IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.9	#353
Expected Predictive Rating	-1.5	#194

Pace	69.7	#165
Improvement	+3.0	#23

Offense
Total Offense	-9.0	#360

First Shot	-6.7	#342
After Offensive Rebound	-2.3	#305

Layup/Dunks	-4.2	#311
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.4	#261
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.2	#183
Freethrows	-0.8	#231

Improvement	-0.5	#226

Defense
Total Defense	-4.0	#303

First Shot	-6.5	#353
After Offensive Rebounds	+2.5	#38

Layups/Dunks	-1.0	#202
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.5	#162
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.3	#322
Freethrows	-1.6	#283

Improvement	+3.5	#9

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.7%	3.5%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	4.6%	17.2%	4.5%
.500 or above in Conference	28.9%	44.0%	28.8%
Conference Champion	1.0%	3.1%	1.0%
Last Place in Conference	8.6%	1.5%	8.7%

First Four	1.5%	2.3%	1.5%
First Round	0.8%	1.9%	0.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 2	0 - 9
Quad 4	8 - 10	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	78	@ TCU	L	59-105	3%	0 - 1			-35.9	-6.1	-30.3
Nov 07, 2024	62	@ SMU	L	73-102	2%	0 - 2			-16.8	-4.4	-9.4
Nov 11, 2024	19	@ Maryland	L	53-84	1%	0 - 3			-13.4	-11.4	-1.3
Nov 19, 2024	10	@ Florida	L	60-84	1%	0 - 4			-3.5	-4.4	+0.5
Nov 29, 2024	28	@ Clemson	L	58-86	1%	0 - 5			-11.9	-3.0	-10.5
Dec 03, 2024	248	Presbyterian	W	66-63	30%	1 - 5			-4.6	-12.5	+7.8
Dec 17, 2024	60	@ Utah	L	60-85	1%
Dec 20, 2024	49	@ BYU	L	61-87	1%
Dec 29, 2024	323	@ Tarleton St.	L	63-70	26%
Jan 04, 2025	288	Bethune-Cookman	L	68-71	38%
Jan 11, 2025	234	@ Southern	L	62-74	14%
Jan 13, 2025	226	@ Grambling St.	L	61-73	13%
Jan 18, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	80-73	75%
Jan 20, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	70-59	85%
Jan 25, 2025	352	@ Alcorn St.	L	66-69	39%
Jan 27, 2025	315	@ Jackson St.	L	65-72	25%
Feb 01, 2025	360	Alabama A&M	W	74-69	66%
Feb 03, 2025	285	Alabama St.	L	70-73	38%
Feb 08, 2025	294	@ Texas Southern	L	65-74	21%
Feb 10, 2025	357	@ Prairie View	L	76-78	44%
Feb 15, 2025	315	Jackson St.	L	68-69	44%
Feb 17, 2025	352	Alcorn St.	W	69-66	59%
Feb 22, 2025	285	@ Alabama St.	L	67-76	20%
Feb 24, 2025	360	@ Alabama A&M	L	71-72	45%
Mar 01, 2025	226	Grambling St.	L	64-70	29%
Mar 03, 2025	234	Southern	L	65-71	30%
Mar 08, 2025	288	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	65-74	21%
Projected Record						8 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0			1.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.0					2.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.3	1.3	0.4	0.0						3.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.5	2.2	0.7	0.1							4.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.9	3.5	1.3	0.1								6.9	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.1	4.6	2.2	0.2									9.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.6	5.8	3.4	0.3	0.0									12.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	3.0	6.5	4.1	0.6	0.0										14.6	8th
9th				0.0	0.5	3.4	6.4	4.4	0.8	0.0											15.5	9th
10th			0.1	0.7	3.5	6.3	3.6	0.8	0.0												15.1	10th
11th		0.1	1.0	3.3	4.1	2.1	0.5	0.0													11.1	11th
12th	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0														4.2	12th

Total	0.1	0.7	2.5	5.4	8.7	12.2	13.9	14.6	13.0	10.7	7.7	5.1	2.9	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	83.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1
14-4	52.6%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	19.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
16-2	0.1%		25.0%	25.0%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.0
15-3	0.2%		20.5%	20.5%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.2
14-4	0.7%		15.3%	15.3%		15.9																0.0	0.1	0.6
13-5	1.5%		12.7%	12.7%		15.9																0.0	0.2	1.3
12-6	2.9%		7.2%	7.2%		16.0																	0.2	2.7
11-7	5.1%		5.6%	5.6%		16.0																	0.3	4.8
10-8	7.7%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																	0.3	7.4
9-9	10.7%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.3	10.4
8-10	13.0%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	12.8
7-11	14.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	14.5
6-12	13.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.9
5-13	12.2%																							12.2
4-14	8.7%																							8.7
3-15	5.4%																							5.4
2-16	2.5%																							2.5
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		1.7%	1.7%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	1.6	98.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%