-7 5.4% 13.2% 13.2% 15.8 0.2 0.6 4.7
14-8 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 15.9 0.1 0.4 6.4
13-9 8.3% 6.5% 6.5% 15.9 0.1 0.5 7.7
12-10 10.9% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.5 10.4
11-11 11.3% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.6 10.7
10-12 11.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.0
9-13 9.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.5
8-14 9.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.0
7-15 6.9% 6.9
6-16 5.3% 5.3
5-17 3.7% 3.7
4-18 1.7% 1.7
3-19 0.9% 0.9
2-20 0.5% 0.5
1-21 0.2% 0.2
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.4 95.2 0.0%