Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.3 322
Results Rating -9.8 319
Consistency 0.14 128
Pace 64.9 278
Improvement -0.2 192

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 345 F+ D+ D+ C- D-
Defense C- 232 C- D- B- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 213 D- 51% 334 -3.3 298
2 Pt. Jumpers 60% 14 D- 33% 330 +2.6 56
Three Pointers 31% 351 D 31% 296 -6.6 352
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.5 338 D- -5.9 347
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.87 357
Second Chance D+ 26.2% 295 C- 0.99 249 D+ 0.26 293
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.9% 127
Other Turnovers F+ 9.2% 348
Turnovers D+ 18.1% 272
Freethrows D+ 0.28 270 C+ 74% 127 C- 0.20 243
Total Offense D- -8.3 345

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 234 D 13.4% 323
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 117 D+ 6.8% 299
Three Pointers C+ 86% 136 F 2.6% 365
Total D+ 51% 274 F 8.0% 353


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 167 D 62% 300 +2.1 249
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 340 D+ 41% 287 -1.7 45
Three Pointers 46% 49 B- 32% 87 +1.2 258
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 316 C- +0.8 210
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 233
Second Chance D- 34.8% 333 D+ 1.08 268 D- 0.38 327
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.6% 93
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 92
Turnovers B- 18.5% 74
Freethrows C- 0.32 245 F 77% 361 D+ 0.25 295
Total Defense C- -1.9 232

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 338 D+ 8.7% 261
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 231 A 10.1% 11
Three Pointers F 93% 361 D 0.3% 319
Total D- 65% 345 C- 5.1% 209

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 291 16.8 84
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 118 0.19 276
Consistency 0.09 7 0.14 269
Improvement +1.8 105 -2.0 290

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 323 322 321
Results Rating Rank 320 319 318
Conference Record 8 - 12 8 - 12 8 - 12
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 410 - 1110 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 161 @Valparaiso L 63 - 66 11% -5  4% 0 - 1 C +0 F+ -10 D+ F F A +10 A+ D+ A
 Fri, Nov 7 241 Nicholls St. W 65 - 57 40% +5  78% 1 - 1 C +0 F -14 F C D A+ +14 A+ A C-
 Tue, Nov 11 90 @Notre Dame L 58 - 78 5% -7  6% 1 - 2 D -11 D -6 C F+ D- F+ -8 B F C+
 Fri, Nov 14 24 @Kentucky L 53 - 99 1% -27  0% 1 - 3 F -27 F -12 D- F C+ F -16 F F A
 Tue, Nov 25 168 @Central Arkansas L 60 - 81 12% -16  0% 1 - 4 F -18 F+ -8 F+ D+ C F -12 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 28 8 @Purdue L 62 - 109 1% -25  7% 1 - 5 F -24 D- -8 B F F F -15 F F B-
 Sat, Dec 6 271 Lindenwood L 74 - 82 46% +1  50% 1 - 6 0 - 1 F+ -17 D -5 F B A F -12 D F D
 Wed, Dec 10 298 Eastern Kentucky L 59 - 68 53% -5  6% 1 - 7 F -20 F -19 F D F C- -2 C D+ C
 Sun, Dec 14 5 @Iowa St. L 53 - 78 0% -15  13% 1 - 8 C +0 F+ -8 F+ C- D A +9 A- A- B+
 Thu, Dec 18 262 SIU Edwardsville W 76 - 72 OT 43% +0  45% 2 - 8 1 - 1 C- -5 C- -1 B- C+ F D+ -4 F A+ B-
 Thu, Jan 1 232 @Southeast Missouri St. L 59 - 68 20% +2  49% 2 - 9 1 - 2 D -10 F -14 D- F C B +4 B F D
 Sat, Jan 3 234 @Tennessee Martin L 61 - 65 20% +0  47% 2 - 10 1 - 3 D+ -5 D- -8 F F B- B- +2 A+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 313 Tennessee Tech W 71 - 61 58% -2  28% 3 - 10 2 - 3 C- -2 C- -2 D B- B- C+ +1 C+ C- A
 Sat, Jan 10 179 Tennessee St. W 74 - 70 28% +8  95% 4 - 10 3 - 3 C -0 C- -2 C- C+ B+ B- +2 C+ A+ C+
 Tue, Jan 13 364 Western Illinois W 57 - 55 87% +4  89% 5 - 10 4 - 3 F -20 F -25 F F F B +5 A D- B
 Thu, Jan 15 304 @Arkansas Little Rock L 63 - 74 33% +4  80% 5 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -17 F+ -10 F A F D- -8 D- F C+
 Thu, Jan 22 337 @Southern Indiana W 59 - 51 OT 47% -3  10% 6 - 11 5 - 4 C -1 F -20 F F D- A+ +18 A+ F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 284 @Morehead St. L 68 - 73 28% -0  46% 6 - 12 5 - 5 D -9 D+ -3 F A F D- -7 F F A+
 Thu, Jan 29 234 Tennessee Martin L 68 - 76 39% -7  1% 6 - 13 5 - 6 F+ -15 D+ -4 F C- A+ F -11 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 31 232 Southeast Missouri St. L 59 - 77 38% -12  0% 6 - 14 5 - 7 F -25 F -13 D- D- F F -14 F A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 179 @Tennessee St. L 68 - 77 13% -3  8% 6 - 15 5 - 8 D+ -7 D -6 C- A- F C -1 C- A F
 Sat, Feb 7 313 @Tennessee Tech W 60 - 54 35% +7  94% 7 - 15 6 - 8 C -0 F -13 F D- D+ A+ +14 A F+ A+
 Tue, Feb 10 364 @Western Illinois L 70 - 79 72% -4  25% 7 - 16 6 - 9 F -25 F -14 F F+ D+ F -11 F D- D
 Sat, Feb 14 304 Arkansas Little Rock W 78 - 72 56% +2  57% 8 - 16 7 - 9 D+ -6 C +1 F B- A+ D- -6 C- F+ D+
 Thu, Feb 19 284 Morehead St. L 70 - 73 50% -4  20% 8 - 17 7 - 10 D- -13 F+ -9 F B- C+ D+ -5 F A+ A
 Sat, Feb 21 337 Southern Indiana L 68 - 70 69% -8  5% 8 - 18 7 - 11 F+ -17 D- -8 F B- C F -10 F D+ B+
 Thu, Feb 26 271 @Lindenwood W 71 - 67 25% +5  91% 9 - 18 8 - 11 C +1 C- -2 C F D+ B- +3 B+ D- B-
 Sat, Feb 28 262 @SIU Edwardsville L 50 - 77 23% -14  0% 9 - 19 8 - 12 F -30 F -14 D+ F F+ F -20 F F C
 Wed, Mar 4 262 SIU Edwardsville W 77 - 71 OT 32% -0  33% 10 - 19 C +0 B- +4 C+ B+ B- D+ -4 B- F+ C-
 Thu, Mar 5 234 Tennessee Martin L 63 - 66 28% -1  41% 10 - 20 D+ -7 C- -2 C+ F+ C D -6 C+ D- F
Totals 10 - 20 8 - 12 -10 D- -8 F D- D- C- -2 D C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D- D- D D- 38% 60% 31% D- F+ D+ C- D+ D+ D+ C+ C- C- D D+ B- C- 39% 15% 46% D C- D- D+ D- B- C- F D+
0.97 51% 33% 31% -6 -1 0.87 26% 1.0 .26 18% .28 74% .20 1.11 62% 41% 32% +1 +1 1.05 35% 1.1 .38 18% .32 77% .21
Nov
4		 Valparaiso F+ A- C- F+ C+ 34% 47% 18% F D+ C F F F A+ A+ A+ A C- A+ A+ A+ 27% 9% 64% F A+ D+ C D+ A F A+ F
0.90 69% 33% 29% 0 -4 0.95 31% 0.3 .09 29% .62 81% .50 0.94 58% 0% 18% -19 +1 0.66 34% 1.1 .36 20% .62 60% .37
Nov
7		 Nicholls St. F F F F F 40% 26% 35% D- F C- B C D A+ D+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ 33% 24% 43% A- A+ F+ A+ A C- F B F
0.93 47% 27% 27% -11 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .38 23% .54 76% .41 0.82 63% 8% 19% -15 -1 0.69 33% 0.4 .13 16% .46 63% .29
Nov
11		 Notre Dame D F A+ D+ B- 20% 38% 42% F C B- F F+ D- D- A D+ F+ D C+ A+ A- 39% 16% 45% D- B F C- F C+ B- D C+
0.95 44% 53% 32% +1 -4 0.98 28% 0.4 .13 18% .24 83% .20 1.28 68% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 53% 1.0 .53 16% .29 73% .22
Nov
14		 Kentucky F C+ F B- D+ 18% 47% 35% F D- F F F C+ B+ D B- F F F F+ F 50% 10% 40% F F F F F A B+ D+ B
0.78 56% 22% 35% -7 -5 0.78 13% 0.6 .08 16% .33 68% .23 1.46 80% 60% 40% +17 +2 1.40 57% 1.4 .79 19% .29 75% .22
Nov
25		 Central Arkansas F+ A- D F D- 33% 25% 42% F+ F+ F A+ D+ C D A+ C+ F F A+ D F 36% 6% 57% F+ F F F F B+ C+ A B
0.95 69% 33% 25% -3 -1 0.94 17% 1.6 .28 19% .23 92% .21 1.28 82% 0% 37% +9 +2 1.23 35% 1.8 .62 19% .25 62% .16
Nov
28		 Purdue D- A+ A+ F B+ 27% 31% 41% D+ B F F F F D- C- D- F F C- F F 36% 25% 39% C+ F F F F B- C F D-
0.86 79% 50% 24% +3 -2 1.04 13% 0.8 .10 24% .16 67% .11 1.52 85% 43% 50% +20 -1 1.41 46% 1.5 .67 14% .29 89% .26
Dec
6		 Lindenwood D F+ F F F 61% 27% 12% C+ F C+ A B A D- C+ D F F+ B A+ D+ 53% 14% 33% F D F F F D F F F
1.03 50% 19% 14% -14 +1 0.76 33% 1.2 .40 13% .29 72% .21 1.14 67% 29% 18% -5 +2 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 17% .39 78% .30
Dec
10		 Eastern Kentucky F D F D- F 39% 33% 28% D- F F B D F F+ A+ C- C- D- F A+ C+ 23% 13% 64% F+ C D C D+ C C+ F D-
0.94 56% 20% 31% -8 -1 0.83 24% 1.1 .27 19% .27 86% .24 1.08 64% 67% 27% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.1 .38 17% .25 92% .23
Dec
14		 Iowa St. F+ F F C- F+ 29% 33% 39% D F+ D+ C- C- D C- B C A F F A+ A 42% 17% 42% C- A- B A- A- B+ F D- F
0.75 43% 25% 32% -10 -2 0.78 23% 1.0 .23 26% .23 75% .17 1.11 75% 50% 20% 0 +1 1.04 34% 0.9 .31 17% .46 74% .34
Dec
18		 SIU Edwardsville C- A- B- D+ B 34% 28% 38% D+ B- C- B+ C+ F C- B C D+ C A+ F F 32% 22% 46% D F A- A+ A+ B- D+ F F+
1.07 65% 43% 32% +2 -1 1.04 31% 1.1 .34 22% .31 76% .23 1.01 56% 18% 48% +5 -1 1.10 22% 0.5 .11 20% .28 81% .23
Jan
1		 Southeast Missouri St. F F D+ A- F+ 53% 18% 29% B D- F F F C D+ D+ D B B+ A+ A A 65% 4% 31% F B D- F F D C- A+ A
0.84 42% 38% 38% -7 +1 0.91 16% 0.4 .06 17% .38 73% .28 0.97 48% 0% 27% -11 +4 0.88 32% 1.9 .62 14% .33 45% .15
Jan
3		 Tennessee Martin D- B D F F+ 18% 33% 49% F F D+ F F B- A+ D- B+ B- A F A+ A+ 22% 15% 63% C A+ C F F A+ F F F
0.91 67% 31% 25% -7 -3 0.82 30% 0.5 .16 18% .42 65% .27 0.97 44% 67% 19% -13 0 0.76 34% 1.5 .50 27% .53 85% .45
Jan
8		 Tennessee Tech C- C F C F+ 47% 17% 36% B D B- B- B- B- B D B- C+ C+ D- A B- 33% 18% 49% D+ C+ D+ C+ C- A F F F
1.14 59% 13% 35% -3 +1 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 13% .33 72% .24 0.98 54% 43% 26% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.0 .32 24% .44 90% .40
Jan
10		 Tennessee St. C- F F A+ C- 47% 21% 32% D+ C- C+ C+ C+ B+ F A F B- B+ F A B- 34% 25% 42% D+ C+ B A+ A+ C+ F B F
1.08 48% 27% 53% +2 +1 1.08 31% 1.1 .34 16% .19 82% .16 1.02 50% 54% 27% -3 -1 0.94 29% 0.6 .18 18% .39 73% .28
Jan
13		 Western Illinois F D- F F F 45% 34% 20% F F F+ F F F A+ A- A+ B A B+ A+ A+ 57% 21% 21% F A F B- D- B D F F
0.86 55% 20% 11% -15 -1 0.70 26% 0.9 .23 18% .42 78% .33 0.83 41% 30% 10% -19 +1 0.66 34% 0.9 .32 20% .34 83% .28
Jan
15		 Arkansas Little Rock F+ F C A F+ 31% 31% 38% F F D- A+ A F F A D- D- F B- C- D- 32% 30% 39% C- D- F D+ F C+ F F F
0.98 43% 36% 41% -1 -2 0.96 30% 1.6 .47 26% .21 80% .17 1.15 71% 31% 35% +3 -2 1.05 44% 1.1 .47 19% .32 82% .27
Jan
22		 Southern Indiana F C- F F F 28% 50% 22% F F F C+ F D- B+ B B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 18% 49% D+ A+ C F F+ A+ F D- F
0.82 57% 28% 18% -11 -5 0.72 18% 1.0 .18 18% .37 77% .29 0.71 38% 22% 8% -28 0 0.45 29% 1.1 .33 24% .49 70% .34
Jan
24		 Morehead St. D+ F F+ A+ F 45% 28% 28% D F A+ C- A F A+ A+ A+ D- C- F F F 38% 43% 20% A+ F F D+ F A+ F F F
1.09 24% 31% 46% -12 0 0.77 51% 0.9 .49 19% .48 83% .40 1.17 60% 47% 50% +9 -3 1.15 52% 1.0 .52 27% .53 88% .46
Jan
29		 Tennessee Martin D+ B- F F F 38% 28% 34% C- F D+ B- C- A+ A+ F A- F F F F F 34% 7% 59% F F D- C- D A+ F C+ F
1.01 65% 20% 22% -9 -1 0.83 30% 1.0 .30 12% .49 59% .29 1.12 71% 67% 42% +13 +1 1.32 39% 0.9 .36 30% .42 65% .27
Jan
31		 Southeast Missouri St. F F F A+ D- 49% 20% 31% C+ D- F+ B- D- F F C- F F F A+ F F 43% 8% 49% F F D+ A+ A+ D+ A+ D A
0.91 38% 30% 47% -6 +1 0.92 20% 1.2 .23 21% .29 73% .21 1.18 71% 25% 46% +13 +2 1.33 30% 0.6 .17 15% .20 73% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Tennessee St. D C- D+ B C- 47% 18% 36% C- C- D- A+ A- F F+ F F C F A A+ C- 43% 27% 29% D C- A+ C+ A F F C- F
0.99 57% 38% 38% +1 +1 1.07 23% 1.8 .42 25% .29 67% .19 1.12 77% 29% 20% -1 -1 1.00 21% 1.0 .21 10% .44 78% .34
Feb
7		 Tennessee Tech F D- F D+ F 39% 37% 24% F F F+ B- D- D+ C B+ B- A+ B- D+ A+ A+ 39% 13% 47% F A F C+ F+ A+ F F F
0.93 53% 28% 33% -6 -2 0.86 22% 1.3 .28 15% .29 81% .24 0.84 53% 40% 17% -14 +1 0.76 40% 1.0 .40 33% .46 85% .39
Feb
10		 Western Illinois F D A F F+ 28% 37% 35% F F F B- F+ D+ F F F F F B- F F 25% 35% 39% A F C F D- D F F F
0.97 56% 48% 25% -2 -3 0.93 24% 1.2 .30 15% .23 57% .13 1.10 69% 33% 40% +5 -3 1.06 24% 1.3 .30 15% .43 73% .31
Feb
14		 Arkansas Little Rock C F F A+ F 46% 25% 29% D F A+ D- B- A+ A+ B- A+ D- A F C- C- 33% 33% 33% C C- F+ D F+ D+ F B+ D-
1.17 41% 25% 43% -7 0 0.88 49% 0.8 .39 12% .51 73% .38 1.08 47% 47% 35% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.1 .39 17% .32 61% .20
Feb
19		 Morehead St. F+ C D- F F 48% 22% 30% C F D A+ B- C+ F A+ C D+ C- F D+ F 49% 13% 38% F F A- A+ A+ A F+ C D-
1.06 58% 33% 19% -8 +1 0.87 31% 1.3 .40 14% .24 93% .23 1.10 59% 100% 35% +9 +2 1.24 28% 0.6 .16 23% .37 74% .27
Feb
21		 Southern Indiana D- F B D+ F 49% 33% 18% F+ F A D- B- C C+ B+ B F B B+ F F 28% 39% 33% A+ F C F+ D+ B+ F F F
1.04 40% 41% 33% -8 -1 0.84 45% 0.8 .38 15% .34 79% .27 1.07 46% 28% 53% +2 -3 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 20% .44 83% .36
Feb
26		 Lindenwood C- C F A+ B 39% 43% 18% F C D- F F D+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+ A+ B- A 52% 8% 40% F B+ F A- D- B- B+ D- B-
1.03 59% 21% 75% +4 -3 1.05 26% 0.3 .06 19% .59 76% .45 0.97 42% 0% 30% -14 +3 0.80 43% 0.9 .40 20% .25 71% .18
Feb
28		 SIU Edwardsville F D A+ F C- 21% 36% 44% F D+ F+ F F F+ B+ F C F F D- F F 34% 14% 52% F F F D F C A+ F A+
0.83 50% 64% 18% -3 -3 0.90 24% 0.5 .12 20% .37 61% .23 1.28 76% 43% 42% +13 +1 1.30 35% 1.1 .38 18% .08 75% .06
Mar
4		 SIU Edwardsville B- B C+ D B- 39% 37% 24% D- C+ D A+ B+ B- D- D D- D+ A+ A+ F+ B 26% 21% 53% D+ B- F C- F+ C- F C+ F+
1.12 62% 40% 31% +1 -2 1.00 27% 1.4 .39 14% .27 69% .19 1.03 36% 18% 39% -6 -1 0.89 35% 1.1 .37 17% .35 65% .23
Mar
5		 Tennessee Martin C- C D A+ B- 28% 35% 37% F+ C+ D- F+ F+ C F+ C- D- D F A+ A C 24% 20% 57% B- C+ D+ D- D- F D- F F
1.02 62% 31% 41% +3 -3 1.02 26% 0.8 .21 19% .26 69% .18 1.07 82% 22% 27% -3 -1 0.93 37% 1.0 .37 16% .35 78% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%