Texas
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#40
Expected Predictive Rating+7.7#78
Pace68.9#197
Improvement+0.9#119

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#32
First Shot+3.0#85
After Offensive Rebound+5.0#4
Layup/Dunks+3.1#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#295
Freethrows+4.4#11
Improvement+0.0#168

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#66
First Shot+0.7#141
After Offensive Rebounds+3.5#11
Layups/Dunks+1.5#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#56
Freethrows-2.9#339
Improvement+0.9#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.1% 2.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 9.1% 9.2% 2.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 42.6% 42.7% 22.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.5% 41.6% 22.3%
Average Seed 8.1 8.1 8.6
.500 or above 68.9% 69.1% 38.3%
.500 or above in Conference 46.3% 46.4% 30.2%
Conference Champion 1.9% 1.9% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 4.5% 10.7%
First Four6.6% 6.6% 4.7%
First Round39.6% 39.7% 20.8%
Second Round22.4% 22.4% 10.1%
Sweet Sixteen6.4% 6.4% 1.3%
Elite Eight2.2% 2.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 99.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 11
Quad 23 - 38 - 14
Quad 32 - 010 - 15
Quad 47 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 4 Duke L 60-75 18%     0 - 1 +6.8 +1.3 +4.7
  Sat, Nov 8 321 Lafayette W 97-60 98%     1 - 1 +24.6 +19.7 +5.5
  Wed, Nov 12 358 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-58 99%     2 - 1 +17.1 +6.3 +9.3
  Sat, Nov 15 344 UMKC W 71-55 99%     3 - 1 +1.3 +2.1 +1.0
  Tue, Nov 18 347 Rider W 99-65 99%     4 - 1 +19.0 +16.4 +0.4
  Mon, Nov 24 72 Arizona St. L 86-87 67%     4 - 2 +6.7 +9.5 -2.7
  Wed, Nov 26 26 North Carolina St. W 102-97 40%     5 - 2 +19.8 +32.0 -12.4
  Wed, Dec 3 29 Virginia L 69-88 54%     5 - 3 -7.7 +3.9 -13.0
  Mon, Dec 8 223 Southern W 95-69 95%     6 - 3 +19.2 +17.8 +0.8
  Fri, Dec 12 7 @Connecticut L 63-71 13%     6 - 4 +16.2 +6.7 +9.0
  Tue, Dec 16 313 Le Moyne W 95-53 98%     7 - 4 +30.2 +7.8 +20.2
  Mon, Dec 22 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-55 99.5%   
  Sat, Jan 3 81 Mississippi St. W 80-72 78%    
  Tue, Jan 6 15 @Tennessee L 69-77 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 16 @Alabama L 83-91 23%    
  Wed, Jan 14 9 Vanderbilt L 77-82 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 44 Texas A&M W 83-80 62%    
  Wed, Jan 21 19 @Kentucky L 73-80 25%    
  Sat, Jan 24 21 Georgia L 84-85 47%    
  Wed, Jan 28 33 @Auburn L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 48 @Oklahoma L 78-79 44%    
  Tue, Feb 3 90 South Carolina W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Feb 7 63 Mississippi W 77-70 73%    
  Sat, Feb 14 46 @Missouri L 78-80 44%    
  Tue, Feb 17 38 LSU W 78-75 59%    
  Sat, Feb 21 21 @Georgia L 81-88 27%    
  Wed, Feb 25 11 Florida L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 44 @Texas A&M L 80-83 41%    
  Wed, Mar 4 23 @Arkansas L 78-84 30%    
  Sat, Mar 7 48 Oklahoma W 81-76 66%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 3.1 0.6 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.4 1.6 0.1 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 4.0 3.5 0.3 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 5.2 1.2 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.9 3.1 0.1 8.8 9th
10th 0.2 3.0 5.1 0.7 9.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 5.3 2.3 0.1 9.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.8 3.4 0.5 8.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.8 0.9 0.0 7.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.1 1.3 0.1 6.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.0 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 4.2 7.2 10.9 13.5 15.1 14.3 12.0 8.7 5.9 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 84.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.2% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 15.7% 84.3% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 100.0% 15.1% 84.9% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.5% 100.0% 9.1% 90.9% 4.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.2% 99.6% 9.4% 90.2% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.5%
12-6 5.9% 99.0% 6.3% 92.7% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.9%
11-7 8.7% 96.3% 4.4% 91.9% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.4 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 96.1%
10-8 12.0% 85.7% 2.2% 83.5% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.9 3.0 2.0 0.5 1.7 85.4%
9-9 14.3% 62.0% 1.3% 60.7% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.0 2.9 0.1 5.4 61.5%
8-10 15.1% 21.7% 0.7% 20.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.8 21.1%
7-11 13.5% 3.9% 0.4% 3.5% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 13.0 3.5%
6-12 10.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.1%
5-13 7.2% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 7.2
4-14 4.2% 4.2
3-15 2.0% 2.0
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 42.6% 1.9% 40.7% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.3 6.7 8.0 6.5 6.2 5.8 0.4 0.0 57.4 41.5%