Portland St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.3 160
Results Rating +0.8 144
Consistency 0.12 29
Pace 69.4 151
Improvement -0.1 186

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 280 C- C- D+ C- B-
Defense B 60 B- C+ B- D- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 67 D+ 55% 269 +1.1 132
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 161 D+ 35% 279 -1.2 252
Three Pointers 38% 237 C 34% 183 -1.5 232
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.5 105 D+ -2.0 252
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 225
Second Chance C 30.3% 186 D+ 0.96 282 C- 0.29 220
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.5% 282
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 285
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 297
Freethrows C 0.31 179 D+ 70% 269 C- 0.21 202
Total Offense D+ -4.2 280

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 54% 98 C 10.8% 177
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 157 C- 5.9% 255
Three Pointers B- 87% 114 B- 0.6% 116
Total B- 59% 94 C- 6.0% 234


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 151 C+ 56% 122 -0.1 170
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 143 B- 36% 80 -0.2 172
Three Pointers 39% 247 B 31% 62 -2.6 66
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 157 B -2.9 63
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 77
Second Chance B- 28.4% 105 C 1.04 195 C+ 0.29 131
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.1% 132
Other Turnovers B 8.3% 58
Turnovers B- 18.4% 76
Freethrows D- 0.36 324 D+ 74% 272 D- 0.26 331
Total Defense B +4.4 60

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 214 C+ 12.0% 128
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 297 C 5.2% 148
Three Pointers C 84% 183 A- 2.1% 22
Total C 56% 203 B- 6.7% 84

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 249 16.5 39
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 218 0.19 242
Consistency 0.12 164 0.09 5
Improvement -1.0 249 +1.0 142

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 160 158 156
Results Rating Rank 146 144 142
Conference Record 13 - 5 13 - 5 13 - 5
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 38 - 48 - 8
Quad 49 - 317 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 61 @Stanford L 79 - 89 13% -6  7% 0 - 1 C+ +3 C- -1 A+ F F B +5 B- C- A+
 Wed, Nov 12 116 @San Francisco L 70 - 80 29% -12  0% 0 - 2 C- -4 C- -2 D- B F C- -2 D+ C- C+
 Mon, Nov 17 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 93 - 80 91% +7  99% 1 - 2 C -1 B- +5 A+ A D- D- -7 C F A-
 Tue, Nov 25 197 @Utah Tech W 68 - 63 47% +1  48% 2 - 2 B- +6 F+ -9 D- D- F A+ +15 B A+ B
 Wed, Dec 3 285 @South Dakota W 77 - 71 67% +5  80% 3 - 2 C+ +2 D- -7 D+ F D+ A- +8 A+ F A
 Sat, Dec 6 257 Nebraska Omaha L 55 - 60 79% -2  17% 3 - 3 D- -13 F -14 F C- F+ C -1 A F B+
 Wed, Dec 17 67 @Colorado L 73 - 84 14% -1  30% 3 - 4 C +1 C -0 D+ A+ D- C+ +1 B C+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 196 @Tulane L 61 - 63 46% -3  13% 3 - 5 C -1 F+ -10 F C+ D- A +9 A+ B- A+
 Thu, Jan 1 210 @Weber St. W 95 - 90 OT 50% +0  46% 4 - 5 1 - 0 B- +5 C +1 D+ C B- B- +3 B+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 265 @Idaho St. W 93 - 87 OT 61% -5  22% 5 - 5 2 - 0 C+ +3 B+ +9 A F A- D -6 F A- F+
 Sat, Jan 10 276 Sacramento St. W 96 - 69 82% +14  82% 6 - 5 3 - 0 A- +17 A +12 A+ F B- B +5 A- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 158 Northern Colorado W 76 - 73 61% -1  35% 7 - 5 4 - 0 C +0 D+ -4 C+ A F B +4 D- A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 318 Northern Arizona W 63 - 52 88% +5  70% 8 - 5 5 - 0 C- -2 F -13 F D+ F+ A+ +12 B- A+ A
 Thu, Jan 22 177 @Eastern Washington W 65 - 61 44% +5  95% 9 - 5 6 - 0 B- +6 F+ -10 F B+ D- A+ +16 A+ B C+
 Sat, Jan 24 162 @Idaho W 69 - 66 39% +5  84% 10 - 5 7 - 0 B- +6 C- -1 A- F C A- +8 C+ A B+
 Thu, Jan 29 199 Montana L 60 - 64 70% -5  9% 10 - 6 7 - 1 D -9 F -15 F C+ F B+ +6 C+ A+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 140 Montana St. W 63 - 54 59% +3  65% 11 - 6 8 - 1 B- +7 D -5 A F F A+ +13 A+ D+ A
 Mon, Feb 2 265 Idaho St. W 88 - 65 80% +13  95% 12 - 6 9 - 1 B+ +14 A+ +17 B+ A- A+ C -0 B+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 276 @Sacramento St. W 74 - 73 64% -1  35% 13 - 6 10 - 1 C- -3 C- -2 F A B C -0 B- B+ F+
 Thu, Feb 12 318 @Northern Arizona W 77 - 68 75% +1  57% 14 - 6 11 - 1 C+ +2 B- +4 B+ C+ F C -1 B- F+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 158 @Northern Colorado L 65 - 77 38% 14 - 7 11 - 2 D -9
 Thu, Feb 19 162 Idaho W 77 - 67 62% +9  89% 15 - 7 12 - 2 B- +7 C+ +2 C A+ C B +5 B B- B+
 Sat, Feb 21 177 Eastern Washington L 55 - 67 66% -2  21% 15 - 8 12 - 3 F+ -16 F -22 F F A B +5 A+ D- C
 Thu, Feb 26 140 @Montana St. L 69 - 84 36% -11  0% 15 - 9 12 - 4 D -11 D -5 D+ A+ F D -6 F F C
 Sat, Feb 28 199 @Montana L 68 - 74 47% -7  10% 15 - 10 12 - 5 D+ -5 D- -7 D- C+ F B- +2 C F C-
 Mon, Mar 2 210 Weber St. W 84 - 60 72% +14  94% 16 - 10 13 - 5 A +18 B- +5 A+ F A+ A+ +14 A+ B+ A-
 Sun, Mar 8 265 Idaho St. W 85 - 78 72% +4  87% 17 - 10 C +1 C +0 D+ F A+ C+ +1 B- F C-
 Tue, Mar 10 199 Montana L 72 - 75 59% -11  6% 17 - 11 D+ -5 D- -7 F C+ A B- +2 F A+ A
Totals 17 - 11 13 - 5 +0 D+ -4 C+ D+ B- B +4 C D+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ D+ C D+ 43% 39% 38% B- C- C D+ C- D+ C D+ C- B C+ B- B B 40% 22% 39% C B- B- C C+ B- D- D+ D-
1.03 55% 35% 34% -2 +1 0.99 30% 1.0 .29 18% .31 70% .21 1.02 56% 36% 31% -3 0 0.96 28% 1.0 .29 18% .36 74% .23
Nov
4		 Stanford C- B F+ A+ A+ 33% 19% 48% C+ A+ D+ F F F F+ C F+ B C+ A+ C B+ 58% 8% 34% F+ B- B F C- A+ F F F
0.98 61% 30% 50% +11 0 1.24 24% 0.0 .00 26% .27 75% .20 1.11 55% 25% 35% -2 +3 1.04 31% 1.2 .38 21% .57 81% .46
Nov
12		 San Francisco C- F F D+ F 44% 15% 41% A- D- B+ C B F D+ D D C- C+ A+ F C- 40% 9% 51% F D+ F A C- C+ F C- F
1.02 46% 25% 32% -9 +1 0.87 35% 1.1 .37 19% .23 69% .16 1.17 58% 0% 42% +3 +2 1.11 41% 0.9 .35 16% .43 72% .31
Nov
17		 Cal St. Bakersfield B- B+ F A+ A+ 55% 11% 34% A A+ C A+ A D- A F B- D- A+ D+ F+ C 34% 32% 34% C C C F F A- F D- F
1.26 65% 20% 56% +13 +3 1.34 37% 1.4 .52 20% .44 65% .29 1.08 38% 40% 38% -5 -2 0.89 30% 1.9 .58 23% .51 79% .40
Nov
25		 Utah Tech F+ C- F F+ D- 43% 19% 38% C D- A F D- F A+ C- A+ A+ D- B A+ B 43% 21% 36% C B A+ A+ A+ B A- F B
0.96 60% 22% 28% -6 0 0.91 41% 0.6 .26 24% .44 71% .31 0.89 67% 33% 25% -2 0 0.98 10% 0.7 .06 18% .17 80% .14
Dec
3		 South Dakota D- C- F B+ D- 75% 9% 15% A+ D+ F+ F F D+ A+ D- A A- A+ B- A+ A+ 62% 12% 26% F A+ F+ F F A F A F
1.00 58% 0% 38% -3 +4 1.04 25% 0.8 .19 17% .41 69% .28 0.93 39% 33% 23% -17 +3 0.74 33% 1.3 .43 22% .57 68% .38
Dec
6		 Nebraska Omaha F A- A+ F F 33% 7% 60% B F C C- C- F+ A- F D+ C B+ A+ B- A+ 45% 15% 40% F A F F F B+ D- F F
0.95 71% 67% 15% -11 +1 0.84 29% 1.0 .29 17% .36 53% .19 1.04 50% 0% 31% -11 +1 0.83 37% 1.4 .50 19% .34 88% .30
Dec
17		 Colorado C C- D+ F+ D 44% 28% 28% C D+ C+ A+ A+ D- B D+ B- C+ C F A B 44% 21% 35% C B D+ A- C+ B+ F F F
1.02 55% 36% 29% -5 -1 0.92 27% 1.8 .48 20% .35 70% .24 1.18 61% 55% 28% +1 0 1.06 34% 0.8 .28 17% .44 85% .37
Dec
20		 Tulane F+ F A+ F F 40% 21% 38% C F C- B C+ D- C- F D A A F A+ A+ 50% 18% 32% D A+ F A+ B- A+ F F F
0.93 42% 60% 22% -9 0 0.85 32% 1.1 .35 20% .31 63% .19 0.96 45% 50% 14% -14 +1 0.77 36% 0.6 .22 23% .59 83% .50
Jan
1		 Weber St. C F+ F A+ D 45% 16% 39% B- D+ B- D C B- A F B- B- C- A A B+ 42% 14% 44% C B+ B C+ B F F B F
1.13 52% 10% 44% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.0 .33 14% .40 66% .26 1.07 58% 25% 28% -6 +1 0.93 27% 0.9 .25 12% .56 69% .39
Jan
3		 Idaho St. B+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 45% 17% 38% C+ A D- F F A- A- A A D D+ C- F F 35% 10% 56% D+ F C- A+ A- F+ F A- F
1.26 75% 67% 35% +13 +1 1.30 22% 0.5 .11 11% .40 85% .33 1.18 61% 40% 41% +7 +1 1.19 33% 0.7 .24 14% .47 67% .31
Jan
10		 Sacramento St. A A A+ A+ A+ 50% 9% 41% B A+ A- F F B- C A B B C D+ A+ B+ 29% 38% 33% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F F C- F
1.33 70% 60% 45% +15 +2 1.37 42% 0.5 .23 15% .33 80% .26 0.95 56% 38% 17% -9 -3 0.78 17% 0.6 .10 7% .42 79% .33
Jan
15		 Northern Colorado D+ C+ A F+ B- 43% 26% 32% D C+ A B- A F A+ D- A+ B F A+ F F+ 26% 16% 58% B D- A+ A+ A+ B F A- D-
1.05 60% 50% 27% 0 0 1.02 37% 1.2 .43 24% .51 71% .36 1.01 77% 25% 41% +9 0 1.20 13% 0.0 .00 19% .33 68% .22
Jan
17		 Northern Arizona F F+ F D+ F 47% 9% 45% B+ F B- F D+ F+ A F B A+ A- C+ F+ B- 40% 26% 35% C+ B- A+ A+ A+ A D C D
1.02 50% 25% 33% -5 +2 0.96 37% 0.9 .34 19% .38 63% .24 0.84 47% 36% 40% -2 -1 0.98 14% 0.0 .00 21% .31 67% .21
Jan
22		 Eastern Washington F+ C F F F 56% 19% 25% B- F D+ A+ B+ D- F A+ D- A+ A A B+ A+ 42% 29% 29% B A+ A D B C+ F C F
0.96 59% 22% 17% -9 +2 0.88 29% 1.6 .46 19% .24 85% .20 0.90 47% 31% 31% -8 -1 0.84 24% 1.3 .30 19% .42 74% .31
Jan
24		 Idaho C- D A A+ B 66% 12% 22% A+ A- F F F C F+ D- F A- C A+ B B 47% 11% 42% F C+ B- A+ A B+ F B F
1.03 52% 50% 55% +4 +3 1.16 13% 0.0 .00 15% .28 69% .19 0.98 57% 20% 32% -4 +2 0.98 26% 0.7 .17 19% .46 68% .31
Jan
29		 Montana F F+ C- F F 40% 20% 40% C+ F C B C+ F A+ C- A+ B+ F D+ A+ C 44% 29% 27% B C+ C+ A+ A+ A F D F
0.88 50% 38% 19% -13 0 0.78 30% 1.1 .33 25% .58 70% .41 0.93 78% 42% 18% +3 -1 1.07 20% 0.4 .08 25% .48 80% .39
Jan
31		 Montana St. D B A A+ A+ 44% 23% 33% C- A B+ F F F C F D+ A+ A D- A+ A+ 24% 37% 39% A+ A+ F A- D+ A D+ F D-
1.03 63% 50% 43% +9 0 1.21 37% 0.5 .17 23% .25 67% .17 0.88 45% 47% 17% -10 -3 0.76 36% 0.9 .33 21% .27 85% .23
Feb
2		 Idaho St. A+ D- A+ A+ B+ 54% 20% 26% B- B+ C+ A+ A- A+ C B- C C C- A+ B A 51% 14% 35% D- B+ F D+ F A+ F C- F
1.42 52% 60% 54% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.3 .41 6% .33 79% .26 1.05 58% 0% 31% -7 +2 0.92 47% 1.1 .50 24% .58 74% .43
Feb
7		 Sacramento St. C- F D+ F F 47% 16% 37% C F A C+ A B A+ B+ A+ C A+ A+ F B- 33% 26% 41% C+ B- B+ B B+ F+ F F+ F
1.08 42% 38% 21% -15 +1 0.75 44% 1.2 .51 15% .45 77% .34 1.07 40% 17% 42% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.0 .21 12% .50 83% .41
Feb
12		 Northern Arizona B- A- A+ D+ B 61% 16% 24% B+ B+ F A+ C+ F A+ A+ A+ C C F A+ B 32% 16% 52% D+ B- C F F+ F D+ F F+
1.22 70% 50% 33% +9 +2 1.24 20% 2.0 .40 21% .54 81% .44 1.08 56% 75% 23% -3 0 0.96 24% 1.4 .32 11% .28 81% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Northern Colorado
Feb
19		 Idaho C+ D- D A+ C+ 28% 34% 38% F+ C B- A+ A+ C C+ F C- B B- A+ D- B 37% 22% 41% B- B C B B- B+ B+ D- B-
1.12 50% 35% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 1.5 .43 15% .36 67% .24 0.98 53% 18% 38% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.9 .26 19% .23 77% .18
Feb
21		 Eastern Washington F F F F F 51% 18% 31% B- F F F F A F+ A+ D+ B B+ C A+ A+ 38% 32% 30% A- A+ B F D- C F D F
0.83 38% 11% 25% -19 +1 0.67 23% 0.8 .19 12% .26 87% .22 1.01 50% 40% 21% -8 -1 0.83 27% 1.6 .42 18% .41 77% .31
Feb
26		 Montana St. D F F A+ D 50% 15% 35% B D+ B- A+ A+ F C- F F+ D D+ B- F F 31% 16% 53% D- F A+ F F C C C C
0.98 29% 29% 53% -6 +2 0.94 32% 1.7 .55 21% .25 57% .14 1.19 60% 38% 50% +13 0 1.29 14% 3.3 .45 16% .25 73% .19
Feb
28		 Montana D- F+ A+ F D- 22% 18% 60% D+ D- B- C C+ F D F F+ B- C C- F+ C- 36% 21% 43% B- C B- F F C- F+ A+ C
0.95 50% 60% 24% -7 -1 0.87 33% 1.0 .33 20% .26 60% .16 1.03 59% 40% 40% +5 0 1.11 19% 1.8 .35 20% .36 62% .23
Mar
2		 Weber St. B- A+ A+ C A+ 36% 27% 38% D- A+ D F F A+ F F F A+ C- A A+ A 36% 29% 36% A+ A+ B A- B+ A- A+ A A+
1.22 90% 53% 33% +15 -1 1.30 24% 0.4 .10 10% .23 64% .15 0.87 60% 25% 25% -8 -1 0.84 28% 0.8 .23 20% .20 64% .13
Mar
8		 Idaho St. C B F B+ D+ 49% 23% 28% C D+ F F F A+ A+ F A+ C+ C+ C B+ B 39% 16% 45% C B- A F F C- F B+ F
1.16 65% 18% 38% +1 0 1.04 20% 0.9 .17 5% .69 67% .46 1.06 55% 38% 30% -4 +1 0.96 26% 1.7 .43 16% .45 68% .31
Mar
10		 Montana D- F+ D+ F F 39% 25% 36% C- F B- C C+ A A+ A+ A+ B- F F F F 20% 27% 52% A+ F A+ A+ A+ A F B F
0.98 50% 36% 10% -17 0 0.68 33% 1.0 .33 10% .41 89% .36 1.02 78% 50% 48% +18 -2 1.34 12% 0.0 .00 24% .40 73% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%