Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#341
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#333
Pace71.6#119
Improvement+1.8#77

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#345
First Shot-3.0#254
After Offensive Rebound-4.5#358
Layup/Dunks+2.4#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#279
Freethrows-2.4#316
Improvement+0.6#132

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#310
First Shot-3.6#302
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#224
Layups/Dunks-0.5#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#299
Freethrows-2.2#318
Improvement+1.3#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 4.7% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.5% 14.8% 3.9%
.500 or above in Conference 28.2% 41.3% 27.4%
Conference Champion 1.7% 3.5% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 2.6% 5.3%
First Four2.2% 4.2% 2.1%
First Round1.1% 2.5% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Away) - 5.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 48 - 119 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 79 @South Florida L 67-102 3%     0 - 1 -25.1 -10.1 -10.5
  Sat, Nov 8 152 Kennesaw St. L 72-92 20%     0 - 2 -22.5 -11.9 -8.1
  Tue, Nov 11 49 @Central Florida L 60-97 2%     0 - 3 -23.6 -12.0 -9.3
  Mon, Nov 17 22 @Georgia L 57-87 1%     0 - 4 -11.1 -12.0 +3.4
  Tue, Dec 2 317 @Jacksonville L 82-85 OT 30%     0 - 5 -9.1 +2.4 -11.4
  Wed, Dec 17 317 Jacksonville W 72-65 52%     1 - 5 -5.1 -0.9 -3.7
  Fri, Dec 19 180 @Tarleton St. L 54-78 12%     1 - 6 -22.5 -22.1 +1.9
  Sun, Dec 21 53 @TCU L 56-80 2%     1 - 7 -11.1 -4.0 -8.9
  Sun, Dec 28 129 @Georgia Tech L 65-82 6%    
  Sat, Jan 3 269 @Bethune-Cookman L 69-78 21%    
  Sat, Jan 10 222 Southern L 74-79 33%    
  Mon, Jan 12 245 Grambling St. L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 76-78 44%    
  Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 76-67 78%    
  Sat, Jan 24 337 Alcorn St. W 76-74 59%    
  Wed, Jan 28 324 Jackson St. W 74-73 55%    
  Sat, Jan 31 293 @Alabama A&M L 66-73 25%    
  Mon, Feb 2 281 @Alabama St. L 71-79 24%    
  Sat, Feb 7 327 Texas Southern W 75-74 55%    
  Mon, Feb 9 320 Prairie View W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 324 @Jackson St. L 71-76 34%    
  Mon, Feb 16 337 @Alcorn St. L 73-77 37%    
  Thu, Feb 19 293 Alabama A&M L 69-70 45%    
  Thu, Feb 19 281 Alabama St. L 74-76 43%    
  Thu, Feb 26 222 @Southern L 71-82 17%    
  Thu, Feb 26 245 @Grambling St. L 66-76 19%    
  Thu, Mar 5 269 Bethune-Cookman L 72-75 40%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 2.2 0.8 0.1 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.9 1.5 0.2 5.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 4.6 0.9 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.3 2.5 0.1 9.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 5.4 4.3 0.3 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 5.2 6.2 1.0 0.0 14.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.6 6.1 1.8 0.1 16.7 10th
11th 0.3 1.6 4.1 6.0 4.7 1.5 0.1 18.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3 12th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.5 5.1 8.9 11.9 14.2 15.1 13.1 10.8 7.6 4.9 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 91.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 79.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 48.5% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 13.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 27.1% 27.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 18.3% 18.3% 16.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.4% 13.5% 13.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.2
12-6 2.8% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 0.3 2.5
11-7 4.9% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 4.6
10-8 7.6% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.4 7.2
9-9 10.8% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.5 10.3
8-10 13.1% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.4 12.7
7-11 15.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 15.0
6-12 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 11.9% 11.9
4-14 8.9% 8.9
3-15 5.1% 5.1
2-16 2.5% 2.5
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%