Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.6#358
Expected Predictive Rating-19.6#361
Pace63.0#315
Improvement+1.0#58

Offense
Total Offense-12.0#363
First Shot-11.0#362
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#260
Layup/Dunks-6.1#359
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#323
Freethrows-2.7#346
Improvement+0.4#117

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#282
First Shot-1.5#229
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#339
Layups/Dunks-3.7#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#6
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#126
Freethrows-1.8#310
Improvement+0.7#78
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.9% 19.2% 42.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Away) - 16.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 44 - 134 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 48   @ Oregon L 45-80 1%     0 - 1 -22.3 -21.2 -2.1
  Nov 09, 2022 166   @ Portland L 54-91 5%     0 - 2 -34.1 -24.6 -6.7
  Nov 11, 2022 185   @ Oregon St. L 43-60 6%     0 - 3 -15.1 -23.4 +6.8
  Nov 15, 2022 34   @ Miami (FL) L 61-87 1%     0 - 4 -11.2 -8.7 -2.1
  Nov 30, 2022 40   @ Florida L 62-102 1%     0 - 5 -26.0 -1.5 -23.5
  Dec 02, 2022 103   @ Georgia L 46-68 3%     0 - 6 -15.0 -18.4 +1.1
  Dec 17, 2022 248   @ Louisville L 55-61 10%     0 - 7 -7.8 -16.0 +8.1
  Dec 21, 2022 32   @ Kentucky L 68-88 1%     0 - 8 -5.0 +14.1 -22.9
  Dec 29, 2022 4   @ Purdue L 49-82 0.3%    0 - 9 -12.2 -10.5 -4.6
  Jan 02, 2023 354   Bethune-Cookman L 59-67 55%     0 - 10 0 - 1 -24.8 -15.8 -10.0
  Jan 07, 2023 233   @ Southern L 66-84 9%     0 - 11 0 - 2 -19.0 -3.1 -16.2
  Jan 09, 2023 240   @ Grambling St. L 57-62 10%     0 - 12 0 - 3 -6.4 -7.4 +0.5
  Jan 14, 2023 331   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 54-67 39%     0 - 13 0 - 4 -25.8 -17.9 -8.8
  Jan 16, 2023 361   Mississippi Valley W 60-59 66%     1 - 13 1 - 4 -18.9 -15.0 -3.8
  Jan 21, 2023 289   @ Alcorn St. L 47-57 14%     1 - 14 1 - 5 -14.1 -21.3 +5.9
  Jan 23, 2023 327   @ Jackson St. L 58-59 20%     1 - 15 1 - 6 -7.7 -12.0 +4.2
  Jan 28, 2023 347   Alabama A&M L 56-61 47%     1 - 16 1 - 7 -19.8 -15.1 -5.3
  Jan 30, 2023 353   Alabama St. W 69-58 52%     2 - 16 2 - 7 -5.1 -7.3 +2.6
  Feb 04, 2023 314   @ Texas Southern L 57-67 16%    
  Feb 06, 2023 287   @ Prairie View L 54-66 13%    
  Feb 11, 2023 327   Jackson St. L 62-65 38%    
  Feb 13, 2023 289   Alcorn St. L 60-66 29%    
  Feb 18, 2023 353   @ Alabama St. L 59-64 31%    
  Feb 20, 2023 347   @ Alabama A&M L 61-67 27%    
  Feb 25, 2023 240   Grambling St. L 57-66 22%    
  Feb 27, 2023 233   Southern L 60-69 21%    
  Mar 04, 2023 354   @ Bethune-Cookman L 63-67 34%    
Projected Record 4 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 2.1 0.4 3.2 8th
9th 0.7 4.1 1.8 0.1 6.6 9th
10th 1.2 7.3 5.7 0.5 14.7 10th
11th 2.7 13.2 21.7 13.2 1.9 0.0 52.7 11th
12th 6.0 9.0 4.7 0.8 0.0 20.5 12th
Total 8.6 22.3 27.6 22.0 12.4 5.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10 1.6% 1.6
7-11 5.3% 5.3
6-12 12.4% 12.4
5-13 22.0% 22.0
4-14 27.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 27.6
3-15 22.3% 22.3
2-16 8.6% 8.6
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.6%