Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -9.3 312
Expected Predictive Rating -7.6 288
Pace 71.9 91
Improvement +3.5 59

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 146 B- D+ D+ B- C
Defense F 363 F+ F+ D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 345 C- 56% 234 -5.3 344
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 302 D+ 34% 300 -2.5 298
Three Pointers 54% 5 B+ 39% 22 +10.2 2
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 187 B- +2.3 95
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 104
Second Chance D 25.8% 309 C 1.01 198 D+ 0.26 290
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 270
Freethrows C+ 0.32 125 B 76% 55 B- 0.25 90
Total Offense C +0.7 146

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 174 F 18.1% 364
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 181 D+ 6.4% 273
Three Pointers D+ 79% 283 F 2.0% 350
Total B- 60% 84 F+ 7.6% 341

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 254 F+ 67% 358 +2.2 252
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 308 D- 43% 329 -0.8 127
Three Pointers 47% 28 D- 38% 327 +5.8 353
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 239 F +6.5 362
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.16 359
Second Chance F 37.2% 357 C- 1.07 245 F+ 0.40 346
Turnovers D 14.9% 298
Freethrows C 0.31 197 F 77% 355 C- 0.24 245
Total Defense F -9.9 363

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 323 D 7.5% 318
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 251 D+ 3.3% 273
Three Pointers D+ 87% 280 C- 0.6% 231
Total D 63% 331 D 3.6% 327

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 141 16.7 82
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 82 0.22 330
Improvement +3.2 #50 +0.4 #164

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 328 314 296
Conference Record 6 - 14 7 - 13 8 - 12
Conference Finish 10 10 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Home) - 46.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 93 - 12
Quad 45 - 98 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 277 @Loyola Chicago L 88 - 91 30% -2  25% 0 - 1 D+ -7 B+ +9 B- A F F -15 D C F
 Mon, Nov 10 67 @Northwestern L 63 - 110 4% -24  1% 0 - 2 F -36 F -11 C C- F F -22 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 145 Kent St. L 95 - 102 17% -2  22% 0 - 3 D+ -6 A +12 A A+ F+ F -17 D F F+
 Sun, Nov 16 234 Radford W 87 - 82 31% -9  10% 1 - 3 C +1 D -4 C+ F D+ B +5 A D C+
 Wed, Nov 19 161 Valparaiso L 75 - 90 28% -12  0% 1 - 4 F -18 C -0 C D A F -18 F F D
 Sat, Nov 22 145 @Kent St. L 71 - 91 11% -14  1% 1 - 5 F+ -16 F -11 D+ D- F D+ -3 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 49 @Missouri L 59 - 86 3% -19  0% 1 - 6 D- -13 F -12 C- F+ F C -1 C- F A
 Wed, Dec 3 195 @Northern Kentucky L 80 - 95 17% -8  2% 1 - 7 0 - 1 D- -14 C+ +3 B+ B F F -17 F F B
 Sat, Dec 6 252 Detroit Mercy L 59 - 71 45% -4  24% 1 - 8 0 - 2 F -20 F -15 F C- F D -6 C- B- F
 Wed, Dec 17 123 @UAB L 77 - 101 9% -7  18% 1 - 9 F -18 C +2 A F D F -18 F D D
 Sun, Dec 21 269 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71 - 81 50% +0  49% 1 - 10 0 - 3 F -19 D -4 F D A+ F -16 D F+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 323 IU Indianapolis W 99 - 86 65% +10  94% 2 - 10 1 - 3 C -0 B+ +8 B- C+ B F+ -9 B- F D-
 Sun, Jan 4 259 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 74 26% +4  70% 2 - 11 1 - 4 D+ -6 D+ -3 F+ A+ D- C- -3 C D D-
 Fri, Jan 9 170 @Oakland L 72 - 97 14% -13  6% 2 - 12 1 - 5 F -23 F+ -10 F C+ C- F -11 B- F B-
 Sun, Jan 11 252 @Detroit Mercy L 84 - 94 25% -11  1% 2 - 13 1 - 6 D- -12 C +0 A F F F -11 F F A
 Thu, Jan 15 228 Green Bay L 73 - 88 40% -2  43% 2 - 14 1 - 7 F -22 C +1 B+ F C- F -25 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 17 196 Youngstown St. W 80 - 78 34% +1  52% 3 - 14 2 - 7 C- -3 C+ +3 A+ D+ F+ D -6 C+ A F
 Wed, Jan 21 149 @Wright St. W 85 - 79 12% -0  33% 4 - 14 3 - 7 B +9 A- +11 B+ D+ A- C- -2 B F F
 Fri, Jan 30 228 @Green Bay W 89 - 82 21% +5  80% 5 - 14 4 - 7 B- +6 A+ +16 A+ A+ D- F+ -9 D F+ F+
 Sun, Feb 1 269 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90 - 88 28% +4  96% 6 - 14 5 - 7 C -1 A +12 A+ A- C+ F -13 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 170 Oakland W 91 - 78 29% -2  25% 7 - 14 6 - 7 B +9 B+ +9 A+ F+ C C+ +1 C- B- A-
 Sat, Feb 7 323 @IU Indianapolis L 74 - 82 43% -13  1% 7 - 15 6 - 8 F+ -15 F -12 D- F C- D+ -3 F A C+
 Thu, Feb 12 177 Robert Morris L 68 - 85 31% -10  12% 7 - 16 6 - 9 F -21 D+ -3 C- F B+ F -20 F F+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 149 Wright St. L 90 - 102 26% -10  2% 7 - 17 6 - 10 F+ -15 B +7 A D A- F -21 F C C+
 Wed, Feb 18 196 @Youngstown St. L 82 - 106 17% -14  0% 7 - 18 6 - 11 F -23 B +7 B+ F A+ F -30 F F F+
 Sun, Feb 22 259 Purdue Fort Wayne L 81 - 82 47%
 Wed, Feb 25 195 Northern Kentucky L 82 - 86 34%
 Sat, Feb 28 177 @Robert Morris L 74 - 85 15%
Totals 8 - 20 7 - 13 -9 C +1 A- B- C F -10 B+ B B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D+ B+ B- 31% 27% 54% C B- D C D+ D+ C+ B B- F F+ D- D- F 36% 17% 47% C- F+ F C- F+ D C F C-
1.10 56% 34% 39% +2 0 1.07 26% 1.0 .26 18% .32 76% .25 1.23 67% 43% 38% +7 0 1.16 37% 1.1 .40 15% .31 77% .25
Nov
3		 Loyola Chicago B+ D A+ C- B- 32% 21% 46% C- B- A+ F+ A F A+ A+ A+ F B- F D D 34% 7% 59% C- D B- D+ C F F F F
1.22 50% 67% 35% +4 -1 1.09 50% 0.9 .44 19% .40 91% .36 1.27 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.0 .29 10% .39 76% .29
Nov
10		 Northwestern F B F B- C+ 26% 22% 52% D+ C D- A- C- F D- F F F D D- F F 47% 19% 34% D- F F F F D- C+ D+ C
0.85 62% 18% 35% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.1 .28 23% .23 38% .09 1.49 67% 45% 50% +14 +1 1.31 39% 1.7 .68 9% .33 77% .25
Nov
15		 Kent St. A B D+ A+ A+ 22% 12% 66% C- A A+ B- A+ F+ A+ A A+ F F B- A- D 46% 12% 42% F+ D F+ F F F+ F C F
1.25 64% 33% 42% +9 0 1.20 47% 1.1 .50 20% .49 80% .39 1.34 70% 33% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.4 .54 14% .71 74% .52
Nov
16		 Radford D D+ A+ B- C 39% 9% 52% B C+ D+ F F D+ A+ F+ A+ B A- F A+ A 40% 19% 41% C A F B D C+ F A- D
1.06 56% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 29% 0.8 .23 20% .70 65% .45 1.00 48% 55% 21% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .35 18% .45 67% .30
Nov
19		 Valparaiso C A D- F C- 40% 14% 46% B C F A+ D A A- A+ A+ F F F C- F 35% 29% 36% C- F F C F D C+ D- C
1.08 70% 29% 26% -2 +1 1.00 16% 1.4 .23 13% .38 83% .32 1.30 74% 50% 35% +9 -1 1.18 42% 1.1 .45 13% .33 75% .25
Nov
22		 Kent St. F F A+ C+ D 48% 14% 39% B D+ F A+ D- F A+ C+ A+ D+ C- A+ F F 30% 7% 63% D F F+ A C+ A+ A+ C+ A+
0.91 43% 50% 35% -5 +2 0.95 13% 1.8 .22 23% .50 73% .37 1.16 59% 25% 44% +9 +1 1.23 40% 0.9 .34 24% .25 73% .19
Nov
28		 Missouri F C F B- D+ 29% 18% 53% B C- D F F+ F F F F C F D C D+ 27% 10% 63% C+ C- F B- F A A+ F A-
0.83 53% 11% 37% -4 0 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 24% .20 55% .11 1.22 79% 40% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.1 .57 23% .24 85% .20
Dec
3		 Northern Kentucky C+ F F A+ A- 29% 15% 56% C- B+ C- A+ B F A+ A A+ F F+ F+ F F 37% 17% 46% B- F F F F B B- F D
1.12 42% 0% 57% +9 0 1.20 32% 1.4 .44 28% .54 79% .43 1.32 68% 44% 46% +13 0 1.29 44% 1.3 .56 20% .26 93% .24
Dec
6		 Detroit Mercy F F F B- F 37% 15% 48% C- F A F C- F B+ D+ B- D F B- A- D 24% 49% 27% A+ C- B C+ B- F D- B- D
0.93 41% 0% 36% -10 +1 0.83 43% 0.8 .33 21% .40 70% .28 1.12 83% 36% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 9% .33 74% .24
Dec
17		 UAB C F F A+ A- 47% 8% 45% A+ A F F F D C+ A+ A- F F B- F F 56% 11% 33% F F D D+ D D F B+ F
1.04 44% 25% 54% +6 +2 1.19 16% 0.0 .00 19% .25 93% .23 1.37 71% 33% 39% +9 +3 1.25 36% 1.1 .39 9% .43 66% .28
Dec
21		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D F F+ B+ F+ 29% 25% 45% F F F A+ D A+ B C- B F F C C F+ 25% 25% 51% B D F B F+ F A+ F B+
1.10 40% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 17% 1.7 .28 11% .38 73% .28 1.25 69% 38% 33% +2 -1 1.04 44% 1.0 .44 8% .17 80% .13
Dec
29		 IU Indianapolis B+ A+ B+ F+ B- 44% 15% 42% C- B- C- B C+ B A+ A+ A+ F+ F C- A+ B 31% 17% 53% D+ B- F+ F+ F D- F B F
1.30 81% 43% 30% +8 +1 1.21 34% 1.3 .45 17% .56 86% .48 1.13 89% 40% 16% -4 0 0.93 33% 1.2 .40 13% .33 68% .23
Jan
4		 Purdue Fort Wayne D+ F F B- F+ 13% 13% 74% F+ F+ A- A A+ D- D- A- D C- F A+ B C 27% 8% 65% C- C D- C D D- F F F
1.06 33% 17% 37% -2 -1 0.96 42% 1.3 .55 22% .21 82% .17 1.10 69% 25% 31% -1 +1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 12% .36 81% .29
Jan
9		 Oakland F+ A C F F 34% 28% 38% D F B D+ C+ C- F A D- F D+ F A+ B 42% 14% 44% D B- F C- F B- F F F
0.97 71% 41% 9% -9 -1 0.82 39% 0.9 .35 16% .16 80% .13 1.31 60% 50% 23% -5 +1 0.95 53% 1.1 .60 16% .43 89% .39
Jan
11		 Detroit Mercy C C+ F A+ A 34% 9% 57% C+ A F F F F B F C- F F A+ F F 32% 32% 36% D+ F F C+ F A F F F
1.11 61% 0% 47% +8 +1 1.21 22% 0.8 .16 19% .39 63% .24 1.24 71% 24% 47% +7 -2 1.11 51% 0.9 .46 21% .52 84% .44
Jan
15		 Green Bay C A- B- B+ B+ 24% 12% 63% C+ B+ F A+ F C- A+ B+ A+ F F F F F 26% 13% 61% B- F C- F F D- B F C-
1.19 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.5 .23 15% .46 79% .36 1.44 75% 50% 46% +17 0 1.37 25% 2.0 .50 13% .32 88% .28
Jan
17		 Youngstown St. C+ C D+ A+ A+ 44% 9% 47% A A+ F A+ D+ F+ A+ B- A+ D F F A+ C+ 29% 7% 64% C- C+ F A+ A F C F D-
1.16 60% 33% 50% +12 +2 1.29 18% 1.5 .27 22% .72 77% .55 1.13 81% 100% 22% 0 +1 1.04 44% 0.5 .20 13% .27 88% .23
Jan
21		 Wright St. A- D+ F+ A+ B 44% 12% 44% B+ B+ F A+ D+ A- A- A+ A+ C- B F A+ B+ 45% 20% 36% D+ B C+ F F F B- A- B+
1.23 55% 33% 45% +5 +2 1.16 15% 1.8 .26 13% .37 91% .33 1.14 52% 82% 15% -4 +1 0.95 30% 1.5 .45 10% .29 67% .19
Jan
30		 Green Bay A+ F+ B- A+ A+ 23% 23% 53% D A+ B+ A+ A+ D- A+ A- A+ F+ A+ C F D 40% 10% 50% D D F C F+ F+ C F D
1.36 50% 40% 57% +17 -1 1.33 38% 1.4 .54 17% .48 81% .39 1.25 40% 40% 48% +3 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 12% .35 85% .30
Feb
1		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee A C- A+ A+ A+ 31% 4% 64% B- A+ C+ A+ A- C+ A+ B- A+ F D- F D- F 23% 21% 56% B- F D F F C- F F F
1.29 57% 100% 45% +13 +2 1.31 32% 1.4 .45 16% .44 77% .34 1.26 64% 60% 37% +8 -1 1.17 35% 1.4 .48 14% .45 78% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Oakland B+ D- A- A+ A+ 27% 11% 63% B- A+ B+ F F+ C B+ B+ A- C+ F F+ A+ D+ 36% 22% 42% B C- C+ B B- A- D+ D- D-
1.28 53% 50% 49% +14 0 1.30 41% 0.6 .23 15% .30 78% .23 1.09 72% 45% 24% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 81% .29
Feb
7		 IU Indianapolis F A A+ F F+ 34% 6% 60% C D- F F F C- D+ C- D D+ C- A F F 46% 13% 41% F F B A+ A C+ F B+ F
0.99 72% 67% 25% -2 +2 1.02 26% 0.7 .18 20% .37 73% .27 1.09 62% 29% 43% +6 +2 1.18 24% 0.8 .18 17% .29 67% .19
Feb
12		 Robert Morris D+ B- B+ D C 29% 20% 51% D C- F C+ F B+ B- A- B+ F F C- F+ F 22% 20% 59% B F F C+ F+ F C D+ C
1.08 62% 44% 30% 0 -1 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 13% .40 82% .33 1.35 82% 40% 40% +11 -1 1.22 45% 1.1 .48 13% .24 69% .16
Feb
15		 Wright St. B A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% C- A F A+ D A- F A+ F+ F F A+ F F 50% 15% 35% F+ F F+ A C C+ F D+ F
1.21 77% 31% 42% +11 0 1.23 18% 1.3 .24 13% .19 83% .16 1.37 75% 14% 71% +24 +2 1.54 38% 0.9 .33 18% .47 76% .36
Feb
18		 Youngstown St. B A+ A+ C B+ 16% 9% 75% C B+ F+ F F A+ F C- F F F+ A+ F F 48% 9% 43% F+ F D F F F+ F D- F
1.17 89% 60% 35% +8 0 1.18 23% 0.8 .18 11% .18 73% .13 1.51 68% 25% 65% +24 +2 1.54 33% 1.6 .54 16% .57 76% .44



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 1.0 1.0 7th
8th 7.9 1.3 9.2 8th
9th 24.1 13.0 0.2 37.2 9th
10th 30.7 21.1 0.6 52.4 10th
11th 11th
Total 30.7 45.2 21.4 2.7 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 2.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.7
8-12 21.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 21.3
7-13 45.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 45.0
6-14 30.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 30.6
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 99.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 22.9%