Akron
Mid-American
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#152
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#158
Pace62.5#321
Improvement-0.8#209

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#114
First Shot+0.2#171
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#55
Layup/Dunks-3.9#313
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#102
Freethrows+2.1#39
Improvement+2.1#64

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#215
First Shot-1.7#238
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#154
Layups/Dunks-1.8#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
Freethrows+1.0#101
Improvement-2.9#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 8.3% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.5
.500 or above 90.7% 96.5% 86.1%
.500 or above in Conference 88.9% 95.7% 83.5%
Conference Champion 4.3% 7.5% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round6.4% 8.3% 5.0%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Away) - 44.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 9
Quad 413 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 22   @ Ohio St. L 66-67 9%     0 - 1 +14.6 +8.4 +6.0
  Nov 22, 2021 215   Fordham L 43-63 62%     0 - 2 -22.4 -21.3 -3.9
  Nov 23, 2021 185   Appalachian St. L 45-57 56%     0 - 3 -12.9 -25.7 +12.2
  Nov 24, 2021 270   Evansville W 69-60 74%     1 - 3 +3.0 +3.8 +0.4
  Dec 01, 2021 200   Marshall W 88-86 68%     2 - 3 -2.1 +10.1 -12.2
  Dec 04, 2021 240   Southern W 79-62 76%     3 - 3 +10.2 +3.6 +6.5
  Dec 12, 2021 320   Florida A&M W 73-66 89%     4 - 3 -5.6 -1.6 -3.7
  Dec 15, 2021 206   @ Wright St. W 66-48 50%     5 - 3 +18.5 -0.5 +21.4
  Jan 01, 2022 103   Buffalo W 88-76 44%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +14.0 +13.5 +0.4
  Jan 04, 2022 84   Ohio L 63-69 36%     6 - 4 1 - 1 -1.8 -2.1 -0.2
  Jan 11, 2022 242   Ball St. W 84-74 77%     7 - 4 2 - 1 +3.0 +7.7 -4.5
  Jan 14, 2022 164   @ Kent St. L 55-67 43%     7 - 5 2 - 2 -9.5 -8.0 -3.0
  Jan 18, 2022 315   Western Michigan W 74-73 87%     8 - 5 3 - 2 -10.8 +5.3 -15.9
  Jan 20, 2022 182   @ Bowling Green L 74-75 44%    
  Jan 22, 2022 263   Eastern Michigan W 74-65 80%    
  Jan 25, 2022 333   @ Central Michigan W 77-68 80%    
  Jan 28, 2022 88   @ Toledo L 67-75 20%    
  Feb 03, 2022 163   @ Miami (OH) L 69-71 41%    
  Feb 05, 2022 163   Miami (OH) W 71-68 63%    
  Feb 08, 2022 295   @ Northern Illinois W 68-62 69%    
  Feb 12, 2022 164   Kent St. W 66-63 63%    
  Feb 15, 2022 315   @ Western Michigan W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 17, 2022 295   Northern Illinois W 70-59 85%    
  Feb 19, 2022 263   @ Eastern Michigan W 71-67 61%    
  Feb 22, 2022 182   Bowling Green W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 26, 2022 84   @ Ohio L 64-73 20%    
  Mar 01, 2022 242   @ Ball St. W 74-71 57%    
  Mar 04, 2022 333   Central Michigan W 80-66 91%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.9 0.9 0.1 4.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 4.1 4.8 1.8 0.2 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.4 8.7 8.0 2.4 0.1 22.9 3rd
4th 0.4 4.0 9.3 6.8 1.4 0.1 22.0 4th
5th 0.2 3.0 7.4 4.8 0.7 0.0 16.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.3 3.5 0.4 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.9 6.6 11.1 15.6 17.9 17.2 13.7 8.5 3.8 1.0 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 83.9% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.0
16-4 49.3% 1.9    0.7 0.9 0.2
15-5 14.4% 1.2    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 1.5 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 10.5% 10.5% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 1.0% 22.4% 22.4% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 3.8% 19.2% 19.2% 13.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 3.1
15-5 8.5% 13.2% 13.2% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.4
14-6 13.7% 10.2% 10.2% 14.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 12.3
13-7 17.2% 6.7% 6.7% 14.5 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 16.0
12-8 17.9% 5.0% 5.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 17.0
11-9 15.6% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 15.1
10-10 11.1% 2.5% 2.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.8
9-11 6.6% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 6.4
8-12 2.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.9
7-13 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
6-14 0.4% 0.4
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.3 0.5 93.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0%