Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#305
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#285
Pace69.3#182
Improvement-1.2#273

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#341
First Shot-7.7#342
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#113
Layup/Dunks-3.6#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.4#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.9#355
Freethrows-2.6#324
Improvement-1.2#296

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#218
First Shot+3.2#79
After Offensive Rebounds-4.6#348
Layups/Dunks+4.0#46
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#322
Freethrows+1.3#110
Improvement+0.0#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 9.5% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 19.8% 30.9% 13.5%
.500 or above in Conference 73.3% 81.0% 69.0%
Conference Champion 9.7% 12.3% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Four6.9% 7.6% 6.5%
First Round4.3% 5.5% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 36.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 41 - 10
Quad 411 - 812 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 91   @ Kansas St. L 57-67 7%     0 - 1 -1.1 -7.4 +6.1
  Nov 21, 2021 120   @ Miami (FL) L 59-86 10%     0 - 2 -21.0 -12.1 -9.2
  Nov 24, 2021 160   @ UTEP L 53-67 14%     0 - 3 -10.5 -13.9 +3.0
  Nov 26, 2021 138   @ UC Riverside L 49-60 12%     0 - 4 -6.0 -15.3 +8.7
  Dec 07, 2021 191   Florida Gulf Coast L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 12, 2021 165   @ Akron L 59-70 15%    
  Dec 14, 2021 55   @ Cincinnati L 56-75 3%    
  Dec 17, 2021 79   @ Santa Clara L 63-81 5%    
  Dec 19, 2021 119   @ UC Santa Barbara L 59-73 10%    
  Dec 21, 2021 97   @ Arizona St. L 62-78 6%    
  Dec 29, 2021 30   @ Illinois L 59-82 2%    
  Jan 03, 2022 344   @ Bethune-Cookman W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 08, 2022 289   Southern W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 10, 2022 323   Grambling St. W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 15, 2022 357   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-63 78%    
  Jan 17, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 79-65 89%    
  Jan 22, 2022 316   Alcorn St. W 68-64 63%    
  Jan 24, 2022 249   Jackson St. L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 29, 2022 341   @ Alabama A&M W 67-65 56%    
  Jan 31, 2022 339   @ Alabama St. W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 05, 2022 199   Texas Southern L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 07, 2022 253   Prairie View L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 12, 2022 249   @ Jackson St. L 60-66 29%    
  Feb 14, 2022 316   @ Alcorn St. L 65-67 42%    
  Feb 19, 2022 339   Alabama St. W 73-65 75%    
  Feb 21, 2022 341   Alabama A&M W 70-62 76%    
  Feb 26, 2022 323   @ Grambling St. L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 28, 2022 289   @ Southern L 67-71 36%    
  Mar 05, 2022 344   Bethune-Cookman W 72-64 77%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.1 9.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.7 3.7 1.5 0.1 12.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 5.8 3.8 0.8 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 5.7 3.5 0.5 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.5 4.1 0.5 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.9 3.8 0.7 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.8 3.8 0.8 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.0 3.6 0.9 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.8 4.9 7.0 9.6 11.4 12.4 13.1 11.9 9.9 7.2 4.7 2.0 0.8 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 95.1% 1.9    1.5 0.4 0.0
15-3 67.3% 3.1    1.9 1.1 0.1
14-4 36.9% 2.7    0.8 1.3 0.5 0.0
13-5 9.1% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.7% 9.7 5.3 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 29.5% 29.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6
16-2 2.0% 32.8% 32.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4
15-3 4.7% 23.4% 23.4% 15.9 0.1 1.0 3.6
14-4 7.2% 18.1% 18.1% 16.0 0.0 1.3 5.9
13-5 9.9% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3 8.6
12-6 11.9% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 1.4 10.5
11-7 13.1% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.8 12.3
10-8 12.4% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.6 11.8
9-9 11.4% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 11.0
8-10 9.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 9.4
7-11 7.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.0
6-12 4.9% 4.9
5-13 2.8% 2.8
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.6 92.1 0.0%