Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#167
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#159
Pace67.1#236
Improvement-2.1#333

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#177
First Shot-6.4#335
After Offensive Rebound+6.4#3
Layup/Dunks-6.4#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#237
Freethrows-2.0#288
Improvement-1.8#328

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#165
First Shot+1.8#114
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#303
Layups/Dunks-1.9#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#214
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#56
Freethrows+0.1#188
Improvement-0.3#209
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.8% 18.2% 13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 85.8% 92.7% 79.8%
.500 or above in Conference 85.7% 92.7% 79.6%
Conference Champion 19.7% 27.5% 12.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 1.0%
First Four0.8% 0.5% 1.1%
First Round15.3% 17.9% 13.0%
Second Round1.3% 1.6% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Away) - 47.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 414 - 418 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 88   @ Duquesne L 77-79 20%     0 - 1 +7.0 +4.9 +2.1
  Nov 11, 2023 121   Ohio W 82-78 50%     1 - 1 +4.1 +11.8 -7.5
  Nov 15, 2023 217   Canisius W 71-61 71%     2 - 1 +4.3 -6.2 +10.3
  Nov 18, 2023 291   @ Eastern Michigan L 62-69 65%     2 - 2 -11.0 -13.8 +2.7
  Nov 22, 2023 241   East Tennessee St. W 72-70 75%     3 - 2 -5.2 -1.0 -4.1
  Nov 25, 2023 349   Alabama A&M W 86-59 92%     4 - 2 +10.9 +5.0 +5.7
  Nov 29, 2023 216   @ Youngstown St. L 74-75 47%    
  Dec 02, 2023 304   Detroit Mercy W 79-68 84%    
  Dec 05, 2023 61   @ St. Mary's L 58-70 15%    
  Dec 09, 2023 107   @ Kent St. L 67-74 26%    
  Dec 15, 2023 72   @ Bradley L 62-72 18%    
  Dec 21, 2023 283   Western Michigan W 73-64 79%    
  Dec 28, 2023 134   Oakland W 73-72 55%    
  Dec 31, 2023 350   @ IUPUI W 74-64 83%    
  Jan 04, 2024 129   @ Wright St. L 75-80 31%    
  Jan 07, 2024 206   Northern Kentucky W 70-65 67%    
  Jan 12, 2024 264   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-76 59%    
  Jan 14, 2024 321   @ Green Bay W 69-63 69%    
  Jan 20, 2024 208   Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 25, 2024 129   Wright St. W 78-77 53%    
  Jan 28, 2024 273   Robert Morris W 73-64 78%    
  Feb 01, 2024 304   @ Detroit Mercy W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 03, 2024 134   @ Oakland L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 07, 2024 208   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 14, 2024 264   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-73 77%    
  Feb 17, 2024 216   Youngstown St. W 78-72 69%    
  Feb 22, 2024 206   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 25, 2024 273   @ Robert Morris W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 28, 2024 321   Green Bay W 72-60 85%    
  Mar 02, 2024 350   IUPUI W 77-61 92%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.4 4.3 5.6 4.5 2.5 0.7 0.1 19.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 5.5 5.0 2.9 0.8 0.1 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.4 6.4 4.8 1.5 0.3 16.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.2 3.8 0.8 0.1 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.6 2.0 0.3 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 3.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 1.3 2.4 3.3 6.3 8.8 10.5 11.9 13.7 12.5 10.9 8.8 5.3 2.6 0.7 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
18-2 96.3% 2.5    2.4 0.2
17-3 85.0% 4.5    3.5 1.0 0.0
16-4 63.9% 5.6    3.4 2.0 0.2 0.0
15-5 39.5% 4.3    1.7 1.8 0.6 0.1
14-6 11.3% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 3.6% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.7% 19.7 12.2 5.7 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 32.4% 31.0% 1.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.0%
19-1 0.7% 39.4% 34.3% 5.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 7.8%
18-2 2.6% 41.2% 41.2% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5
17-3 5.3% 34.8% 34.8% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 3.5
16-4 8.8% 34.2% 34.2% 13.7 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.8
15-5 10.9% 24.5% 24.5% 14.1 0.1 0.3 1.5 0.7 0.1 8.2
14-6 12.5% 18.3% 18.3% 14.3 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.1 10.2
13-7 13.7% 12.2% 12.2% 14.8 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.2 12.1
12-8 11.9% 10.2% 10.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 10.7
11-9 10.5% 8.6% 8.6% 15.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 9.6
10-10 8.8% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.5
9-11 6.3% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.0
8-12 3.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.3
7-13 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 2.3
6-14 1.3% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.1 1.2
5-15 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.8% 15.8% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.7 4.0 1.8 84.2 0.0%