Western Illinois
Summit League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#190
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#107
Pace76.9#37
Improvement+1.0#89

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#193
First Shot-4.3#297
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#14
Layup/Dunks-2.7#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#106
Freethrows-1.6#277
Improvement+0.8#98

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#193
First Shot-3.7#286
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#26
Layups/Dunks-4.4#310
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#7
Freethrows-4.5#349
Improvement+0.2#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 10.1% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 82.0% 88.7% 69.9%
.500 or above in Conference 80.0% 83.7% 73.1%
Conference Champion 7.5% 8.9% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.7% 1.7%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.8%
First Round8.5% 9.9% 5.8%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Home) - 64.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 45 - 8
Quad 413 - 418 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 105   @ Nebraska W 75-74 21%     1 - 0 +8.2 -2.2 +10.3
  Nov 20, 2021 85   @ DePaul L 80-84 16%     1 - 1 +5.3 +0.8 +4.9
  Nov 22, 2021 197   @ Northern Kentucky W 69-67 40%     2 - 1 +3.4 -7.8 +11.1
  Nov 24, 2021 262   @ Eastern Michigan L 68-72 54%     2 - 2 -6.4 -12.1 +6.0
  Nov 27, 2021 136   Miami (OH) W 79-67 49%     3 - 2 +11.1 +8.2 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2021 213   Ball St. W 81-77 64%    
  Dec 04, 2021 345   Tennessee Martin W 84-69 92%    
  Dec 05, 2021 302   @ Central Michigan W 81-77 63%    
  Dec 18, 2021 346   Eastern Illinois W 81-65 93%    
  Dec 20, 2021 324   @ Denver W 76-70 70%    
  Dec 22, 2021 331   @ Nebraska Omaha W 78-71 73%    
  Dec 29, 2021 19   @ Iowa L 74-93 4%    
  Jan 01, 2022 330   @ St. Thomas W 82-75 73%    
  Jan 06, 2022 215   UMKC W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 08, 2022 171   Oral Roberts W 83-81 56%    
  Jan 13, 2022 329   @ North Dakota W 80-73 72%    
  Jan 15, 2022 166   @ North Dakota St. L 68-72 34%    
  Jan 20, 2022 233   South Dakota W 79-74 68%    
  Jan 22, 2022 59   South Dakota St. L 81-87 29%    
  Jan 29, 2022 330   St. Thomas W 85-72 87%    
  Feb 03, 2022 171   @ Oral Roberts L 80-84 36%    
  Feb 05, 2022 215   @ UMKC L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 10, 2022 166   North Dakota St. W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 12, 2022 329   North Dakota W 83-70 87%    
  Feb 17, 2022 59   @ South Dakota St. L 78-90 14%    
  Feb 19, 2022 233   @ South Dakota L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 24, 2022 331   Nebraska Omaha W 81-68 87%    
  Feb 26, 2022 324   Denver W 79-67 84%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.1 7.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 3.5 6.5 5.7 2.2 0.4 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 5.2 7.0 4.4 0.7 0.0 18.9 3rd
4th 0.3 2.2 6.0 6.7 2.8 0.3 18.3 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 6.1 5.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 15.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.5 2.8 0.7 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.4 1.7 2.1 1.0 0.2 5.3 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.7 3.4 5.3 8.6 11.5 13.3 14.2 13.5 11.7 8.2 4.7 2.0 0.8 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.1
16-2 79.4% 1.6    1.1 0.5 0.0
15-3 53.5% 2.5    1.2 1.2 0.1
14-4 22.3% 1.8    0.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 5.5% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
12-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.5% 7.5 3.9 3.0 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 39.7% 39.7% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5
16-2 2.0% 25.6% 25.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5
15-3 4.7% 24.7% 24.7% 13.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.5
14-4 8.2% 20.3% 20.3% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.0 6.6
13-5 11.7% 13.2% 13.2% 14.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 10.2
12-6 13.5% 8.4% 8.4% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 12.3
11-7 14.2% 6.7% 6.7% 15.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 13.3
10-8 13.3% 4.3% 4.3% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.7
9-9 11.5% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.1 0.3 11.1
8-10 8.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.3
7-11 5.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 5.2
6-12 3.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.4
5-13 1.7% 1.7
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.4 3.1 1.7 91.3 0.0%