Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#263
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#243
Pace75.9#37
Improvement-1.5#241

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#315
First Shot-4.8#313
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#218
Layup/Dunks-3.3#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#328
Freethrows+0.7#122
Improvement-2.5#314

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#175
First Shot+1.0#145
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#288
Layups/Dunks-2.5#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#63
Freethrows+0.5#156
Improvement+1.0#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.8
.500 or above 4.8% 8.0% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.9% 23.9% 8.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 1.9% 8.3%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Away) - 47.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 72 - 14
Quad 49 - 511 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 27   @ Indiana L 62-68 4%     0 - 1 +9.1 -6.4 +16.0
  Nov 12, 2021 202   Illinois St. W 103-98 2OT 45%     1 - 1 +0.8 -2.1 +1.7
  Nov 18, 2021 264   @ Northern Kentucky L 73-74 40%     1 - 2 -4.0 +1.7 -5.7
  Nov 20, 2021 20   @ Michigan St. L 59-83 3%     1 - 3 -8.2 -10.9 +5.0
  Nov 24, 2021 213   Western Illinois W 72-68 48%     2 - 3 -0.8 -12.1 +10.8
  Nov 28, 2021 94   @ DePaul L 63-101 10%     2 - 4 -29.5 -12.7 -13.1
  Dec 02, 2021 247   @ UC San Diego L 74-83 37%     2 - 5 -11.1 +2.5 -13.8
  Dec 08, 2021 207   Niagara W 60-58 47%     3 - 5 -2.6 -10.2 +7.7
  Dec 11, 2021 252   Florida International W 92-88 4OT 58%     4 - 5 -3.4 -15.1 +10.3
  Dec 20, 2021 186   @ Valparaiso L 55-67 25%     4 - 6 -10.4 -10.8 -1.0
  Jan 04, 2022 315   @ Western Michigan W 85-79 55%     5 - 6 1 - 0 -0.8 -3.7 +2.2
  Jan 08, 2022 242   Ball St. L 72-78 56%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -13.0 -11.6 -0.9
  Jan 11, 2022 333   Central Michigan W 99-68 79%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +17.1 +11.1 +4.4
  Jan 15, 2022 295   @ Northern Illinois L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 18, 2022 164   Kent St. L 47-56 39%     6 - 8 2 - 2 -11.5 -21.4 +9.1
  Jan 22, 2022 152   @ Akron L 65-74 20%    
  Jan 25, 2022 182   @ Bowling Green L 74-81 23%    
  Jan 29, 2022 163   Miami (OH) L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 01, 2022 88   Toledo L 69-78 20%    
  Feb 03, 2022 84   @ Ohio L 64-79 8%    
  Feb 05, 2022 164   @ Kent St. L 62-70 22%    
  Feb 08, 2022 103   @ Buffalo L 72-84 12%    
  Feb 12, 2022 84   Ohio L 66-76 20%    
  Feb 15, 2022 333   @ Central Michigan W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 17, 2022 103   Buffalo L 75-82 26%    
  Feb 19, 2022 152   Akron L 67-71 39%    
  Feb 22, 2022 295   Northern Illinois W 69-64 69%    
  Feb 26, 2022 242   @ Ball St. L 74-77 36%    
  Mar 01, 2022 315   Western Michigan W 74-68 73%    
  Mar 04, 2022 163   @ Miami (OH) L 68-76 22%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.7 1.2 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.2 2.4 0.1 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 5.5 8.2 3.7 0.3 18.9 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 8.0 10.1 4.4 0.6 0.0 25.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 6.1 6.4 2.2 0.3 17.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.1 2.8 0.7 0.1 7.6 11th
12th 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.1 12th
Total 0.3 1.9 5.9 11.5 16.1 18.4 16.9 13.1 8.3 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 26.1% 0.0    0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 21.7% 21.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 0.8% 2.0% 2.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-8 2.1% 2.7% 2.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
11-9 4.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.2
10-10 8.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.2
9-11 13.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.0
8-12 16.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.8
7-13 18.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.4
6-14 16.1% 16.1
5-15 11.5% 11.5
4-16 5.9% 5.9
3-17 1.9% 1.9
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%