Washington St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.2#52
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#116
Pace67.9#198
Improvement-0.7#206

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#94
First Shot-0.2#182
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#11
Layup/Dunks-3.2#297
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#82
Freethrows+1.4#83
Improvement-2.3#311

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#34
First Shot+6.5#19
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#207
Layups/Dunks+3.3#61
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#38
Freethrows-1.1#267
Improvement+1.6#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 19.6% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.9% 16.0% 5.2%
Average Seed 10.2 10.0 10.6
.500 or above 84.6% 94.0% 79.6%
.500 or above in Conference 58.3% 76.3% 48.7%
Conference Champion 0.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.2% 1.1%
First Four3.5% 5.5% 2.5%
First Round10.1% 17.1% 6.3%
Second Round4.7% 8.3% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 2.4% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 34.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 6
Quad 24 - 55 - 11
Quad 36 - 212 - 13
Quad 46 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 277   Alcorn St. W 85-67 95%     1 - 0 +8.9 +8.8 +0.4
  Nov 12, 2021 160   Seattle W 79-61 86%     2 - 0 +15.7 +11.2 +5.7
  Nov 15, 2021 176   UC Santa Barbara W 73-65 87%     3 - 0 +4.9 +1.2 +4.2
  Nov 18, 2021 325   @ Idaho W 109-61 94%     4 - 0 +39.9 +26.0 +12.5
  Nov 22, 2021 183   Winthrop W 92-86 88%     5 - 0 +2.6 +8.3 -6.1
  Nov 27, 2021 222   Eastern Washington L 71-76 91%     5 - 1 -10.4 -10.2 +0.2
  Dec 01, 2021 119   @ Arizona St. W 51-29 63%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +27.9 -12.5 +41.8
  Dec 04, 2021 26   USC L 61-63 46%     6 - 2 1 - 1 +8.1 -0.6 +8.5
  Dec 08, 2021 147   Weber St. W 94-60 84%     7 - 2 +32.5 +16.5 +14.9
  Dec 11, 2021 98   South Dakota St. L 74-77 63%     7 - 3 +2.8 -0.7 +3.4
  Dec 15, 2021 93   New Mexico St. L 61-64 70%     7 - 4 +0.7 -7.2 +7.7
  Dec 18, 2021 209   Northern Colorado W 82-56 90%     8 - 4 +21.3 +3.2 +17.8
  Dec 22, 2021 54   Boise St. L 52-58 51%     8 - 5 +3.1 -9.6 +12.3
  Jan 06, 2022 69   @ Colorado L 78-83 46%     8 - 6 1 - 2 +5.3 +6.0 -0.3
  Jan 08, 2022 111   @ Utah W 77-61 59%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +22.7 +9.7 +13.8
  Jan 13, 2022 76   Stanford L 57-62 66%     9 - 7 2 - 3 -0.1 -10.8 +10.6
  Jan 15, 2022 107   California W 65-57 76%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +9.9 +8.3 +3.1
  Jan 20, 2022 40   @ Oregon L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 22, 2022 124   @ Oregon St. W 71-67 62%    
  Jan 26, 2022 111   Utah W 73-66 77%    
  Jan 30, 2022 69   Colorado W 68-64 66%    
  Feb 03, 2022 76   @ Stanford L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 05, 2022 107   @ California W 64-62 55%    
  Feb 10, 2022 2   Arizona L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 12, 2022 119   Arizona St. W 70-62 79%    
  Feb 17, 2022 12   @ UCLA L 64-74 17%    
  Feb 20, 2022 26   @ USC L 64-70 27%    
  Feb 26, 2022 130   @ Washington W 70-66 64%    
  Mar 03, 2022 124   Oregon St. W 73-64 81%    
  Mar 05, 2022 40   Oregon W 70-69 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 2.8 1.5 0.2 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.4 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 7.5 4.7 0.4 0.0 15.9 4th
5th 0.3 3.6 10.0 6.1 0.8 0.0 20.7 5th
6th 0.2 3.1 9.0 6.2 1.0 0.0 19.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 6.1 4.8 0.8 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.4 3.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 7.2 12.6 18.1 20.2 16.9 12.2 6.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 57.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 20.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 100.0% 26.1% 73.9% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.4% 96.4% 16.7% 79.6% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.7%
14-6 2.3% 79.9% 10.9% 69.0% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 77.4%
13-7 6.2% 50.2% 8.7% 41.5% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.3 3.1 45.5%
12-8 12.2% 25.4% 4.8% 20.6% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 0.8 0.0 9.1 21.7%
11-9 16.9% 10.8% 4.1% 6.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 15.1 6.9%
10-10 20.2% 4.4% 2.5% 1.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 19.3 2.0%
9-11 18.1% 1.9% 1.7% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 17.7 0.2%
8-12 12.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.5 0.0%
7-13 7.2% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 7.1
6-14 2.8% 0.8% 0.8% 14.8 0.0 0.0 2.8
5-15 0.9% 0.9
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.7% 3.1% 8.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.3 3.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 88.3 8.9%