Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#328
Expected Predictive Rating-11.0#325
Pace72.0#95
Improvement-2.8#327

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#342
First Shot-21.5#364
After Offensive Rebound+15.1#1
Layup/Dunks+5.8#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-20.0#364
3 Pt Jumpshots-12.9#362
Freethrows+5.6#4
Improvement+0.7#126

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#273
First Shot-1.7#229
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#268
Layups/Dunks+1.5#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#323
Freethrows-0.7#236
Improvement-3.5#360
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 6.6% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 14.7% 26.4% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 43.5% 52.8% 39.8%
Conference Champion 4.9% 7.3% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 13.1% 9.3% 14.7%
First Four3.6% 4.8% 3.1%
First Round2.7% 4.2% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Away) - 29.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 41 - 5
Quad 410 - 1311 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 170   @ Illinois St. W 67-65 14%     1 - 0 +4.3 -12.2 +16.3
  Nov 11, 2024 214   @ North Alabama L 69-87 18%     1 - 1 -17.6 -4.7 -12.8
  Nov 16, 2024 202   @ Longwood L 62-64 16%     1 - 2 -0.9 -7.6 +6.7
  Nov 21, 2024 215   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 77-81 18%     1 - 3 -3.7 +3.9 -7.6
  Nov 22, 2024 334   Le Moyne L 53-65 52%     1 - 4 -22.0 -25.6 +3.9
  Nov 27, 2024 4   @ Tennessee L 35-78 1%     1 - 5 -19.8 -20.7 -5.0
  Dec 03, 2024 276   @ Charleston Southern L 68-83 28%     1 - 6 -18.3 -2.7 -16.4
  Dec 11, 2024 285   @ Alabama St. L 70-76 29%    
  Dec 19, 2024 266   @ Morehead St. L 66-72 27%    
  Dec 21, 2024 293   @ Southern Indiana L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 02, 2025 233   Arkansas Little Rock L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 04, 2025 295   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 09, 2025 324   @ Western Illinois L 67-70 38%    
  Jan 11, 2025 354   @ Lindenwood W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 16, 2025 316   Eastern Illinois W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 18, 2025 273   SIU Edwardsville L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 21, 2025 318   @ Tennessee St. L 74-78 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 330   Tennessee Tech W 73-70 62%    
  Jan 30, 2025 295   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 70-75 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 233   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-75 23%    
  Feb 06, 2025 354   Lindenwood W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 324   Western Illinois W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 13, 2025 273   @ SIU Edwardsville L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 316   @ Eastern Illinois L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 18, 2025 318   Tennessee St. W 77-75 59%    
  Feb 20, 2025 330   @ Tennessee Tech L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 27, 2025 293   Southern Indiana W 73-72 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 266   Morehead St. L 69-70 49%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.2 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.9 2.9 0.5 0.1 8.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.3 3.6 0.7 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.5 1.0 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.0 1.4 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.1 1.9 0.1 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 4.5 1.9 0.2 10.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.2 3.6 1.7 0.2 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.4 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.9 6.1 8.4 10.3 11.8 12.6 11.7 10.0 8.1 5.6 4.1 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 92.4% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-4 83.0% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-5 60.1% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 31.2% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
13-7 10.0% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 39.3% 39.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 40.9% 40.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 36.6% 36.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
16-4 1.2% 31.5% 31.5% 15.9 0.1 0.3 0.8
15-5 2.2% 24.8% 24.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 1.7
14-6 4.1% 21.0% 21.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 3.2
13-7 5.6% 15.0% 15.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 4.8
12-8 8.1% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.6 7.5
11-9 10.0% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.5 9.5
10-10 11.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.4
9-11 12.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.4
8-12 11.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.7
7-13 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.3
6-14 8.4% 8.4
5-15 6.1% 6.1
4-16 3.9% 3.9
3-17 2.1% 2.1
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.3 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%