Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#154
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#146
Pace65.1#282
Improvement+0.3#155

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#164
First Shot+1.0#152
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#210
Layup/Dunks+5.3#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#280
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement+0.7#117

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#165
First Shot-1.1#213
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#109
Layups/Dunks+5.2#34
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#350
Freethrows+0.1#184
Improvement-0.4#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.6% 25.1% 18.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.8 14.7
.500 or above 88.7% 97.2% 87.5%
.500 or above in Conference 95.4% 98.3% 95.0%
Conference Champion 28.3% 38.4% 26.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.3% 0.4% 1.4%
First Round19.0% 25.0% 18.2%
Second Round1.4% 2.8% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma St. (Away) - 12.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 11 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 8
Quad 416 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 27   @ BYU L 59-69 9%     0 - 1 +6.0 +0.5 +4.5
  Nov 13, 2021 89   Ohio L 56-67 42%     0 - 2 -8.1 -13.3 +4.6
  Nov 20, 2021 290   Canisius W 80-70 85%     1 - 2 -0.1 +1.4 -1.5
  Nov 22, 2021 306   Coppin St. W 65-62 87%     2 - 2 -8.2 -15.0 +6.7
  Dec 02, 2021 232   Northern Kentucky W 72-58 76%     3 - 2 1 - 0 +7.4 +3.1 +5.7
  Dec 04, 2021 197   Wright St. W 85-75 69%     4 - 2 2 - 0 +5.7 +4.7 +0.6
  Dec 13, 2021 40   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-73 12%    
  Dec 18, 2021 8   @ Duke L 61-81 3%    
  Dec 21, 2021 165   @ Kent St. L 65-68 41%    
  Dec 30, 2021 349   @ IUPUI W 68-56 86%    
  Jan 01, 2022 261   @ Illinois-Chicago W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 05, 2022 271   Purdue Fort Wayne W 76-66 81%    
  Jan 07, 2022 307   @ Robert Morris W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 09, 2022 236   @ Youngstown St. W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 13, 2022 114   Oakland W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 15, 2022 204   Detroit Mercy W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 21, 2022 236   Youngstown St. W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 23, 2022 307   Robert Morris W 76-64 86%    
  Jan 28, 2022 197   @ Wright St. L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 30, 2022 232   @ Northern Kentucky W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 04, 2022 312   Green Bay W 73-60 87%    
  Feb 06, 2022 272   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-62 81%    
  Feb 10, 2022 261   Illinois-Chicago W 72-63 79%    
  Feb 12, 2022 349   IUPUI W 71-53 94%    
  Feb 14, 2022 271   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 18, 2022 272   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 20, 2022 312   @ Green Bay W 70-63 72%    
  Feb 24, 2022 204   @ Detroit Mercy L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 26, 2022 114   @ Oakland L 66-72 30%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 16 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 2.3 5.1 7.0 6.8 4.4 1.9 0.4 28.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.7 7.8 7.2 4.0 1.3 0.1 26.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.7 5.8 3.7 1.1 0.1 17.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.7 3.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 1.7 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.2 4.0 6.1 8.5 10.8 12.6 14.1 13.3 11.2 8.0 4.5 1.9 0.4 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
21-1 100.0% 1.9    1.9 0.0
20-2 97.1% 4.4    4.0 0.3 0.0
19-3 84.3% 6.8    5.4 1.3 0.0
18-4 62.8% 7.0    4.7 2.1 0.2
17-5 38.1% 5.1    2.3 2.3 0.5 0.0
16-6 16.2% 2.3    0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-7 3.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 28.3% 28.3 19.4 7.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.4% 59.0% 57.9% 1.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.6%
21-1 1.9% 49.4% 49.3% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.2%
20-2 4.5% 40.9% 40.9% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.7
19-3 8.0% 36.5% 36.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.7 0.0 5.1
18-4 11.2% 29.5% 29.5% 14.3 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.1 7.9
17-5 13.3% 23.3% 23.3% 14.7 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 0.3 10.2
16-6 14.1% 18.5% 18.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.6 11.5
15-7 12.6% 15.2% 15.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.8 10.7
14-8 10.8% 11.4% 11.4% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 9.6
13-9 8.5% 9.0% 9.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 7.7
12-10 6.1% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.7
11-11 4.0% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.7
10-12 2.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.1 2.1
9-13 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
8-14 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
7-15 0.2% 0.2
6-16 0.1% 0.1
5-17 0.0% 0.0
4-18 0.0% 0.0
3-19 0.0% 0.0
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 19.6% 19.6% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 5.5 6.9 3.9 80.4 0.0%