Dartmouth
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#250
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#159
Pace65.8#264
Improvement-1.7#293

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#301
First Shot-2.8#262
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#303
Layup/Dunks-4.5#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.6#9
Freethrows-3.1#332
Improvement-1.3#291

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#160
First Shot+1.5#126
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#252
Layups/Dunks-2.7#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#69
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#116
Freethrows+0.2#175
Improvement-0.4#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.3% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 17.7% 22.8% 7.5%
.500 or above in Conference 34.0% 38.0% 26.0%
Conference Champion 4.2% 5.0% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 13.1% 11.1% 17.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round2.7% 3.2% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Home) - 66.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 4
Quad 33 - 84 - 12
Quad 46 - 310 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 113   @ Boston College L 57-73 15%     0 - 1 -9.3 -6.8 -4.0
  Nov 13, 2021 147   @ Georgetown W 69-60 19%     1 - 1 +13.5 -2.6 +16.1
  Nov 28, 2021 258   @ Bryant W 63-61 OT 40%     2 - 1 +0.0 -12.1 +12.0
  Dec 01, 2021 103   @ Vermont L 65-83 13%     2 - 2 -10.5 +3.1 -14.9
  Dec 04, 2021 213   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 68-78 OT 29%     2 - 3 -8.9 -14.4 +6.8
  Dec 08, 2021 273   Quinnipiac W 71-67 67%    
  Dec 11, 2021 156   Boston University L 62-64 41%    
  Dec 16, 2021 95   @ Stanford L 60-73 11%    
  Dec 19, 2021 121   @ California L 56-67 16%    
  Dec 21, 2021 214   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 59-65 30%    
  Dec 29, 2021 187   New Hampshire L 61-62 48%    
  Jan 02, 2022 188   @ Cornell L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 07, 2022 135   Yale L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 08, 2022 180   Brown L 63-64 47%    
  Jan 15, 2022 206   @ Penn L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 17, 2022 151   Harvard L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 22, 2022 152   Princeton L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 29, 2022 339   @ Columbia W 70-65 69%    
  Feb 04, 2022 135   @ Yale L 62-72 19%    
  Feb 05, 2022 180   @ Brown L 60-67 27%    
  Feb 12, 2022 152   @ Princeton L 63-72 22%    
  Feb 18, 2022 188   Cornell L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 19, 2022 339   Columbia W 73-62 84%    
  Feb 26, 2022 206   Penn W 68-67 51%    
  Mar 05, 2022 151   @ Harvard L 61-70 21%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 6 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 3.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 4.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 6.2 3.3 0.2 11.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 7.3 4.9 0.3 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.7 8.7 6.2 0.8 0.0 20.0 6th
7th 0.3 3.0 8.2 10.4 5.8 0.9 0.0 28.7 7th
8th 0.4 1.7 2.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 7.2 8th
Total 0.4 2.1 5.8 10.6 14.7 16.5 15.9 13.2 9.3 6.1 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 97.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1
11-3 84.2% 1.2    0.8 0.3 0.0
10-4 48.3% 1.6    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0
9-5 12.3% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.5% 93.3% 93.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-3 1.4% 69.0% 69.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.4
10-4 3.3% 28.1% 28.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 2.4
9-5 6.1% 4.1% 4.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.8
8-6 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 9.3
7-7 13.2% 13.2
6-8 15.9% 15.9
5-9 16.5% 16.5
4-10 14.7% 14.7
3-11 10.6% 10.6
2-12 5.8% 5.8
1-13 2.1% 2.1
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 0.7 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%