UT Rio Grande Valley
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#191
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#210
Pace73.6#71
Improvement-0.2#191

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#226
First Shot-1.2#201
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#239
Layup/Dunks-0.4#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#32
Freethrows-3.5#344
Improvement-1.5#289

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#153
First Shot-1.4#218
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#70
Layups/Dunks+1.9#112
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#250
Freethrows-2.3#325
Improvement+1.3#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 6.2% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.5
.500 or above 49.3% 57.2% 31.0%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 78.1% 54.7%
Conference Champion 3.9% 4.9% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 1.2% 5.1%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round5.1% 6.1% 2.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 70.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 412 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 27 @Baylor L 81-96 4%     0 - 1 +2.8 +5.1 -0.8
  Sat, Nov 8 319 @Southern Utah W 95-72 67%     1 - 1 +16.6 +16.4 -0.8
  Tue, Nov 11 51 @Boise St. L 65-85 9%     1 - 2 -6.9 -4.9 -0.5
  Sat, Nov 22 254 @Missouri St. L 67-74 51%     1 - 3 -9.2 +1.8 -11.8
  Mon, Nov 24 10 @Illinois L 73-87 2%     1 - 4 +9.0 +9.0 +0.0
  Wed, Dec 3 132 @Stephen F. Austin L 60-73 26%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -8.2 -7.9 -0.6
  Sun, Dec 7 195 Austin Peay W 63-50 63%     2 - 5 +7.7 -8.8 +16.7
  Thu, Dec 11 167 Texas Arlington L 50-58 56%     2 - 6 -11.6 -10.7 -2.6
  Tue, Dec 16 253 @Lamar W 83-72 51%     3 - 6 1 - 1 +8.8 +11.5 -2.7
  Mon, Dec 29 241 New Orleans W 81-75 70%    
  Wed, Dec 31 234 Nicholls St. W 77-72 69%    
  Sat, Jan 3 218 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-69 66%    
  Mon, Jan 5 162 Incarnate Word W 75-74 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 302 @East Texas A&M W 77-74 60%    
  Mon, Jan 12 273 @Northwestern St. W 74-73 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 70 McNeese St. L 69-76 26%    
  Mon, Jan 19 266 SE Louisiana W 74-67 73%    
  Sat, Jan 24 279 @Houston Christian W 73-72 55%    
  Mon, Jan 26 218 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-72 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 162 @Incarnate Word L 72-77 34%    
  Mon, Feb 2 279 Houston Christian W 76-69 75%    
  Sat, Feb 7 241 @New Orleans L 78-79 49%    
  Mon, Feb 9 234 @Nicholls St. L 74-75 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 132 Stephen F. Austin L 72-73 47%    
  Mon, Feb 16 253 Lamar W 73-67 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 266 @SE Louisiana W 71-70 53%    
  Mon, Feb 23 70 @McNeese St. L 66-79 12%    
  Sat, Feb 28 302 East Texas A&M W 80-71 79%    
  Mon, Mar 2 273 Northwestern St. W 77-70 74%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 12 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.7 3.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.1 5.6 4.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 18.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.8 5.9 3.0 0.8 0.1 15.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.6 5.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.3 1.5 0.2 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.2 0.2 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.0 5.2 8.0 9.9 12.0 13.0 12.7 11.0 9.4 6.6 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
19-3 88.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
18-4 57.5% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
17-5 30.4% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
16-6 11.8% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
15-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.2% 28.6% 28.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.7% 29.7% 29.7% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
18-4 1.8% 22.3% 22.3% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4
17-5 3.7% 20.2% 20.2% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.0
16-6 6.6% 14.2% 14.2% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.7
15-7 9.4% 10.3% 10.3% 14.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 8.4
14-8 11.0% 7.2% 7.2% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 10.2
13-9 12.7% 4.0% 4.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.2
12-10 13.0% 2.0% 2.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.7
11-11 12.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.1 0.1 11.8
10-12 9.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.8
9-13 8.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.9
8-14 5.2% 5.2
7-15 3.0% 3.0
6-16 1.7% 1.7
5-17 0.8% 0.8
4-18 0.3% 0.3
3-19 0.1% 0.1
2-20 0.0% 0.0
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 14.3 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.7 0.4 94.9 0.0%