Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#321
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#339
Pace72.8#86
Improvement-1.2#265

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#238
First Shot-1.6#219
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#256
Layup/Dunks-3.9#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#46
Freethrows+0.3#156
Improvement-2.6#344

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#349
First Shot-6.7#356
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#200
Layups/Dunks-2.7#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#319
Freethrows+1.0#120
Improvement+1.3#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.2% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 0.6% 3.0% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 7.0% 12.8% 6.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 23.9% 15.7% 24.5%
First Four0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
First Round0.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 6.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 46 - 97 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 287 @Loyola Chicago L 88-91 29%     0 - 1 -6.9 +9.6 -16.4
  Mon, Nov 10 58 @Northwestern L 63-110 3%     0 - 2 -34.7 -9.0 -23.3
  Sat, Nov 15 131 Kent St. L 95-102 15%     0 - 3 -5.2 +13.3 -18.0
  Sun, Nov 16 255 Radford W 87-82 34%     1 - 3 -0.2 -1.8 +0.9
  Wed, Nov 19 213 Valparaiso L 75-90 38%     1 - 4 -21.3 +1.8 -23.3
  Sat, Nov 22 131 @Kent St. L 71-91 10%     1 - 5 -15.2 -9.0 -4.1
  Fri, Nov 28 48 @Missouri L 59-86 2%     1 - 6 -13.0 -10.2 -2.5
  Wed, Dec 3 193 @Northern Kentucky L 80-95 17%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -14.1 +5.8 -19.6
  Sat, Dec 6 291 Detroit Mercy L 59-71 53%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -22.2 -13.0 -10.5
  Wed, Dec 17 119 @UAB L 72-88 7%    
  Sun, Dec 21 236 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 79-81 41%    
  Mon, Dec 29 355 IU Indianapolis W 94-86 76%    
  Sun, Jan 4 224 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-86 21%    
  Fri, Jan 9 149 @Oakland L 80-93 11%    
  Sun, Jan 11 291 @Detroit Mercy L 75-80 31%    
  Thu, Jan 15 276 Green Bay L 75-76 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 166 Youngstown St. L 73-79 29%    
  Wed, Jan 21 144 @Wright St. L 69-83 11%    
  Fri, Jan 30 276 @Green Bay L 73-79 28%    
  Sun, Feb 1 236 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 76-84 23%    
  Wed, Feb 4 149 Oakland L 83-90 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 355 @IU Indianapolis W 91-89 56%    
  Thu, Feb 12 184 Robert Morris L 73-78 33%    
  Sun, Feb 15 144 Wright St. L 72-80 25%    
  Wed, Feb 18 166 @Youngstown St. L 70-82 14%    
  Sun, Feb 22 224 Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-83 40%    
  Wed, Feb 25 193 Northern Kentucky L 77-81 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 184 @Robert Morris L 70-81 16%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.9 4.3 1.5 0.1 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.0 6.9 5.9 2.1 0.2 20.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.9 6.3 10.4 10.8 6.4 1.8 0.2 38.0 10th
11th 0.5 2.4 4.5 4.3 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 15.3 11th
Total 0.5 2.5 6.3 10.8 14.1 15.9 15.0 12.3 9.3 6.3 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 61.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 34.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 6.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 12.2% 12.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.4% 7.8% 7.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-8 1.0% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-9 2.0% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.9
10-10 3.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 3.4
9-11 6.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.2
8-12 9.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.3
7-13 12.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.2
6-14 15.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.9
5-15 15.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.9
4-16 14.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.1
3-17 10.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.8
2-18 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
1-19 2.5% 2.5
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%