Oklahoma
Big 12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.7#35
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#48
Pace67.2#232
Improvement-1.2#265

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#49
First Shot+8.4#11
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#334
Layup/Dunks+10.6#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#123
Freethrows-0.9#237
Improvement-1.5#310

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#34
First Shot+5.4#35
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#111
Layups/Dunks+0.0#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#144
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#66
Freethrows+1.8#81
Improvement+0.3#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.2% 1.9% 0.6%
Top 2 Seed 3.8% 5.7% 2.0%
Top 4 Seed 14.8% 20.6% 9.4%
Top 6 Seed 30.1% 40.2% 20.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 62.4% 72.5% 53.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 60.1% 70.5% 50.9%
Average Seed 6.7 6.3 7.2
.500 or above 85.0% 92.4% 78.1%
.500 or above in Conference 54.1% 60.1% 48.6%
Conference Champion 4.4% 5.0% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 4.2% 7.1%
First Four4.9% 4.2% 5.6%
First Round60.1% 70.6% 50.5%
Second Round37.4% 45.6% 29.9%
Sweet Sixteen16.6% 22.1% 11.6%
Elite Eight7.4% 10.0% 4.9%
Final Four2.5% 3.3% 1.8%
Championship Game1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
National Champion0.4% 0.6% 0.2%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 47.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 10
Quad 24 - 210 - 13
Quad 34 - 014 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 344   Northwestern St. W 77-59 99%     1 - 0 +1.6 -6.1 +7.5
  Nov 12, 2021 300   Texas San Antonio W 96-44 97%     2 - 0 +41.5 +12.5 +26.8
  Nov 18, 2021 178   East Carolina W 79-74 88%     3 - 0 +4.1 +7.6 -3.4
  Nov 19, 2021 174   Indiana St. W 87-63 87%     4 - 0 +23.5 +8.3 +13.7
  Nov 21, 2021 46   Utah St. L 70-73 58%     4 - 1 +6.7 +2.0 +4.6
  Nov 24, 2021 353   Houston Baptist W 57-40 99%     5 - 1 -1.8 -23.3 +22.8
  Nov 27, 2021 65   @ Central Florida W 65-62 55%     6 - 1 +13.4 +2.5 +11.2
  Dec 01, 2021 14   Florida L 68-69 48%    
  Dec 07, 2021 103   Butler W 68-58 83%    
  Dec 11, 2021 24   Arkansas L 72-74 44%    
  Dec 19, 2021 234   Texas Arlington W 77-59 95%    
  Dec 22, 2021 315   Alcorn St. W 78-55 98%    
  Jan 01, 2022 91   Kansas St. W 69-60 79%    
  Jan 04, 2022 3   @ Baylor L 65-75 17%    
  Jan 08, 2022 59   Iowa St. W 72-65 74%    
  Jan 11, 2022 11   @ Texas L 60-67 27%    
  Jan 15, 2022 90   @ TCU W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 18, 2022 9   Kansas L 73-75 41%    
  Jan 22, 2022 3   Baylor L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 26, 2022 45   @ West Virginia L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 29, 2022 21   @ Auburn L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 31, 2022 90   TCU W 72-63 77%    
  Feb 05, 2022 32   @ Oklahoma St. L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 09, 2022 17   Texas Tech L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 12, 2022 9   @ Kansas L 70-78 23%    
  Feb 15, 2022 11   Texas L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 19, 2022 59   @ Iowa St. W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 22, 2022 17   @ Texas Tech L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 26, 2022 32   Oklahoma St. W 70-67 58%    
  Mar 01, 2022 45   West Virginia W 71-66 67%    
  Mar 05, 2022 91   @ Kansas St. W 66-63 61%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 4.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 2.8 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 4.2 4.0 1.2 0.1 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.7 3.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.8 6.4 5.1 1.0 0.1 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 7.0 3.8 0.6 0.0 15.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.3 3.1 0.5 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 2.9 4.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 1.9 2.6 0.9 0.1 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 2.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 4.0 6.1 8.8 11.3 13.5 13.2 13.1 10.1 8.2 4.7 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.4% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 85.3% 1.1    0.8 0.3
14-4 55.3% 1.7    1.1 0.5 0.1
13-5 18.7% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.0 0.1 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 40.0% 60.0% 1.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 23.3% 76.7% 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.3% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 2.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.0% 100.0% 17.2% 82.8% 2.8 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 100.0%
13-5 4.7% 100.0% 11.7% 88.3% 3.7 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
12-6 8.2% 100.0% 11.1% 88.9% 4.7 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.1 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 100.0%
11-7 10.1% 99.4% 8.6% 90.8% 6.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.1 2.6 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.3%
10-8 13.1% 96.2% 8.4% 87.8% 7.2 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.5 2.7 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 95.8%
9-9 13.2% 86.3% 4.6% 81.8% 8.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 1.8 85.7%
8-10 13.5% 54.5% 3.9% 50.6% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7 0.8 0.0 6.2 52.7%
7-11 11.3% 22.6% 1.1% 21.5% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.1 8.8 21.7%
6-12 8.8% 7.1% 1.9% 5.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.2 5.3%
5-13 6.1% 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.4%
4-14 4.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 3.9
3-15 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 62.4% 5.8% 56.6% 6.7 1.2 2.6 5.0 6.0 7.2 8.2 8.6 7.7 4.8 4.1 4.6 2.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 37.6 60.1%