Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.3#343
Expected Predictive Rating-11.3#317
Pace68.9#189
Improvement+0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#319
First Shot-4.5#298
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#252
Layup/Dunks+5.8#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#247
Freethrows-6.0#357
Improvement+0.2#166

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#345
First Shot-4.0#295
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#340
Layups/Dunks-1.0#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#282
Freethrows-0.7#230
Improvement-0.1#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 5.6% 8.7% 4.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.8% 28.3% 37.6%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Middle Tennessee (Home) - 19.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 70 - 13
Quad 46 - 106 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 13   @ Tennessee L 62-90 1%     0 - 1 -9.2 -0.6 -8.3
  Nov 19, 2021 183   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-75 8%     0 - 2 -5.8 -6.2 +0.4
  Nov 20, 2021 262   Troy L 67-80 22%     0 - 3 -18.3 -10.7 -6.8
  Nov 21, 2021 332   North Dakota W 77-72 44%     1 - 3 -6.7 -8.4 +1.3
  Nov 27, 2021 130   @ Western Kentucky L 66-81 5%     1 - 4 -9.6 -5.0 -4.4
  Dec 01, 2021 190   @ Middle Tennessee L 61-73 8%     1 - 5 -10.0 -7.8 -2.5
  Dec 04, 2021 159   @ Western Illinois L 64-81 7%     1 - 6 -13.4 -7.6 -6.0
  Dec 11, 2021 190   Middle Tennessee L 67-76 19%    
  Dec 14, 2021 255   UNC Asheville L 68-73 31%    
  Dec 18, 2021 237   @ Evansville L 58-70 12%    
  Dec 21, 2021 22   @ Ohio St. L 57-87 0.3%   
  Dec 30, 2021 257   @ Austin Peay L 65-76 15%    
  Jan 01, 2022 324   SIU Edwardsville L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 06, 2022 327   @ Tennessee St. L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 08, 2022 57   Belmont L 67-85 4%    
  Jan 12, 2022 143   @ Morehead St. L 59-77 5%    
  Jan 15, 2022 280   Tennessee Tech L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 20, 2022 257   Austin Peay L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 22, 2022 94   @ Murray St. L 59-81 2%    
  Jan 27, 2022 350   Eastern Illinois W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 29, 2022 57   @ Belmont L 64-88 1%    
  Feb 03, 2022 304   Southeast Missouri St. L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 05, 2022 327   Tennessee St. W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 10, 2022 324   @ SIU Edwardsville L 68-74 28%    
  Feb 12, 2022 350   @ Eastern Illinois L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 16, 2022 143   Morehead St. L 62-74 14%    
  Feb 19, 2022 94   Murray St. L 62-78 8%    
  Feb 24, 2022 304   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 71-79 23%    
  Feb 26, 2022 280   @ Tennessee Tech L 67-77 19%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 4.6 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.4 3.5 6.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 5.4 8.8 3.8 0.4 0.0 19.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 7.9 9.6 3.9 0.3 24.1 9th
10th 1.4 5.1 8.1 6.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 23.9 10th
Total 1.4 5.2 10.4 15.5 17.6 16.6 12.9 9.3 5.5 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 25.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6
10-8 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
9-9 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.2
8-10 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.5
7-11 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.3
6-12 12.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.9
5-13 16.6% 16.6
4-14 17.6% 17.6
3-15 15.5% 15.5
2-16 10.4% 10.4
1-17 5.2% 5.2
0-18 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%