Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#214
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#240
Pace70.6#123
Improvement+3.3#49

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#211
First Shot-1.3#226
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#183
Layup/Dunks-5.6#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#208
Freethrows+1.0#93
Improvement+0.5#146

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#208
First Shot-2.6#262
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#62
Layups/Dunks+1.7#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#228
Freethrows-2.5#317
Improvement+2.8#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 12.5% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 33.7% 51.6% 23.6%
.500 or above in Conference 90.9% 97.4% 87.3%
Conference Champion 12.4% 25.3% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four3.7% 3.2% 3.9%
First Round7.9% 11.1% 6.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Home) - 35.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 410 - 312 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 36   @ Iowa St. L 73-84 7%     0 - 1 +2.8 +0.2 +4.1
  Nov 11, 2021 45   @ Creighton L 44-51 9%     0 - 2 +5.7 -19.3 +24.6
  Nov 19, 2021 62   Belmont L 78-97 22%     0 - 3 -13.2 +3.2 -15.5
  Nov 23, 2021 49   @ Wake Forest L 61-92 9%     0 - 4 -18.6 -8.8 -8.3
  Nov 28, 2021 351   Charleston Southern W 89-52 91%     1 - 4 +19.5 +1.0 +15.6
  Dec 01, 2021 196   Mercer L 71-73 56%     1 - 5 -6.0 +1.3 -7.5
  Dec 05, 2021 115   @ Wofford L 62-88 21%     1 - 6 -19.7 -1.2 -21.9
  Dec 18, 2021 237   @ Samford L 84-85 47%     1 - 7 -2.6 +16.8 -19.5
  Dec 22, 2021 140   @ Nebraska L 74-88 27%     1 - 8 -10.0 -7.6 -0.4
  Jan 13, 2022 221   Florida Gulf Coast W 77-53 61%     2 - 8 1 - 0 +18.7 +2.7 +16.8
  Jan 15, 2022 293   @ Stetson W 77-49 61%     3 - 8 2 - 0 +22.7 +8.0 +16.9
  Jan 17, 2022 313   @ North Florida W 62-60 64%     4 - 8 3 - 0 -4.2 -10.9 +6.8
  Jan 20, 2022 104   Liberty L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 22, 2022 280   @ Lipscomb W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 24, 2022 238   Jacksonville W 65-61 67%    
  Jan 27, 2022 136   Jacksonville St. L 68-70 46%    
  Jan 29, 2022 298   North Alabama W 73-65 79%    
  Feb 03, 2022 216   @ Eastern Kentucky L 75-77 39%    
  Feb 05, 2022 192   @ Bellarmine L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 09, 2022 329   Central Arkansas W 83-72 86%    
  Feb 12, 2022 313   North Florida W 76-67 80%    
  Feb 16, 2022 221   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 74-76 40%    
  Feb 19, 2022 238   @ Jacksonville L 63-64 45%    
  Feb 23, 2022 293   Stetson W 72-64 78%    
  Feb 26, 2022 104   Liberty L 65-69 36%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.0 3.4 1.2 0.1 12.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 5.4 7.8 3.2 0.4 17.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 7.4 9.4 3.2 0.2 21.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 6.7 8.8 3.0 0.2 19.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.6 6.5 1.8 0.1 13.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 4.1 1.2 0.1 7.8 6th
7th 0.6 2.5 0.9 0.1 4.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 5.9 10.9 15.9 19.1 18.1 13.5 8.4 3.8 1.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
14-2 89.9% 3.4    2.4 1.0 0.0
13-3 59.6% 5.0    2.1 2.3 0.6 0.0
12-4 17.1% 2.3    0.4 1.0 0.8 0.1
11-5 1.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 12.4% 12.4 6.2 4.3 1.5 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 16.7% 16.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.2% 27.8% 27.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
14-2 3.8% 23.2% 23.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 2.9
13-3 8.4% 19.7% 19.7% 15.2 0.1 1.1 0.4 6.7
12-4 13.5% 13.7% 13.7% 15.6 0.0 0.8 1.1 11.6
11-5 18.1% 9.8% 9.8% 15.8 0.4 1.4 16.4
10-6 19.1% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6 17.5
9-7 15.9% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.8 15.1
8-8 10.9% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.4 10.5
7-9 5.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.8
6-10 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 2.2
5-11 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-12 0.1% 0.1
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.9 5.9 90.5 0.0%