Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#222
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#191
Pace76.8#26
Improvement-0.5#198

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#184
First Shot+0.4#162
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#238
Layup/Dunks-3.2#298
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#131
Freethrows+2.5#26
Improvement+0.2#163

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#252
First Shot-3.4#286
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#112
Layups/Dunks-0.6#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#242
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#231
Freethrows-0.7#250
Improvement-0.8#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% 8.3% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 65.8% 72.8% 45.1%
.500 or above in Conference 76.9% 83.5% 57.5%
Conference Champion 6.3% 7.7% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.6%
First Four1.2% 1.0% 1.6%
First Round7.0% 7.9% 4.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Home) - 74.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 413 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 116   @ Nevada L 76-91 20%     0 - 1 -8.9 -1.0 -6.5
  Nov 12, 2021 208   @ UC Davis L 76-84 38%     0 - 2 -7.6 -8.3 +1.8
  Nov 19, 2021 296   @ Cal St. Northridge W 67-64 OT 60%     1 - 2 -2.4 -7.9 +5.5
  Nov 20, 2021 150   Texas St. L 74-81 36%     1 - 3 -6.2 -1.5 -4.5
  Nov 27, 2021 52   @ Washington St. W 76-71 9%     2 - 3 +16.7 +5.6 +10.8
  Dec 02, 2021 142   Southern Utah L 76-89 44%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -14.3 -6.9 -5.9
  Dec 04, 2021 338   @ Nebraska Omaha W 92-81 74%     3 - 4 +1.5 +10.7 -9.4
  Dec 08, 2021 69   @ Colorado L 57-60 11%     3 - 5 +7.3 -4.1 +11.1
  Dec 11, 2021 347   @ North Dakota W 76-60 79%     4 - 5 +4.6 -6.7 +11.1
  Dec 22, 2021 14   @ Texas Tech L 46-78 4%     4 - 6 -14.1 -9.8 -7.6
  Dec 30, 2021 274   @ Portland St. W 63-58 54%     5 - 6 1 - 1 +1.1 -9.7 +10.7
  Jan 01, 2022 319   @ Northern Arizona W 78-65 67%     6 - 6 2 - 1 +5.7 +7.1 -0.3
  Jan 06, 2022 178   Montana L 78-90 51%     6 - 7 2 - 2 -15.1 -7.7 -5.7
  Jan 08, 2022 325   Idaho W 96-93 83%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -10.2 +8.7 -19.0
  Jan 20, 2022 279   Sacramento St. W 76-70 75%    
  Jan 22, 2022 209   Northern Colorado W 80-78 59%    
  Jan 24, 2022 336   @ Idaho St. W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 27, 2022 166   @ Montana St. L 72-77 30%    
  Jan 29, 2022 178   @ Montana L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 31, 2022 147   @ Weber St. L 77-83 26%    
  Feb 05, 2022 142   @ Southern Utah L 75-82 25%    
  Feb 10, 2022 147   Weber St. L 80-81 46%    
  Feb 12, 2022 336   Idaho St. W 74-63 86%    
  Feb 17, 2022 166   Montana St. L 74-75 51%    
  Feb 19, 2022 325   @ Idaho W 84-79 67%    
  Feb 24, 2022 209   @ Northern Colorado L 78-81 38%    
  Feb 26, 2022 279   @ Sacramento St. W 73-72 53%    
  Mar 03, 2022 319   Northern Arizona W 78-69 82%    
  Mar 05, 2022 274   Portland St. W 77-71 72%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.1 6.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.0 2.1 0.2 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.5 7.2 3.4 0.2 14.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.8 8.3 4.4 0.4 17.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.0 8.5 5.1 0.7 0.0 20.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.5 4.7 2.4 0.4 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.3 6.8 11.3 15.2 17.7 16.3 13.4 8.3 4.2 1.5 0.3 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 98.6% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-4 90.1% 1.3    1.1 0.3 0.0
15-5 59.0% 2.5    1.0 1.1 0.4
14-6 21.0% 1.7    0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 2.7 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 22.6% 22.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.3% 26.4% 26.4% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 1.5% 24.5% 24.5% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-5 4.2% 19.7% 19.7% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 3.4
14-6 8.3% 15.7% 15.7% 15.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 7.0
13-7 13.4% 11.3% 11.3% 15.2 0.1 0.9 0.5 11.9
12-8 16.3% 8.5% 8.5% 15.5 0.1 0.6 0.7 14.9
11-9 17.7% 6.2% 6.2% 15.7 0.4 0.7 16.6
10-10 15.2% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.1 0.5 14.6
9-11 11.3% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 11.0
8-12 6.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 6.7
7-13 3.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3
6-14 1.4% 1.4
5-15 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.5 3.1 92.4 0.0%