Dartmouth
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.3 255
Expected Predictive Rating -5.6 256
Pace 73.7 52
Improvement +1.6 128

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 252 C+ D+ D- C+ C
Defense C- 243 C C+ F+ B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 337 D+ 55% 256 -5.0 341
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 307 D+ 35% 277 -2.2 288
Three Pointers 52% 15 B 37% 52 +8.2 10
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 188 C+ +0.9 133
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 139
Second Chance D- 24.5% 331 B- 1.09 88 D+ 0.27 279
Turnovers D- 19.8% 332
Freethrows C+ 0.32 139 C+ 74% 149 C+ 0.23 125
Total Offense D+ -3.0 252

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 43% 269 F 16.7% 360
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 15% 319 D- 8.6% 338
Three Pointers C 84% 187 C- 1.1% 230
Total C+ 58% 119 D- 7.2% 327

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 49 D+ 61% 253 +4.2 319
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 227 C 39% 210 -0.5 150
Three Pointers 37% 282 B 31% 70 -3.4 50
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 274 C -0.3 175
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 187
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 124 C+ 0.99 119 C+ 0.29 107
Turnovers F+ 12.7% 357
Freethrows B- 0.28 89 B- 71% 94 B- 0.19 78
Total Defense C- -2.3 243

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 112 D+ 9.0% 251
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 228 C 4.5% 191
Three Pointers A 73% 10 D+ 0.5% 260
Total B 49% 60 C- 5.0% 224

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.5 91 16.6 66
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 311 0.18 215
Improvement +0.5 #154 +1.0 #124

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 282 255 222
Conference Record 4 - 10 5 - 9 7 - 7
Conference Finish 7 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 11% 30% 4%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 20% 3% 27%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round1% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Columbia (Away) - 28.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 44 - 9
Quad 46 - 79 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 184 Marist L 56 - 75 46% -8  0% 0 - 1 F -23 F -19 F D+ F D+ -4 D C+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 354 @Bryant L 75 - 82 72% -1  45% 0 - 2 F -18 F -10 D+ F D- D- -8 F+ A F
 Sun, Nov 16 174 Appalachian St. L 77 - 85 45% -5  11% 0 - 3 D- -12 C- -1 A C- F F -11 F C+ B
 Sat, Nov 29 235 @St. Peter's W 87 - 61 34% +7  74% 1 - 3 A+ +25 A+ +19 A B A A- +8 A- B- D-
 Wed, Dec 3 344 New Hampshire W 69 - 68 83% -2  17% 2 - 3 F+ -15 F -11 C F F D+ -3 C+ B- F
 Sat, Dec 6 104 @Wyoming L 80 - 93 12% -1  53% 2 - 4 D+ -6 B- +4 A B- F F+ -9 F A+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 96 @Colorado St. L 55 - 76 10% -9  6% 2 - 5 D- -13 F -13 D+ D- F C- -2 F A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 256 Boston University W 77 - 64 62% +9  84% 3 - 5 C+ +5 C- -2 B- F D+ A- +7 A+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 16 326 @Holy Cross W 89 - 64 59% +11  74% 4 - 5 A- +17 A +13 A+ C- F B+ +5 B+ B- F
 Fri, Dec 19 290 @Sacred Heart L 63 - 85 46% -8  1% 4 - 6 F -26 F -21 F D+ F D+ -5 A F F
 Mon, Dec 29 4 @Florida L 72 - 94 1% -21  3% 4 - 7 C+ +4 B +6 B+ C- A- C -1 C+ D+ C+
 Mon, Jan 5 164 @Harvard W 76 - 68 22% +3  88% 5 - 7 1 - 0 B +11 A- +10 A B+ C- C+ +1 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 148 @Cornell W 102 - 91 20% +8  90% 6 - 7 2 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +15 A- A- A+ C -1 B+ C D
 Sat, Jan 17 172 Penn L 74 - 84 44% -1  52% 6 - 8 2 - 1 D- -14 D -5 D C- D+ F+ -8 D+ C- F
 Mon, Jan 19 250 Princeton W 71 - 69 60% -3  18% 7 - 8 3 - 1 D+ -6 C+ +3 C B A- F+ -9 C- B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 197 Columbia L 69 - 79 49% -4  27% 7 - 9 3 - 2 F+ -15 F -12 D- C D D+ -3 B B+ F
 Fri, Jan 30 81 @Yale L 68 - 83 8% -3  31% 7 - 10 3 - 3 D+ -5 C- -1 C+ F C- D -5 F A- C-
 Sat, Jan 31 268 @Brown W 77 - 70 OT 41% +4  74% 8 - 10 4 - 3 C+ +4 C- -0 C F+ C- B +4 A- D+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 164 Harvard L 58 - 71 42% -6  0% 8 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -16 F -13 D- F B D+ -4 C- A F
 Fri, Feb 13 81 Yale L 70 - 83 19% -9  2% 8 - 12 4 - 5 D -9 D- -6 D+ B+ F C- -3 D A F
 Sat, Feb 14 268 Brown L 76 - 79 64% +3  65% 8 - 13 4 - 6 D- -12 C- -2 A- F+ F F -10 F D+ B-
 Sat, Feb 21 197 @Columbia L 74 - 80 28%
 Fri, Feb 27 172 @Penn L 73 - 81 24%
 Sat, Feb 28 250 @Princeton L 71 - 74 38%
 Sat, Mar 7 148 Cornell L 88 - 91 40%
Totals 9 - 16 5 - 9 -5 D+ -3 B C+ C C- -2 B C+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ D+ B C+ 31% 27% 52% C C+ D- B- D+ D- C+ C+ C+ C- D+ C B C 44% 19% 37% D+ C C+ C+ C+ F+ B- B- B-
1.04 55% 35% 37% +1 0 1.04 25% 1.1 .27 20% .32 74% .23 1.12 61% 39% 31% 0 +1 1.03 29% 1.0 .29 13% .28 71% .23
Nov
9		 Marist F F D F F 43% 14% 43% A F D+ C D+ F A+ C- A+ D+ D- D B D 33% 27% 40% C D C+ C C+ C A+ C- A+
0.77 47% 33% 16% -17 +1 0.70 26% 1.0 .26 27% .53 68% .36 1.03 65% 44% 29% +1 -1 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 18% .08 80% .07
Nov
12		 Bryant F D B C- D+ 33% 12% 55% C- D+ F F F D- D F F D- C+ F D+ D- 45% 4% 52% F F+ A+ F A F F+ F+ F
1.01 53% 43% 34% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.8 .17 16% .26 56% .14 1.10 52% 50% 34% -2 +3 1.04 14% 1.2 .16 9% .33 82% .27
Nov
16		 Appalachian St. C- D F A+ A 29% 7% 64% B A D B- C- F A+ B- A+ F F+ F C+ F 55% 14% 31% F F F+ A C+ B D F F+
1.07 50% 0% 44% +5 +1 1.14 26% 1.0 .26 22% .53 73% .39 1.18 68% 57% 31% +7 +2 1.20 35% 0.8 .29 18% .36 71% .25
Nov
29		 St. Peter's A+ B- B- A+ A 41% 11% 48% B- A B+ C B A A A+ A+ A- A D A+ A+ 50% 13% 37% F A- C- B+ B- D- C+ F D+
1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43 0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27
Dec
3		 New Hampshire F C- A- C+ C+ 28% 26% 46% F+ C B- F F F D- D+ D- D+ D+ C A+ C 43% 30% 27% A C+ B C+ B- F C F+ D+
0.99 57% 46% 35% +2 -1 1.04 33% 0.5 .18 20% .27 73% .20 0.98 58% 35% 20% -6 -1 0.88 21% 0.9 .18 12% .26 75% .20
Dec
6		 Wyoming B- D+ B A+ A+ 30% 16% 55% D A F A+ B- F B- A+ A+ F+ F D- B F 50% 17% 33% C F B- A+ A+ F C A+ A-
1.10 54% 43% 46% +9 0 1.20 12% 2.3 .28 23% .41 87% .36 1.28 76% 50% 32% +10 +1 1.24 33% 0.7 .22 10% .33 59% .20
Dec
9		 Colorado St. F B F D D 30% 13% 57% B D+ C- F D- F F F F C- F F+ D- F 53% 18% 29% D- F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+
0.87 64% 17% 31% -4 0 0.96 25% 0.9 .22 24% .17 50% .08 1.20 81% 44% 40% +16 +1 1.37 19% 0.8 .14 19% .06 100% .06
Dec
13		 Boston University C- C F A+ B- 29% 15% 56% C B- D F F D+ A+ C A+ A- B+ B+ A A+ 35% 12% 53% D+ A+ F A+ B- D- C- A+ B-
1.17 57% 29% 44% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.8 .19 14% .46 73% .34 0.97 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.7 .23 15% .31 59% .18
Dec
16		 Holy Cross A D- A+ A+ A+ 35% 19% 46% C- A+ A F C- F A+ F A- B+ A+ A D A- 36% 26% 38% D+ B+ B- B- B- F F D- F
1.32 53% 56% 59% +19 0 1.40 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 65% .25 0.95 39% 31% 37% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .16 12% .35 81% .29
Dec
19		 Sacred Heart F F F D- F 36% 9% 55% B- F B+ F D+ F A+ F A D+ B- F A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% F A F F F F A- A- A
0.85 41% 0% 31% -12 +1 0.81 39% 0.8 .32 28% .41 64% .26 1.15 54% 50% 20% -11 +1 0.83 43% 1.3 .55 12% .22 71% .15
Dec
29		 Florida B D F A+ A 22% 32% 46% D B+ F A+ C- A- D- B- D C D+ A+ A- B- 55% 13% 33% C- C+ F B+ D+ C+ F A+ F
0.97 46% 26% 44% +1 -3 0.98 8% 1.7 .13 13% .22 71% .16 1.26 67% 29% 28% 0 +2 1.07 54% 0.9 .50 16% .61 61% .37
Jan
5		 Harvard A- C+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 21% 44% D A D+ A+ B+ C- A+ F A+ C+ A C- A+ A+ 49% 9% 42% F A+ F+ F F F C- A C
1.19 60% 56% 42% +10 0 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 17% .55 59% .32 1.06 46% 40% 23% -13 +2 0.81 33% 1.4 .45 13% .27 73% .20
Jan
10		 Cornell A+ A+ C+ A- A 36% 20% 44% D+ A- F+ A+ A- A+ F+ F F C F F A+ B+ 40% 11% 49% C B+ C- B- C D F F F
1.36 77% 42% 41% +12 0 1.26 23% 2.0 .46 7% .27 63% .17 1.21 74% 50% 25% +1 +1 1.07 32% 1.1 .35 16% .38 83% .32
Jan
17		 Penn D F A+ D- D- 31% 11% 57% C+ D D+ B- C- D+ A+ A A+ F+ A- C+ F C- 44% 20% 35% F D+ C- C C- F F A F+
1.02 47% 67% 29% -5 +1 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 18% .44 73% .32 1.16 46% 36% 47% +1 0 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 7% .46 61% .28
Jan
19		 Princeton C+ B+ F B C 37% 18% 45% C- C D- A+ B A- C- B C+ F+ F B+ C D 28% 22% 50% B+ C- A+ F B- F A+ F B+
1.19 67% 11% 36% 0 0 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 10% .30 75% .22 1.15 67% 33% 33% +1 -1 1.02 13% 1.8 .23 2% .19 100% .19
Jan
24		 Columbia F F D- B+ D- 30% 22% 48% D D- F A+ C D C+ D- C- D+ C+ A+ D- B- 30% 23% 47% A B A C+ B+ F F C- F
0.96 31% 33% 38% -6 -1 0.89 18% 1.6 .28 15% .31 68% .21 1.10 56% 17% 40% -1 -1 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 17% .47 71% .34
Jan
30		 Yale C- D+ B B- C+ 33% 16% 51% C+ C+ C- F F C- F F F D F A- F F 47% 18% 35% D+ F A- B- A- C- A+ F A+
1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07 1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16
Jan
31		 Brown C- C+ A+ F C- 35% 12% 53% B- C F A+ F+ C- A+ A+ A+ B A+ F C- A+ 52% 5% 43% F A- F A+ D+ C- D+ C- D+
1.03 59% 67% 27% -2 +1 1.00 13% 1.5 .19 19% .46 86% .40 0.94 28% 67% 33% -15 +3 0.79 41% 0.9 .35 20% .28 71% .20
Feb
7		 Harvard F F+ F C- F 44% 8% 48% B+ D- F F F B D A+ B- D+ D F C+ D+ 37% 17% 46% C C- A A- A F F F F
0.90 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.88 16% 0.5 .08 14% .23 92% .22 1.10 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 18% 0.8 .14 14% .33 89% .29
Feb
13		 Yale D- C+ F C D 47% 16% 37% B+ D+ D- A+ B+ F D+ A+ C+ C- D+ D+ F D+ 58% 17% 25% F D A+ F A F C- A+ B
1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21 1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Brown C- A+ A+ C A 21% 14% 64% C- A- F A+ F+ F A+ A A+ F F F F+ F 41% 18% 41% C F B F D+ B- D- A+ B
1.06 78% 67% 33% +8 0 1.17 12% 1.7 .19 24% .49 81% .40 1.10 76% 44% 38% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.4 .34 22% .30 47% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.2 1.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 5.3 5.2 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 5.2 17.0 1.3 23.5 5th
6th 23.3 5.1 0.0 28.4 6th
7th 18.1 10.3 0.1 28.5 7th
8th 4.2 0.1 4.2 8th
Total 22.3 38.9 27.6 9.8 1.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 1.4% 7.2% 7.2% 15.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
7-7 9.8% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.3
6-8 27.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 27.5
5-9 38.9% 38.9
4-10 22.3% 22.3
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.8 99.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.0 96.7 3.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 22.3%