NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#281
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#337
Pace66.4#254
Improvement+1.2#109

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#215
First Shot-1.9#230
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#171
Layup/Dunks-1.2#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#213
Freethrows+0.8#138
Improvement-0.5#225

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#319
First Shot-1.7#226
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#342
Layups/Dunks-7.9#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#151
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.2#4
Freethrows-3.5#338
Improvement+1.6#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.5% 16.3% 12.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 25.8% 41.9% 19.7%
.500 or above in Conference 83.8% 88.7% 81.9%
Conference Champion 15.2% 19.2% 13.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.6% 1.4%
First Four10.9% 11.8% 10.6%
First Round8.5% 11.1% 7.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Away) - 27.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 411 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 82   @ George Mason L 58-75 8%     0 - 1 -7.5 -6.6 -1.3
  Nov 08, 2024 221   Gardner-Webb L 82-88 49%     0 - 2 -12.2 +3.4 -15.4
  Nov 12, 2024 141   @ High Point L 60-76 16%     0 - 3 -11.9 -6.0 -8.5
  Nov 15, 2024 235   Georgia Southern L 75-80 41%     0 - 4 -9.0 -4.9 -3.6
  Nov 16, 2024 219   William & Mary W 78-76 38%     1 - 4 -1.1 -0.8 -0.4
  Nov 17, 2024 179   @ Winthrop L 75-77 21%     1 - 5 +0.0 +4.9 -5.0
  Nov 22, 2024 230   @ Georgia St. L 79-93 29%     1 - 6 -14.8 +11.2 -27.0
  Dec 05, 2024 189   Radford L 67-70 42%     1 - 7 -7.3 -9.8 +2.5
  Dec 07, 2024 221   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-76 28%    
  Dec 10, 2024 45   @ West Virginia L 61-81 3%    
  Dec 14, 2024 202   @ Longwood L 68-75 24%    
  Dec 20, 2024 202   Longwood L 71-72 45%    
  Dec 28, 2024 311   @ N.C. A&T L 78-79 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 73-63 83%    
  Jan 06, 2025 340   @ Morgan St. W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 11, 2025 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-66 84%    
  Jan 13, 2025 348   Delaware St. W 77-68 79%    
  Jan 25, 2025 303   South Carolina St. W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 284   @ Howard L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 03, 2025 153   @ Norfolk St. L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 15, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 76-60 93%    
  Feb 17, 2025 340   Morgan St. W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 22, 2025 358   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 24, 2025 348   @ Delaware St. W 74-71 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 284   Howard W 75-72 61%    
  Mar 03, 2025 153   Norfolk St. L 69-73 36%    
  Mar 06, 2025 303   @ South Carolina St. L 71-73 43%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.3 2.2 5.1 5.0 2.2 0.3 15.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 7.9 10.9 6.0 1.1 27.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 8.5 8.7 2.8 0.1 22.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 7.3 5.9 1.1 0.0 16.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.8 3.4 0.5 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.5 1.6 0.2 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.7 8.4 13.4 16.6 18.0 15.9 11.3 6.1 2.2 0.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
13-1 100.0% 2.2    2.0 0.2
12-2 81.8% 5.0    3.4 1.6 0.0
11-3 45.3% 5.1    2.2 2.5 0.4
10-4 14.1% 2.2    0.4 1.1 0.6 0.1
9-5 1.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.2% 15.2 8.3 5.6 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.3% 58.4% 58.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
13-1 2.2% 39.0% 39.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3
12-2 6.1% 29.1% 29.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.3
11-3 11.3% 24.5% 24.5% 16.0 0.1 2.7 8.5
10-4 15.9% 18.1% 18.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 13.0
9-5 18.0% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2 15.8
8-6 16.6% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 1.3 15.2
7-7 13.4% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.9 12.5
6-8 8.4% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.4 8.0
5-9 4.7% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.2 4.6
4-10 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-11 0.7% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.5% 13.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 12.7 86.5 0.0%