Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -0.3 171
Results Rating -0.8 174
Consistency 0.16 228
Pace 69.5 149
Improvement +5.1 26

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 164 C C- C+ D C+
Defense C 190 D+ C- B B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 281 C+ 60% 117 -1.1 224
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 294 F+ 31% 350 -3.1 324
Three Pointers 49% 28 C+ 34% 153 +4.5 42
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 123 C -0.1 170
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 154
Second Chance D+ 27.2% 265 C+ 1.05 143 C- 0.29 237
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 148
Other Turnovers C 7.0% 160
Turnovers C+ 16.2% 138
Freethrows D 0.27 298 D+ 70% 258 D 0.19 307
Total Offense C +0.1 164

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 188 C 11.0% 184
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 185 C- 6.0% 259
Three Pointers B- 87% 115 C- 1.0% 237
Total B- 61% 69 C+ 5.3% 157


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 309 D 62% 293 -1.4 123
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 361 C 38% 184 -3.1 4
Three Pointers 54% 2 C- 35% 246 +7.5 362
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 297 D+ +2.3 277
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 280
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 128 D- 1.14 324 C- 0.33 236
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.2% 22
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 181
Turnovers B 19.3% 41
Freethrows B- 0.28 106 C- 73% 229 B- 0.20 111
Total Defense C -0.4 190

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 312 D+ 8.1% 293
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 300 C+ 5.7% 111
Three Pointers D- 89% 336 D 0.2% 335
Total F 67% 355 D 3.5% 335

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 175 17.0 122
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 127 0.19 279
Consistency 0.15 339 0.11 90
Improvement +5.1 10 +0.0 185



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 31 @North Carolina L 54 - 94 6% -24  0% 0 - 1 F -22 F -17 F B F C- -2 C- F B+
 Tue, Nov 11 17 @Arkansas L 56 - 93 3% -16  0% 0 - 2 F+ -16 F -16 F C A+ B- +2 C- A+ C-
 Sun, Nov 16 210 Samford L 77 - 84 OT 70% +3  62% 0 - 3 D- -13 D- -8 D+ D- D+ D+ -4 D+ B+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 134 @North Texas L 56 - 74 31% -5  17% 0 - 4 D- -13 F -11 D+ F F C- -2 B B- D
 Sun, Nov 23 176 Eastern Washington W 92 - 65 64% +20  98% 1 - 4 A +23 B+ +10 A+ F C A+ +13 A- C A+
 Tue, Nov 25 322 Eastern Illinois W 81 - 60 89% +16  96% 2 - 4 B- +7 A- +10 A A+ C- C -1 D+ C- C+
 Sat, Nov 29 167 @East Tennessee St. L 57 - 80 38% -10  7% 2 - 5 F -20 F -19 F D C+ C -1 F A+ D
 Wed, Dec 3 310 Arkansas Little Rock W 85 - 47 87% +29  96% 3 - 5 A+ +26 C+ +2 B+ D- D A+ +23 A+ B A+
 Sun, Dec 7 297 @East Texas A&M L 68 - 75 69% -1  30% 3 - 6 D- -12 F -12 C- F C+ C +0 B+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 14 @Vanderbilt L 72 - 83 3% -15  0% 3 - 7 B +11 C -0 C- C+ B+ A+ +12 A+ F A
 Sun, Dec 21 46 @SMU L 82 - 99 8% -11  0% 3 - 8 C -2 A- +10 A A- F+ F -12 D- F B
 Thu, Jan 1 254 Florida Gulf Coast W 85 - 83 78% -3  21% 4 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -6 A +14 B+ A A+ F -20 F D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 308 Stetson W 93 - 73 86% +13  88% 5 - 8 2 - 0 B- +8 A +13 B+ A D+ D+ -4 F D+ A-
 Thu, Jan 8 282 @Bellarmine L 78 - 84 OT 65% +0  43% 5 - 9 2 - 1 D -10 F -12 F C- B+ B- +2 D C- C
 Sat, Jan 10 299 @Eastern Kentucky L 75 - 79 OT 69% -1  35% 5 - 10 2 - 2 D -9 D- -8 C+ F F+ C -1 F C C+
 Thu, Jan 15 295 Jacksonville W 62 - 60 84% -5  19% 6 - 10 3 - 2 D -9 D- -7 C- F D C- -2 A+ F+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 338 North Florida W 98 - 69 92% +23  95% 7 - 10 4 - 2 B+ +13 B+ +10 B+ C B+ B- +4 C- A+ B-
 Thu, Jan 22 302 @West Georgia W 86 - 65 70% +9  68% 8 - 10 5 - 2 A- +15 A +12 A+ F B B +4 D- F A+
 Wed, Jan 28 200 @Queens W 100 - 90 45% -1  35% 9 - 10 6 - 2 B +11 A +15 A+ C- B+ D+ -4 F A C-
 Sat, Jan 31 299 Eastern Kentucky W 90 - 81 85% +8  98% 10 - 10 7 - 2 C- -2 C- -2 C D- A+ C -1 F+ A+ B
 Wed, Feb 4 344 North Alabama W 81 - 60 92% +7  81% 11 - 10 8 - 2 C+ +5 C+ +2 B D+ C- B +4 C+ B+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 220 @Lipscomb W 86 - 78 50% +9  98% 12 - 10 9 - 2 B- +8 B+ +8 C B+ C+ C -1 F+ D+ A-
 Mon, Feb 9 344 @North Alabama W 72 - 65 83% -5  10% 13 - 10 10 - 2 C- -3 D -6 F+ C+ F B- +3 F C- A+
 Wed, Feb 11 282 Bellarmine W 84 - 76 83% -2  36% 14 - 10 11 - 2 C- -2 C +1 D+ D+ A+ C- -2 F C+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 302 West Georgia W 79 - 62 86% +9  97% 15 - 10 12 - 2 B- +5 C -0 C- C B- B+ +6 D+ B A-
 Thu, Feb 19 308 @Stetson W 88 - 76 71% +15  95% 16 - 10 13 - 2 B- +6 A +13 A- C C- D -6 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 254 @Florida Gulf Coast L 71 - 75 OT 58% +1  53% 16 - 11 13 - 3 D+ -6 D- -7 F B C+ C+ +1 B+ D- F
 Wed, Feb 25 183 @Austin Peay W 93 - 88 42% -5  13% 17 - 11 14 - 3 B- +7 A+ +22 A+ A A F -15 F C A+
 Sat, Feb 28 200 Queens W 84 - 79 67% +8  98% 18 - 11 15 - 3 C +0 C -0 D D+ C+ C -0 D+ A+ C
 Fri, Mar 6 282 Bellarmine W 86 - 73 75% +14  91% 19 - 11 B- +6 B+ +8 A C D C -1 C F B+
 Sat, Mar 7 254 Florida Gulf Coast W 73 - 63 69% +4  87% 20 - 11 C+ +5 D -5 D+ D B A +9 A B- C+
 Sun, Mar 8 200 Queens L 93 - 98 OT 56% -2  20% 20 - 12 D+ -7 C -0 C D- B- D -6 D F A+
Totals 20 - 12 15 - 3 +0 C +0 F+ C C+ C +0 C+ D+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ F+ C+ C 35% 28% 49% C+ C D+ C+ C- C+ D D+ D C D C C- D+ 34% 13% 54% D D+ C+ D- C- B B- C- B-
1.09 60% 31% 34% 0 0 1.03 27% 1.0 .29 16% .27 70% .19 1.09 62% 38% 35% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.1 .33 19% .28 73% .19
Nov
3		 North Carolina F F F D F 24% 29% 47% D+ F C- A+ B F D D D C- F A+ B- C 48% 12% 40% F+ C- D F F B+ C F F+
0.72 38% 13% 31% -14 -2 0.69 23% 1.2 .28 23% .15 67% .10 1.25 80% 0% 33% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.5 .56 16% .35 82% .28
Nov
11		 Arkansas F C+ F+ F F 21% 12% 67% C F F+ A+ C A+ A D+ B+ B- F B D D+ 29% 16% 55% B- C- A+ B- A+ C- C- F+ D
0.75 58% 29% 8% -27 0 0.47 20% 1.6 .31 11% .32 67% .21 1.25 81% 33% 39% +10 0 1.21 24% 1.3 .30 11% .33 82% .27
Nov
16		 Samford D- B+ F D+ D- 45% 24% 31% B+ D+ B- F D- D+ A- F C- D+ F A+ C- D 22% 14% 64% C D+ B- A B+ F A D A-
1.02 65% 14% 33% -3 0 0.97 30% 0.7 .21 15% .36 57% .20 1.12 85% 13% 34% +3 0 1.07 21% 0.9 .19 9% .26 72% .19
Nov
20		 North Texas F D- F C D 37% 16% 47% B- D+ C+ F F F A+ F A+ C- F A+ A+ B- 43% 25% 32% B+ B B- B- B- D F F F
0.82 50% 17% 33% -7 +1 0.89 33% 0.5 .15 28% .64 56% .36 1.08 74% 18% 14% -8 0 0.86 31% 0.9 .29 15% .55 84% .46
Nov
23		 Eastern Washington B+ B F A+ A+ 43% 4% 53% A- A+ C- F F C F F F A+ A A+ C+ A 27% 10% 63% D+ A- D- A- C A+ B+ B+ B+
1.28 65% 0% 54% +17 +3 1.42 30% 0.8 .24 17% .23 64% .15 0.90 46% 20% 33% -6 +1 0.92 36% 1.0 .36 31% .26 69% .18
Nov
25		 Eastern Illinois A- A+ F B+ A 36% 6% 57% B A C A+ A+ C- F+ F F C F C+ A+ D+ 33% 25% 42% D+ D+ A+ F C- C+ B F C-
1.28 82% 0% 37% +9 +2 1.23 35% 1.8 .62 19% .25 62% .16 0.95 69% 33% 25% -3 -1 0.94 17% 1.6 .28 19% .23 92% .21
Nov
29		 East Tennessee St. F F F F+ F 17% 13% 70% D F F A+ D C+ F C+ F C F C F F 35% 9% 56% D F A+ B+ A+ D A- A+ A+
0.79 44% 14% 29% -11 -1 0.80 13% 1.8 .24 18% .14 75% .10 1.12 74% 40% 40% +11 +1 1.26 13% 1.0 .13 14% .26 50% .13
Dec
3		 Arkansas Little Rock C+ A B+ B+ 33% 0% 67% B+ B+ C F D- D D- C D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 24% 39% F+ A+ B B B A+ B+ A+ A+
1.19 72% 39% +10 +2 1.26 36% 0.7 .25 20% .24 71% .17 0.66 44% 17% 26% -15 -1 0.71 26% 0.9 .24 29% .18 22% .04
Dec
7		 East Texas A&M F B F F D- 61% 4% 35% A+ C- F D- F C+ F F F C D- A+ A+ A- 29% 10% 60% C- B+ B+ F F C+ F F F
0.91 63% 0% 25% -3 +4 1.04 11% 1.0 .11 16% .24 33% .08 1.01 64% 20% 24% -9 +1 0.85 19% 2.1 .42 19% .41 76% .31
Dec
13		 Vanderbilt C B- F D C- 22% 22% 56% C- C- D+ A+ C+ B+ A+ D A A+ B F A+ A+ 31% 6% 63% D- A+ C F F A C- D+ D+
0.96 58% 25% 30% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.2 .28 16% .43 70% .30 1.10 56% 67% 24% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.6 .54 17% .35 82% .29
Dec
21		 SMU A- D- C A+ A 31% 27% 42% C- A B A A- F+ B C B F F F B+ D- 36% 12% 53% F D- F F F B A+ F+ A
1.16 50% 36% 50% +7 -1 1.13 34% 1.2 .40 21% .31 71% .22 1.41 86% 71% 32% +12 +1 1.29 55% 1.3 .72 17% .17 80% .14
Jan
1		 Florida Gulf Coast A B+ F A+ A- 37% 20% 43% D+ B+ B A+ A A+ C A- B- F F C+ F F 27% 16% 57% D- F A+ F D+ C- B F D+
1.33 67% 30% 43% +7 0 1.16 34% 1.4 .47 11% .35 80% .28 1.29 79% 38% 45% +15 0 1.31 19% 1.8 .35 16% .22 92% .20
Jan
3		 Stetson A A+ F B+ B+ 40% 8% 52% B+ B+ A B- A D+ A+ B+ A+ D+ D F F+ F 24% 13% 62% C- F D- B- D+ A- F B- F
1.37 80% 0% 38% +9 +2 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 16% .40 78% .32 1.07 64% 50% 39% +8 0 1.18 30% 1.0 .30 22% .40 67% .26
Jan
8		 Bellarmine F F F F F 25% 14% 61% C F D+ C+ C- B+ F+ A D B- F D+ D D- 34% 9% 57% C+ D B+ F C- C A- A A
1.05 47% 25% 28% -10 0 0.81 32% 1.2 .38 12% .25 81% .20 1.13 74% 40% 38% +8 +1 1.21 16% 1.6 .26 16% .23 71% .16
Jan
10		 Eastern Kentucky D- D A+ B- C 34% 15% 51% B- C+ C- F F F+ F C F+ C D A+ F F 15% 11% 75% D F B D- C C+ A+ A+ A+
1.06 56% 75% 37% +7 0 1.17 32% 0.3 .11 18% .26 73% .19 1.12 63% 17% 41% +7 0 1.15 28% 1.2 .33 18% .12 57% .07
Jan
15		 Jacksonville D- B- A+ D- C 43% 25% 33% D C- C+ F F D B+ B- B+ C- A+ F A+ A+ 34% 13% 53% D A+ F C+ F+ F D D- D-
1.05 65% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .16 17% .43 71% .31 1.02 31% 50% 24% -16 +1 0.72 39% 1.0 .39 10% .32 76% .25
Jan
17		 North Florida B+ B A+ A- A- 33% 11% 56% C B+ C+ D+ C B+ C A B- B- B+ F C- D+ 24% 14% 63% B C- A- A+ A+ B- F A+ D+
1.39 67% 67% 39% +10 +1 1.24 39% 1.1 .45 10% .28 78% .22 0.98 50% 57% 34% +1 0 1.04 19% 0.6 .11 20% .32 67% .21
Jan
22		 West Georgia A B+ B- A+ A+ 44% 13% 43% C+ A+ F A+ F B F C F B C+ F A- D+ 40% 19% 42% F D- F F F A+ F B F
1.28 67% 43% 52% +16 +1 1.37 11% 1.3 .15 12% .19 73% .13 0.96 53% 63% 28% -1 0 1.00 38% 1.5 .58 33% .40 67% .26
Jan
28		 Queens A A+ A+ A A+ 29% 20% 51% D A+ F A+ C- B+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F F F F 23% 9% 68% C+ F A+ D A C- D+ B C-
1.35 80% 50% 42% +15 -1 1.31 22% 1.5 .33 12% .52 82% .43 1.22 75% 60% 44% +17 0 1.36 17% 1.2 .20 15% .33 71% .24
Jan
31		 Eastern Kentucky C- C- A+ C+ C 37% 15% 47% B- C F A D- A+ B F F C B A+ F D 31% 4% 65% F F+ A A+ A+ B F C- F
1.19 59% 67% 36% +6 +1 1.15 21% 1.2 .26 8% .37 50% .19 1.07 50% 0% 41% +3 +2 1.12 24% 0.8 .19 20% .43 73% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 North Alabama C+ B+ F A+ B 39% 7% 54% B- B D B- D+ C- F B- F B A C+ C C+ 43% 12% 45% D C+ A D B+ C+ C+ A+ A-
1.22 67% 0% 41% +6 +2 1.19 29% 1.2 .35 15% .16 78% .12 0.90 43% 33% 32% -9 +1 0.88 22% 1.1 .24 20% .30 50% .15
Feb
7		 Lipscomb B+ A+ D D+ B- 25% 40% 36% F C B B B+ C+ A- C+ A- C F C+ F F 22% 13% 65% A F+ D- C D+ A- F A- F
1.18 92% 33% 32% +5 -3 1.06 36% 1.1 .38 17% .35 71% .25 1.07 70% 33% 40% +8 0 1.17 29% 1.0 .29 21% .38 68% .26
Feb
9		 North Alabama D D+ A+ F F 39% 9% 52% C+ F+ D- A+ C+ F A+ C- A+ B- C F C+ F+ 58% 8% 34% F F C D C- A+ F F+ F
1.07 56% 75% 25% -5 +2 0.96 28% 1.4 .41 19% .42 74% .31 0.96 55% 67% 31% -1 +3 1.05 30% 1.1 .33 28% .47 74% .35
Feb
11		 Bellarmine C D C B+ D- 41% 10% 49% A- D+ D B- D+ A+ A F B C- D+ F F F 30% 9% 61% B- F B- D C+ A+ A+ F A+
1.28 57% 40% 40% +4 +2 1.14 30% 1.2 .36 8% .40 67% .26 1.16 64% 50% 50% +18 +1 1.39 18% 1.3 .23 24% .16 88% .14
Feb
14		 West Georgia C D F B+ D+ 50% 10% 40% B C- B D- C B- D- A+ C- B+ B D C- C- 41% 29% 31% D- D+ B+ C+ B A- C A+ A-
1.15 54% 20% 38% -1 +2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 13% .28 82% .23 0.90 50% 43% 33% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.0 .25 20% .26 50% .13
Feb
19		 Stetson A A A+ B+ A- 31% 15% 54% C- A- A- F C C- A C+ A- D F A+ F F 20% 22% 59% B+ F B+ F F A+ A+ F A-
1.33 73% 57% 38% +11 0 1.25 40% 0.9 .37 15% .36 75% .27 1.15 78% 20% 52% +16 -1 1.30 21% 1.8 .38 24% .16 88% .14
Feb
21		 Florida Gulf Coast D- F+ F F+ F 34% 15% 51% C F D A+ B C+ D- B D+ C+ D+ A A+ A 40% 17% 43% F B+ B F D- F B+ A+ A
0.99 50% 25% 30% -8 0 0.87 26% 1.5 .38 15% .30 78% .23 1.04 63% 30% 23% -7 +1 0.90 26% 1.5 .38 11% .20 54% .11
Feb
25		 Austin Peay A+ A A+ A+ A+ 41% 4% 55% A- A+ F A+ A A C A+ B+ F D- A+ F F 50% 2% 48% F F F A+ C A+ F F F
1.37 71% 50% 43% +13 +2 1.33 20% 2.0 .40 13% .31 83% .26 1.30 64% 0% 57% +18 +3 1.45 36% 0.9 .32 22% .40 86% .34
Feb
28		 Queens C A F F D- 48% 12% 40% B D D+ D+ D+ C+ A A+ A+ C F F B+ D+ 29% 8% 63% C- D+ A A+ A+ C C+ F F+
1.18 71% 17% 25% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 14% .43 88% .38 1.11 73% 75% 30% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.6 .13 16% .30 94% .28
Mar
6		 Bellarmine B+ A+ F A+ A 35% 15% 50% B- A D- A+ C D D- B+ D+ C C F B- B- 46% 2% 52% F C F F F B+ B- A B+
1.36 76% 29% 50% +17 +1 1.38 29% 1.4 .42 17% .27 79% .21 1.16 62% 100% 33% +3 +3 1.13 30% 1.8 .52 19% .27 71% .20
Mar
7		 Florida Gulf Coast D C- F C+ D 44% 12% 44% B D+ D D D B C F D- A D F A+ A+ 32% 17% 51% D- A B C+ B- C+ C A- C+
1.04 57% 17% 35% -3 +2 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 14% .35 62% .22 0.90 65% 56% 15% -10 0 0.83 26% 1.0 .26 17% .26 67% .17
Mar
8		 Queens C F D- A D+ 46% 5% 49% A C C F D- B- D- D+ D- D C+ F F+ D 34% 4% 62% D- D F F+ F A+ F F+ F
1.16 48% 33% 42% +1 +3 1.10 34% 0.8 .27 14% .29 70% .20 1.22 59% 50% 39% +5 +2 1.16 44% 1.3 .56 22% .43 81% .35