Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#252
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#267
Pace65.3#278
Improvement+1.7#49

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#278
First Shot-7.1#338
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#25
Layup/Dunks-4.2#311
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#154
Freethrows-2.5#313
Improvement+0.5#121

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#210
First Shot-0.9#207
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#198
Layups/Dunks+0.2#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#167
Freethrows-0.4#212
Improvement+1.2#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.7% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 35.0% 52.3% 27.9%
.500 or above in Conference 43.4% 62.1% 35.8%
Conference Champion 2.9% 6.9% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 4.9% 14.5%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round3.2% 5.4% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 411 - 714 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 321   @ American L 73-77 OT 54%     0 - 1 -10.0 -11.4 +1.9
  Nov 12, 2021 335   @ Columbia W 82-67 65%     1 - 1 +6.3 +11.8 -4.0
  Nov 17, 2021 150   @ Princeton L 61-80 20%     1 - 2 -15.0 -7.8 -8.7
  Nov 20, 2021 257   VMI W 78-74 OT 63%     2 - 2 -4.3 -5.2 +0.7
  Nov 27, 2021 223   @ Army L 61-65 31%     2 - 3 -3.7 -5.4 +1.4
  Dec 01, 2021 106   Iona L 63-69 29%    
  Dec 05, 2021 264   @ Rider L 64-66 41%    
  Dec 08, 2021 322   @ Binghamton W 66-65 56%    
  Dec 12, 2021 102   Navy L 60-66 28%    
  Dec 18, 2021 141   @ Boston University L 60-70 19%    
  Dec 22, 2021 344   Bethune-Cookman W 73-61 85%    
  Dec 31, 2021 132   @ Monmouth L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 02, 2022 200   St. Peter's L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 07, 2022 239   @ Fairfield L 62-66 35%    
  Jan 09, 2022 264   Rider W 67-63 64%    
  Jan 14, 2022 306   Siena W 67-61 72%    
  Jan 16, 2022 132   Monmouth L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 21, 2022 106   @ Iona L 60-72 14%    
  Jan 23, 2022 239   Fairfield W 65-63 58%    
  Jan 28, 2022 296   @ Quinnipiac L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 30, 2022 250   @ Manhattan L 62-65 39%    
  Feb 06, 2022 200   @ St. Peter's L 61-67 30%    
  Feb 12, 2022 280   Canisius W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 14, 2022 185   Niagara L 63-64 48%    
  Feb 18, 2022 306   @ Siena W 64-63 51%    
  Feb 20, 2022 296   Quinnipiac W 72-67 69%    
  Feb 25, 2022 250   Manhattan W 65-62 60%    
  Mar 03, 2022 280   @ Canisius L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 05, 2022 185   @ Niagara L 60-67 28%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.8 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.0 3.6 1.2 0.1 10.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 4.3 3.8 1.1 0.1 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.9 3.9 1.2 0.1 11.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.9 4.4 1.1 0.0 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.2 4.1 1.0 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 3.7 1.0 0.1 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.2 2.5 0.8 0.1 9.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 7.1 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 4.2 6.3 8.2 10.1 11.8 12.2 10.9 10.3 8.1 6.2 3.8 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 90.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1
16-4 61.7% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.1
15-5 34.5% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 14.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 26.2% 26.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.2% 20.0% 20.0% 14.5 0.1 0.1 1.0
15-5 2.3% 14.7% 14.7% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.0
14-6 3.8% 8.9% 8.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.5
13-7 6.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 5.6
12-8 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 7.4
11-9 10.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.7 0.1 0.3 9.8
10-10 10.9% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.6
9-11 12.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.0
8-12 11.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.7
7-13 10.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.0
6-14 8.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.2
5-15 6.3% 6.3
4-16 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-17 2.3% 2.3
2-18 1.1% 1.1
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 96.4 0.0%