Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -0.4 170
Results Rating -0.7 172
Consistency 0.16 228
Pace 69.4 149
Improvement +5.3 26

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 160 C C- C+ D C+
Defense C 192 D+ C- B B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 282 C+ 60% 118 -1.1 224
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 293 D- 31% 347 -3.1 323
Three Pointers 49% 29 C+ 34% 150 +4.6 40
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 123 C +0.0 166
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 150
Second Chance D+ 27.3% 264 C+ 1.05 143 C- 0.29 234
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.2% 150
Other Turnovers C 7.0% 160
Turnovers C+ 16.2% 140
Freethrows D 0.27 298 D+ 70% 258 D 0.19 308
Total Offense C +0.1 160

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 188 C 11.0% 181
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 190 C- 6.0% 261
Three Pointers B- 87% 115 C- 1.1% 241
Total B- 61% 72 C+ 5.3% 159


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 309 D 62% 291 -1.4 123
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 361 C 38% 181 -3.1 4
Three Pointers 54% 2 C- 35% 247 +7.5 362
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 301 D+ +2.2 276
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 280
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 129 D- 1.14 326 C- 0.33 238
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.2% 23
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 186
Turnovers B 19.3% 42
Freethrows B- 0.28 105 C- 73% 225 B- 0.20 110
Total Defense C -0.5 192

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 315 D+ 8.1% 293
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 303 C+ 5.7% 109
Three Pointers D- 89% 336 D 0.2% 335
Total F 67% 355 D 3.6% 335

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 176 17.0 121
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 129 0.19 278
Consistency 0.15 340 0.11 86
Improvement +5.2 10 +0.0 180



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 29 @North Carolina L 54 - 94 6% -24  0% 0 - 1 F -22 F -17 F B F C- -2 C- F B+
 Tue, Nov 11 14 @Arkansas L 56 - 93 3% -16  0% 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -16 F C A+ B- +2 C- A+ C-
 Sun, Nov 16 207 Samford L 77 - 84 OT 69% +3  62% 0 - 3 D- -12 D- -8 D+ D- D+ D+ -4 D+ B+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 136 @North Texas L 56 - 74 31% -5  17% 0 - 4 D- -13 F -11 D+ F F C- -2 B B- D
 Sun, Nov 23 178 Eastern Washington W 92 - 65 64% +20  98% 1 - 4 A +23 B+ +9 A+ F C A+ +13 A- C A+
 Tue, Nov 25 322 Eastern Illinois W 81 - 60 88% +16  96% 2 - 4 B- +8 A- +11 A A+ C- C -1 D+ C- C+
 Sat, Nov 29 164 @East Tennessee St. L 57 - 80 37% -10  7% 2 - 5 F -20 F -18 F D C+ C -1 F A+ D
 Wed, Dec 3 307 Arkansas Little Rock W 85 - 47 86% +29  96% 3 - 5 A+ +26 C+ +2 B+ D- D A+ +23 A+ B A+
 Sun, Dec 7 300 @East Texas A&M L 68 - 75 69% -1  30% 3 - 6 D- -13 F -12 C- F C+ C +0 B+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 11 @Vanderbilt L 72 - 83 3% -15  0% 3 - 7 B +11 C -0 C- B- B+ A+ +12 A+ F A
 Sun, Dec 21 45 @SMU L 82 - 99 8% -11  0% 3 - 8 C -2 A- +10 A A- F+ F -12 D- F B
 Thu, Jan 1 254 Florida Gulf Coast W 85 - 83 77% -3  21% 4 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -6 A +14 B+ A A+ F -20 F D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 310 Stetson W 93 - 73 86% +13  88% 5 - 8 2 - 0 B- +8 A +13 B+ A D+ D+ -4 F D+ A-
 Thu, Jan 8 282 @Bellarmine L 78 - 84 OT 64% +0  43% 5 - 9 2 - 1 D -10 F -12 F C- B+ B- +2 D C- C
 Sat, Jan 10 298 @Eastern Kentucky L 75 - 79 OT 68% -1  35% 5 - 10 2 - 2 D -9 D- -8 C+ F F+ C -1 F C C+
 Thu, Jan 15 296 Jacksonville W 62 - 60 84% -5  19% 6 - 10 3 - 2 D -9 D- -7 C- F D C -1 A+ F+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 338 North Florida W 98 - 69 91% +23  95% 7 - 10 4 - 2 B+ +13 A- +10 A- C B+ B +4 C- A+ B-
 Thu, Jan 22 303 @West Georgia W 86 - 65 70% +9  68% 8 - 10 5 - 2 A- +15 A +12 A+ F B B +4 D- F A+
 Wed, Jan 28 194 @Queens W 100 - 90 44% -1  35% 9 - 10 6 - 2 B +11 A+ +15 A+ C- B+ D+ -4 F A C-
 Sat, Jan 31 298 Eastern Kentucky W 90 - 81 84% +8  98% 10 - 10 7 - 2 C- -2 C- -2 C D- A+ C -1 F+ A+ B
 Wed, Feb 4 343 North Alabama W 81 - 60 92% +7  81% 11 - 10 8 - 2 B- +5 C+ +2 B D+ C- B +4 C+ B+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 218 @Lipscomb W 86 - 78 49% +9  98% 12 - 10 9 - 2 B- +8 B+ +8 C B+ C+ C -0 F+ D+ A-
 Mon, Feb 9 343 @North Alabama W 72 - 65 82% -5  10% 13 - 10 10 - 2 C- -3 D -5 F+ C+ F B- +3 F C- A+
 Wed, Feb 11 282 Bellarmine W 84 - 76 82% -2  36% 14 - 10 11 - 2 C- -2 C +1 D+ D+ A+ C- -3 F C+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 303 West Georgia W 79 - 62 85% +9  97% 15 - 10 12 - 2 B- +5 C -0 C- C B- B+ +6 D+ B A-
 Thu, Feb 19 310 @Stetson W 88 - 76 71% +15  95% 16 - 10 13 - 2 B- +6 A +13 A- C C- D -6 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 254 @Florida Gulf Coast L 71 - 75 OT 57% +1  53% 16 - 11 13 - 3 D+ -6 D- -7 F B C+ C+ +1 B+ D- F
 Wed, Feb 25 183 @Austin Peay W 93 - 88 42% -5  13% 17 - 11 14 - 3 B- +7 A+ +22 A+ A A F -15 F C A+
 Sat, Feb 28 194 Queens W 84 - 79 66% +8  98% 18 - 11 15 - 3 C +0 C +0 D+ D+ C+ C +0 C- A+ C
 Fri, Mar 6 282 Bellarmine W 86 - 73 74% +14  91% 19 - 11 B- +6 B+ +8 A C D C -1 C F B+
 Sat, Mar 7 254 Florida Gulf Coast W 73 - 63 68% +4  87% 20 - 11 C+ +5 D -5 D+ D B A +9 A B- C+
 Sun, Mar 8 194 Queens L 93 - 98 OT 55% -2  20% 20 - 12 D+ -7 C +0 C D- B- D -6 D F A+
Totals 20 - 12 15 - 3 +0 C +0 C C C+ C +0 C+ D+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ D- C+ C 35% 28% 49% C+ C D+ C+ C- C+ D D+ D C D C C- D+ 34% 13% 54% D D+ C+ D- C- B B- C- B-
1.09 60% 31% 34% 0 0 1.03 27% 1.0 .29 16% .27 70% .19 1.09 62% 38% 35% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.1 .33 19% .28 73% .19
Nov
3		 North Carolina F F F D F 24% 29% 47% D+ F C- A+ B F D D D C- F A+ B- C 48% 12% 40% F+ C- D F F B+ C F D-
0.72 38% 13% 31% -14 -2 0.69 23% 1.2 .28 23% .15 67% .10 1.25 80% 0% 33% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.5 .56 16% .35 82% .28
Nov
11		 Arkansas F C+ F+ F F 21% 12% 67% C F F+ A+ C A+ A D+ B+ B- F B D D+ 29% 16% 55% B- C- A+ B- A+ C- C- F+ D
0.75 58% 29% 8% -27 0 0.47 20% 1.6 .31 11% .32 67% .21 1.25 81% 33% 39% +10 0 1.21 24% 1.3 .30 11% .33 82% .27
Nov
16		 Samford D- B+ F D+ D- 45% 24% 31% B+ D+ B- F D- D+ A- F C- D+ F A+ C- D 22% 14% 64% C D+ B- A B+ F A D A-
1.02 65% 14% 33% -3 0 0.97 30% 0.7 .21 15% .36 57% .20 1.12 85% 13% 34% +3 0 1.07 21% 0.9 .19 9% .26 72% .19
Nov
20		 North Texas F D- F C D 37% 16% 47% B- D+ C+ F F F A+ F A+ C- F A+ A+ B- 43% 25% 32% B+ B B- B- B- D F F F
0.82 50% 17% 33% -7 +1 0.89 33% 0.5 .15 28% .64 56% .36 1.08 74% 18% 14% -8 0 0.86 31% 0.9 .29 15% .55 84% .46
Nov
23		 Eastern Washington B+ B F A+ A+ 43% 4% 53% A- A+ C- F F C F F F A+ A A+ C+ A 27% 10% 63% D+ A- D- A- C A+ B+ B+ B+
1.28 65% 0% 54% +17 +3 1.42 30% 0.8 .24 17% .23 64% .15 0.90 46% 20% 33% -6 +1 0.92 36% 1.0 .36 31% .26 69% .18
Nov
25		 Eastern Illinois A- A+ F B+ A 36% 6% 57% B A C A+ A+ C- F+ F F C F C+ A+ D+ 33% 25% 42% D+ D+ A+ F C- C+ B F C-
1.28 82% 0% 37% +9 +2 1.23 35% 1.8 .62 19% .25 62% .16 0.95 69% 33% 25% -3 -1 0.94 17% 1.6 .28 19% .23 92% .21
Nov
29		 East Tennessee St. F F F F+ F 17% 13% 70% D F F A+ D C+ F C+ F C F C F F 35% 9% 56% D F A+ B+ A+ D A- A+ A+
0.79 44% 14% 29% -11 -1 0.80 13% 1.8 .24 18% .14 75% .10 1.12 74% 40% 40% +11 +1 1.26 13% 1.0 .13 14% .26 50% .13
Dec
3		 Arkansas Little Rock C+ A B+ B+ 33% 0% 67% B+ B+ C F D- D D- C D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 24% 39% F+ A+ B B B A+ B+ A+ A+
1.19 72% 39% +10 +2 1.26 36% 0.7 .25 20% .24 71% .17 0.66 44% 17% 26% -15 -1 0.71 26% 0.9 .24 29% .18 22% .04
Dec
7		 East Texas A&M F B F F D- 61% 4% 35% A+ C- F D- F C+ F F F C D- A+ A+ A- 29% 10% 60% D+ B+ B+ F F C+ F F F
0.91 63% 0% 25% -3 +4 1.04 11% 1.0 .11 16% .24 33% .08 1.01 64% 20% 24% -9 +1 0.85 19% 2.1 .42 19% .41 76% .31
Dec
13		 Vanderbilt C B- F D C- 22% 22% 56% C- C- D+ A+ B- B+ A+ D A- A+ B+ F A+ A+ 31% 6% 63% D- A+ C F F A C- C- D+
0.96 58% 25% 30% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.2 .28 16% .43 70% .30 1.10 56% 67% 24% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.6 .54 17% .35 82% .29
Dec
21		 SMU A- D- C A+ A+ 31% 27% 42% C- A B A A- F+ B C B F F F B+ D- 36% 12% 53% F D- F F F B A+ F+ A
1.16 50% 36% 50% +7 -1 1.13 34% 1.2 .40 21% .31 71% .22 1.41 86% 71% 32% +12 +1 1.29 55% 1.3 .72 17% .17 80% .14
Jan
1		 Florida Gulf Coast A B+ F A+ A- 37% 20% 43% D+ B+ B A+ A A+ C A- B- F F C+ F F 27% 16% 57% D- F A+ F D+ C- B F D+
1.33 67% 30% 43% +7 0 1.16 34% 1.4 .47 11% .35 80% .28 1.29 79% 38% 45% +15 0 1.31 19% 1.8 .35 16% .22 92% .20
Jan
3		 Stetson A A+ F B+ B+ 40% 8% 52% B+ B+ A B- A D+ A+ B+ A+ D+ D F F+ F 24% 13% 62% C- F D- B- D+ A- F B- F
1.37 80% 0% 38% +9 +2 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 16% .40 78% .32 1.07 64% 50% 39% +8 0 1.18 30% 1.0 .30 22% .40 67% .26
Jan
8		 Bellarmine F F F F F 25% 14% 61% C F D+ C+ C- B+ F+ A D B- F D+ D D- 34% 9% 57% C+ D B+ F C- C A- A A
1.05 47% 25% 28% -10 0 0.81 32% 1.2 .38 12% .25 81% .20 1.13 74% 40% 38% +8 +1 1.21 16% 1.6 .26 16% .23 71% .16
Jan
10		 Eastern Kentucky D- D A+ B- C 34% 15% 51% B- C+ C- F F F+ F C F+ C D A+ F F 15% 11% 75% D F B D- C C+ A+ A+ A+
1.06 56% 75% 37% +7 0 1.17 32% 0.3 .11 18% .26 73% .19 1.12 63% 17% 41% +7 0 1.15 28% 1.2 .33 18% .12 57% .07
Jan
15		 Jacksonville D- B- A+ D- C 43% 25% 33% D C- C+ F F D B+ B- B+ C A+ F A+ A+ 34% 13% 53% D A+ F C+ F+ F D D- D-
1.05 65% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .16 17% .43 71% .31 1.02 31% 50% 24% -16 +1 0.72 39% 1.0 .39 10% .32 76% .25
Jan
17		 North Florida A- B A+ A- A- 33% 11% 56% C A- C+ D+ C B+ C A- B- B B+ F C- D+ 24% 14% 63% B C- A- A+ A+ B- F A+ D+
1.39 67% 67% 39% +10 +1 1.24 39% 1.1 .45 10% .28 78% .22 0.98 50% 57% 34% +1 0 1.04 19% 0.6 .11 20% .32 67% .21
Jan
22		 West Georgia A B+ B- A+ A+ 44% 13% 43% C+ A+ F A+ F B F C F B C+ F A- D+ 40% 19% 42% F D- F F F A+ F B F
1.28 67% 43% 52% +16 +1 1.37 11% 1.3 .15 12% .19 73% .13 0.96 53% 63% 28% -1 0 1.00 38% 1.5 .58 33% .40 67% .26
Jan
28		 Queens A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 20% 51% D A+ F A+ C- B+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F F F F 23% 9% 68% C+ F A+ D A C- D+ B C
1.35 80% 50% 42% +15 -1 1.31 22% 1.5 .33 12% .52 82% .43 1.22 75% 60% 44% +17 0 1.36 17% 1.2 .20 15% .33 71% .24
Jan
31		 Eastern Kentucky C- C- A+ C+ C 37% 15% 47% B- C F A D- A+ B F F C B A+ F D 31% 4% 65% F F+ A A+ A+ B F C- F
1.19 59% 67% 36% +6 +1 1.15 21% 1.2 .26 8% .37 50% .19 1.07 50% 0% 41% +3 +2 1.12 24% 0.8 .19 20% .43 73% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 North Alabama C+ B+ F A+ B 39% 7% 54% B- B D B- D+ C- F B- F B A C+ C C+ 43% 12% 45% D C+ A D B+ C+ C+ A+ A-
1.22 67% 0% 41% +6 +2 1.19 29% 1.2 .35 15% .16 78% .12 0.90 43% 33% 32% -9 +1 0.88 22% 1.1 .24 20% .30 50% .15
Feb
7		 Lipscomb B+ A+ D D+ B- 25% 40% 36% F C B B B+ C+ A- C+ A- C F C+ F F 22% 13% 65% A- F+ D- C D+ A- F A- F
1.18 92% 33% 32% +5 -3 1.06 36% 1.1 .38 17% .35 71% .25 1.07 70% 33% 40% +8 0 1.17 29% 1.0 .29 21% .38 68% .26
Feb
9		 North Alabama D D+ A+ F F 39% 9% 52% C+ F+ D- A+ C+ F A+ C- A+ B- C F C+ F+ 58% 8% 34% F F C D C- A+ F F+ F
1.07 56% 75% 25% -5 +2 0.96 28% 1.4 .41 19% .42 74% .31 0.96 55% 67% 31% -1 +3 1.05 30% 1.1 .33 28% .47 74% .35
Feb
11		 Bellarmine C D C B+ D- 41% 10% 49% A- D+ D B- D+ A+ A F B C- D+ F F F 30% 9% 61% B- F B- D C+ A+ A+ F A+
1.28 57% 40% 40% +4 +2 1.14 30% 1.2 .36 8% .40 67% .26 1.16 64% 50% 50% +18 +1 1.39 18% 1.3 .23 24% .16 88% .14
Feb
14		 West Georgia C D F B+ D+ 50% 10% 40% B C- B D- C B- D- A+ C- B+ B D C- C- 41% 29% 31% D- D+ B+ C+ B A- C A+ A-
1.15 54% 20% 38% -1 +2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 13% .28 82% .23 0.90 50% 43% 33% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.0 .25 20% .26 50% .13
Feb
19		 Stetson A A A+ B+ A- 31% 15% 54% C- A- A- F C C- A C+ A- D F A+ F F 20% 22% 59% B+ F B+ F F A+ A+ F A-
1.33 73% 57% 38% +11 0 1.25 40% 0.9 .37 15% .36 75% .27 1.15 78% 20% 52% +16 -1 1.30 21% 1.8 .38 24% .16 88% .14
Feb
21		 Florida Gulf Coast D- F+ F F+ F 34% 15% 51% C F D A+ B C+ D- B D+ C+ D+ A A+ A 40% 17% 43% F B+ B F D- F B+ A+ A
0.99 50% 25% 30% -8 0 0.87 26% 1.5 .38 15% .30 78% .23 1.04 63% 30% 23% -7 +1 0.90 26% 1.5 .38 11% .20 54% .11
Feb
25		 Austin Peay A+ A A+ A+ A+ 41% 4% 55% A- A+ F A+ A A C A+ B+ F D- A+ F F 50% 2% 48% F F F A+ C A+ F F F
1.37 71% 50% 43% +13 +2 1.33 20% 2.0 .40 13% .31 83% .26 1.30 64% 0% 57% +19 +3 1.45 36% 0.9 .32 22% .40 86% .34
Feb
28		 Queens C A F F D- 48% 12% 40% B D+ D+ D+ D+ C+ A A+ A+ C F F B+ C- 29% 8% 63% C- C- A A+ A+ C C+ F D-
1.18 71% 17% 25% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 14% .43 88% .38 1.11 73% 75% 30% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.6 .13 16% .30 94% .28
Mar
6		 Bellarmine B+ A+ F A+ A 35% 15% 50% B- A D- A+ C D D- B+ D+ C C F B- B- 46% 2% 52% F C F F F B+ B- A B+
1.36 76% 29% 50% +17 +1 1.38 29% 1.4 .42 17% .27 79% .21 1.16 62% 100% 33% +3 +3 1.13 30% 1.8 .52 19% .27 71% .20
Mar
7		 Florida Gulf Coast D C- F C+ D 44% 12% 44% B D+ D D D B C F D A D F A+ A+ 32% 17% 51% D- A B C+ B- C+ C A- C+
1.04 57% 17% 35% -3 +2 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 14% .35 62% .22 0.90 65% 56% 15% -10 0 0.83 26% 1.0 .26 17% .26 67% .17
Mar
8		 Queens C F D A C- 46% 5% 49% A C C F D- B- D- D+ D- D C+ F F+ D 34% 4% 62% F+ D F F+ F A+ F F+ F
1.16 48% 33% 42% +1 +3 1.10 34% 0.8 .27 14% .29 70% .20 1.22 59% 50% 39% +5 +2 1.16 44% 1.3 .56 22% .43 81% .35