Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.3 333
Expected Predictive Rating -10.8 326
Pace 69.6 146
Improvement +1.0 151

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 348 D D- F D+ D+
Defense D+ 272 D C B- D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 266 C- 56% 230 -2.4 268
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 54 D- 32% 333 +0.2 165
Three Pointers 39% 213 D 31% 299 -2.5 267
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 280 D -4.0 311
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 318
Second Chance D+ 26.9% 281 F 0.84 359 D- 0.22 346
Turnovers F 21.4% 360
Freethrows C- 0.29 235 D- 68% 326 D+ 0.20 283
Total Offense D- -8.0 348

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 327 B- 9.2% 83
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 135 B- 3.9% 99
Three Pointers C+ 87% 133 F 2.6% 364
Total D+ 50% 294 C+ 5.3% 150

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 52 D+ 61% 260 +4.2 320
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 252 D+ 41% 289 -0.4 163
Three Pointers 38% 263 D- 38% 331 +0.7 216
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 296 D +3.7 318
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 324
Second Chance D+ 32.4% 266 B- 0.96 83 C 0.31 180
Turnovers B- 18.4% 82
Freethrows D+ 0.34 279 F 78% 360 D 0.26 322
Total Defense D+ -3.2 272

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 185 C- 10.3% 195
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 187 D 2.6% 308
Three Pointers C+ 83% 131 C- 0.8% 177
Total C 55% 172 C- 5.3% 199

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 223 16.6 60
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 190 0.25 356
Improvement -0.4 #208 +1.4 #105

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 345 333 315
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 10 - 8
Conference Finish 10 8 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 41% 63% 18%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four3% 4% 1%
First Round1% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Home) - 52.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 410 - 1210 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 57 @South Florida L 67 - 102 2% -15  17% 0 - 1 F -23 F -12 F B F D- -7 D- C B+
 Sat, Nov 8 165 Kennesaw St. L 72 - 92 22% -9  10% 0 - 2 F -23 F -16 F D C+ D+ -5 F A C+
 Tue, Nov 11 52 @Central Florida L 60 - 97 2% -22  0% 0 - 3 F -23 F -15 D F F D -6 F F+ A+
 Mon, Nov 17 36 @Georgia L 57 - 87 1% -20  1% 0 - 4 D- -13 F -17 C- F F B+ +6 A D- B
 Tue, Dec 2 308 @Jacksonville L 82 - 85 OT 30% +0  42% 0 - 5 D -9 C +0 A+ F F F+ -9 D- D+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 308 Jacksonville W 72 - 65 52% +9  99% 1 - 5 C- -5 D+ -3 D+ F B+ C -1 D- A+ C+
 Fri, Dec 19 223 @Tarleton St. L 54 - 78 16% -14  19% 1 - 6 F -24 F -24 F F F C+ +2 C F A+
 Sun, Dec 21 50 @TCU L 56 - 80 2% -5  43% 1 - 7 D -10 D- -7 C+ F A D -5 C C- B-
 Sun, Dec 28 141 @Georgia Tech L 65 - 89 8% -17  0% 1 - 8 F -20 F -11 D F B- D- -8 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 241 @Bethune-Cookman L 83 - 87 18% -4  4% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D+ -5 B +7 C+ C+ C F -12 F C F+
 Sat, Jan 10 267 Southern W 67 - 59 41% +4  81% 2 - 9 1 - 1 C -1 F+ -9 F+ D+ F A +9 C+ A+ A-
 Mon, Jan 12 293 Grambling St. W 91 - 84 47% +3  69% 3 - 9 2 - 1 C- -3 A +11 A A F F -15 F+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 328 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 71 - 67 37% +1  65% 4 - 9 3 - 1 C- -4 D+ -4 C+ C- F C+ +1 C+ F B-
 Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 62 - 48 82% +13  99% 5 - 9 4 - 1 D+ -7 F -16 F D F A +10 B+ A D-
 Sat, Jan 24 349 Alcorn St. W 66 - 58 69% -0  42% 6 - 9 5 - 1 D -8 F -14 C- C+ F B+ +6 C+ B A+
 Mon, Jan 26 332 Jackson St. L 65 - 66 61% +3  85% 6 - 10 5 - 2 F+ -15 F -10 F+ F+ C+ D -5 C+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 31 307 @Alabama A&M L 65 - 72 29% -8  0% 6 - 11 5 - 3 D- -13 D -5 D D F F+ -9 D- B- D+
 Mon, Feb 2 309 @Alabama St. L 66 - 79 30% -3  32% 6 - 12 5 - 4 F -19 F -13 F+ F F D -6 F A A
 Sat, Feb 7 297 Texas Southern L 57 - 62 48% -4  14% 6 - 13 5 - 5 F+ -16 F -18 F F F B- +2 D- A A+
 Mon, Feb 9 334 Prairie View W 100 - 96 62% +13  94% 7 - 13 6 - 5 D -10 C +0 A B- F F -11 F D+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 332 @Jackson St. L 60 - 80 38% -12  0% 7 - 14 6 - 6 F -28 F -20 F F F+ F+ -8 F C D+
 Mon, Feb 16 349 @Alcorn St. W 86 - 78 46% +10  94% 8 - 14 7 - 6 C- -2 C+ +3 F A B+ D -6 C+ F F+
 Thu, Feb 19 307 Alabama A&M L 61 - 63 52% -1  17% 8 - 15 7 - 7 D- -14 F -13 D F F+ C -1 F C B+
 Sat, Feb 21 309 Alabama St. W 73 - 72 52%
 Thu, Feb 26 267 @Southern L 70 - 78 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 293 @Grambling St. L 64 - 71 26%
 Thu, Mar 5 241 Bethune-Cookman L 70 - 74 36%
Totals 9 - 18 8 - 10 -11 D- -8 A D D+ D+ -3 D D- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C- D- D D 36% 50% 39% D+ D D+ F D- F C- D- D+ D+ D+ D+ D- D 44% 18% 38% D+ D D+ B- C B- D+ F D
0.97 56% 32% 31% -4 -1 0.93 27% 0.8 .22 21% .29 68% .20 1.13 61% 41% 38% +4 +1 1.11 32% 1.0 .31 18% .34 78% .22
Nov
3		 South Florida F B- F F F 42% 17% 40% B+ F C- A+ B F A+ C A+ D- C+ A+ F D- 55% 2% 43% F+ D- F A C B+ F F F
0.84 59% 11% 14% -16 +1 0.71 28% 1.3 .35 26% .44 69% .30 1.27 54% 0% 41% +1 +4 1.12 49% 0.9 .46 19% .61 85% .52
Nov
8		 Kennesaw St. F F F F F 49% 20% 31% C F C F D C+ A- C- B+ D+ F C- F F 47% 15% 38% C- F A+ F A C+ F+ D+ F+
0.89 41% 25% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 15% .48 73% .35 1.14 72% 38% 40% +10 +1 1.25 15% 1.5 .22 17% .42 71% .30
Nov
11		 Central Florida F D+ D+ D- D- 42% 16% 42% B D D- F F F A F C- D B- A+ F F 56% 16% 28% F F F B- F+ A+ C+ C+ B-
0.81 52% 38% 29% -6 +1 0.92 18% 0.3 .05 21% .38 55% .21 1.30 56% 22% 69% +11 +2 1.28 47% 1.1 .53 21% .27 75% .21
Nov
17		 Georgia F F+ B+ D+ D+ 39% 20% 41% C+ C- B- F F F B- F C- B+ F F A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% D+ A F A- D- B F F F
0.75 44% 44% 32% -6 0 0.91 36% 0.5 .17 33% .27 57% .16 1.14 82% 60% 5% -6 +2 0.94 53% 0.9 .47 17% .55 83% .46
Dec
2		 Jacksonville C A+ F A+ A+ 33% 28% 39% F+ A+ F A+ F F F F F F+ C A+ F+ D 39% 12% 49% F+ D- D- C+ D+ F C- C+ C
1.11 83% 20% 62% +20 -1 1.39 8% 2.0 .16 23% .11 50% .05 1.15 57% 14% 38% 0 +1 1.03 33% 1.0 .33 12% .29 68% .20
Dec
17		 Jacksonville D+ B+ C+ D+ C- 39% 31% 31% F+ D+ D+ F F B+ A+ F B C B+ A+ F D 49% 11% 40% F D- A- A+ A+ C+ C- D- D+
1.10 68% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.08 27% 0.4 .10 12% .51 59% .30 1.00 48% 0% 47% -1 +2 1.04 23% 0.6 .13 18% .30 75% .23
Dec
19		 Tarleton St. F F+ F F F 43% 13% 45% B F F C- F F B+ F C C+ A F F C+ 61% 20% 18% F C D F F A+ F+ C+ D-
0.70 50% 17% 19% -16 +1 0.72 23% 1.0 .23 30% .44 63% .27 1.00 43% 50% 44% -4 +2 0.98 34% 1.3 .46 26% .40 74% .29
Dec
21		 TCU D- D- A+ D+ B 32% 34% 34% F C+ F F F A C+ F F+ D D- A+ D C 36% 16% 48% C C F A- C- B- F+ F F
0.86 47% 56% 31% +1 -2 1.00 13% 0.5 .06 15% .27 47% .13 1.23 67% 13% 38% +2 0 1.06 42% 0.9 .39 17% .41 86% .35
Dec
28		 Georgia Tech F C- C+ F D+ 25% 27% 48% D D C F F B- D+ F F D- F D- F F 67% 16% 18% F F F C+ F A+ F F F
0.88 53% 38% 28% -6 -2 0.87 30% 0.6 .18 15% .25 38% .10 1.20 70% 43% 63% +16 +3 1.40 44% 1.1 .48 27% .41 77% .31
Jan
3		 Bethune-Cookman B B D- A- B 35% 29% 35% F C+ F+ A+ C+ C B A+ A- F F D- B+ F 41% 24% 35% C+ F B+ F C F+ F F F
1.16 61% 33% 39% +2 -1 1.04 24% 1.6 .39 15% .36 82% .30 1.21 80% 42% 29% +7 0 1.16 22% 1.2 .26 14% .55 76% .42
Jan
10		 Southern F+ B- F F+ F 38% 14% 48% B- F+ B F D+ F B A+ A A C+ F A+ C+ 32% 29% 39% B- C+ C- A+ A+ A- F B- F
1.00 63% 17% 30% -4 +1 0.95 38% 0.8 .31 27% .41 85% .35 0.88 54% 58% 19% -4 -2 0.90 31% 0.5 .15 21% .51 67% .34
Jan
12		 Grambling St. A A+ A+ C- A+ 28% 21% 51% F+ A B- A+ A F A+ A A+ F D+ C+ D- F+ 50% 18% 32% D- F+ C F F F F F F
1.26 77% 70% 33% +12 -1 1.23 37% 1.3 .48 23% .47 81% .38 1.16 60% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 28% 1.4 .40 17% .43 85% .36
Jan
17		 Arkansas Pine Bluff D+ A+ F C- B- 38% 19% 43% D+ C+ C C- C- F A+ F B+ C+ D- B- B+ C 33% 28% 40% B- C+ A F F B- D- F F
1.08 81% 13% 33% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.1 .38 24% .48 67% .32 1.02 64% 33% 29% -2 -1 0.95 18% 2.0 .36 20% .36 84% .30
Jan
19		 Mississippi Valley F C- D- F F 33% 20% 47% D+ F C- F+ D F F+ B+ D A A C A+ B+ 15% 45% 40% A B+ B A+ A D- C+ C C+
0.96 60% 33% 29% -4 0 0.93 37% 1.1 .40 30% .33 80% .26 0.75 43% 38% 21% -10 -5 0.72 20% 0.5 .10 17% .26 71% .19
Jan
24		 Alcorn St. F B- F C- D+ 53% 10% 38% B C- D A C+ F D F F+ B+ B+ F A+ B- 52% 19% 29% F C+ C A+ B A+ F+ D- F+
0.99 67% 25% 33% +3 +2 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 29% .30 64% .19 0.87 48% 67% 21% -5 +1 0.94 26% 0.6 .16 26% .30 73% .22
Jan
26		 Jackson St. F A+ F F D 25% 29% 46% F F+ D F F+ C+ C- F F D F A+ D+ C- 21% 40% 40% A+ C+ F D+ F C- F B+ F
1.05 92% 21% 27% -1 -2 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 15% .32 53% .17 1.06 67% 24% 35% -3 -4 0.88 38% 1.1 .41 18% .41 71% .29
Jan
31		 Alabama A&M D F F+ A+ D 41% 27% 32% D D B+ F D F A+ B A+ F+ B- A+ F F+ 32% 23% 45% C D- F A+ B- D+ F F F
1.04 41% 27% 54% 0 -1 1.00 38% 0.6 .24 21% .48 75% .36 1.15 50% 20% 45% +1 -1 1.02 31% 0.7 .22 16% .44 91% .40
Feb
2		 Alabama St. F F A+ D F 47% 14% 39% B- F+ F F F F D B- D+ D B F F F 35% 25% 39% B- F C- A+ A A C D- D+
0.91 43% 57% 32% -6 +1 0.94 24% 0.9 .21 23% .32 78% .25 1.09 50% 54% 50% +11 -1 1.22 31% 0.5 .14 23% .29 75% .22
Feb
7		 Texas Southern F F D+ D F 30% 26% 44% F F A F F F A- D B- B- A+ F F D- 46% 26% 28% D+ D- D A+ A A+ A F B+
0.89 46% 36% 32% -6 -1 0.88 41% 0.3 .12 25% .44 67% .29 0.97 38% 67% 46% +4 0 1.09 30% 0.6 .17 23% .20 80% .16
Feb
9		 Prairie View C B+ F A+ A+ 47% 27% 25% D+ A B- B- B- F A F B- F F+ A+ F F 52% 22% 26% F F C- D+ D+ A F A F
1.16 65% 20% 71% +13 0 1.27 39% 1.2 .45 27% .46 66% .30 1.12 64% 25% 43% +4 +1 1.11 24% 1.1 .27 21% .59 68% .40
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Jackson St. F F F F F 31% 29% 40% F F F F F F+ A+ A+ A+ F+ D- F+ D F 52% 26% 22% F F F A+ C D+ F+ D+ F+
0.86 50% 23% 22% -14 -2 0.71 20% 0.9 .17 19% .48 89% .43 1.15 62% 46% 36% +5 0 1.12 38% 0.7 .26 17% .33 79% .26
Feb
16		 Alcorn St. C+ D F B- F+ 35% 24% 41% F F C- A+ A B+ A+ D+ A+ D C+ C+ B B- 46% 29% 25% C- C+ C- F F F+ F F F
1.20 56% 27% 37% -1 -1 0.98 36% 1.7 .61 15% .50 70% .35 1.09 54% 33% 31% -4 -1 0.92 27% 1.8 .47 15% .38 87% .33
Feb
19		 Alabama A&M F D- F B D+ 31% 16% 53% D+ D D F F F+ F C F C D B- F F 45% 27% 27% D+ F A+ F C B+ B+ F C+
0.97 53% 25% 38% 0 0 1.02 28% 0.6 .17 19% .14 71% .10 1.00 60% 33% 42% +3 0 1.07 13% 2.0 .25 21% .28 86% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 0.7 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 0.6 2.0 3rd
4th 0.3 4.0 0.1 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 3.3 3.5 6.8 5th
6th 0.3 12.7 1.1 14.0 6th
7th 8.9 11.9 0.1 20.9 7th
8th 0.9 20.3 1.6 22.8 8th
9th 5.6 9.0 0.0 14.6 9th
10th 9.3 1.1 10.5 10th
11th 3.1 0.0 3.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 19.0 39.6 29.8 10.2 1.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.4% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.1 1.3
10-8 10.2% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.8 9.5
9-9 29.8% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.5 28.3
8-10 39.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.6 39.0
7-11 19.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 16.0 97.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 19.0%