IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.7	#316
Expected Predictive Rating	-8.8	#308

Pace	66.6	#248
Improvement	+1.0	#123

Offense
Total Offense	-6.4	#341

First Shot	-6.3	#334
After Offensive Rebound	-0.1	#188

Layup/Dunks	-8.4	#360
2 Pt Jumpshots	+4.9	#13
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.5	#223
Freethrows	-1.3	#255

Improvement	-0.1	#192

Defense
Total Defense	-2.4	#253

First Shot	-4.2	#312
After Offensive Rebounds	+1.8	#59

Layups/Dunks	+2.3	#101
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.9	#50
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.7	#307
Freethrows	-4.6	#354

Improvement	+1.1	#86

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.0%	8.6%	5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	17.4%	33.9%	13.6%
.500 or above in Conference	49.5%	61.5%	46.7%
Conference Champion	6.4%	10.0%	5.6%
Last Place in Conference	10.3%	5.7%	11.4%

First Four	4.5%	5.5%	4.2%
First Round	3.6%	5.7%	3.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Kentucky (Away) - 18.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 10	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	14	@ Illinois	L	67-112	1%	0 - 1			-26.7	-7.8	-11.7
Nov 10, 2024	39	@ Indiana	L	55-90	2%	0 - 2			-20.2	-12.5	-6.7
Nov 15, 2024	66	@ Northwestern	L	58-67 OT	4%	0 - 3			+3.0	-2.6	+4.8
Nov 19, 2024	97	@ DePaul	L	69-78	6%	0 - 4			-0.4	+0.2	-0.8
Nov 24, 2024	247	@ Valparaiso	L	53-81	24%	0 - 5			-29.5	-14.9	-18.4
Nov 29, 2024	338	Northern Illinois	W	72-59	68%	1 - 5			-0.7	-6.4	+5.7
Dec 03, 2024	54	@ Butler	L	58-73	3%	1 - 6			-2.3	-6.8	+4.0
Dec 14, 2024	207	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	67-77	19%
Dec 19, 2024	295	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	67-72	33%
Dec 21, 2024	233	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	64-72	24%
Jan 02, 2025	354	Lindenwood	W	72-64	76%
Jan 04, 2025	324	Western Illinois	W	67-64	63%
Jan 07, 2025	273	SIU Edwardsville	W	66-65	51%
Jan 09, 2025	330	Tennessee Tech	W	70-66	64%
Jan 16, 2025	328	@ Tennessee Martin	L	68-70	42%
Jan 18, 2025	318	@ Tennessee St.	L	71-74	40%
Jan 23, 2025	266	Morehead St.	W	67-66	50%
Jan 25, 2025	293	Southern Indiana	W	70-69	54%
Jan 30, 2025	324	@ Western Illinois	L	64-67	41%
Feb 01, 2025	354	@ Lindenwood	W	69-67	56%
Feb 04, 2025	273	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	63-69	31%
Feb 08, 2025	330	@ Tennessee Tech	L	67-69	43%
Feb 13, 2025	318	Tennessee St.	W	74-71	61%
Feb 15, 2025	328	Tennessee Martin	W	71-67	62%
Feb 20, 2025	293	@ Southern Indiana	L	67-72	33%
Feb 22, 2025	266	@ Morehead St.	L	64-70	30%
Feb 27, 2025	233	Arkansas Little Rock	L	67-69	44%
Mar 01, 2025	295	Southeast Missouri St.	W	70-69	53%
Projected Record						11 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	1.9	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		6.4	1st
2nd												0.1	1.2	2.9	2.5	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0				7.9	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.4	3.8	2.6	0.9	0.1	0.0						9.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.3	4.3	3.4	0.7	0.0								9.8	4th
5th									0.1	1.0	4.5	3.8	0.8	0.0									10.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.7	3.9	4.6	1.0	0.0										10.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.8	3.7	5.2	1.4	0.1											11.3	7th
8th						0.0	0.6	2.9	4.6	1.8	0.1												10.1	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.7	2.6	4.1	1.8	0.2	0.0												9.6	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	1.2	2.6	3.2	1.5	0.2	0.0													9.0	10th
11th	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	1.9	1.6	0.7	0.1	0.0														6.4	11th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.5	3.1	5.0	7.2	9.5	11.1	12.2	12.1	10.8	9.3	6.8	4.9	3.0	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	98.7%	0.3		0.3	0.0
17-3	94.1%	0.7		0.6	0.1
16-4	86.2%	1.4		1.0	0.3	0.0
15-5	61.4%	1.9		1.0	0.7	0.1	0.0
14-6	30.5%	1.5		0.5	0.7	0.3	0.0
13-7	8.1%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-8	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-10	0.0%

Total	6.4%	6.4		3.6	2.0	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																		0.0					0.0
19-1	0.1%		48.8%	48.8%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
18-2	0.3%		36.9%	36.9%		14.9															0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2
17-3	0.7%		36.7%	36.7%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4
16-4	1.6%		33.1%	33.1%		15.8																0.1	0.4	1.0
15-5	3.0%		30.6%	30.6%		15.9																0.1	0.9	2.1
14-6	4.9%		23.3%	23.3%		16.0																0.0	1.1	3.7
13-7	6.8%		15.1%	15.1%		16.0																0.0	1.0	5.8
12-8	9.3%		9.9%	9.9%		16.0																0.0	0.9	8.4
11-9	10.8%		4.7%	4.7%		16.0																	0.5	10.3
10-10	12.1%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.3	11.8
9-11	12.2%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.2	12.1
8-12	11.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.1
7-13	9.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
6-14	7.2%																							7.2
5-15	5.0%																							5.0
4-16	3.1%																							3.1
3-17	1.5%																							1.5
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		6.0%	6.0%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	5.6	94.0		0.0%