IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.0	#164
Expected Predictive Rating	-1.9	#201

Pace	63.9	#308
Improvement	-0.4	#194

Offense
Total Offense	-1.8	#223

First Shot	-0.4	#191
After Offensive Rebound	-1.4	#281

Layup/Dunks	-1.7	#241
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.4	#143
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.6	#240
Freethrows	+2.5	#27

Improvement	-3.0	#330

Defense
Total Defense	+1.8	#119

First Shot	+2.5	#95
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.7	#232

Layups/Dunks	+3.7	#51
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.3	#284
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.0	#103
Freethrows	-1.9	#295

Improvement	+2.6	#39

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.8%	7.0%	4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.2	14.8

.500 or above	47.5%	68.9%	40.8%
.500 or above in Conference	76.9%	91.6%	72.3%
Conference Champion	1.0%	2.7%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

First Four	0.3%	0.1%	0.4%
First Round	4.6%	7.0%	3.8%
Second Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Away) - 24.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 3	5 - 5	6 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 4	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2021	19	@ Xavier	L	59-73	7%	0 - 1			+2.3	-3.4	+5.0
Nov 22, 2021	180	James Madison	W	74-69	53%	1 - 1			+4.3	-0.1	+4.4
Nov 23, 2021	271	George Washington	W	77-69	72%	2 - 1			+1.9	+10.2	-7.5
Nov 24, 2021	174	East Tennessee St.	L	51-57	52%	2 - 2			-6.5	-18.0	+10.8
Dec 06, 2021	114	Towson	L	58-73	44%	2 - 3			-13.4	-8.4	-7.1
Dec 09, 2021	199	Detroit Mercy	W	69-52	65%	3 - 3			+12.9	-0.1	+14.8
Dec 12, 2021	43	@ West Virginia	L	50-63	12%	3 - 4			-0.1	-9.5	+8.0
Dec 19, 2021	240	Southern	L	76-78	74%	3 - 5			-8.8	+1.1	-9.9
Dec 29, 2021	333	Central Michigan	L	69-72	90%	3 - 6	0 - 1		-16.9	-16.2	-0.6
Jan 01, 2022	88	Toledo	W	66-63	35%	4 - 6	1 - 1		+7.0	-4.7	+11.8
Jan 04, 2022	242	@ Ball St.	W	66-65	58%	5 - 6	2 - 1		-1.0	-7.7	+6.7
Jan 07, 2022	84	@ Ohio	L	72-80	19%	5 - 7	2 - 2		+1.3	+4.6	-3.4
Jan 11, 2022	295	Northern Illinois	L	63-65	83%	5 - 8	2 - 3		-12.4	-9.5	-2.9
Jan 14, 2022	152	Akron	W	67-55	57%	6 - 8	3 - 3		+10.1	-0.3	+11.8
Jan 18, 2022	263	@ Eastern Michigan	W	56-47	61%	7 - 8	4 - 3		+6.1	-11.1	+17.9
Jan 22, 2022	103	@ Buffalo	L	69-76	24%
Jan 25, 2022	315	Western Michigan	W	72-60	88%
Jan 29, 2022	182	@ Bowling Green	L	71-73	42%
Feb 01, 2022	163	@ Miami (OH)	L	66-69	39%
Feb 05, 2022	263	Eastern Michigan	W	70-62	78%
Feb 08, 2022	182	Bowling Green	W	73-70	64%
Feb 12, 2022	152	@ Akron	L	63-66	37%
Feb 15, 2022	88	@ Toledo	L	64-73	19%
Feb 19, 2022	84	Ohio	L	64-68	37%
Feb 22, 2022	242	Ball St.	W	73-66	75%
Feb 26, 2022	333	@ Central Michigan	W	75-66	78%
Mar 01, 2022	295	@ Northern Illinois	W	64-59	67%
Mar 04, 2022	103	Buffalo	L	71-73	44%
Projected Record						14 - 14	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.1	0.5	0.3	0.1					1.0	1st
2nd													0.0	0.8	2.0	1.2	0.2	0.0					4.4	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	3.0	6.0	3.3	0.5	0.0						13.1	3rd
4th											0.4	3.9	8.4	4.4	0.4	0.0							17.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	4.2	10.2	5.7	0.8	0.0								21.4	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	3.6	9.0	5.3	0.7	0.0									18.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	2.0	6.3	3.9	0.6	0.0										13.0	7th
8th							0.1	1.2	3.2	2.4	0.4	0.0											7.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.4	1.1	1.0	0.2	0.0												2.7	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	0.3	0.0														0.7	10th
11th					0.0	0.0	0.0																0.1	11th
12th					0.0		0.0																0.0	12th

Total					0.0	0.1	0.9	2.7	6.5	12.9	18.0	20.4	17.7	12.1	5.9	2.2	0.5	0.1						Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	75.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0
16-4	51.6%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-5	23.7%	0.5		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	2.1%	0.1			0.0	0.1	0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	0.1%		16.7%	16.7%		10.5										0.0			0.0					0.1
16-4	0.5%		15.1%	15.1%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.4
15-5	2.2%		14.3%	14.3%		13.5													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0		1.9
14-6	5.9%		10.2%	10.2%		13.9													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	5.3
13-7	12.1%		7.4%	7.4%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.3	0.0	11.2
12-8	17.7%		5.9%	5.9%		14.6														0.0	0.4	0.5	0.1	16.7
11-9	20.4%		4.7%	4.7%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.7	0.1	19.5
10-10	18.0%		3.2%	3.2%		15.5																0.3	0.3	17.4
9-11	12.9%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.2	12.7
8-12	6.5%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	6.5
7-13	2.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
6-14	0.9%																							0.9
5-15	0.1%																							0.1
4-16	0.0%																							0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20

Total	100%		4.8%	4.8%	0.0%	14.6										0.0			0.0	0.5	1.5	2.0	0.8	95.2		0.0%