Dartmouth
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#223
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace75.2#35
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#267
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 7.6% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 37.5% 49.4% 23.4%
.500 or above in Conference 42.4% 49.7% 33.8%
Conference Champion 6.1% 7.8% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 20.1% 15.6% 25.4%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round6.2% 7.7% 4.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Home) - 54.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 48 - 511 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2025 188   Marist W 66-65 54%    
  Nov 12, 2025 277   @ Bryant L 78-79 48%    
  Nov 16, 2025 240   Appalachian St. W 68-64 64%    
  Nov 29, 2025 302   @ St. Peter's W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 03, 2025 358   New Hampshire W 79-66 88%    
  Dec 06, 2025 156   @ Wyoming L 66-72 29%    
  Dec 09, 2025 74   @ Colorado St. L 65-79 11%    
  Dec 13, 2025 254   Boston University W 69-65 65%    
  Dec 16, 2025 329   @ Holy Cross W 76-73 61%    
  Dec 19, 2025 235   @ Sacred Heart L 77-79 42%    
  Dec 29, 2025 6   @ Florida L 65-91 1%    
  Jan 05, 2026 162   @ Harvard L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 10, 2026 159   @ Cornell L 77-83 30%    
  Jan 17, 2026 278   Penn W 77-71 68%    
  Jan 19, 2026 176   Princeton W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 24, 2026 255   Columbia W 81-77 65%    
  Jan 30, 2026 91   @ Yale L 68-80 15%    
  Jan 31, 2026 175   @ Brown L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 07, 2026 162   Harvard L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 13, 2026 91   Yale L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 14, 2026 175   Brown W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 21, 2026 255   @ Columbia L 78-80 45%    
  Feb 27, 2026 278   @ Penn L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 28, 2026 176   @ Princeton L 69-74 33%    
  Mar 07, 2026 159   Cornell L 79-80 50%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 4.0 3.4 1.2 0.2 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.6 5.5 3.2 0.6 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 6.7 3.2 0.4 13.6 4th
5th 0.4 3.7 7.3 3.3 0.3 15.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.3 6.9 3.0 0.2 15.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.9 6.1 2.3 0.1 15.1 7th
8th 0.7 2.8 4.3 3.6 1.2 0.1 12.8 8th
Total 0.7 2.9 5.9 9.2 12.0 13.2 13.6 12.9 10.5 8.1 5.6 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
12-2 88.7% 1.3    1.0 0.4 0.0
11-3 61.0% 1.9    1.1 0.7 0.1
10-4 27.2% 1.5    0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0
9-5 7.0% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.2 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 68.2% 68.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.6% 45.8% 45.8% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-2 1.5% 32.5% 32.5% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
11-3 3.1% 27.0% 27.0% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 2.3
10-4 5.6% 20.6% 20.6% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.4
9-5 8.1% 15.9% 15.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 6.8
8-6 10.5% 11.0% 11.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 9.3
7-7 12.9% 5.7% 5.7% 17.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 12.2
6-8 13.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.5
5-9 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
4-10 12.0% 12.0
3-11 9.2% 9.2
2-12 5.9% 5.9
1-13 2.9% 2.9
0-14 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.4 0.9 93.9 0.0%