Drake
Missouri Valley
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.5#106
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#114
Pace65.1#292
Improvement-4.8#348

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#86
First Shot+2.8#94
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#133
Layup/Dunks-2.0#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#117
Freethrows-0.6#231
Improvement-2.7#322

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#139
First Shot+2.3#99
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#292
Layups/Dunks+1.3#134
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#22
Freethrows-1.0#263
Improvement-2.1#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 10.2% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.8 13.3
.500 or above 95.1% 98.8% 92.8%
.500 or above in Conference 85.2% 94.8% 79.5%
Conference Champion 4.0% 7.4% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round8.2% 10.2% 7.0%
Second Round1.4% 2.2% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Away) - 37.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 52 - 8
Quad 36 - 48 - 12
Quad 410 - 018 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2021 234   South Dakota W 99-50 85%     1 - 0 +42.5 +19.0 +22.3
  Nov 20, 2021 99   Richmond W 73-70 55%     2 - 0 +6.2 +0.9 +5.3
  Nov 25, 2021 62   Belmont L 69-74 36%     2 - 1 +3.3 -3.0 +6.4
  Nov 26, 2021 16   Alabama L 71-80 17%     2 - 2 +5.5 -0.1 +6.1
  Nov 28, 2021 83   North Texas L 54-57 40%     2 - 3 +4.0 +1.5 +1.7
  Dec 02, 2021 186   Valparaiso W 73-66 77%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +3.6 +6.3 -1.9
  Dec 05, 2021 288   St. Thomas W 74-64 91%     4 - 3 +0.0 -2.5 +3.5
  Dec 08, 2021 338   @ Nebraska Omaha W 78-70 90%     5 - 3 -1.5 -2.0 +0.5
  Dec 11, 2021 68   Clemson L 80-90 OT 37%     5 - 4 -2.0 +9.6 -11.5
  Dec 16, 2021 268   Jackson St. W 70-65 OT 88%     6 - 4 -3.2 -1.8 -1.4
  Dec 19, 2021 324   Tennessee Martin W 80-54 94%     7 - 4 +13.0 +0.1 +12.8
  Dec 22, 2021 350   Chicago St. W 87-50 97%     8 - 4 +20.0 +20.0 +5.4
  Jan 02, 2022 77   @ Missouri St. L 56-61 31%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +4.8 -8.6 +12.8
  Jan 08, 2022 270   @ Evansville W 60-59 78%     9 - 5 2 - 1 -2.5 -6.0 +3.6
  Jan 12, 2022 202   Illinois St. W 86-75 79%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +6.8 +13.3 -5.8
  Jan 17, 2022 133   @ Southern Illinois W 60-59 49%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +5.6 -1.8 +7.6
  Jan 19, 2022 117   Bradley L 71-83 63%     11 - 6 4 - 2 -11.0 +1.9 -13.4
  Jan 22, 2022 101   @ Northern Iowa L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 26, 2022 202   @ Illinois St. W 75-71 61%    
  Jan 30, 2022 28   Loyola Chicago L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 02, 2022 169   @ Indiana St. W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 101   Northern Iowa W 73-71 59%    
  Feb 09, 2022 77   Missouri St. L 70-71 51%    
  Feb 12, 2022 117   @ Bradley L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 16, 2022 270   Evansville W 70-57 89%    
  Feb 19, 2022 28   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-71 16%    
  Feb 21, 2022 169   Indiana St. W 74-67 75%    
  Feb 23, 2022 186   @ Valparaiso W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 26, 2022 133   Southern Illinois W 66-61 69%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.6 0.8 0.1 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 3.2 8.2 7.0 2.1 0.2 21.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 4.1 10.5 6.9 1.0 0.0 22.8 3rd
4th 0.2 4.2 10.5 6.0 0.8 21.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 7.9 4.2 0.5 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.5 3.0 0.3 8.8 6th
7th 0.3 2.1 1.9 0.2 4.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.1 9.2 15.6 19.3 20.1 16.1 9.4 3.6 1.0 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 77.8% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 42.8% 1.6    0.6 0.8 0.1
13-5 13.8% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 1.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 40.4% 23.4% 17.0% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 22.2%
15-3 1.0% 23.0% 21.2% 1.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 2.3%
14-4 3.6% 18.1% 18.0% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 3.0 0.1%
13-5 9.4% 15.9% 15.9% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.9
12-6 16.1% 12.3% 12.3% 13.0 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.0 14.2
11-7 20.1% 8.2% 8.2% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 18.5
10-8 19.3% 5.9% 5.9% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 18.2
9-9 15.6% 4.3% 4.3% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 14.9
8-10 9.2% 3.1% 3.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.9
7-11 4.1% 1.9% 1.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.0
6-12 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 1.2
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 91.8 0.0%