Hartford
America East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#254
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#328
Pace67.6#227
Improvement-0.8#242

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#222
First Shot-1.6#223
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#185
Layup/Dunks+2.2#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#93
Freethrows-3.3#336
Improvement-2.9#345

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#280
First Shot-4.1#296
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#127
Layups/Dunks-3.1#278
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#253
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#225
Freethrows+1.2#119
Improvement+2.1#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 6.2% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 17.5% 31.0% 13.5%
.500 or above in Conference 55.7% 65.0% 53.0%
Conference Champion 3.8% 5.4% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 1.8% 3.2%
First Four2.9% 3.3% 2.8%
First Round3.3% 4.9% 2.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Away) - 22.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 92 - 12
Quad 411 - 813 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 120   @ Wagner L 59-77 15%     0 - 1 -11.7 -8.5 -3.9
  Nov 12, 2021 171   Campbell L 67-68 33%     0 - 2 -1.2 -0.4 -0.9
  Nov 13, 2021 265   Army L 79-86 53%     0 - 3 -12.6 +2.0 -14.3
  Nov 18, 2021 156   Boston University L 70-75 40%     0 - 4 -7.3 +1.3 -9.0
  Nov 23, 2021 240   @ Merrimack L 60-75 36%     0 - 5 -16.2 -0.8 -17.4
  Nov 29, 2021 170   @ Appalachian St. L 59-69 23%     0 - 6 -7.1 -8.8 +1.3
  Dec 01, 2021 157   @ Winthrop L 75-82 21%     0 - 7 -3.3 +0.9 -4.0
  Dec 05, 2021 337   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 68-55 68%     1 - 7 +3.2 -12.4 +15.0
  Dec 11, 2021 168   @ UNLV L 64-72 23%    
  Dec 14, 2021 231   St. Francis (PA) W 74-72 56%    
  Dec 18, 2021 347   @ Central Connecticut St. W 73-67 72%    
  Dec 22, 2021 291   @ Sacred Heart L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 28, 2021 188   @ Cornell L 73-80 26%    
  Jan 02, 2022 233   Stony Brook W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 05, 2022 353   @ Maine W 69-61 78%    
  Jan 08, 2022 103   Vermont L 63-69 28%    
  Jan 12, 2022 317   @ Binghamton W 69-68 56%    
  Jan 15, 2022 225   @ Umass Lowell L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 19, 2022 187   New Hampshire L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 22, 2022 103   @ Vermont L 60-72 13%    
  Jan 26, 2022 317   Binghamton W 72-65 75%    
  Jan 29, 2022 225   Umass Lowell W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 02, 2022 187   @ New Hampshire L 62-69 27%    
  Feb 05, 2022 300   Albany W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 09, 2022 201   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 12, 2022 256   @ NJIT L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 16, 2022 353   Maine W 72-58 90%    
  Feb 19, 2022 233   @ Stony Brook L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 23, 2022 201   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 26, 2022 256   NJIT W 69-66 61%    
  Mar 01, 2022 300   @ Albany L 67-68 50%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.9 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 4.6 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.8 4.2 0.9 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.5 4.9 0.9 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.6 4.7 0.8 0.0 15.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.9 4.0 0.7 0.0 13.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.3 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.6 8.6 11.8 13.5 14.3 13.5 10.9 7.9 5.0 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 76.6% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 47.1% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.4% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 40.0% 40.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 25.7% 25.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.2% 22.5% 22.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9
14-4 2.4% 15.4% 15.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.0
13-5 5.0% 12.0% 12.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 4.4
12-6 7.9% 10.0% 10.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 7.1
11-7 10.9% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.0 0.7 10.1
10-8 13.5% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 12.8
9-9 14.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 13.9
8-10 13.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.2
7-11 11.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.6
6-12 8.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.5
5-13 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
4-14 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.9 95.4 0.0%