UT Rio Grande Valley
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#284
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#225
Pace75.6#48
Improvement+1.5#60

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#217
First Shot-1.2#205
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#199
Layup/Dunks-1.4#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#214
Freethrows+2.7#34
Improvement+1.1#73

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#321
First Shot-4.5#309
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#236
Layups/Dunks-1.0#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#255
Freethrows-1.4#263
Improvement+0.4#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 15.2
.500 or above 13.3% 17.1% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 19.6% 22.4% 13.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 4.2% 6.5%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Home) - 68.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 73 - 12
Quad 48 - 610 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 5   @ Arizona L 50-104 1%     0 - 1 -33.0 -18.0 -8.2
  Nov 20, 2021 317   Northern Arizona L 87-89 69%     0 - 2 -13.8 -1.8 -11.8
  Nov 22, 2021 317   @ Northern Arizona W 82-80 47%     1 - 2 -3.8 +7.5 -11.2
  Nov 23, 2021 208   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-67 33%     2 - 2 +2.9 -7.3 +10.0
  Nov 26, 2021 30   @ Illinois L 85-94 3%     2 - 3 +6.3 +16.0 -9.5
  Dec 01, 2021 318   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-73 69%    
  Dec 03, 2021 11   @ Texas L 57-82 1%    
  Dec 08, 2021 318   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 75-76 47%    
  Dec 14, 2021 199   Texas Southern L 75-77 43%    
  Dec 16, 2021 299   @ Texas San Antonio L 78-80 42%    
  Dec 30, 2021 158   @ Stephen F. Austin L 72-82 18%    
  Jan 01, 2022 217   @ Sam Houston St. L 71-78 25%    
  Jan 06, 2022 110   Grand Canyon L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 08, 2022 94   New Mexico St. L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 13, 2022 355   Chicago St. W 84-69 91%    
  Jan 20, 2022 151   @ Utah Valley L 68-79 17%    
  Jan 22, 2022 308   @ Dixie St. L 82-83 45%    
  Jan 26, 2022 143   Abilene Christian L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 29, 2022 153   Tarleton St. L 65-69 35%    
  Feb 02, 2022 320   Lamar W 80-75 68%    
  Feb 05, 2022 143   @ Abilene Christian L 69-80 16%    
  Feb 10, 2022 176   @ Seattle L 73-82 21%    
  Feb 12, 2022 218   @ California Baptist L 75-82 27%    
  Feb 16, 2022 176   Seattle L 76-79 39%    
  Feb 19, 2022 217   Sam Houston St. L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 24, 2022 153   @ Tarleton St. L 62-72 18%    
  Mar 02, 2022 320   @ Lamar L 77-78 48%    
  Mar 05, 2022 158   Stephen F. Austin L 75-79 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 2.6 4th
5th 0.4 1.7 1.1 0.2 3.3 5th
6th 0.3 1.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.3 2.2 3.1 1.0 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.4 2.2 0.2 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 14.2 9th
10th 0.3 2.1 6.0 8.0 4.0 0.6 0.0 21.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.1 6.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 19.1 11th
12th 0.8 3.1 5.1 3.7 1.2 0.3 14.2 12th
13th 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.2 13th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.4 8.3 12.0 14.4 15.4 13.3 10.7 7.7 5.4 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 83.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 62.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 29.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 26.5% 26.5% 14.3 0.1 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.8% 18.2% 18.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.8% 3.3% 3.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
11-7 3.4% 4.7% 4.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.3
10-8 5.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
9-9 7.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.6
8-10 10.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.7
7-11 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.3
6-12 15.4% 15.4
5-13 14.4% 14.4
4-14 12.0% 12.0
3-15 8.3% 8.3
2-16 4.4% 4.4
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 99.3 0.0%